Despite recent election losses, Trump still maintains control over the Arizona GOP.
The Majority of Arizona Republicans Still Support Trump in Primary, Poll Finds
The recent poll conducted by Noble Predictive Insights reveals that despite recent losses by Trump-aligned candidates in the state, a majority of registered Arizona Republican voters are still inclined to vote for former President Donald Trump in the Republican primary.
According to the poll, 50% of registered Arizona Republicans stated that they are most likely to support Trump in the primary, while 19% expressed their preference for Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-FL).
Other Candidates and Head-to-Head Comparison
The poll also showed that entrepreneur-turned-presidential candidate Vivek Ramaswamy garnered 9% support, former Vice President Mike Pence had 5%, and former United Nations Ambassador Nikki Haley had 4% support from registered Republican voters in the state. Former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and Sen. Tim Scott (R-SC) each received 2% support.
In a hypothetical head-to-head matchup between Trump and DeSantis, Trump leads by more than 20 points.
Arizona’s Political Landscape
Arizona has undergone a significant transformation in recent years, evolving from a solid red state to one of the country’s most competitive battlegrounds. President Joe Biden’s victory in the state over Trump in 2020 played a crucial role in securing the White House for him. Additionally, Arizona saw the swearing-in of two Democratic senators for the first time since 1952 after Mark Kelly’s election. Furthermore, in 2022, all statewide candidates endorsed by Trump suffered defeat, resulting in Democrats holding all major statewide positions for the first time since 1950.
Arizona, which Biden won by a narrow margin of just over 10,000 votes in 2020, is one of six swing states that will heavily influence the outcome of the next presidential election.
Upcoming Senate Election
The poll results come at a time when Arizona is also gearing up for another Senate election in 2024. The race could feature incumbent Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (I-AZ), who switched to independent status last year, Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-AZ), the likely Democratic nominee, and Kari Lake, a polarizing conservative who lost her bid for governor last year.
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