Trump receives pre-debate polling boost in battleground states – Washington Examiner
A recent poll from the New York Times/Siena indicates that former President Donald Trump has gained a slight polling advantage over Vice President Kamala Harris in several battleground states, a first since Harris began her candidacy in July. The poll, conducted from September 3 to 6, shows Trump leading Harris 48% to 47% nationally. In key battleground states, both are tied at 48% in Arizona, North Carolina, Georgia, and Nevada, while Harris maintains a slim edge in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin. The data reveals concerns for Harris, particularly an erosion of support among traditional Democratic demographics, such as women, young voters, and Latinos. The upcoming debate may be pivotal, as a significant portion of voters express a desire to learn more about Harris’s plans, contrasting with fewer voters needing information about Trump. The lack of clear communication regarding her platform may hinder her campaign’s momentum.
Trump receives pre-debate polling boost in battleground states
A new poll signaled trouble for Vice President Kamala Harris, as her honeymoon period continues to fade.
A New York Times/Sienna poll, conducted Sept. 3-6, had Trump in the lead for the first time in a major national nonpartisan poll since Harris’s ascension began in July. Though still within the margin of error, Trump was given a narrow lead, 48%, compared to Harris’s 47%. The two are neck-and-neck in every battleground state.
The two are tied with 48% in the battleground states of Arizona, North Carolina, Georgia, and Nevada. Harris is slightly ahead, 49% to 48% in Pennsylvania, 48% to 46% in Michigan, and 49% to 47% in Wisconsin.
Part of the issue is an erosion in support from traditional Democratic voters — women, young voters, and Latino voters, who she isn’t performing as strongly with as hoped.
The debate could prove decisive, as many likely voters, 28%, said they needed to know more about Harris, compared to only 9% about Trump.
“I don’t know what Kamala’s plans are,” Knoxville business owner Dawn Conley, 48, said. “It’s kind of hard to make a decision when you don’t know what the other party’s platform is going to be.”
Harris, despite her progressive credentials, also suffers from a lack of perception of change. While 60% of likely voters said the next president should represent a major change from President Joe Biden, only 25% said that Harris could represent that change, compared to 53% saying as much about Trump.
If 2024 is a fight over the perception of extremes, Harris also has an issue — 47% of likely voters said that Harris is too liberal, compared to 32% who see Trump as too conservative.
One of the Democrats’ primary attack angles against Trump, that his character makes him unfit for office, isn’t proving as decisive as hoped — 54% viewed Trump as a risky choice, compared to 52% seeing Harris as a risky choice.
One possible boon for Harris is enthusiasm, with 91% of Democrats saying they were enthusiastic compared to 85% of Republicans expressing enthusiasm over Trump.
The poll interviewed 1,695 registered voters nationwide, with a margin of error of +/- 2.8%.
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