New Polling Reveals Neck-and-Neck Race in North Carolina Gubernatorial Contest

The latest polling data released highlights a tight race for North Carolina’s gubernatorial ​position. Mark Robinson, the Republican candidate, ​maintains ⁢a marginal lead over Democrat Josh Stein. Similarly, the contest for a North Carolina Supreme⁢ Court⁢ seat is‍ narrowly ‍led by Republican Jefferson Griffin. Additionally, survey results show interesting trends in the presidential and legislative elections.


The battle to become North Carolina’s next governor is a dead heat, new polling released Thursday shows.

Conducted from May 4-5 by the John Locke Foundation/Cygnal, the survey among 600 likely Tar Heel State voters shows Republican gubernatorial candidate Mark Robinson maintaining a razor-thin lead over Democrat Josh Stein. If the contest were held today, 39.2 percent of respondents said they’d “definitely” or “probably” vote for Robinson, while 39.1 percent said they’d support Stein. The poll shows 17.1 percent of voters remain undecided.

The numbers are concerning for Robinson, who led Stein by 2 points in the pollster’s April survey (39.9 to 37.9 percent). Robinson led Stein by nearly 5 points in March. Since winning the nomination to take on Stein, Robinson has faced a barrage of dishonest smears from legacy media.

The race to win a North Carolina Supreme Court seat is also extremely tight, with Republican Jefferson Griffin leading Democrat Allison Riggs by less than 1 point (39.6 to 39.1 percent). More than 21 percent of likely voters are still undecided, however.

[READ:[READ:Everything The Corporate Press Says About Mark Robinson Is A Lie]

Republicans appear to be doing slightly better in the presidential and legislative elections. The survey shows former President Donald Trump with a 4.5-point lead over President Joe Biden (42.6 to 38.1 percent). Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. — who reportedly gained enough signatures to qualify for North Carolina’s 2024 ballot last month — is shown to have support from 8.8 percent of likely voters, while 6.3 percent remain undecided.

Meanwhile, Republicans enjoy a 4-point advantage over Democrats in the generic state legislative ballot (47.2 to 43.2 percent) and a 5.7-point lead in congressional contests (48.3 to 42.6 percent).

The survey also reflected nationwide attitudes towards Biden and the direction of the country. According to the poll, a whopping 56.9 percent of likely North Carolina voters said they “strongly” or “somewhat” disapprove of Biden’s job as president, with the vast majority “strongly” disapproving. Just 36.4 percent said they “strongly” or “somewhat” approve of his performance, marking a slight increase from the 34.6 percent who expressed such sentiments last month.

Roughly two-thirds (66.4 percent) of those surveyed believe the country is “definitely” or “mostly” on the wrong track, compared to nearly a quarter of respondents (24.9 percent) who said the opposite.

John Locke Foundation/Cygna… by The Federalist


Shawn Fleetwood is a staff writer for The Federalist and a graduate of the University of Mary Washington. He previously served as a state content writer for Convention of States Action and his work has been featured in numerous outlets, including RealClearPolitics, RealClearHealth, and Conservative Review. Follow him on Twitter @ShawnFleetwood

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