{"id":2622461,"date":"2026-07-01T20:32:43","date_gmt":"2026-07-02T00:32:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/cnns-harry-enten-dumps-cold-water-on-dems-senate-hopes-they-have-a-math-problem\/"},"modified":"2026-07-01T20:34:45","modified_gmt":"2026-07-02T00:34:45","slug":"cnns-harry-enten-dumps-cold-water-on-dems-senate-hopes-they-have-a-math-problem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/cnns-harry-enten-dumps-cold-water-on-dems-senate-hopes-they-have-a-math-problem\/","title":{"rendered":"CNN&#8217;s Harry Enten Dumps Cold Water on Dems&#8217; Senate Hopes: They Have a &#8216;Math Problem&#8217;"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"float:left\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">30<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fcnns-harry-enten-dumps-cold-water-on-dems-senate-hopes-they-have-a-math-problem%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2622461&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/this-is-what-happened-the-last-time-israel-invaded-lebanon-washington-examiner\/\" title=\"This is what happened the last time Israel invaded Lebanon ... Washington Examiner\">provided content discusses<\/a> the challenges faced by Democrats in regaining control of the U.S. Senate in the 2026 midterm elections. CNN&#8217;s Harry Enten emphasizes that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/republicans-vowed-to-elect-more-women-they-did-just-that\/\" title=\"... Vowed To Elect More Women...They Did Just That\">recent polling<\/a> indicates a notable &#8220;math problem&#8221; for Democrats. While they hold some leads in certain states such as North Carolina, many key races in others-like Texas, Iowa, Alaska, and Ohio-are either tied or favor Republicans. Enten points out that the overall fundamentals, including polling averages and voter sentiment (notably a majority feeling the Democratic Party is too far left), are against democrats at this time. Prediction markets have also shifted in favor of Republicans since May.Even though Democrats still have a chance, the statistical outlook is unfavorable, with a clear indication that the electoral landscape currently favors Republicans more.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><br \/>\n<!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC \"-\/\/W3C\/\/DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional\/\/EN\" \"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/TR\/REC-html40\/loose.dtd\"><br \/>\n<?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><html><body><\/p>\n<section> \t\t\t\t<script>console.log(\"ad slot (AC1)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC1)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC2)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC3)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC4)\")<\/script><\/p>\n<p>Democrats who dream of a blue wave in the 2026 midterms might want to temper their expectations.<\/p>\n<p>So said CNN data guru Harry Enten.<\/p>\n<p>On Wednesday morning, Enten joined anchor John Berman to discuss the impact of recent polling on Democrats\u2019 hopes of winning back the Senate, which, according to Enten, presents Democrats with a <a href=\"https:\/\/amzn.to\/3YuVZYV\" >significant \u201cmath problem<\/a>.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cRight now,\u201d Enten said in a clip posted to the social media platform X, \u201cthe math, simply put, isn\u2019t there for them.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s a math problem,\u201d the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/cnns-harry-enten-says-democrats-will-tough-time-taking-back-white-house\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">excitable data guru<\/a> reemphasized moments later. \u201cIt is a math problem.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Enten then proceeded to analyze recent New York Times\/Siena polling results in five different states.<\/p>\n<p>While Democrats held a seven-point lead in North Carolina, the race in Texas between Republican state Attorney General <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/republican-senatorial-committee-quietly-tries-cover-past-attacks-ken-paxton\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Ken Paxton<\/a> and Democratic state Rep. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/talarico-judaism-christianity-islam-different-seasons-show-christianity-violent\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">James Talarico<\/a> shows a tie.<\/p>\n<p>Elsewhere, Republicans led by two points in Iowa and Alaska, and by three points in Ohio.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cSo that gets you one seat,\u201d Enten said in his usual emphatic way. \u201cBut of course you need four seats. And on this board: red, red, red \u2014 close races and a tie. You\u2019re at one. You\u2019re not yet to four.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Then, the data guru analyzed the Senate race in Maine.<\/p>\n<p>While the New York Times\/Siena poll showed controversial Democrat <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/wont-stop-graham-platner-made-fun-girl-15-failing-kill-horrific-suicide-attempt\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Graham Platner<\/a> with a two-point lead over incumbent Republican Sen. Susan Collins, a recent Fox News poll gave Collins a three-point lead.<\/p>\n<p>Again, Enten said, Democrats cannot count on picking up a seat even in that relative Democrat stronghold.<\/p>\n<p>The issue for Democrats, he noted, lies in generic polling data.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cProblem is the fundamentals\u2026 Median of key 6 states: GOP with +6 on generic ballot. 53% say Dem party too far left,\u201d he wrote in an accompanying post on X, which effectively summarized his on-air analysis.<\/p>\n<p>Finally, Enten said, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/stephen-moore-america-needs-political-prediction-markets\/\" title=\"Stephen Moore: America Needs Political Prediction Markets\">prediction markets<\/a> have shifted eight points in Republicans\u2019 favor since May 1.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cLook, Democrats have a shot here,\u201d the data guru concluded. \u201cThere are seats on the table, but the fundamentals are against them. And right now there\u2019s only one of the seats where they need to be. The mathematical problem is there for Democrats at this point. They, simply put, have a statistical math problem.\u201d<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">Right now, Dems have a math problem in taking back the Senate.<\/p>\n<p>They need a net pickup of 4 seats &#038; lead in 1 GOP held seat (NC). Rest are ties or GOP ahead.<\/p>\n<p>Problem is the fundamentals\u2026. Median of key 6 states: GOP with +6 on generic ballot. 53% say Dem party too far left. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/FUdQRfXIAB\">pic.twitter.com\/FUdQRfXIAB<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/ForecasterEnten\/status\/2072334897700635108?\">July 1, 2026<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>According to the latest <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/latest-polls\/senate\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">RealClearPolling<\/a> aggregate of polls, those Senate races do look close.<\/p>\n<p>Moreover, as reflected in the prediction market <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/republicans-hold-historic-advantage-democrats-midterms-approach-says-cnn-data-guru\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Enten<\/a> cited, momentum in those races appears to have shifted Republican of late.<\/p>\n<div style=\"background-color: #f7f7f7; color: #171717; display: flex;font-size: 16px;font-weight: 600;line-height: 1.5;margin: 24px 0;padding: 18px 20px 18px 30px;text-align: left;\">\n<div style=\"align-self: stretch;border-left: 3px solid #171717;flex-shrink: 0;padding-left: 20px;\"><\/div>\n<p><a style=\"text-decoration: none;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/preferences\/source?q=https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/\">Choose The Western Journal as your preferred source on Google and never miss reporting that defends truth, protects freedom, and advances Western civilization<\/a><\/div>\n<p style=\"border: 1px solid #f5f5f5; padding: 16px;\">Advertise with The Western Journal and reach millions of highly engaged readers, while supporting our work. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/advertise-us\/?wj_source=article\">Advertise Today<\/a>.<\/p>\n<div style=\"position: relative;\">\n<div class=\"ff-fancy-header-container\"> \t\t\t \t<\/div>\n<div class=\"entry-submit-correction inner-content\">\n<div class=\"correction-form\">\n<form style=\"display: none;\">\n<div class=\"sc-name-field\"> \t\t\t\t\t\t<label>* Name<\/label> \t\t\t\t\t\t<br \/> \t\t\t\t\t\t<input type=\"text\" name=\"name\" required> \t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n<div class=\"sc--field\"> \t\t\t\t\t\t<label>* <\/label> \t\t\t\t\t\t<br \/> \t\t\t\t\t\t<input type=\"text\" name=\"\" required> \t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n<p> \t\t\t\t\t<label>* Message<\/label> \t\t\t\t\t<br \/> \t\t\t\t\t<textarea name=\"message\" required><\/textarea> \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<div class=\"required-message\" style=\"display: none; padding-bottom: 15px;\">* All fields are required.<\/div>\n<p> \t\t\t\t\t<input type=\"submit\" value=\"Submit\" onclick=\"event.preventDefault(); firefly_sc();\"> \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<div class=\"firefly-sc-confirm\" style=\"display: none;\">Success!<\/div>\n<\/p><\/form>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p> \t\t<script> \t\t\tfunction firefly_sc() { \t\t\t\tif( typeof window.captchaPublicKey == typeof undefined ){ \t\t\t\t\tconsole.error('window.captchaPublicKey is not defined'); \t\t\t\t} \t\t\t\tgrecaptcha.execute( window.captchaPublicKey, { action: 'submit_correction' } ).then( function( token ) { \t\t\t\t\tvar opts = { \t\t\t\t\t\taction:    'firefly_sc_submit', \t\t\t\t\t\tname:      document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"name\"]' ).value, \t\t\t\t\t\t:     document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"\"]' ).value, \t\t\t\t\t\tmessage:   document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"message\"]' ).value, \t\t\t\t\t\tpost_id:   firefly_post_id, \t\t\t\t\t\tcap_token: token \t\t\t\t\t}  \t\t\t\t\tvar inputs = [ 'name', '', 'message' ];  \t\t\t\t\tfor( var i = 0; i < inputs.length; i++ ) if( ! 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