The Iran War Is Piling Up A List Of Surprises
The article argues that the Iran war is expanding in scope and scope-revealing details are still emerging. It cites three main developments:
– **Israel’s covert footprint in Iraq:** The Wall Street Journal reports Israel built and defended a secret base inside Iraq to support airstrikes against Iran, then allegedly attacked Iraqi troops who approached it.
– **More regional participants than previously understood:** Additional reporting says the **UAE** carried out strikes inside Iran (including bombing a refinery) and that **Saudi Arabia** also conducted retaliatory strikes, with participating governments reportedly refusing comment.
– **Arms buildup that suggests preparation for renewed fighting:** U.S.State Department arms-sale notifications show Iran’s neighbors purchasing large quantities of weapons in recent months-particularly advanced precision systems for countries including **Qatar**, **the UAE**, **Kuwait**, and **Israel**. The article notes that one sale to Qatar involves **10,000** advanced precision kill weapon system rounds,implying expectations of near-term,high-accuracy targeting needs.
It concludes by referencing President Donald Trump’s characterization that the ceasefire is effectively fragile, “on life support,” implying a renewed conflict could resume quickly and more broadly than understood.
We keep learning new things about the war with Iran. The new revelations haven’t added up to a clear picture yet, but they suggest the characteristics of a war that’s bigger than we’ve understood it to be.
First, over the weekend, The Wall Street Journal reported that the Israeli military built a covert base inside Iraq to support its airstrikes against Iran, then attacked Iraqi troops who approached the base to investigate.
Second, a growing series of reports is showing that the war has involved more belligerents than we knew about. Reports over the weekend revealed that the United Arab Emirates (UAE) has conducted military strikes inside Iran, bombing a refinery in retaliation for Iranian attacks. Similar reports followed about the Saudi military striking targets inside Iran. No one in any of these countries will discuss the attacks, declining comment to journalists.
Finally, in what may be a preview of what a renewed war looks like if a tenuous ceasefire breaks down, the U.S. government website that publishes notices of foreign arms sales shows a recent buying spree in which Iran’s neighbors are stocking up on weapons. Significant new disclosures in May show major arms sales to Qatar, the UAE, Kuwait, and Israel, including the sale of “ten thousand (10,000) Advanced Precision Kill Weapon System-II all-up-rounds advanced (single variant)” to Qatar and to Israel, and a smaller number of an air-to-air variant to the UAE.
That system turns unguided rockets into precision weapons, so the purchase of 10,000 units suggests that the Qataris and Israelis anticipate the near-term need to strike a large list of targets with a high degree of accuracy.
President Donald Trump said yesterday that the ceasefire in the Iran War is on “life support.”
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