Putin Has a Crisis Brewing: He Is Running out of Ammo in Ukraine
The war in Ukraine has entered its tenth month, and the Russian forces are running out of ammo.
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In September, Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered a partial mobilization of the Russian reserves, calling up approximately 300,000 men to arms.
The influx of Russian reservists to frontline units gave a much-needed manpower boost to the flagging Russian military.
Up to that point, the Russian commanders had had to move around troops from one part of the front to another in order to conduct offensive operations.
But that created gaps in the Russian defenses, something which the Ukrainians saw and shrewdly exploited with surprise and lighting counteroffensives, first in the east and then in the south.
The onrush of winter and reserves have stabilized the Russian front lines.
However, Moscow will not win the war by defending. A large-scale offensive operation requires ammunition to support it.
“Russia has augmented its force in Ukraine with tens of thousands of reservists since October. Despite the easing of its immediate personnel shortages, a shortage of munitions highly likely remains the key limiting factor on Russian offensive operations,” the British Military Intelligence assessed in its latest estimate of the war.
The Russian military is also relying on tens of thousands of Wagner Group mercenaries.
More Men, Less Ammo in Ukraine
For months since the start of the war, the Russian forces enjoyed an advantage in numbers almost all across the board. At some point during the summer, the Russian military was lobbing more than 20,000 rounds a day at the Ukrainians. But the Russian advantage has been slowly ebbing away with every passing day to the extent that Moscow has had to turn to North Korea for artillery ammunition.
Most of the fighting is
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