Where Trump could spend his $400 million war chest in 2026
President Donald Trump’s campaign institution, MAGA Inc., ended June wiht approximately $400 million in cash and plans to spend in key upcoming races, including teh midterm elections. Trump adviser James Blair informed Senate Republicans that MAGA Inc. and the Republican National Committee will soon begin allocating funds for these races, though specifics are not provided.
Several competitive races are highlighted:
– Texas’s U.S. Senate race is highly contested, with incumbent Ken Paxton, endorsed by Trump despite facing legal charges, polling in a tight race against Democrat James Talarico.
– Ohio’s 7th Congressional District faces potential vulnerability for Trump-backed Max Miller amid allegations of abuse, though Miller remains in the race.
– Ohio’s U.S. Senate race between Republican Jon Husted and Democrat Sherrod Brown is highly competitive, with polls showing a near tie.
– Maine’s Senate race is also close, with incumbent Susan Collins trailing Democrat Troy Jackson by about 2 points amid controversy over her support for Justice Kavanaugh.
– Michigan’s high-profile Senate race features Republican Mike Rogers against democrat Abdul el Sayed, with Rogers holding a slight polling lead. Rogers, who lost narrowly in 2024, is being promoted by MAGA Inc. in the upcoming elections.
Trump’s financial resources are being strategically deployed in several key races, reflecting a important focus on maintaining and expanding Republican influence nationwide.
President Donald Trump’s campaign juggernaut, MAGA Inc., had roughly $400 million cash on hand at the end of June and is poised to deploy some of its resources in important races this November.
Trump adviser James Blair, who recently left the administration to work on the super PAC, told Senate Republicans and their aides last week that MAGA Inc. and the Republican National Committee will start spending money on midterm election races soon, though he did not specify when or where.
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Here are five races in which MAGA Inc. could invest this cycle:
Texas’s U.S. Senate race
Trump rankled Senate Republicans in May when he endorsed Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton over Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX) in their primary race to represent the Lone Star State in the U.S. Senate, despite concerns about Paxton’s dismissed charges of fraud and his Texas state House impeachment for corruption.
Paxton is now in a statistical tie with Democratic opponent, Texas state Rep. James Talarico, with Talarico, on average, polling 1 percentage point ahead of Paxton, within many polls’ margins of error.
The contest is expected to be among the most expensive in the country.
Ohio’s 7th Congressional District
Trump this week decided against pressuring former campaign and administration aide Rep. Max Miller (R-OH) to withdraw from his reelection race to represent Ohio’s 7th Congressional District before the state’s ballot deadline, regardless of disputed allegations of abuse from three women, including his ex-wife Emily Moreno, the daughter of Sen. Bernie Moreno (R-OH).
Trump, who told Miller his reelection would be “tough,” also told the Washington Examiner last week the allegations, particularly from Emily Moreno, are “a very sad thing” and that Miller is “a good person.”
The district is traditionally Republican, with Trump winning the Cleveland-area seat by 11 points in 2024, but Miller’s controversies could make him uniquely vulnerable.
Ohio’s U.S. Senate race
Elsewhere in Ohio, Sen. Jon Husted’s (R-OH) problems with his reelection as one of Ohio’s U.S. senators are not because of controversy but rather national political headwinds, propelled by, for example, concerns in the state related to the economy.
Husted, who replaced Vice President JD Vance in the Senate, and his Democratic opponent, former Ohio Sen. Sherrod Brown, are similarly in a statistical tie, with Brown averaging a less-than-a-point polling edge over Husted.
Brown, a top Senate recruit for Democrats, lost his reelection in 2024 to Moreno by about 5 points.
Maine’s U.S. Senate race
Likewise, Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME) is grappling with political headwinds in Maine, although original Democratic nominee Graham Platner dropped out of the race for the U.S. Senate over sexual misconduct allegations.
Collins, who is encountering criticism for her support of Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh, is polling behind new Democratic opponent, former Maine state Sen. Troy Jackson, by an average of 2 points. Collins did not lead in any general election polls during her contest in 2020, yet still won by 9 points.
Michigan’s U.S. Senate race
Former Michigan Republican Rep. Mike Rogers is competing in one of the most high-profile U.S. Senate races in the country against Democratic opponent Abdul el Sayed.
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Rogers, whom MAGA Inc. last week distributed its first 2026 email for, has an average polling advantage of 1 point over el Sayed, who won his primary last Tuesday. Republicans will message on el Sayed’s leftist bona fides, including his endorsements from the likes of socialists Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) and Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT).
Rogers lost by less than half a point in 2024.
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