Trump bleeding support from key demographics he won over in 2024
Trump bleeding support from key demographics he gained most in during the election
President Donald Trump made gains with several different demographics in the 2024 election, but six months later, polls indicate his support has slipped with those same key groups.
The Cook Political Report‘s PollTracker showed that Trump’s approval rating has dropped since April. On April 15, 50.1% of voters disapproved of his job, and 46.2% approved. While he has fallen with all major groups during that span, Trump’s dip in approval has been most pronounced with Latinos, independents, and young voters.
During that same period, Trump’s net disapproval rating dropped 7.9% among independents, 10.4% among Latinos, and 11.8% among voters aged 18-29. As of Wednesday, the outlet’s Polltracker reported Trump’s disapproval ratings of 60.2% to 35.5% with Latinos, 60.9% to 33.8% with independents, and 59.1% to 36.2% with 18- to 29-year-olds.
According to CNN exit polls, Trump made significant gains with all three groups in the 2024 election compared to the 2020 election.
In 2020, former President Joe Biden beat Trump with Latino voters, 65%-32%; in 2024, former Vice President Kamala Harris only beat Trump, 51%-46%, with that group. With independents, Trump narrowed the 54%-41% Biden advantage in 2020 to a 49%-46% Harris advantage in 2024. Among voters ages 18-29, Biden beat Trump, 60% to 36%, in 2020, while Harris only beat Trump, 54% to 43%, in 2024.
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While the president’s approval numbers have slipped, his competition has not been able to capitalize on the slide, with ratings for the Democratic Party also slipping. Democrats have been dogged by poor polling figures since Trump’s November election victory, as the party searches for a new leader and message to guide the way.
A CNN poll released late last month showed that while Republican congressional leaders have a 62%-37% net disapproval rating, Democratic congressional leaders have a 72%-27% net disapproval rating, following a trend of Democrats’ favorability falling behind their GOP counterparts.
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