Washington Examiner

Biden pins hopes on Inflation Reduction Act to sway voters on economy.

Next week: ⁢Celebrating the Anniversary of the‍ Inflation Reduction Act

Get ready to mark the anniversary of a significant milestone in President Joe Biden’s administration. ⁢It’s been a year since the Inflation Reduction Act was passed by President Biden ‌and⁤ congressional Democrats,⁣ including the ​influential Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV).

While ‌inflation has cooled down, consumer⁢ prices​ remain stubbornly high. But that hasn’t dampened the enthusiasm of President‍ Biden​ and the ‌Democrats. They are actively promoting ⁤the measure, ⁢even ‍before⁣ the​ release of last month’s ⁣inflation numbers, as they gear up for next⁣ year’s general election.

The Impact of the Inflation Reduction Act

Despite a decrease in the annual inflation rate from​ 9.1% to 3% compared to last​ year, the ⁤Inflation Reduction ⁣Act‍ has ‌not been without its challenges. According⁤ to EJ Antoni, a⁣ federal budget ‍research fellow at the‍ Heritage Foundation, ⁢the act has ⁣actually increased prices and exacerbated⁤ disinflation, or slower​ inflation.

“So⁤ the idea that ⁢the ⁢Inflation​ Reduction Act has been a smashing‌ success‍ because it has consistently brought down inflation,‌ that‌ won’t‌ be the case ⁢on Thursday,” Antoni told⁤ the Washington Examiner. “The ​other thing is that inflation is still, ‍if​ you’re ⁣going​ by June’s number, inflation is still more than twice⁣ what it was when Biden took office.”

Antoni, an expert‌ in public finance economics, predicts that last month’s annual ‌inflation rate,⁢ to be reported by‍ the Labor Department on Thursday,‌ will likely be above 3%. He points out that inflation ‍has been ‌trending towards 3% rather than ​the promised 2%. In June, monthly inflation increased to 0.2% from 0.1% in May. Core inflation, which ‍excludes ‍food and‌ energy prices, rose ‌to 0.2%‌ and 4.8% in June, up from‍ 0.4% and 5.3% in May.

“There’s⁤ literally no indication ​that we’re going​ to be going ‍any‌ lower any time ⁤soon,” Antoni added. “I just ran the numbers again ‍this morning, and I cannot make it come out any ⁢way other than⁣ higher⁣ than last month.”

Antoni also highlights the impact of ‌energy ⁢prices on inflation. He points out that the deprioritization of domestic production ⁤has led to an increase in⁢ the average national cost‌ of​ gas, which now stands at $3.83 per gallon, up​ from $3.50 just⁢ a month ago,⁣ according to AAA.

The Republican National ⁢Committee has seized on the rising fuel costs, reminding President Biden of his previous desire to⁢ take credit when gas prices fell from their ‌peak ‍of $5 last June. RNC spokesman Jake Schneider doubts whether⁢ Biden will take responsibility ​for the⁤ current surge ‍in prices, stating, ‍”Since ⁤Biden took office, Americans have lost over⁢ $2,250 paying higher energy costs. ⁤Biden also drained the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve down to just 18 days⁢ of ‌supply — and refilling ‌it ⁤will⁣ take decades.”

The Economy and Biden’s Reelection Campaign

The state of the economy will play a⁣ crucial role ⁤in President Biden’s reelection campaign. He and the ⁣Democrats‍ have seen a decline in support among non-college-educated voters, including minority ‌non-college-educated voters, partly due to his climate agenda. However, this is a challenge that Biden and the Democrats have faced before. Exit polls from last year’s midterm⁢ cycle revealed that the economy was the top​ concern for voters, ⁢along with abortion access, before the party ⁢outperformed expectations.

According to RealClearPolitics, President Biden’s overall‍ approval-disapproval rating stands at 42%-55%, with his economic approval-disapproval at 38%-58%. However, his inflation approval-disapproval rating is even lower ‍at ‍33%-63%. These numbers were reflected ⁤in a recent Monmouth‌ University⁤ poll, which found that his ⁤inflation approval-disapproval ⁢rating was 34%-62%, and among⁤ independents, it was ‌26%-71%.

“To the extent Americans may feel more confident financially, they aren’t giving‌ Biden much credit for it,” said Patrick Murray, the director of⁣ the Monmouth University Polling Institute. “His economic policy performance numbers have barely ⁤budged since last​ year.”

To ‌highlight ⁣the Inflation ⁤Reduction ‌Act, ​President ​Biden‍ will be visiting⁢ the battleground state‍ of Arizona ⁤on‍ Tuesday, followed by a ‌trip to New Mexico ‌on Wednesday. The White House states ⁢that these visits ​will allow the president to emphasize his “historic investments in conservation⁢ and protecting ⁤our natural resources” and promote ⁢the act as “the largest investment in climate action in our nation’s history.” Future⁢ Forward, Biden’s preferred super PAC, is ‌also running new advertisements⁢ about the measure.

Manchin’s Potential Impact

Sen. Joe Manchin could complicate⁣ the anniversary of the Inflation Reduction Act. Speculation‍ is growing that he ⁢may consider ‍a⁢ third-party presidential campaign instead of seeking reelection, potentially going up against Gov. Jim‍ Justice ⁢(R-WV).

Manchin has expressed concerns about certain aspects of the Inflation⁣ Reduction Act, such as the⁢ expansion of electric vehicle tax credits‍ beyond commercial use, as well as President​ Biden’s broader domestic‍ energy positions.​ However,​ he did secure some concessions on permitting ⁤reform during last spring’s debt ceiling negotiations. In protest, Manchin ‌has also prevented the⁢ confirmation of ‍President Biden’s Environmental Protection‍ Agency nominees.

As the⁤ anniversary approaches, ‌all eyes will be on⁤ the ​impact​ of ‍the ⁣Inflation Reduction Act and its implications for President Biden’s​ reelection campaign.

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