Biden’s Home State Poses a Major Challenge – 2024 Won’t Be Easy
Biden’s Got a Big Problem in His Home State – 2024 Won’t Be as Simple as He Thinks
In winning the state of Pennsylvania in the 2020 election, President Joe Biden made much of his roots in the state where he was born.
But a new poll shows that all the hometown hoopla in the world might not be enough to sway voters in 2024.
According to an Emerson College poll, Trump is leading Biden by 9 percentage points, 45 percent to 36 percent.
Strong Support for Trump
Spencer Kimball, Executive Director of Emerson College Polling, said Trump drew strong support from voters with a high school education or less and voters under 30.
The Emerson poll of 430 Pennsylvania voters was conducted between Oct. 1 and Oct. 4. It has a credibility interval, a similar measure to a margin of error, of plus or minus 4.7 percentage points.
A new Quinnipiac poll showed that Trump has a narrow edge over Biden, 47 percent to 45 percent. Trump’s support level was unchanged from a June poll, but Biden dropped a percentage point.
Trump received a 40 percent favorability rating; Biden’s rating was 39 percent.
The poll of 1,725 Pennsylvania registered voters was conducted between Sept. 28 and Oct. 2. Its margin of error is plus or minus 2.4 percentage points.
High Stakes for Biden
“It looks better and better for Donald Trump here, but there’s a lot of game to be played between now and then,” said Jim Schultz, a former White House counsel in the Trump administration, according to CBS.
“I think the polls are showing people are not happy. Democrats, in fact, are not happy with the job that Joe Biden’s doing,” he said.
Schultz said the stakes are high for Biden.
“If they don’t win Pennsylvania, the Democrats don’t win,” he said.
A series of surveys from the Telegraph shows Trump leading in Georgia and Arizona, which he won in 2016 but not 2020, while also winning Florida and North Carolina.
The polls showed Trump leading Biden 44 percent to 39 percent in Arizona; 44 percent to 39 percent in Florida; 43 percent to 40 percent in Georgia and 43 percent to 38 percent in North Carolina.
The Telegraph polls showed Trump and Biden tied in Michigan at 41 percent and Biden ahead in Pennsylvania, 43 percent to 42 percent. The Telegraph did not release margins of error.
When the surveys added in independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Trump’s margin widened.
Not Good for Biden
Philip van Scheltinga, the Director of Research at Redfield & Wilton Strategies — which was hired for the surveys — said the results were not good for Biden.
“Democrats need to think hard about whether to stick with Biden as their candidate. Our polling shows that they cannot expect a rerun of 2020 to have the same result,” he said.
“If they run the same strategy as they did in 2020 – counting on voters’ distaste for Trump — they will lose,” he said.
The post Biden’s Got a Big Problem in His Home State – 2024 Won’t Be as Simple as He Thinks appeared first on The Western Journal.
What demographic groups seem to favor Trump over Biden in Pennsylvania according to the Emerson College poll?
Weight: 400″>In the ever-evolving world of politics, no victory is guaranteed. Even for someone like President Joe Biden, who hails from the state of Pennsylvania, 2024 might not be as simple as he thinks. Recent polls suggest that his home state might not be as supportive as it was in the 2020 election.
According to an Emerson College poll, former President Donald Trump is leading Biden by 9 percentage points in Pennsylvania. This lead is especially prominent among voters with a high school education or less and voters under 30, according to Spencer Kimball, Executive Director of Emerson College Polling.
Similarly, a Quinnipiac poll shows that Trump has a narrow edge over Biden, with Trump’s support remaining unchanged from a previous poll, while Biden dropped a percentage point.
Trump has a 40 percent favorability rating, slightly higher than Biden’s 39 percent. These polls reflect the sentiment of Pennsylvania registered voters and highlight the high stakes for Biden in the upcoming 2024 presidential election.
Although Trump is also leading in other battleground states such as Georgia, Arizona, Florida, and North Carolina, the results in Pennsylvania hold significant importance for Democrats. Jim Schultz, a former White House counsel in the Trump administration, believes that the outcome in Pennsylvania will determine the overall success of the Democratic party in 2024.
Philip van Scheltinga, the Director of Research at Redfield & Wilton Strategies, warns that Democrats should carefully consider whether Biden is the right candidate for the next election. He suggests that relying solely on voters’ distaste for Trump, as was the strategy in 2020, might not be enough for a successful outcome.
These polls serve as a reminder that politics can be unpredictable. Biden’s roots in Pennsylvania might have helped him secure the state in 2020, but it does not guarantee the same support in 2024. As the race for the presidency intensifies, Democrats will have to work harder to maintain their voter base and secure crucial states like Pennsylvania.
The path to victory is never easy
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