Trump’s pollster predicts Nikki Haley’s popularity is on the rise while support for DeSantis remains stagnant.
Surge in Support for Nikki Haley and Ron DeSantis
A recent poll conducted by Tony Fabrizio, a pollster for the super PAC supporting former President Donald Trump, reveals exciting developments in the race for the Republican nomination. According to the memo obtained by the Washington Examiner, Nikki Haley, the former U.N. Ambassador, is experiencing a surge in popularity in Iowa and New Hampshire following last week’s first presidential debate. Meanwhile, Governor Ron DeSantis of Florida is holding steady in a distant second place.
Impressive Performance by Vivek Ramaswamy
The poll also highlights the impressive performance of entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy in last Wednesday’s debate. According to the survey, Ramaswamy emerged as the winner.
Trump’s Lead Remains Strong
Despite skipping the debate in favor of an interview with former Fox News host Tucker Carlson, Donald Trump maintains a significant lead over his rivals. Fabrizio’s poll shows Trump ahead of DeSantis, his chief rival, by 26 points in Iowa and 37 points in New Hampshire.
The memo addresses concerns that Trump’s absence could harm his chances in the primary. However, Fabrizio reassures that the former president’s numbers before and after the debate remain statistically unchanged.
DeSantis Closing the Gap?
Contrary to a poll commissioned by the DeSantis campaign, which suggests that the Florida governor is closing the gap on Trump in Iowa, Fabrizio’s poll shows Trump with a comfortable lead. Trump registers at 44% and 48% support in Iowa and New Hampshire, respectively, while DeSantis pulls in 18% and 11%.
Haley and Ramaswamy closely trail DeSantis in New Hampshire, each with 9% support. However, in Iowa, Haley attracts 10% support, solidifying her second-place position.
Strong Support for Trump
Fabrizio’s poll, conducted from August 25-28, surveyed 500 likely caucusgoers or primary voters in each state. The results show that Trump’s lead is “rock solid,” with 72% of Iowa Republicans and 81% of New Hampshire Republicans supporting him and not planning to change their minds.
On the other hand, DeSantis’s and Haley’s support is more uncertain. Fabrizio notes that 68% of DeSantis supporters and 90% of Haley supporters in New Hampshire may vote for someone else.
DeSantis’s Debate Performance
The memo criticizes DeSantis’s debate performance, suggesting that it did not provide him with the boost he needed to separate himself from the second tier of primary candidates. Despite the DeSantis camp’s claim of winning the debate based on a snap poll, Fabrizio’s own polling places Ramaswamy in first place, followed by Haley and DeSantis.
Fabrizio concludes, “Despite the continued wishful thinking of some, Trump remains firmly in control in both states. The much hoped for DeSantis ‘bounce’ was really a ‘dead cat bounce’ in that it doesn’t exist.”
The DeSantis campaign did not respond to a request for comment, but they have previously highlighted a fundraising haul of over $1 million in the 24 hours following the debate as a sign of momentum.
“Ron DeSantis showed Wednesday night that he is a proven leader who will deliver results as president, and we are thrilled with the flood of support we have received since his debate victory. We look forward to building on this momentum in the weeks and months ahead as the Governor continues to outwork everyone in this race as he lays out his vision to reverse our nation’s decline and revive the American Dream,” said campaign manager James Uthmeier in a statement.
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