{"id":2669386,"date":"2026-09-24T18:32:01","date_gmt":"2026-09-24T22:32:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/poll-finds-talarico-leads-paxton-outside-margin-of-error-with-gen-z-support\/"},"modified":"2026-09-24T18:33:51","modified_gmt":"2026-09-24T22:33:51","slug":"poll-finds-talarico-leads-paxton-outside-margin-of-error-with-gen-z-support","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/poll-finds-talarico-leads-paxton-outside-margin-of-error-with-gen-z-support\/","title":{"rendered":"Poll Finds Talarico Leads Paxton Outside Margin of Error with Gen Z Support"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">26<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fpoll-finds-talarico-leads-paxton-outside-margin-of-error-with-gen-z-support%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2669386&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>The article discusses recent polling results indicating Democratic Senate candidate James Talarico leading Republican incumbent Ken Paxton in Texas. A poll by Marist shows Talarico ahead by 6 points, with particularly strong support among young voters. Though, the piece questions the reliability of polling data, citing past inaccuracies in predicting election outcomes such as Trump\u2019s 2016 victory, the 2018 midterms, and the 2024 presidential race. the author argues that media and pollster biases aim to influence voter turnout and perceptions, often favoring Democrats and dismissing potential Republican wins.Talarico is portrayed as a flawed candidate, opposing customary texan values, and is alleged to have made controversial statements and associations. The piece also highlights that polls may be manipulated or overly optimistic for Democrats, warning readers to be skeptical of current forecasts and emphasizing the importance of the electorate&#8217;s final decision.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><br \/>\n<!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC \"-\/\/W3C\/\/DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional\/\/EN\" \"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/TR\/REC-html40\/loose.dtd\"><br \/>\n<?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><html><body><\/p>\n<section> \t\t\t\t<script>console.log(\"ad slot (AC1)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC1)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC2)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC3)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC4)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (REP_0)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (REP_1)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (REP_2)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (REP_3)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (REP_4)\")<\/script><\/p>\n<p>Democratic Senate candidate James Talarico of Texas has reportedly pulled ahead by a large margin in his race against Republican state Attorney General Ken Paxton, according to a poll released Wednesday.<\/p>\n<p>Is anyone else getting deja vu? Dating back to at least 2016, the polling industry \u2014 and mainstream media outlets \u2014 have constantly pushed surveys that benefit Democrats and discourage GOP turnout.<\/p>\n<p>We need look no further than Beto O\u2019Rourke, the liberal savior who was finally going to turn Texas purple. How did that work out?<\/p>\n<p>Though he came within 3 percentage points of defeating GOP Sen. Ted Cruz in 2018, he failed miserably in his attempt to take out Republican Gov. Greg Abbott four years later, <a href=\"https:\/\/ballotpedia.org\/Beto_O%27Rourke\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">losing by 11 points<\/a>. Flash in the pan.<\/p>\n<p>This latest Marist <a href=\"https:\/\/maristpoll.marist.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Marist-Poll_TX-NOS-and-Tables_202609221131.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">poll<\/a>, which shows Talarico ahead by 6 points, was conducted from Sept. 17-20, surveyed 1,139 registered voters, and had a margin of error 4.4.<\/p>\n<p>Texas does not <a href=\"https:\/\/factually.co\/fact-checks\/politics\/percentage-voters-by-party-texas-605ce9\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">register voters by party<\/a>, so the poll relied on how respondents identified themselves. The respondent pool was 33 percent Democratic-identifying, 39 percent Republican-identifying, and 25 percent identifying as independent.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">TEXAS POLL \u2013 Senate<\/p>\n<p>\ud83d\udfe6 James Talarico: 50%<br \/> \ud83d\udfe5 Ken Paxton: 44%<br \/> \ud83d\udfe8 Other: 2%<\/p>\n<p>NPR\/Marist (A) | 9\/17-20 | RV<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/fiKDQoXYGH\">https:\/\/t.co\/fiKDQoXYGH<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/wjBvPS4pPU\">pic.twitter.com\/wjBvPS4pPU<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/IAPolls2022\/status\/2102567871423586428?\">September 23, 2026<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>It also showed Talarico with a strong edge among Gen Z voters \u2014 74 percent of voters 29 years old or younger favored the Democrat. But is that enough to swing the vote?<\/p>\n<p>The GOP might have issues with the Iran war, inflation, party infighting, and lack of legislative action, but is that really enough for a massive blue wave? Or is this just another mirage created by liberal operatives and pundits to cast a cloud of despair over conservatives?<\/p>\n<p>Going off past polling and media commentary, this seems to be yet another attempt to boost a deeply flawed and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/exclusive-texas-lawmaker-says-talarico-liberal-state-history-amid-speculation-fabricated-intern-story-relies-dishonesty\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">radical candidate<\/a>, who\u2019s posing as a moderate in hopes of hiding his far-left agenda.<\/p>\n<p>Let\u2019s go back to 2016 when the polling industry told all of America that President Donald Trump had almost no chance to beat Hillary Clinton.<\/p>\n<p>Pollsters made it seem like she was running unopposed and that Trump was wasting his breath. They even had the hubris to predict that he would wipe out the GOP congressional majorities when he lost.<\/p>\n<p>That was a complete misfire and destroyed the industry\u2019s few remaining shreds of credibility. It also exposed their deep liberal bias as fanatical and unwavering.<\/p>\n<p>In 2018, talk of a blue wave dominated the news cycle and polls showed that Republicans were going to lose both Houses of Congress, along with a number of key governor\u2019s races. Wrong again.<\/p>\n<p>Despite losing the House by a somewhat narrow margin, the GOP added two Senate seats and held its ground in several high-profile swing states throughout the country.<\/p>\n<p>In 2020, Politico <a href=\"https:\/\/www.politico.com\/news\/2021\/07\/18\/pollsters-2020-polls-all-wrong-500050\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">published<\/a> a piece during the aftermath of the election titled: \u201cPollsters: \u2018Impossible\u2019 to say why 2020 polls were wrong,\u201d citing how much closer the final tally was compared to previous predictions.<\/p>\n<p>By 2022, Newsweek <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsweek.com\/midterms-2026-blue-wave-2022-red-maps-redistricting-11992762\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">noted<\/a> that pollsters had predicted a massive red wave due to former President Joe Biden\u2019s unpopular policies. The result? A slim majority in the House for Republicans and razor-thin Senate majority for Democrats.<\/p>\n<p>In 2024, pollsters and commentators admitted it was going to be a close election, but very few predicted that Trump would sweep all seven swing state and win the popular vote.<\/p>\n<p>In fact, an <a href=\"https:\/\/centerforpolitics.org\/crystalball\/the-2024-iowa-poll-for-president-a-cautionary-tale\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">infamous poll<\/a> from Ann Seltzer and The Des Moines Register had Harris leading in the crucial state of Iowa by 3 percent. Trump <a href=\"https:\/\/ballotpedia.org\/Presidential_election_in_Iowa,_2024\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">won<\/a> the state by over 13 points. Enough said.<\/p>\n<p>This brings us to the upcoming midterm elections. Given this abysmal track record, why should we believe anything the polling industry says? Why should the public expect accuracy from a cabal of liberals who have disdain for conservative policies?<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s true that Democrats have a good chance of making gains, or retaining seats, in states like North Carolina, Georgia, and Maine, despite Trump winning two of those states in 2024.<\/p>\n<p>Yet we\u2019re supposed to believe that Republicans should be sweating in places like Ohio, Alaska, and Texas?<\/p>\n<p>Talarico is a fraud. A majority of Texas voters support things like Second Amendment, tax cuts, immigration, barbecue, and Christianity. They also withdraw in disgust at the thought of children being dressed up as drag queens or the idea that \u201cGod is nonbinary.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Yet Talarico has been caught <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/bombshell-clip-james-talarico-saying-hates-christianity-rocks-texas-senate-race\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">slamming Christianity<\/a> and has a pastor who denies the resurrection of Christ. He\u2019s made insane <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/false-moderates-part-two-james-talarico-tried-fooling-texas-voters-blowing-face\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">proclamations<\/a> that there are \u201csix genders,\u201d has claimed Jesus Christ was a radical feminist, said the southern border should be treated like a \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/texas-deserves-better-5-jaw-droppingly-weird-statements-democrat-james-talarico\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">front porch<\/a>\u201d and named his <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/video-emerges-james-talaricos-favorite-drag-queen-teaching-children-dance-cross-dress\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">favorite drag queen<\/a> without hesitation.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">MAN: \u201cWho\u2019s your favorite drag queen in Texas?\u201d<\/p>\n<p>TALARICO: \u201cOh, my gosh. Probably Alyssa Edwards.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Texas Democratic Senate candidate James Talarico doesn\u2019t hesitate when asked to name his favorite drag queen in Texas.<\/p>\n<p>Talarico immediately names Alyssa Edwards, a performer who\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/towK8FHfjP\">pic.twitter.com\/towK8FHfjP<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Fox News (@FoxNews) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/FoxNews\/status\/2100009331236458843?\">September 15, 2026<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Lest we forget the infamous photo op of him eating barbecue, in an effort to appear more likeable and down-to-earth. Even Talarico had to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/talarico-tries-pivot-away-leftism-gaining-party-nomination-statements-certainly-regret\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">admit<\/a> he\u2019s been downright cringey and \u201cmissed the mark.\u201d Missed the mark? He\u2019s not even on the same page of the same book as the average Texan.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">November, here we come. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/ux1w1WzGNO\">pic.twitter.com\/ux1w1WzGNO<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Democrats (@TheDemocrats) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/TheDemocrats\/status\/2059661179790696699?\">May 27, 2026<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Does this sound like a man who will accurately represent the Lone Star State? No. He sounds more like a California liberal, and we\u2019re supposed to believe he\u2019s leading Paxton by 6 points? Give me a break.<\/p>\n<p>But he does have powerful allies in the establishment media, the polling business, and the political PAC scene. They want him to win and will do whatever is necessary to make that happen. They\u2019ll warp the narrative, contort numbers, carry his water, mold headlines and try to depress turnout to make his win all but certain.<\/p>\n<p>If he loses, they\u2019ll do what they did when Trump won: Act completely surprised, blame the data, and claim they underestimated rural turnout.<\/p>\n<p>Then they rinse and repeat, preparing to do it all over again in two years.<\/p>\n<p>And it\u2019s not just Texas. The polling and media industries have also targeted races like Ohio\u2019s gubernatorial and Senate <a href=\"https:\/\/thehill.com\/homenews\/campaign\/6099939-ohio-polls-democrats-lead\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">contests.<\/a> This is the home state of America\u2019s sitting vice president and hasn\u2019t voted Democrat for president since Barack Obama won the state in 2012.<\/p>\n<p>It also delivered a <a href=\"https:\/\/ballotpedia.org\/United_States_Senate_election_in_Ohio,_2024\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">decisive victory<\/a> for GOP Sen. Bernie Moreno just two years ago, opting to kick former Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown out of office.<\/p>\n<p>By the way, Brown is running again this cycle and the race is being <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsweek.com\/jon-husted-in-dead-heat-against-sherrod-brown-as-he-breaks-with-trump-12485030\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">dubbed<\/a> a dead heat.<\/p>\n<p>This polling panic has already led National Republican Senatorial Committee Chair Tim Scott to all but <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/PollTracker2024\/status\/2102879843587183039\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">abandon<\/a> Georgia and North Carolina\u2019s Senate races, directing funding and attention to states where Trump won last cycle.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s still anybody\u2019s game as we have several weeks until Election Day, but don\u2019t be fooled. This recent media polling blitz is coordinated, calculated, and controlled.<\/p>\n<p>Whether or not the data will match the end results is still up in the air. But the real power still lies with the American electorate, who will ultimately have the final say, biased polling be damned.<\/p>\n<div style=\"background-color: #f7f7f7; color: #171717; display: flex;font-size: 16px;font-weight: 600;line-height: 1.5;margin: 24px 0;padding: 18px 20px 18px 30px;text-align: left;\">\n<div style=\"align-self: stretch;border-left: 3px solid #171717;flex-shrink: 0;padding-left: 20px;\"><\/div>\n<p><a style=\"text-decoration: none;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/preferences\/source?q=https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/\">Choose The Western Journal as your preferred source on Google and never miss reporting that defends truth, protects freedom, and advances Western civilization<\/a><\/div>\n<p style=\"border: 1px solid #f5f5f5; padding: 16px;\">Advertise with The Western Journal and reach millions of highly engaged readers, while supporting our work. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/advertise-us\/?wj_source=article\">Advertise Today<\/a>.<\/p>\n<div style=\"position: relative;\">\n<div class=\"ff-fancy-header-container\"> \t\t\t \t<\/div>\n<div class=\"entry-submit-correction inner-content\">\n<div class=\"correction-form\">\n<form style=\"display: none;\">\n<div class=\"sc-name-field\"> \t\t\t\t\t\t<label>* Name<\/label> \t\t\t\t\t\t<br \/> \t\t\t\t\t\t<input type=\"text\" name=\"name\" required> \t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n<div class=\"sc--field\"> \t\t\t\t\t\t<label>* <\/label> \t\t\t\t\t\t<br \/> \t\t\t\t\t\t<input type=\"text\" name=\"\" required> \t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n<p> \t\t\t\t\t<label>* Message<\/label> \t\t\t\t\t<br \/> \t\t\t\t\t<textarea name=\"message\" required><\/textarea> \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<div class=\"required-message\" style=\"display: none; padding-bottom: 15px;\">* All fields are required.<\/div>\n<p> \t\t\t\t\t<input type=\"submit\" value=\"Submit\" onclick=\"event.preventDefault(); firefly_sc();\"> \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<div class=\"firefly-sc-confirm\" style=\"display: none;\">Success!<\/div>\n<\/p><\/form>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p> \t\t<script> \t\t\tfunction firefly_sc() { \t\t\t\tif( typeof window.captchaPublicKey == typeof undefined ){ \t\t\t\t\tconsole.error('window.captchaPublicKey is not defined'); \t\t\t\t} \t\t\t\tgrecaptcha.execute( window.captchaPublicKey, { action: 'submit_correction' } ).then( function( token ) { \t\t\t\t\tvar opts = { \t\t\t\t\t\taction:    'firefly_sc_submit', \t\t\t\t\t\tname:      document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"name\"]' ).value, \t\t\t\t\t\t:     document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"\"]' ).value, \t\t\t\t\t\tmessage:   document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"message\"]' ).value, \t\t\t\t\t\tpost_id:   firefly_post_id, \t\t\t\t\t\tcap_token: token \t\t\t\t\t}  \t\t\t\t\tvar inputs = [ 'name', '', 'message' ];  \t\t\t\t\tfor( var i = 0; i < inputs.length; i++ ) if( ! 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