Trump triumphs with swing state voters: Poll
Former President Donald Trump Holds Major Lead in Swing States
A new poll from Echelon Insights reveals that former President Donald Trump is leading President Joe Biden in several key swing states. According to the poll, 48% of respondents in these states would probably or definitely vote for Trump, while only 41% would choose Biden. Although Biden is narrowly favored overall by likely voters, with 43% favoring him compared to 42% for Trump, the swing states could be the key to Trump winning 270 Electoral College votes.
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Furthermore, Biden’s hold on the overall vote is not secure when considering progressive challenger Cornel West of the Green Party. The poll indicates that West could attract a significant number of Biden’s liberal votes, potentially giving Trump the majority of the ballot. With West in the race, Biden’s share of the vote drops to 42%, while West takes 4% and Trump emerges triumphant with 43%.
Trump’s lead in swing states is further solidified when West is involved, with Trump maintaining a 48% share while Biden’s drops to 40%. These results highlight the decisive role West could play if he decides to stay in the race.
“There is always a danger a third-party candidate can impact the Electoral College results, particularly if they receive enough votes in a battleground state or states to change the outcome. In a close election, Cornel West could well be a spoiler,” said David B. Cohen, a political science professor at the University of Akron in Ohio.
Biden’s fortunes would worsen even more if artist Taylor Swift were to run as an independent candidate. The poll suggests that she would win 7% of the vote, mostly poaching votes from Biden. In this scenario, Biden’s share of the vote in swing states would drop to 38%, while Trump would secure 43% of the overall vote.
Additionally, the poll reveals that Trump would perform better than Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-FL), his primary Republican competitor, in a general election against Biden. In an election between DeSantis and Biden, the incumbent would receive 45% of the vote, compared to DeSantis’s 42%. In swing states, Trump is just 1 percentage point ahead, with 44% compared to Biden’s 43%.
The Echelon Insights poll surveyed 1,020 likely voters from June 26-29, with a margin of error of +/- 3.9 percentage points.
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