2024’s crucial races in New Hampshire.
New Hampshire’s 2024 Elections: A Battle for Power
New Hampshire has always been a battleground for the Republican and Democratic presidential primaries, but the upcoming general elections in 2024 are shaping up to be an intense showdown. On November 5, 2024, the Granite State will witness crucial elections for the president, United States House, and governor. Let’s take a closer look at the key races in New Hampshire.
Gubernatorial Race
The race for governor has taken an unexpected turn with Gov. Chris Sununu (R-NH) announcing that he will not seek another term. This surprising development has prompted the Cook Political Report to change the race’s classification from “solid Republican” to a “toss-up.”
Since Sununu’s announcement, two Republicans have thrown their hats into the ring to become the state’s next chief executive. Former Sen. Kelly Ayotte and Former New Hampshire Senate President Chuck Morse have announced their candidacies, seizing the opportunity left by the current governor’s departure.
On the Democratic side, Manchester Mayor Joyce Craig and state Executive Councilor Cinde Warmington have also declared their intentions to run for governor in the past two months. It’s worth noting that the Granite State last elected a Democratic governor in 2014 when then-Gov. Maggie Hassan (D-NH) was reelected.
Sununu secured a resounding victory in his last gubernatorial election in 2022, winning by a landslide with 57% of the vote compared to his opponent’s 41.5%.
House Races
New Hampshire currently has two Democratic-held House seats, but Republicans see an opportunity to make gains. The Cook Political Report has identified one of these seats, held by Rep. Chris Pappas (D-NH), as a potential pickup for the GOP in the 2024 elections.
Russell Prescott is the sole Republican challenger to Pappas, having previously run in 2022 but lost in the Republican primary to Karoline Leavitt. While the Cook Political Report currently rates the race as “likely Democrat,” the entrance of more challengers could make it a more competitive contest.
Presidential Race
New Hampshire has not been favorable to Republican presidential candidates for over two decades. The last time a Republican won the state’s four Electoral College votes was in 2000.
According to polling from the Saint Anselm College Survey Center, the leading Republican presidential candidates, former President Donald Trump and Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-FL), trail President Joe Biden in a hypothetical general election in the Granite State, with Biden leading 49% to 40%.
In 2016, Trump narrowly lost New Hampshire to Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton by a slim margin of 0.37%, and in 2020, he faced an even greater defeat, losing to Biden by a margin of 7.35%.
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