Ukraine drone strikes and Iran war split blame on skyrocketing diesel prices
The article discusses the impact of Ukrainian drone and missile strikes on Russian refineries and thier influence on global diesel prices. Following President Donald Trump’s deal with Russia too export diesel, there has been debate over how recent attacks on Russian fuel infrastructure have affected fuel costs. A graph provided by the Institute for the Study of War, analyzed by AEI senior fellow marc Thiessen, suggests that the rise in diesel prices as August 2025 correlates more closely with conflicts involving Iran rather than Ukraine’s refinery strikes.The article also includes subscription prompts and advertisements for Washington Examiner, emphasizing trusted journalism and offering options for both print and digital subscribers.
Following President Donald Trump’s deal with Russia to export diesel fuel into the global market, the administration and its critics have fought over what impact Ukrainian drone and missile strikes on Russian refineries have had on global diesel prices.
On Friday, American Enterprise Institute senior fellow Marc Thiessen published a graph provided to him by the Institute for the Study of War, which tracked the price of diesel fuel since August 2025, when Ukraine first began its strikes on Russian refineries in earnest. The graph showed the climb in price over time, with annotations showing major events in Iran and Ukraine that could have had an effect. By his account, the graph conclusively showed that the war with Iran was behind the rise in diesel prices, not Ukraine’s refinery strikes.
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