Trump widens lead over GOP rival, but trails Biden in Pennsylvania.
Pennsylvania Voters Show Shift Towards Trump, But Biden Still Leads
Pennsylvania voters have shown a slight shift towards former President Donald Trump since the spring, but President Joe Biden still maintains the lead in this crucial battleground state.
In a recent Franklin & Marshall poll, Biden comes out on top with 42% of the vote, while Trump trails closely behind with 40%. Both candidates have gained more support compared to April, when Biden won with 36% against Trump’s 35%. This survey shows that Biden has extended his lead over Trump by 2 points.
Republicans in Pennsylvania Remain Loyal to Trump
A plurality of Pennsylvania Republicans, 39% to be exact, have stated that if an election were held today, they would vote for Trump. This number remains relatively steady compared to the 40% he received in April. However, Governor Ron DeSantis (R-FL) is not far behind, with 21% of the vote in the new poll. This is one of the closest gaps seen between the two candidates in current polling, although it is larger than the 6-point difference seen in April when DeSantis had 34% support.
Surprisingly, the previously unknown biotech entrepreneur, Vivek Ramaswamy, has gained traction and received 9% support in this survey, after not being measured in the April poll. Senator Tim Scott (R-SC) also saw a significant increase in support, with 6% of voters backing him, compared to his 0% debut in the spring.
Pennsylvania: A Pivotal State in the 2024 Presidential Contest
The battleground state of Pennsylvania is expected to play a crucial role in the 2024 presidential contest. It narrowly went to Trump in 2016 but flipped for Biden in 2020. Notably, Pennsylvania is the birthplace of Biden, and he often emphasizes this fact while rallying his supporters in the state. The president has already made multiple trips to Philadelphia in the months leading up to the campaign season.
Another advantage for Biden in Pennsylvania is the increasing approval of Governor Josh Shapiro (D-PA). Shapiro, a rising star in the Democratic party, impressed Pennsylvanians with his swift handling of a collapsed portion of Interstate 95 earlier this summer. More than half of the state’s voters have a somewhat or strongly favorable view of Shapiro, surpassing the approval ratings of both Biden (40%) and Trump (34%). Additionally, nearly half of the respondents believe Shapiro is doing a good or excellent job, showing an improvement from the 43% approval rating he had in April, prior to the I-95 incident.
Shapiro’s influence extends beyond the state level, as he has been named a member of the Biden reelection campaign’s national advisory board. He is expected to actively campaign for Biden in Pennsylvania and make joint appearances with the president.
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