RNC chairman predicts GOP will pick up seats in midterm elections
Joe Gruters, Chairman of the Republican National committee, expressed confidence that Republicans will defy historical trends adn maintain their congressional majorities in the 2026 midterm elections. During a Fox News interview, he stated that his party is poised to win congressional seats despite an environment that typically favors the opposition party. Gruters highlighted the strength of Republican candidates, their financial resources-reportedly the highest in party history-and the popularity of Donald Trump as key advantages. He predicted victories in key Senate races in Ohio, Maine, and Texas and emphasized the importance of party unity and aligning behind Trump’s agenda to ensure continued control. With narrow current majorities in both chambers, Republicans are optimistic due to recent favorable redistricting maps and strategic campaigning, though the race remains competitive, especially in the House. Gruters advised voters to consider comprehensive sources like the Cook Political Report for race evaluations, asserting that Republicans are confidently positioned to retain and possibly expand their congressional control in the upcoming elections.
Republican National Committee Chairman Joe Gruters said he believes Republicans will defy historical trends and maintain their congressional majorities in the 2026 midterm elections.
“Bet on us because we’re going to win. We’re going to defy history,” Gruters said during a Monday interview on Fox News, expressing confidence that Republicans will retain control of the Senate and House despite a political environment that has historically favored the party out of power.
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“We have the candidates that we’ve recruited,” he added. “We have the resources, most cash on the hand in the history of the party ever, and then we have the best showman in the world, Donald J. Trump.”
Gruters’s comments come as Republicans enter the final stretch before the midterm elections with narrow majorities in both chambers and Democrats aiming to reclaim control of the House and Senate.
The RNC chairman argued that candidate quality, party unity, and Republicans’ financial resources will allow the party to overcome what he described as unfavorable historical trends.
“Yeah, we are going to win everything, and it comes down to the candidate quality,” Gruters said. “What we have is common sense on our side. They have craziness and these left-wing mini-Mamdani radicals that, at the end of the day, voters are going to reject because you know they want more mainstream candidates. That’s what we offer.”
Gruters specifically predicted victories for Republican Senate candidates in Ohio, Maine, and Texas, where Democrats are eyeing flipping longtime Republican seats.
“[Jon] Husted’s going to win. [Mike] Rogers is going to win. [Susan] Collins is going to win. [Ken] Paxton’s going to win,” Gruters said. “All these swing seats they’re talking about, they’re red states.”
Gruters also pointed to the party’s resources and messaging as reasons for his confidence, arguing that Republicans need to remain united behind President Donald Trump and his agenda.
“We need the Republicans to come together. We need to stand united on behalf of the president to make sure he can serve his full four years,” Gruters said.
Republicans hold narrow majorities in both chambers, leaving relatively few seats vulnerable to determine control of Congress.
The House remains particularly competitive. The nonpartisan Cook Political Report rates 203 House seats as safely or likely Republican and 194 as safely or likely Democratic, leaving 18 races rated as toss-ups.
Republicans also emerged from a yearlong redistricting effort with a House map that could give them additional protection in the midterm elections. An analysis from the National Republican Congressional Committee found that the new maps created 14 seats that Trump would have carried by at least 10 percentage points in 2024, including six seats that Trump would have won by more than 15 points.
The map leaves Republicans closer to the 218 seats needed to control the House before the most competitive races are decided.
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Gruters said voters should look beyond individual polls and prediction market odds when evaluating the state of the midterms. He pointed viewers toward the Cook Political Report, describing it as a nonpartisan source for tracking competitive races.
“If you look at the Senate side, it’s a 53-47 split. I think we win. I think we stay at 53, and maybe even pick up a seat,” Gruters said. “On the House side, I think we’ll even do better.”
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