Centrist groups to inform top Dems on third-party ticket’s impact in 2024.

Centrist and Progressive Groups Sound the Alarm on Third-Party Ticket

Capitol Hill is about to witness a high-stakes showdown as centrist and progressive groups join forces to warn senior Democrats about the potential consequences of a third-party ticket in the 2024 election. The urgency of the situation has prompted MoveOn, a prominent progressive group, and Third Way, a leading centrist organization, to schedule a briefing with Senate Democrats chiefs of staff on July 27.

Concerns Over Trump’s Return to the White House

Early polling has raised red flags, indicating that an independent ticket could inadvertently pave the way for former President Donald Trump’s return to the White House in 2024. An invitation obtained by Politico reveals that MoveOn and Third Way officials are determined to share crucial information about the No Labels group, which is funding the third-party bid, with the senators’ top aides.

The No Labels group has been actively pushing for a third-party candidate in multiple presidential elections. In the context of the upcoming 2024 election, their aim is to provide voters with alternatives to both Trump and President Joe Biden, offering a fresh choice for those who wish to avoid a repeat of the 2020 scenario.

A Multi-Million Dollar Campaign Sparks Controversy

No Labels has launched a formidable $70 million campaign to secure an independent ticket across all 50 states. Their efforts have gained significant traction in Arizona, Colorado, Oregon, and Alaska, but have also drawn criticism from Democrats and their allies.

The group has stated that it would suspend its campaign if polling indicates a substantial lead for Biden over Trump. Furthermore, if Trump is not chosen as the GOP nominee, No Labels has indicated that they would likely exit the race altogether. Ryan Clancy, No Labels’ chief strategist, has emphasized that many Republican voters who do not see Trump’s name on the ballot may choose not to vote, effectively closing off the potential path for an independent ticket.

Divisions and Warnings Within the Democratic Coalition

Despite No Labels’ assertions, Third Way, MoveOn, and other Democratic groups, along with anti-Trump allies, have strongly criticized the unity presidential ticket proposed by No Labels. They argue that such a ticket would only serve to bolster Trump and the GOP, jeopardizing Democrats’ chances of retaining the White House.

Third Way released research in early June, labeling a No Labels ticket as a “spoiler” that would undermine Democrats’ prospects of victory. They argue that historical evidence and data clearly indicate that no third-party candidate stands a realistic chance of winning the presidency.

Polls Indicate a Tighter Race with a Third-Party Candidate

Several polls have shown that the inclusion of a third-party candidate significantly narrows the margin between Biden and Trump compared to a two-person race. A recent poll conducted by Data for Progress revealed that a “moderate independent candidate” would give Trump a narrow victory.

Matt Bennett, executive vice president for public affairs at Third Way, expressed the unanimous concern within the Democratic coalition, stating, “We need to make clear to folks that what they are selling is an illusion, not a choice. Everyone agrees that if they go forward, this is going to hurt Joe Biden.”

Senator Joe Manchin’s Potential Role

No Labels has dismissed claims that their efforts would inadvertently aid a Republican victory. However, they have ruled out a campaign to promote a candidate like Senator Joe Manchin, a centrist Democrat and long-time supporter of the group, for a third-party presidential bid.

Senator Manchin himself has not yet announced whether he will run for reelection or aim for higher office. Nevertheless, he has emphasized the need for a bipartisan candidate to bridge the divide between the parties. His attendance at the July 27 meeting, if his schedule permits, could have significant implications for Democrats’ chances in 2025. If he were to run for the White House and lose, Democrats would not only forfeit the presidential race but also their slim Senate majority, which currently hangs by a single Democratic member.

The Washington Examiner has reached out to No Labels, Third Way, and MoveOn for comment.

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