{"id":2599971,"date":"2026-05-07T14:31:02","date_gmt":"2026-05-07T18:31:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/rubio-jumps-vance-as-most-likely-to-win-2028-presidential-race-on-kalshi\/"},"modified":"2026-05-07T14:32:57","modified_gmt":"2026-05-07T18:32:57","slug":"rubio-jumps-vance-as-most-likely-to-win-2028-presidential-race-on-kalshi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/rubio-jumps-vance-as-most-likely-to-win-2028-presidential-race-on-kalshi\/","title":{"rendered":"Rubio jumps Vance as most likely to win 2028 presidential race on Kalshi"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">26<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Frubio-jumps-vance-as-most-likely-to-win-2028-presidential-race-on-kalshi%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2599971&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>Marco Rubio\u2019s upbeat performance as White House press secretary has boosted his standing in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/stephen-moore-america-needs-political-prediction-markets\/\" title=\"Stephen Moore: America Needs Political Prediction Markets\">prediction markets<\/a> for the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/what-are-the-odds-census-mistakes-overwhelmingly-benefit-democrats\/\" title=\"What Are The ...? Census Mistakes Overwhelmingly Benefit Democrats\">2028 presidential election<\/a>. Kalshi now lists Rubio as the favorite to win the presidency, with him ahead of JD Vance (18% vs.17%) and Gov. Gavin Newsom close behind (16%).  <\/p>\n<p>However, Rubio still trails Vance in Kalshi\u2019s market for winning the GOP nomination (Vance 37% vs. Rubio 28%). Polymarket likewise gives Vance higher odds than Rubio (19.6% vs. 15%), though Rubio remains competitive.  <\/p>\n<p>Rubio\u2019s rise is attributed to his well-received,lighter tone during a <a href=\"https:\/\/amzn.to\/3YuVZYV\" >press briefing-earning audible laughs<\/a> and using humor at the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/only-6-of-republicans-trust-tv-news-new-poll\/\" title=\"Only 6% of Republicans Trust TV News: New Poll\">press corps\u2019<\/a>s expense,including a joke about not knowing \u201cwho you all are,\u201d plus a quip about his \u201cDJ name\u201d after a viral wedding video.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<article class=\"fn-body\">\n<p>Secretary of State <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/marco-rubio\/\" type=\"post_tag\" id=\"51\">Marco Rubio<\/a>\u2018s success in charming the Washington press corps this week has moved prediction markets, with Kalshi now showing the Florida Republican as the most likely candidate to win the <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/2028-elections\/\" type=\"post_tag\" id=\"11676\">2028 presidential election<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>On Tuesday, Rubio slid past Vice President <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/jd-vance\/\" type=\"post_tag\" id=\"7658\">JD Vance<\/a> as the betting favorite for 2028 on <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/news.kalshi.com\/p\/vance-rubio-2028-presidential-odds-tied\" type=\"link\" id=\"https:\/\/news.kalshi.com\/p\/vance-rubio-2028-presidential-odds-tied\">Kalshi<\/a>. Rubio leads Vance 18% to 17%. Gov. Gavin Newsom (D-CA) is in a close third at 16%.<\/p>\n<section class=\"explore-more-section\" id=\"wex-recommended-widget\">\n<div class=\"magazine-container single\">\n<h1 class=\"magazine-title mt-2\">Recommended Stories<\/h1>\n<p>             <i class=\"fa-solid fa-play icon\"><\/i>         <\/div>\n<div class=\"explore-grid\">\n<div class=\"explore-card\">                         <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/presidential\/4559333\/rubio-jumps-vance-most-likely-win-2028-presidential-race-kalshi\/?itm_source=parsely-api\">                             <\/p>\n<div class=\"explore-thumb-wrap\">                                                                                                                                  <\/div>\n<h3>Rubio jumps Vance as most likely to win 2028 presidential race on Kalshi<\/h3>\n<p>                         <\/a>                     <\/div>\n<div class=\"explore-card\">                         <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/4559189\/kamala-harris-backs-calls-dnc-release-2024-election-autopsy\/?itm_source=parsely-api\">                             <\/p>\n<div class=\"explore-thumb-wrap\">                                                                                                                                  <\/div>\n<h3>Harris backs call for DNC to release 2024 autopsy Ken Martin swept under the rug<\/h3>\n<p>                         <\/a>                     <\/div>\n<div class=\"explore-card\">                         <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/presidential\/4537780\/luna-vance-rubio-2028\/?itm_source=parsely-api\">                             <\/p>\n<div class=\"explore-thumb-wrap\">                                                                                                                                  <\/div>\n<h3>Anna Paulina Luna calls for GOP ticket of Vance and Rubio in 2028<\/h3>\n<p>                         <\/a>                     <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/section>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">BREAKING: Marco Rubio is now the odds favorite to win the 2028 Presidency <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/TtsG6iIFvI\">pic.twitter.com\/TtsG6iIFvI<\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"article-paywall\">\u2014 Kalshi (@Kalshi) <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Kalshi\/status\/2052158690594111753?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 6, 2026<\/a><\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><script data-cfasync=\"false\" src=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/cdn-cgi\/scripts\/5c5dd728\/cloudflare-static\/email-decode.min.js\"><\/script><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script> <\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<p>According to Kalshi, however, Vance still has better odds of winning the GOP nomination in 2028. In that market, Vance leads Rubio, 37% to 28%. Kalshi notes, though, that Rubio\u2019s stock has risen from single digits earlier this year. <\/p>\n<p>Kalshi\u2019s rival, Polymarket, still gives Vance <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/polymarket.com\/event\/presidential-election-winner-2028\">better odds<\/a> of winning. Polymarket has Vance at 19.6%, Newsom at 16.7%, and Rubio in a close third at 15%. <\/p>\n<p>Rubio\u2019s rise in the prediction markets follows his highly praised fill-in appearance as White House press secretary on Tuesday. The secretary took the podium to defend President Donald Trump\u2019s Iran war before a press corps typically considered hostile to Leavitt and other administration officials. However, the journalists appeared at ease with America\u2019s top diplomat.<\/p>\n<p>The charm offensive was benefited Rubio peppering in a number of jokes during his hourlong appearance. Unlike Leavitt or Trump, the secretary earned a number of audible laughs while poking fun at the press corps itself.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cSo many damn outlets here,\u201d he chuckled shortly into taking questions. \u201cI don\u2019t know who you all are.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/white-house\/4558079\/rubio-white-house-moment-america-first-glimpse-post-trump\/\"><strong>RUBIO\u2019S WHITE HOUSE MOMENT OFFERS GLIMPSE OF AMERICA FIRST AFTER TRUMP<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Rubio even joked about a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/viral-video-shows-airline-take-sick-action-against-family-when-2-year-old-toddler-refuses-to-wear-mask\/\" title=\"Viral Video Shows Airline Take Sick Action Against Family when 2-Year-Old Toddler Refuses To Wear Mask\">viral video<\/a> from over the weekend showing him DJ\u2019ing at a wedding.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cYou\u2019re not ready for that,\u201d he slyly responded when asked to reveal his \u201cDJ name.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/article>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Marco Rubio\u2019s press-charm boosts Kalshi odds-he leads for 2028<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2677,"featured_media":2599972,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/AP26125722441199.jpg?w=696","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[33651],"tags":[41461,38392,34752,5894],"class_list":["post-2599971","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-western-journal","tag-2028-election","tag-betting-markets","tag-election-odds","tag-politics"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/AP26125722441199.jpg?w=696","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2599971","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2677"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2599971"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2599971\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2599975,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2599971\/revisions\/2599975"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2599972"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2599971"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2599971"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2599971"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}