‘Democrats in Denial: Refuse to Accept Poll Showing Trump’s Lead Over Biden’

Democrats Reject Poll Showing Biden Losing to Trump

Democrats are dismissing a recent Washington Post/ABC‍ News poll⁢ that reveals President⁣ Joe Biden trailing former⁤ President Donald Trump by double digits in a potential general election⁤ matchup. The poll’s findings were met ⁢with skepticism and criticism from various news‌ outlets and Democratic⁣ figures.

The Post cautioned that the poll‍ may be⁢ an outlier due to ⁣its unique question order and the ⁢unusual ‍makeup ​of Trump’s and Biden’s coalitions. ABC‌ News ⁤also⁤ advised considering these factors when interpreting ​the results.

Other media ⁣sources, such as Politico, the New ‍York​ Times, and Axios, expressed similar doubts about ⁢the poll’s accuracy and its⁣ ability to predict the outcome of the 2024⁢ election.

I deleted a post about an ABC/Washington Post poll of the Biden/Trump matchup‌ because I⁤ quickly​ got some smart DMs pointing out that some of its findings⁤ seem absurd.‌ It’s probably wise not to rile people up based on questionable polling, especially ​this far out from Nov 2024.

— ‌Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) September 24, 2023

Despite the media’s cautious‌ approach, ⁤many Democrats were not satisfied with ⁣the ⁢poll’s treatment. Prominent Democratic figures, ‍including pollsters⁤ Larry Sabato and Matt Barreto, criticized the ‍poll as a ridiculous outlier and advised ignoring it.

Democratic strategist Cornell Belcher‍ called the poll indefensible and raised concerns about the ethics ⁤of media narratives driven by such⁣ data. White ⁤House ⁢deputy press ‍secretary Andrew‌ Bates also took a jab at ABC ⁤Politics, ⁣questioning their credibility.

While ​the Post-ABC News poll’s results were ⁤unusual in Trump’s significant lead,⁣ they‍ align with a​ trend of ‍increasingly unfavorable polling for Biden, including another poll released by NBC News.

Trump holds an ​advantage over Biden ⁤in the ⁤seven states where the 2020⁢ presidential election was closest, according to a new poll.https://t.co/AYB0nEstGG

— Washington Free Beacon (@FreeBeacon) September 15, 2023

It’s really really⁤ hard to release outlying poll results, so you’ve got to give credit ⁤to ABC/Post here, ⁣but I do have a fairly⁣ major⁤ quibble with ABC/Post⁣ here: if you​ release ​consecutive ‘outlying’ poll ⁤results ⁢– ‍R+7 in ‍May, R+10 today — you don’t get to ⁣dismiss your results

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) September 24, ⁤2023

In ⁢a ⁣related story, the⁣ most recent 5 major polls has Trump’s support among Black voters at 20 percent, more⁣ than triple of what Romney received ⁤in ​2012. Trump is also getting 42 percent of the Hispanic‌ vote in the same ⁣poll. If ​this holds, and it ​should, lights out for Biden. https://t.co/sq7oYHwPJS

— Joe Concha (@JoeConchaTV) September 22, 2023

Flashback: Trump was⁣ once widely criticized for ‌rejecting unfavorable polls.

CNN: “Donald Trump Just Accidentally ⁢Told the ​Truth About His View on​ Polls”:

Exactly one week ago, I wrote these ⁢words: “If you listen to him long enough – no easy chore – ⁣Donald Trump will tell you all⁣ his ⁢secrets.”

Well, he⁤ did it again.

During his‌ speech to the Conservative Political Action Conference⁤ in Dallas, Texas, over the weekend, ‍Trump‌ let loose‌ with this line explaining his strategy on polling:

“If it’s bad, I say⁤ it’s fake. If it’s ⁤good, I say that’s the most accurate poll ever.”

Yup.​ That about captures it!

How should Democrats ‌approach unfavorable poll results and​ declining support for Biden in order to improve their ⁢chances in the upcoming election

Wsrc%5Etfw”>September 20, 2023

The NBC News poll, conducted by Hart Research⁢ Associates, showed that Biden is trailing Trump by a narrow margin in the key battleground states where⁤ the 2020 presidential election‌ was ⁢closely contested. This further adds to the concerns raised by the Washington Post/ABC‍ News poll.

However, it​ is important to note ‍that both polls were conducted several years before⁣ the 2024 election, and ⁤a⁣ lot can change in the political landscape between now‌ and then. While​ polls can provide a snapshot of ‍current public opinion, they are not definitive predictors of future ⁣outcomes.

Furthermore, it is not⁣ uncommon for polls to produce conflicting results, and outliers can ⁣occur due ‌to various ⁣factors, as​ noted by the⁤ Washington Post. The ​unique ⁣question order⁢ and the ​composition of Trump’s​ and Biden’s coalitions may have‍ influenced the poll results, making it an inconsistent ‍representation of voter sentiment.

The skepticism expressed by⁢ media outlets such as Politico,‍ the New York‍ Times, and Axios, as⁤ well as the cautionary tweet from journalist Aaron Rupar, highlight the ‌need for a critical examination of the‌ poll’s findings. Polls should be approached with caution, especially when they deviate significantly​ from previous trends or⁢ common​ expectations.

Despite the criticisms raised⁢ by Democratic figures and‍ media outlets, it cannot be ignored that Biden has been experiencing⁣ declining approval ratings and ⁣facing challenges⁢ in​ his presidency. The unfavorable polling for Biden, including the recent polls showing Trump with ⁣an advantage, highlights‌ the importance of addressing concerns and taking voter​ sentiment seriously.

While it ‍may be tempting for ​Democrats to dismiss these ‍polls as outliers, ⁣it is crucial⁢ for them to understand the underlying‌ factors⁣ contributing to ‍the declining support for Biden.‍ Ignoring or discrediting unfavorable poll⁢ results will not address‍ the concerns of voters or improve ‌Biden’s chances in the upcoming election.

Ultimately, it ⁣is still‌ too early to predict the outcome of ‌the ⁣2024 election with certainty. Polls ⁤conducted years in advance should be seen as valuable indicators ⁤of public sentiment at a particular moment in time. As⁢ the political landscape‌ continues⁤ to evolve,⁢ it is⁣ essential for both Democrats⁣ and Republicans ⁢to closely monitor public opinion ⁢and adapt ⁤their strategies ⁤accordingly.

Rather ⁢than rejecting polls​ outright, Democrats ‌should ⁢use ‌these findings as an opportunity ‍for reflection ‌and self-assessment.‍ By understanding​ the concerns and preferences of the electorate,⁤ they can work towards addressing them ‌and improving their​ chances in future elections.

As the 2024 election ⁢draws nearer, ​the focus​ should be on engaging with voters, developing strong policies,‍ and putting forth compelling candidates. Polls, while informative, should not dictate the ⁢course‍ of action. It is the responsibility of both parties to listen to the voices of the people ​and work towards earning their trust and support.