Washington Examiner

Republican debate stage forming as deadlines approach.

The 2024 Republican Primary Debates: A Potential Fireworks Show

The 2016 Republican primary debates provided a stage for political fireworks, and their 2024 counterparts have the potential to be just as fiery. However, with former President Donald Trump, the current front-runner, threatening not to attend due to his opposition to the Republican National Committee’s loyalty pledge, the debates may not be as impactful as they have been in the past.

Opportunities and Challenges in Debates

According to University of Iowa politics professor Timothy Hagle, debates typically present both opportunities and challenges for candidates. While they can help candidates break out from the crowded field and allow voters to make more informed decisions, they can also lead to “huge mistakes” that shape the outcome of the primaries.

“It’s hard to really make gains in a debate-type of situation, although if you’re really good and it turns out that you’re not well known and all of a sudden come up with some really good, eloquent points that you’ll get a little bit more attention,” Hagle told the Washington Examiner. “But the thing is often that if you do something and really screw up, that that’s going to hurt you a lot. So whether it happens to be forgetting something or saying something that’s wrong, or whatever it happens to be, that maybe that will make a difference.”

Christie’s Potential Impact on the Debates

When former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie announced his campaign last month, there was much speculation about his potential impact on the debates. His previous interaction with Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) in 2016, where he criticized Rubio’s “30-second memorized speeches,” was seen as an example of how Christie could confront Trump. However, Rubio contests this characterization.

“So Christie’s itching, of course, to get on the stage with Trump to maybe do the same thing to him, but we’ll see how that goes if he qualifies and if Trump actually decides to participate, which he may not,” Hagle said. “The problem with all this is is Trump is just — it’s a different sort of scheme with him. He’s not a traditional politician.”

Qualifying for the Debates

Christie recently announced that he has reached 40,000 unique donors, meeting one of the RNC’s three criteria for candidates to participate in the first debate. Other candidates who have satisfied the donor criterion include Trump, Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-FL), former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, and biotechnology entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy. Former Vice President Mike Pence remains the only second-tier candidate who has not yet announced meeting the donor threshold.

These candidates, along with others like former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson, have until Aug. 21 to achieve at least 1% support in three qualifying national polls or two national surveys and one state poll. They must also pledge their loyalty to the eventual nominee.

The Potential Target: DeSantis

The first qualifying poll, conducted by Morning Consult, shows Trump with 56% support, followed by DeSantis at 17%. If Trump does not participate, DeSantis is likely to be the primary target at the debates. However, the DeSantis campaign is confident in the governor’s preparedness.

“Trump couldn’t even beat Joe Biden in a debate. No wonder he’s afraid of Ron DeSantis,” said DeSantis campaign spokesman Andrew Romeo.

Novel Fundraising Strategies and Controversies

While some candidates are resorting to novel fundraising strategies to boost their donor numbers and qualify for the debates, controversies have arisen. Miami Mayor Francis Suarez’s super PAC, SOS America, announced that donors to his campaign would have the chance to win free college tuition for a year. However, critics question the legality of this tactic in Florida.

Another candidate, Gov. Doug Burgum (R-ND), has offered the first 50,000 donors to his campaign a $20 Visa or Mastercard gift card, pitching it as relief from so-called Bidenflation. Critics argue that this gift card tactic resembles an illegal straw donor scheme.

Businessman and author Perry Johnson started the gimmick fundraising trend last month by selling $1 T-Shirts, including ones printed with “I stand with Tucker” after TV personality Tucker Carlson was fired from Fox News.

Overall, the 2024 Republican primary debates have the potential to be a captivating and unpredictable event, with candidates vying for attention and voters seeking to make informed decisions. However, the absence of Donald Trump and the controversies surrounding the debates’ format and fundraising strategies add an extra layer of intrigue to the proceedings.



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