{"id":963665,"date":"2021-11-03T17:29:33","date_gmt":"2021-11-03T21:29:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=963665"},"modified":"2021-11-03T17:29:36","modified_gmt":"2021-11-03T21:29:36","slug":"after-virginia-sweep-crystal-ball-increases-gop-chances-for-four-key-u-s-senate-races","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/after-virginia-sweep-crystal-ball-increases-gop-chances-for-four-key-u-s-senate-races\/","title":{"rendered":"After Virginia Sweep, Crystal Ball Increases GOP Chances For Four Key U.S. Senate Races"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">28<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fafter-virginia-sweep-crystal-ball-increases-gop-chances-for-four-key-u-s-senate-races%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=963665&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>Sabato\u2019s Crystal Ball has updated its predictions on four Senate elections slated for 2022 to more strongly favor Republicans.<\/p>\n<p>On Tuesday, Republicans in Virginia \u2014 which Biden won by ten points in 2020 \u2014 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailywire.com\/news\/republicans-primed-to-comfortably-take-back-congress-in-2022-after-democrats-election-disaster\">swept<\/a> statewide elections. Most notably, Glenn Youngkin comfortably defeated Democratic candidate and former Governor Terry McAuliffe, Winsome Sears clinched the lieutenant governor position over Hala Ayala, and Jason Miyares upset incumbent Mark Herring for attorney general.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/centerforpolitics.org\/crystalball\/articles\/republican-sweep-in-virginia-sets-off-alarm-bells-for-democrats\/\">Sabato\u2019s Crystal Ball<\/a> \u2014 a political newsletter published by the University of Virginia Center for Politics \u2014 called the results \u201chorrible\u201d for Democrats in a Wednesday newsletter.<\/p>\n<p>Needless to say, this is a horrible result for Democrats, and for the White House. Youngkin\u2019s 2-point victory (based on the results as of Wednesday morning) represented an 11-point shift in the GOP\u2019s favor from 4 years ago, when now-Gov. Ralph Northam (D) won by almost 9 points. Going back a bit further to 2013, McAuliffe won by 2.5 points that year \u2014 last night\u2019s result was a near-mirror image of that. Map 1 compares McAuliffe\u2019s showing 8 years ago to his result last night.<\/p>\n<p>Citing the Biden administration\u2019s various failures \u2014 such as gas prices, inflation, and supply chain problems \u2014 Sabato\u2019s Crystal Ball updated odds for four 2022 Senate elections. The races in Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada moved from \u201cLeans Democratic\u201d to \u201cToss-Up,\u201d while the race in Colorado moved from \u201cSafe Democratic\u201d to \u201cLikely Democratic.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Given the usual presidential party midterm drag, and the poor environment, our ratings are just too bullish on Democrats. So we are downgrading Sens. Mark Kelly (D-AZ), Raphael Warnock (D-GA), and Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV) from Leans Democratic to Toss-up. While we have not been particularly impressed with Republican candidate recruiting in these races \u2014 former NFL star and Trump favorite Herschel Walker seems like a particularly risky choice in Georgia, assuming he wins the nomination \u2014 these moves are almost entirely about the environment. Moreover, even if Republicans don\u2019t end up running strong candidates in these races, all 3 states are markedly less blue than Virginia.<\/p>\n<p>Sabato\u2019s Crystal Ball now places 49 Senate seats in the Republican column and 47 seats in the Democratic column \u2014 with four as toss-ups. \u201cThis reflects a close race for the Senate, but one that Republicans are better-positioned to win, particularly if the environment remains as poor for Democrats as it clearly is right now.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt must be said: If Biden\u2019s approval rating is in the<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sabato\u2019s Crystal Ball has updated its predictions on four Senate elections slated for 2022 to more strongly favor Republicans.On Tuesday, Republicans in Virginia \u2014 which Biden won by ten points in 2020 \u2014 swept statewide elections. Most notably, Glenn Youngkin comfortably defeated Democratic candidate and former Governor Terry McAuliffe, Winsome Sears clinched the lieutenant governor position over Hala Ayala, and Jason Miyares upset incumbent Mark Herring for attorney general.Sabato\u2019s Crystal Ball \u2014 a political newsletter published by the University of Virginia Center for Politics \u2014 called the results \u201chorrible\u201d for Democrats in a Wednesday newsletter.Needless to say, this is a horrible result for Democrats, and for the White House. Youngkin\u2019s 2-point victory (based on the results as of Wednesday morning) represented an 11-point shift in the GOP\u2019s favor from 4 years ago, when now-Gov. Ralph Northam (D) won by almost 9 points. Going back a bit further to 2013, McAuliffe won by 2.5 points that year \u2014 last night\u2019s result was a near-mirror image of that. Map 1 compares McAuliffe\u2019s showing 8 years ago to his result last night.Citing the Biden administration\u2019s various failures \u2014 such as gas prices, inflation, and supply chain problems \u2014 Sabato\u2019s Crystal Ball updated odds for four 2022 Senate elections. The races in Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada moved from \u201cLeans Democratic\u201d to \u201cToss-Up,\u201d while the race in Colorado moved from \u201cSafe Democratic\u201d to \u201cLikely Democratic.\u201dGiven the usual presidential party midterm drag, and the poor environment, our ratings are just too bullish on Democrats. So we are downgrading Sens. Mark Kelly (D-AZ), Raphael Warnock (D-GA), and Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV) from Leans Democratic to Toss-up. While we have not been particularly impressed with Republican candidate recruiting in these races \u2014 former NFL star and Trump favorite Herschel Walker seems like a particularly risky choice in Georgia, assuming he wins the nomination \u2014 these moves are almost entirely about the environment. Moreover, even if Republicans don\u2019t end up running strong candidates in these races, all 3 states are markedly less blue than Virginia.Sabato\u2019s Crystal Ball now places 49 Senate seats in the Republican column and 47 seats in the Democratic column \u2014 with four as toss-ups. \u201cThis reflects a close race for the Senate, but one that Republicans are better-positioned to win, particularly if the environment remains as poor for Democrats as it clearly is right now.\u201d\u201cIt must be said: If Biden\u2019s approval rating is in the low-to-mid 40s next year, as it is now, everything we know about political trends and history suggests that the Democrats\u2019 tiny majorities in the House and Senate are at major risk of becoming minorities,\u201d the analysis added.Indeed, a memo\u00a0that circulated among congressional Republicans after election night affirmed that candidates should emulate Youngkin\u2019s campaign in 2022. The document said that Republicans \u201ccan and must become the party of parents\u201d by emphasizing education, as well as disavowing public school shutdowns and vaccine mandates. Likewise, Republicans intend to \u201cback the blue\u201d and \u201cfocus on the failures of the Biden economy.\u201dThe Daily Wire is one of America\u2019s fastest-growing conservative media companies and counter-cultural outlets for news, opinion, and entertainment. Get inside access to The Daily Wire by becoming a member.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":99,"featured_media":2315279,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-963665","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/963665","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/99"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=963665"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/963665\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2315279"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=963665"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=963665"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=963665"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}