{"id":2679706,"date":"2026-10-09T10:20:01","date_gmt":"2026-10-09T14:20:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/cook-political-report-shifts-ratings-of-18-races-in-favor-of-democrats\/"},"modified":"2026-10-09T10:22:59","modified_gmt":"2026-10-09T14:22:59","slug":"cook-political-report-shifts-ratings-of-18-races-in-favor-of-democrats","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/cook-political-report-shifts-ratings-of-18-races-in-favor-of-democrats\/","title":{"rendered":"Cook Political Report shifts ratings of 18 races in favor of Democrats"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">24<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fcook-political-report-shifts-ratings-of-18-races-in-favor-of-democrats%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2679706&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>The Cook Political Report has recently updated its forecast for the upcoming midterm elections, shifting 18 races in favor of Democratic candidates just under a month before Election Day. The analysis suggests that Democrats are likely to secure a net gain of nine to 19 seats,potentially holding between 224 and 234 seats in the House by 2027.several races have moved from &#8220;Leans Republican&#8221; to toss-ups, including districts in Iowa, Michigan, North carolina, and Virginia, with incumbents such as Huizenga, Wittman, and Davis facing close competition. All these candidates are endorsed by Donald Trump.<\/p>\n<p>Additionally, five incumbent races have been shifted from &#8220;toss-up&#8221; to &#8220;Leans Democratic,&#8221; favoring certain Democratic candidates, notably Rep.Marie Gluesenkamp Perez. Conversely, this shift indicates a less favorable outlook for four Republican incumbents. Both parties are actively pouring money into key races, with Democratic candidates generally gaining an edge in the final weeks. The forecast also highlights challenges faced by Republican efforts to counteract the influence of campaigns tied to former President Trump. the political landscape appears to be moving toward a Democratic advantage ahead of the midterm elections.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<article class=\"fn-body\">\n<div class=\"wex-inarticle-ad wex-inarticle-ad-first wex-inarticle-ad-art-dsk-inart-1\">\n<div class=\"wex-ad-wrap wex-ad-art-dsk-inart-1\" style=\"min-height:90px\"><span class=\"wex-ad-label\" hidden>Advertisement<\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"div-gpt-ad-3182201-15\" data-wex-ad=\"art-dsk-inart-1\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Election forecaster Cook Political Report shifted 18 <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/midterm-elections\/\" data-type=\"post_tag\" data-id=\"308\">midterm election<\/a> races in favor of Democratic candidates on Friday, with just under one month until voters head to the polls on Election Day.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThe most likely outcome at this point is that Democrats flip a net of nine to 19 seats, resulting in Democrats holding 224 to 234 seats in 2027,\u201d Cook Political Report\u2019s Erin Covey wrote in her analysis.<\/p>\n<section class=\"explore-more-section\" id=\"wex-recommended-widget\">\n<style>.explore-more-section { background: var(--wex-bg); border-top: 1px solid #ffffff; border-bottom: 1px solid #ffffff; margin: 24px 0; margin-top: -20px; }<\/style>\n<style id=\"mos-debffc23-c808-4e57-a0ea-5cab909d23e8-style\">@scope (#mos-debffc23-c808-4e57-a0ea-5cab909d23e8) { .we-meter {   --we-red: #DB3745;   --we-charcoal: #323E48;   --we-blue: #15BEF0;   --we-slate: #85A0AB;   --we-gold: #ECC270;   --we-text: #323E48;   --we-border: #85A0AB;    max-width: 800px;   margin: 0 auto;   padding: 1.5rem;   border: 1px solid rgba(33, 39, 42, 0.4);   border-radius: 12px;   background: #fff;   color: var(--we-text);   font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif !important; }  .we-grid {   display: grid;   grid-template-columns: 1fr 200px;   gap: 1.5rem;   align-items: center; }  .we-title {   margin: 0 0 0.5rem;   font-family: Constantia, \"Lucida Bright\", \"DejaVu Serif\", Georgia, \"serif\" !important;   font-size: 1.75rem !important;   line-height: 1.1 !important;   letter-spacing: -0.02em !important; }  .we-title span {   display: block;   color: var(--we-red); }  .we-copy {   margin: 0;   font-size: 1rem !important;   line-height: 1.4 !important; }  .we-actions {   text-align: center; }  .we-cta {   display: flex;   align-items: center;   justify-content: center;   gap: 8px;   width: 100%;   padding: 12px 16px;   border-radius: 8px;   background: var(--we-red);   color: #fff !important;   text-decoration: none;   font-size: 0.9rem !important;   font-weight: 700 !important; }  .we-arrow {   font-size: 1.2em !important; }  .we-member {   margin: 12px 0 0;   font-size: 0.85rem !important;   line-height: 1.4 !important; }  .we-member a {   color: var(--we-red);   text-decoration: none; }  @media (max-width: 600px) {   .we-grid {     grid-template-columns: 1fr;     gap: 1rem;   }   .we-meter {     padding: 1.25rem;   }   .we-cta {     padding: 14px;   } } }<\/style>\n<p><script>if (typeof CSSScopeRule == 'undefined') { const style = document.getElementById('mos-debffc23-c808-4e57-a0ea-5cab909d23e8-style'); if (style) { style.textContent = style.textContent.replace(\/^@scope (#mos-debffc23-c808-4e57-a0ea-5cab909d23e8) { \/, '').replace(\/}$\/, '');}}<\/script><\/p>\n<div id=\"mos-debffc23-c808-4e57-a0ea-5cab909d23e8\" style=\"display: contents;\">\n<section class=\"we-meter\" aria-label=\"Washington Examiner subscription meter\">\n<div class=\"we-grid\">\n<div>\n<h2 class=\"we-title\">Stay informed.<span>Stay ahead.<\/span><\/h2>\n<p class=\"we-copy\">                  Join Washington Examiner for unlimited access to the news, analysis, and commentary that matter most.       <\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div class=\"we-actions\">       <a class=\"we-cta\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/subscribe\/digital\/\">         <span>See Options<\/span>         <span class=\"we-arrow\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\u203a<\/span>       <\/a>       <\/p>\n<p class=\"we-member\">Already a member? 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<a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/print-subscription-check\">Click here to login\/register your account<\/a> <\/div>\n<div class=\"we-digital-subscriber\">      Digital subscriber? <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/sign-in\/\">Click here to login\/register your account.<\/a> <\/div>\n<section class=\"we-inline-barrier\" aria-label=\"Washington Examiner subscription offer\">\n<div class=\"we-inner\">\n<h2 class=\"we-title\">Trusted reporting.<span>Unlimited access.<\/span><\/h2>\n<p class=\"we-deck\">              Subscribe for full access to Washington Examiner coverage, expert political analysis,       and subscriber-only journalism.     <\/p>\n<p>     <a class=\"we-cta\" href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/subscribe\/digital\">       <span>Get Unlimited Access<\/span>       <span class=\"we-arrow\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\u203a<\/span>     <\/a>     <\/p>\n<p class=\"we-member\">Already a member? <a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/sign-in\">Log in<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"we-cancel\">Cancel anytime.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/section><\/div>\n<p><script> (window._matherq = window._matherq || []).push([   'paywallEvent',   {     type: 'paywall',     category: 'block',     action: 'stop',     wall_type: 'paywall'   } ]); <\/script>     <\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The forecast shifted four prior \u201cLeans Republican\u201d into toss-ups. These shifts to toss-ups occurred in <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/iowa\/\" data-type=\"post_tag\" data-id=\"468\">Iowa\u2019s<\/a> open 2nd Congressional District; <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/michigan\/\" data-type=\"post_tag\" data-id=\"655\">Michigan\u2019s<\/a> 4th Congressional District, held by Rep. Bill Huizenga (R-MI); <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/north-carolina\/\" data-type=\"post_tag\" data-id=\"552\">North Carolina\u2019s<\/a> 1st Congressional District, held by Rep. Don Davis (D-NC); and Virginia\u2019s 1st Congressional District, held by Rep. Rob Wittman (R-VA).<\/p>\n<div class=\"wex-inarticle-ad wex-inarticle-ad-art-dsk-inart-2\">\n<div class=\"wex-ad-wrap wex-ad-art-dsk-inart-2\" style=\"min-height:90px\"><span class=\"wex-ad-label\" hidden>Advertisement<\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"div-gpt-ad-3182201-16\" data-wex-ad=\"art-dsk-inart-2\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"article-paywall\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In Iowa\u2019s second district, Democratic state Rep. Lindsay James is taking on Republican former state Rep. Joe Mitchell to see who will replace Rep. <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/ashley-hinson\/\" data-type=\"post_tag\" data-id=\"17670\">Ashley Hinson<\/a> (R-IA), who is leaving the U.S. House and running for Senate. Huizenga is facing a challenger from Democratic former Michigan State Rep. Sean McCann, and <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/interactive\/polls\/michigan-us-house-4-polls-2026.html\">polling<\/a> has been tight throughout the race from pollsters of both parties.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In Virginia, Wittman is facing off against Democratic candidate Shannon Taylor, the Henrico County commonwealth\u2019s attorney, who has seen a large influx of establishment money and campaigning supporting her race.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In North Carolina\u2019s first district, Republican candidate Laurie Buckhout was expected to have the wind at her sails after the state redistricted its map to make Davis\u2019s seat more GOP-friendly. But Covey wrote that the \u201cwide gap in enthusiasm between Democratic and Republican voters in this working-class district\u201d could boost Davis back into the lower chamber in 2027.<\/p>\n<div class=\"wex-inarticle-ad wex-inarticle-ad-art-dsk-inart-3\">\n<div class=\"wex-ad-wrap wex-ad-art-dsk-inart-3\" style=\"min-height:90px\"><span class=\"wex-ad-label\" hidden>Advertisement<\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"div-gpt-ad-3182201-17\" data-wex-ad=\"art-dsk-inart-3\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Mitchell, Huizenga, Wittman, and Buckhout are all endorsed by President <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/donald-trump\/\" data-type=\"post_tag\" data-id=\"4\">Donald Trump<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The election forecaster also shifted five incumbent races from \u201ctoss up\u201d to \u201cLeans Democratic,\u201d marking a boon for incumbent blue dog Democratic Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D-WA) against her Republican challenger, Washington State Sen. John Braun. However, the shift marks a negative forecast for the four Republican incumbents affected by the \u201cLeans Democratic\u201d shifts in their races: Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R-IA), Rep. Zach Nunn (R-IA), Rep. Ryan Mackenzie (R-PA), and Rep. Scott Perry (R-PA).<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/house\/4756081\/here-are-the-seats-both-parties-are-pulling-money-from-ahead-of-november\/\">HERE ARE THE SEATS BOTH PARTIES ARE PULLING MONEY FROM AHEAD OF NOVEMBER<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<div class=\"wex-inarticle-ad wex-inarticle-ad-art-dsk-inart-4\">\n<div class=\"wex-ad-wrap wex-ad-art-dsk-inart-4\" style=\"min-height:90px\"><span class=\"wex-ad-label\" hidden>Advertisement<\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"div-gpt-ad-3182201-25\" data-wex-ad=\"art-dsk-inart-4\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The two bipartisan co-chairmen of the House Problem Solvers Caucus, Reps. Brian Fitzpatrick (R-PA) and Tom Suozzi (D-NY) also had their races shifted in favor of the Democratic Party. The shift is a positive for Suozzi, who is attempting to ward off his Trump-endorsed Republican challenger, former New York State Rep. Mike LiPetri, for the second time \u2014 but a negative for Fitzpatrick, who is facing an influx of Democratic Party money boosting his challenger, Democratic Bucks County Commissioner Bob Harvie.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cIn the final weeks of the election, Republicans have hoped that a massive ad campaign effort could dent Democratic candidates\u2019 images and shore up Republicans struggling to free themselves of the anchor of President Donald Trump. With less than four weeks to go, that heavy spending has yet to move the needle,\u201d Covey wrote in her <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cookpolitical.com\/analysis\/house\/house-overview\/eighteen-more-house-race-ratings-move-democrats-favor\">analysis<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"wex-inarticle-ad wex-inarticle-ad-art-dsk-inart-5\">\n<div class=\"wex-ad-wrap wex-ad-art-dsk-inart-5\" style=\"min-height:90px\"><span class=\"wex-ad-label\" hidden>Advertisement<\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"div-gpt-ad-3182201-26\" data-wex-ad=\"art-dsk-inart-5\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Cook Political Report shifts 18 races toward Democrats, predicts Dems gain 9-19 seats<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3976,"featured_media":2679707,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/us-capitol-building.jpg?w=696","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[33651],"tags":[34439,32371,41269,5894,4351],"class_list":["post-2679706","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-western-journal","tag-cook-political-report","tag-election-analysis","tag-political-ratings","tag-politics","tag-voting"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/us-capitol-building.jpg?w=696","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2679706","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3976"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2679706"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2679706\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2679709,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2679706\/revisions\/2679709"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2679707"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2679706"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2679706"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2679706"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}