{"id":2591877,"date":"2026-04-17T07:49:01","date_gmt":"2026-04-17T11:49:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/blue-model-failure-isnt-producing-a-red-shift\/"},"modified":"2026-04-17T07:53:09","modified_gmt":"2026-04-17T11:53:09","slug":"blue-model-failure-isnt-producing-a-red-shift","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/blue-model-failure-isnt-producing-a-red-shift\/","title":{"rendered":"Blue Model Failure Isn&#8217;t Producing A Red Shift"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">16<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fblue-model-failure-isnt-producing-a-red-shift%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2591877&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>The piece argues that Democratic governance in blue states is failing and fueling anger among voters, but this dissatisfaction isn\u2019t translating into a decisive shift toward the GOP or to centrist Democrats.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; In California and other blue states, progressive policies are depicted as dysfunctional, with Democratic leadership under strain as far-left candidates gain traction while supposed centrists struggle.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; Specific examples include the san Jose mayor\u2019s weak gubernatorial bid, Los Angeles\u2019s controversial leadership, and a California legislature focused on gender-related battles, which the author frames as evidence of dysfunction.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; the author highlights voices from within the left who oppose certain progressive policies (e.g., opponents of \u201ctrans kids\u201d policies), such as Jamie reed and Kara Dansky, noting that even these critics frequently enough continue to vote for Democrats.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; The piece argues that criticizing Democrats from the left has not produced a viable Republican pivot or meaningful policy alternatives, and that Republicans fail to gain ground as a result.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; It cites critiques of costly progressive projects like the SMART train in the Bay Area, arguing that even among <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wake-up-with-the-washington-examiner-trumps-transition-and-democrats-soul-searching-washington-examiner\/\" title=\"Wake up with the Washington Examiner: Trump\u2019s transition and ...\u2019 soul...searching ... Washington Examiner\">deep-blue regions<\/a> there is significant opposition to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/trump-pledges-to-create-musk-led-govt-efficiency-commission\/\" title=\"Trump Pledges To Create Musk...Led Govt. &#039;Efficiency Commission&#039;\">wasteful government programs<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; The author stresses a cultural dimension: many suburban voters, especially women, see voting Republican as low-status, yet the Republicans must present clear, forceful policies and fight within the political narrative rather than stay on the Democratic turf.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; A central call is for Republicans to offer real alternatives and to stop debating within a Democratic framework, arguing that voters see Democratic failures but don\u2019t yet see a compelling path forward from the GOP.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; The piece concludes that the two-party system is stuck with a failed Democratic model and a disillusioned electorate, suggesting remedies like the SAVE America Act, while noting the author\u2019s own stance as a conservative commentator and former soldier.<\/p>\n<p>Author: Chris Bray, a senior correspondent for The Federalist with a history PhD, who also publishes on substack.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<div>\n<p>All over the blue states, obvious decline and cultural madness are producing anger among Democratic voters. They see that the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/where-has-the-antiwar-left-gone\/\" title=\"Where Has the Antiwar ... Gone?\">progressive status quo<\/a> is a failure, and dysfunction is spreading rapidly. This message is building to a crescendo, but it isn&rsquo;t turning into <em>politics<\/em>. That is, it isn&rsquo;t turning into a rising blue state shift to the Republican Party, or to a growing movement of Democratic Party centrism. <\/p>\n<p>The Democrat mayor of San Jose is currently running for California governor as a problem-solving centrist who acknowledges that Democrats have screwed up the state. He&rsquo;s consistently polling in the single digits, and his campaign is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.politico.com\/news\/2026\/03\/18\/matt-mahan-stalled-california-governor-race-00833198\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">on life support<\/a>, while proud <a href=\"https:\/\/ktla.com\/news\/california\/tom-steyer-announces-plan-to-jail-ice-agents-calls-agency-a-violent-extremist-group\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">far-left lunatics<\/a> are pulling into the lead among the Democrat pack. Meanwhile, Republican candidates are polling remarkably well in the gubernatorial race, but the GOP still has little to no chance of ending Democrat supermajorities in both houses of the legislature.<\/p>\n<p>The Titanic is sinking, but everyone is voting to stick with a version of the same captain, who&rsquo;s only &ldquo;doing a great job&rdquo; when it&rsquo;s time to choose the guy who runs the ship. <\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=9vSpisn0_tw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">brutally stupid<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theatlantic.com\/politics\/archive\/2020\/07\/karen-bass-cuba-venceremos-brigade\/614662\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">cosplay-communist<\/a> mayor of Los Angeles gets <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailymail.co.uk\/news\/article-15582349\/karen-bass-booed-constituents-convertible.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">booed<\/a> when she goes out in public in her dirty and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.latimes.com\/california\/story\/2026-04-09\/los-angeles-population-shrinking\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">failing<\/a> city; also, she&rsquo;s running for re-election, and she&rsquo;s got a good shot at pulling it off.<\/p>\n<p>The California legislature is currently in a <a href=\"https:\/\/thefederalist.com\/2026\/04\/07\/california-is-trying-to-save-the-pediatric-trans-industry-because-its-dying\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">manic state<\/a> for &ldquo;trans kids,&rdquo; that magic category that allows maximum point scoring in the culture wars. There&rsquo;s no way to exaggerate how obviously insane they&rsquo;ve become, and I keep muttering about Jonestown and Kool-Aid when I watch legislative hearings. The only way for the state&rsquo;s lawmakers to become more crazed on the topic would be to run around with garden clippers, personally turning boys into fake girls right there on the sidewalk. &ldquo;Hold still, kid, I&rsquo;m a state senator.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>The state capitol is currently <em>flooded<\/em> with bills to support and extend the sexual mutilation of children. Witnesses at legislative hearings are furious and disgusted, and they&rsquo;re tearing into the Jacobins who are pushing this sickness. <\/p>\n<figure>\n<p><span><\/p>\n<blockquote data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">When you refuse to engage with the evidence, you are not staying neutral. You have chosen the side that is going to harm gender non-conforming children. You are harming future homosexuals, and you have done it w\/o the courage to even look at the data. &#128293; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JamieWhistle?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@JamieWhistle<\/a> <br \/>in&hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/YL4Psp6deR\">pic.twitter.com\/YL4Psp6deR<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; WomenAreReal (@WomenAreReals) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/WomenAreReals\/status\/2044190986155503974?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 14, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><\/span> <\/p>\n<\/figure>\n<p>But notice who this angry witness is: Jamie Reed is a lesbian who has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thefp.com\/p\/i-thought-i-was-saving-trans-kids\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">described herself<\/a> as being &ldquo;to the left of Bernie Sanders,&rdquo; and her opposition to the sexual mutilation of children grew out of her long employment at a pediatric gender clinic. She accepts the premise that there are &ldquo;gender non-conforming kids,&rdquo; but she opposes the &ldquo;trans kids&rdquo; mutilation con because she saw it from the inside, and saw with her own eyes what it did to young people. <\/p>\n<p>As I&rsquo;ve said before, <em>this<\/em> is the loudest voice of opposition to trans madness in blue states. But none of these critics of Democratic Party sickness are going to stop voting for Democrats.<\/p>\n<p>Kara Dansky is a Seattle Democrat who <a href=\"https:\/\/karadansky.substack.com\/p\/news-im-moving-to-florida\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">moved to Florida<\/a>, and she writes the TERF Report. (A TERF is a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/stanford-staff-condemns-transphobic-j-k-rowling-in-light-of-dorms-harry-potter-themed-floor\/\" title=\"Stanford Staff Condemns \u2018Transphobic\u2019 J.K. Rowling In Light Of Dorm\u2019s Harry Potter...Themed Floor\">trans-exclusionary radical feminist<\/a>, women who see dudes in dresses as aggressive masculine thieves who are trying to steal womanhood as a costume.) In her <a href=\"https:\/\/karadansky.substack.com\/p\/republicans-and-trumps-executive\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">latest post<\/a>, she argues that Republicans &ldquo;are not going to save us,&rdquo; and she says this about voting: <\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>Off the top of my head, I can think of three women who either: (1) told me before November 8, 2024, that they planned to vote for Donald Trump; or (2) told me after November 8, 2024, that they did in fact vote for Donald Trump. All over the topic of whether some men\/boys are women\/girls (they are not). I understand why they did so, but I did not. I wrote in the name of a sex-realist Democrat, rather than cast a vote for either major candidate. I do not regret my decision.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>On a growing number of topics, this is becoming the default maneuver: I see that Democrats are wrong on this topic, but I&rsquo;m not voting for a Republican, and I&rsquo;ll try to vote for Democrats who are more sane. Note that this is quite obviously not producing a pivot toward sanity among Democratic elected officials.  <\/p>\n<p>Democratic Party extremists, meaning pretty much all of them, are losing support. But Republicans aren&rsquo;t gaining support.<\/p>\n<p>Pick a topic, because this dynamic can be found everywhere you look. I <a href=\"https:\/\/thefederalist.com\/2026\/04\/15\/another-disastrous-california-rail-project-shows-why-blue-states-always-trend-toward-going-broke\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">wrote this week<\/a> about the money-wasting insanity of the SMART train, a <a href=\"https:\/\/amzn.to\/3YuVZYV\" >taxpayer-subsidized suburban rail line<\/a> in the northern suburbs of San Francisco. As the writer and lawyer Michael Coffino noted in a <a href=\"https:\/\/michaelcoffino.com\/book\/the-great-train-heist-the-california-smart-taxpayer-ripoff\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">book<\/a> on the project, the proposal to build the thing was vigorously opposed in Marin and Sonoma counties, where Kamala Harris got <a href=\"https:\/\/localnewsmatters.org\/marin-county-election-results\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">80 percent<\/a> (Marin) and <a href=\"https:\/\/results.enr.clarityelections.com\/CA\/Sonoma\/122431\/web.345435\/#\/summary\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">72 percent<\/a> (Sonoma) of the vote in 2024. These are <em>deep<\/em> blue counties, with a culture of activism, and the lawn signs and the bumperstickers on the Subarus tend to make me sigh quite heavily when I visit. It&rsquo;s the world capital of gentry socialism.<\/p>\n<p>All of the meaningful criticism of the massively wasteful SMART train has come from the left. As Coffino notes, the Marin League of Conservation Voters discussed, in detail, the false environmentalist premises of the effort, and the civil grand juries in both counties have produced a long series of <a href=\"https:\/\/sonoma.courts.ca.gov\/system\/files\/train_station.pdf\">withering reports<\/a> on the project. There&rsquo;s no <em>right-wing culture<\/em> in Marin County, where there&rsquo;s considerable opposition to taxpayer subsidies for a useless public transportation project. They know the progressive hobby project is a disaster, and they vote for progressives. <\/p>\n<p>In his highly critical book on the project, Coffino argues that the SMART train&rsquo;s board of directors has become so arrogant and dishonest that it resembles &hellip; Donald Trump. Criticizing progressive governance from the left, progressives pivot back to the Orange Man Bad ritual. They <em>can&rsquo;t<\/em> lock on the left-side, blue model target.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Democrat elected officials are destroying [thing here]!<\/li>\n<li>Therefore, something something Trump something something.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Last year, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.countyhighway.com\/archive\/volume-2\/issue-6\/the-battle-of-point-reyes-bray\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">writing about<\/a> a successful effort by environmental activist groups to drive ranchers off of public lands north of San Francisco, I attended a panel discussion on the anti-ranching effort that was held at a university in Marin County. It was shortly after Trump&rsquo;s inauguration for a second term, and everyone sitting in the audience around me before the forum started were talking about their <em>trauma<\/em> at the agonizing thought that THAT HORRIBLE MAN was the president again. Then the forum began, and the audience was mostly disgusted by the activists, asking them why they were attacking local and sustainable organic agriculture. <\/p>\n<p>Again:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Passionate commitment to left-wing politics.<\/li>\n<li>Disgust at the outcome of leftist projects run on leftist premises.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>I could go on about this topic at great length &ndash;&nbsp;and, ask my family, I <em>often do<\/em> &ndash;&nbsp;but the Republican Party is standing in front of an <em>enormous<\/em> crowd of voters who are disgusted by the many obvious failures of elected Democrats. Nothing ever happens as a result. Republicans consistently fail to offer an appealing alternative. <\/p>\n<p>A good part of that problem is cultural, and a bunch of affluent suburbanites, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pewresearch.org\/politics\/2024\/04\/09\/partisanship-by-gender-sexual-orientation-marital-and-parental-status\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">especially women<\/a>, think that voting Republican is low-status behavior: I mean, I&rsquo;m not some <em>MAGA trash<\/em> in some <em>trailer park<\/em>. But the second piece is programmatic, and a Republican Party that doesn&rsquo;t <em>fight<\/em> doesn&rsquo;t deserve to win. When Republicans respond to Joe Biden&rsquo;s open border with an <a href=\"https:\/\/salazar.house.gov\/dignity-act\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">amnesty bill<\/a>, for example, what&rsquo;s the point of voting Republican? Is it an alternative to voting Democrat?<\/p>\n<p>Republicans have to stand for something, they have to argue strenuously against blue model ruin, and they have to propose real alternatives. And they have to stop <a href=\"https:\/\/thefederalist.com\/2026\/04\/09\/republicans-debate-the-way-democrats-want-them-to\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">debating<\/a> inside a Democrat-established rhetorical framework. Voters see Democratic failure. They don&rsquo;t see another path, yet, and our election results mostly keep proving that.<\/p>\n<p>Above all, when places run by highly secure Democratic political monopolies are full of people who see that progressive governance has failed horribly, you should start to wonder if every ballot always has a voter behind it, with every one of those voters being a living, conscious person who has the right, as a citizen, to vote. Obvious Democratic failure plus persistent Democratic political security in blue states is an argument for the SAVE America Act, the one thing congressional Republicans refuse to care about.<\/p>\n<p>We have a failed party, with a failed political model and a bunch of disaffected voters, and another party that &hellip; exists. In the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=VQFxmAdyKcg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">immortal words<\/a> of Judge Elihu Smails, &ldquo;Well, we&rsquo;re <em>waiting<\/em>.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<hr>\n<p>      Chris Bray is a senior correspondent at The Federalist and a former infantry sergeant in the U.S. Army. He has a history PhD from the University of California Los Angeles, not that it did him any good. He also posts on Substack, at &#8220;Tell Me How This Ends,&#8221; <a href=\"https:\/\/chrisbray.substack.com\/\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Blue states show decline; culture clash fuels anger<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2086,"featured_media":2591878,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/thefederalist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/bass-jan-8-scaled.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[33651],"tags":[41268,77957,77959,77960,77958],"class_list":["post-2591877","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-western-journal","tag-astronomy","tag-blue-model","tag-cosmology","tag-data-analysis-2","tag-redshift"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/thefederalist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/bass-jan-8-scaled.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2591877","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2086"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2591877"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2591877\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2591881,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2591877\/revisions\/2591881"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2591878"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2591877"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2591877"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2591877"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}