{"id":2617833,"date":"2026-06-23T13:44:15","date_gmt":"2026-06-23T17:44:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/polymarket-puts-trump-impeachment-odds-at-69\/"},"modified":"2026-06-23T13:46:47","modified_gmt":"2026-06-23T17:46:47","slug":"polymarket-puts-trump-impeachment-odds-at-69","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/polymarket-puts-trump-impeachment-odds-at-69\/","title":{"rendered":"Polymarket puts Trump impeachment odds at 69%"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"float:left\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">14<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fpolymarket-puts-trump-impeachment-odds-at-69%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2617833&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>President Donald Trump is highly likely to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/this-week-in-campus-insanity-vol-33\/\" title=\"This Week in Campus Insanity Vol. 33\">face impeachment<\/a> by the House before leaving office, with traders on Polymarket estimating a 69% chance of this happening. While leading Democrats have <a href=\"https:\/\/amzn.to\/3YuVZYV\" >avoided impeachment rhetoric<\/a> for now, their stance could <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/indicted-sen-bob-menendez-lashes-out-after-drawing-high-profile-political-challenger\/\" title=\"Indicted Sen. Bob Menendez lashes out after drawing high-profile political challenger\">shift depending<\/a> on election results. Polymarket, a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/presidential-polls-wrong-polymarket-reveals-a-massive-favorite\/\" title=\"Are Presidential Polls Inaccurate? ... Unveils Strong Favorite\">prediction platform<\/a>, reflects the opinions of participants risking cryptocurrency, and it&#8217;s odds fluctuate with new information-Trump\u2019s impeachment probability was 45% earlier in March and is around 6% for 2026. A majority in the House is required for impeachment articles, but Democrats currently lack enough votes.Efforts like Rep. Shri Thanedar\u2019s introduced articles of impeachment are seen as unlikely to succeed. The Senate would need a two-thirds majority to convict Trump, which is considered improbable given the current partisan split. The platform\u2019s predictions do not account for possible Senate conviction. Additionally, Trump Jr. is on Polymarket\u2019s advisory board, though U.S. users cannot access the platform due to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/biden-administration-officials-signal-covid-19-booster-shots-needed-for-some-americans\/\" title=\"Biden Administration Officials Signal COVID-19 Booster Shots Needed for Some Americans\">regulatory issues<\/a>.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<article class=\"fn-body\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">President <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/donald-trump\/\" type=\"post_tag\" id=\"4\">Donald Trump<\/a> is likely to be impeached by the <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/section\/news\/house\/\" type=\"category\" id=\"1250\">House<\/a> by the end of his term, according to the prediction platform Polymarket.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Traders on Polymarket price the odds that the House will pass articles of <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/impeachment\/\" type=\"post_tag\" id=\"132\">impeachment<\/a> against the president before he leaves office at 69%, as of Tuesday afternoon. Leading Democrats in Congress have deliberately avoided impeachment rhetoric, though their stances could change if they see favorable results in November\u2019s <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/2026-election\/\" type=\"post_tag\" id=\"11675\">midterm elections<\/a>.<\/p>\n<section class=\"explore-more-section\" id=\"wex-recommended-widget\">\n<div class=\"magazine-container single\">\n<h1 class=\"magazine-title mt-2\">Recommended Stories<\/h1>\n<p>             <i class=\"fa-solid fa-play icon\"><\/i>         <\/div>\n<div class=\"explore-grid\">\n<div class=\"explore-card\">                         <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/white-house\/4620756\/karoline-leavitt-returning-maternity-leave\/?itm_source=parsely-api\">                             <\/p>\n<div class=\"explore-thumb-wrap\">                                                                                                                                  <\/div>\n<h3>Karoline Leavitt returning to White House at crucial juncture for Trump<\/h3>\n<p>                         <\/a>                     <\/div>\n<div class=\"explore-card\">                         <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/white-house\/4620292\/kennedy-center-trump-name-take-down-photo\/?itm_source=parsely-api\">                             <\/p>\n<div class=\"explore-thumb-wrap\">                                                                                                                                  <\/div>\n<h3>SEE IT: Photo confirms Trump\u2019s name has been taken off Kennedy Center<\/h3>\n<p>                         <\/a>                     <\/div>\n<div class=\"explore-card\">                         <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/white-house\/4620164\/how-much-gop-base-trusts-trump-iran-deal-polling\/?itm_source=parsely-api\">                             <\/p>\n<div class=\"explore-thumb-wrap\">                                                                                                                                  <\/div>\n<h3>We\u2019re about to find out how much the GOP base trusts Trump on Iran<\/h3>\n<p>                         <\/a>                     <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/section>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Polymarket reflects the views of participants willing to stake cryptocurrency on certain outcomes. Its forecasts often fluctuate in response to new information, as traders can buy and sell shares at any time. In March, for example, Trump\u2019s odds of impeachment on Polymarket were 45%.<\/p>\n<div class=\"wex-inarticle-ad wex-inarticle-ad-art-dsk-inart-1\">\n<div class=\"wex-ad-wrap\" style=\"min-height:5px;\"><span class=\"wex-ad-label\" style=\"display:none;\">Advertisement<\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"div-gpt-ad-3182201-15\" data-wex-ad=\"art-dsk-inart-1\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"article-paywall\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Polymarket\u2019s odds that Trump will be impeached in 2026 currently hover around 6%. Articles of impeachment require a majority vote in the House. Democrats are currently six votes short of a majority, though they are favored to win back the House in November.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Rep. Shri Thanedar (D-MI) introduced seven articles of impeachment on various charges against Trump in April. House Democrats told the <em>Washington Examiner<\/em> at the time that they believed that Thanedar\u2019s efforts <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/3395700\/democrats-see-articles-impeachment-trump-uphill-battle\/\">would be unsuccessful<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cWe\u2019ve impeached him twice. We don\u2019t have the votes,\u201d Rep. Becca Balint (D-VT) said. \u201cRepublicans didn\u2019t do anything when there was an insurrection, when people were fearing for their lives, and they wouldn\u2019t vote to convict. The folks in those seats haven\u2019t changed.\u201d<\/p>\n<div class=\"wex-inarticle-ad wex-inarticle-ad-art-dsk-inart-2\">\n<div class=\"wex-ad-wrap\" style=\"min-height:5px;\"><span class=\"wex-ad-label\" style=\"display:none;\">Advertisement<\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"div-gpt-ad-3182201-16\" data-wex-ad=\"art-dsk-inart-2\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Constitution gives Congress the power to remove the president from office for \u201ctreason, bribery, or other high crimes and misdemeanors.\u201d Articles of impeachment must originate in the House. <\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/white-house\/4619904\/trump-perfect-storm-midterm-elections\/\"><strong>TRUMP STARES DOWN A \u2018PERFECT STORM\u2019 AS MIDTERM ELECTIONS LOOM<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Polymarket does not factor in the possibility of the Senate voting to convict Trump. Conviction requires a two-thirds majority in the Senate, an unlikely outcome given the upper chamber\u2019s partisan balance. Democratic impeachment efforts against Trump in 2020 and 2021 both failed in the Senate. <\/p>\n<div class=\"wex-inarticle-ad wex-inarticle-ad-art-dsk-inart-3\">\n<div class=\"wex-ad-wrap\" style=\"min-height:5px;\"><span class=\"wex-ad-label\" style=\"display:none;\">Advertisement<\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"div-gpt-ad-3182201-17\" data-wex-ad=\"art-dsk-inart-3\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Donald Trump Jr., the president\u2019s son, sits on the Polymarket\u2019s advisory board, though the platform is currently unavailable to U.S. consumers pending regulatory action.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Trump likely to face House impeachment, Polymarket predicts<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4301,"featured_media":2617834,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/image-collage-hiturt3nc-1782233477672-e1782235247263.jpg?1782220840&amp;w=696","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[33651,538],"tags":[3636,5894,3634],"class_list":["post-2617833","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-western-journal","category-washington-examiner","tag-impeachment","tag-politics","tag-trump"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/image-collage-hiturt3nc-1782233477672-e1782235247263.jpg?1782220840&amp;w=696","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2617833","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4301"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2617833"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2617833\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2617837,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2617833\/revisions\/2617837"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2617834"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2617833"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2617833"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2617833"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}