Scott Powell: America’s Present Weakness Invites Chinese Spy Balloon Penetration

What were the motivations for the Chinese spy balloon intrusion on U.S. Territory? And why is it happening now? The backstory:    

China’s military capability may soon rival that of the United States. What holds back Chinese President Xi Jinping from moving militarily on Taiwan are two things:  First he may think that time is on his side, with Biden’s America in decline and a perception that a two-year window remains for action. Xi Jinping is also concerned that if the invasion fails he would be repelled by the CCP. 

So, Xi continues building Chinese military power while the U.S. deteriorates. He also waits while studying and calculating the U.S. responses that China might face from an invasion.

Two priorities shape the Chinese project of power against America. First, is their commitment to what is known as unrestricted warfare, one part of which emphasizes using multinational, non-state, and supranational organizations to counter the U.S. Toward this end, the Chinese now control the U.N.’s World Health Organization (WHO), which provides China with a proxy front to impose an unprecedented medical tyranny far exceeding the Covid-19 pandemic lockdowns and controls. The Chinese military strategy, which is based on an old-fashioned approach to warfare, is the second priority.  “the supreme excellence of breaking the enemy’s resistance without fighting.” Even if the Chinese cannot match the U.S. military because of U.S. export controls on high-end semiconductors and advanced AI technology, Beijing believes their level of control in the U.S. can continue America’s demoralization and division—potentially leading to collapse. China delaying military action to try and break America without fighting. 

As for engaging the U.S. militarily, Xi and his advisors study America’s past. They know the U.S. military’s masterful logistics can deliver swift  and decisive enemy defeat, such as the Bush administration’s victory in the Gulf War in 1990-1991. But the Chinese also note the fecklessness of the Clinton and Obama administrations that followed, in which two U.S. embassies in Kenya and Tanzania were bombed;  Egyptian ally Hosni Mubarak was abandoned; the U.S. diplomatic compound in Benghazi, Libya was destroyed, and ISIS appeared invincible after two and a half years of U.S. military engagement. 

China witnessed a dramatic shift in fortunes after Trump’s election as president in January 2017. Trump unleashed American power within just one month of his election and decimated ISIS in a matter weeks. A month later Trump ordered a strike of 59 Tomahawk cruise missiles that took out Syria’s air force. Trump also authorized a drone strike on Iraq in 2020 that killed Qasem Solimani, commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard (and the second leader in Iran), 

Everything changed with the 2020 election—characterized by massive voting irregularities—that displaced Trump and delivered Joe Biden as U.S. President. What most voters didn’t know, but Xi Jinping did know, was that Biden was a compromised president. The Biden family had received—in prior  years leading up to the election—tens of millions of dollars from Chinese business deals, and the Biden Center for Diplomacy and Global Engagement at the University of Pennsylvania had received $70 million from sources in China. 

Rudy Giuliani (the former mayor of New York City), was a brilliant attorney and the most successful prosecution of the Mafia. He performed a forensic analysis on the Hunter Biden laptop. “owned by the Chinese Communist Party,” Joe Biden as well “in partnership with the Chinese Communist Party.” 

Biden’s inexplicable withdrawal from Afghanistan was a sign of weakness. The United States left behind more than $80 billion in advanced military equipment. Xi found it encouraging to abandon the strategically-located Bagram Air Base. Biden’s top military generals, Secretary  Lloyd Austin and Joint Chief General Mark Milley, who were involved in the Afghanistan decision-making fiasco, have also originated other harmful leadership initiatives, such as universal mandatory Covid-19 vaccination requirements and obligatory Critical Race Theory indoctrination for the officer corps and the enlistees in all military branches—both of which policies significantly added to the demoralization of the military—resulting in recruiting shortfalls—with all of it being observed and digested by the Chinese leadership.    

Xi’s authorization of launching a spy balloon and have it fly over a broad swath of the United States, and hover over sensitive areas to collect intelligence data where nuclear warheads are siloed, was also intended to accomplish several important objectives for the Chinese:   

First, the Chinese penetration by a spy balloon of U.S. territory succeeded in  publicly humiliating America—reinforcing the lesson of Afghanistan to allies such as Taiwan—that the United States is unreliable—lacking courage and a comprehensive strategy to defend its own territory.

Second, the spy balloon was likely used to test America’s ability to detect incoming threats and to find holes in the country’s air defense warning system. The spy balloon first came into U.S. airspace over the sparsely populated Alaskan Aleutian Islands on January 28, where the U.S. military should have  blown it out of the sky. Perhaps there’s a hole, as there was no response nor any scrambling of U.S. fighter jets. 

Third, Beijing could see Biden’s weakness and willingness to defer power to subordinates in the response to his order to shoot the spy satellite down three days later, February 1st, when it entered Montana airspace. Biden then gave the order to military advisors, who said “wait till the balloon crosses the country and gets to the Atlantic”—all of which prolonged the nation’s humiliation and demonstrated a fundamentally flawed decision-making process, which Beijing was no doubt testing. Said another way, Xi wanted to reconfirm Milley’s deference to China, which Milley had previously demonstrated twice in communicating critical national security information to Chinese leaders in December and January 2020-2021, without President Trump’s knowledge or consent. 

All this is due to corruption and the 2020 electoral irregularity.  

Scott Powell is a member of the Committee on the Present Danger China and senior fellow at Discovery Institute. His recent book, Rediscovering America, was #1 new release in history for eight straight weeks at Amazon (https://www.amazon.com/dp/1637581599). Reach him at [email protected]