{"id":2588264,"date":"2026-04-07T19:55:02","date_gmt":"2026-04-07T23:55:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/five-gop-house-seats-shift-towards-democrats-in-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-04-07T19:57:30","modified_gmt":"2026-04-07T23:57:30","slug":"five-gop-house-seats-shift-towards-democrats-in-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/five-gop-house-seats-shift-towards-democrats-in-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Five GOP House seats shift towards Democrats in 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"float:left\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">18<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Ffive-gop-house-seats-shift-towards-democrats-in-2026%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2588264&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>A Cook Political Report analysis indicates Democrats are increasingly positioned to recapture the House in the 2026 elections, with five <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/house-democrats-campaign-arm-adds-five-gop-seats-to-target-list\/\" title=\"... ...&#039; campaign arm adds five GOP seats to target list\">competitive seats shifting<\/a> toward Democrats and one toward Republicans. The overall outlook cites President Trump\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/nancy-sinatra-ill-never-forgive-trump-voters\/\" title=\"Nancy Sinatra: \u2018I\u2019ll Never Forgive\u2019 Trump Voters\">low approval rating<\/a>, historical election trends, and <a href=\"https:\/\/amzn.to\/3YuVZYV\" >rising living costs<\/a> as factors helping Democrats.<\/p>\n<p>key seat shifts include:<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; Rob Bresnahan (R-PA) moved from Lean Republican to Toss-Up after a narrow 2-point win in 2024; the district covers much of Northeastern Pennsylvania, a area that backed Trump in 2024.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; Rep. Greg Landsman (D-OH), representing much of Cincinnati, moved from Toss-Up to Lean Democratic; Landsman won by 9% in 2024.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar (R-FL) shifted from solid R to Likely R; she represents the South Miami area and has publicly pushed back against Trump&#8217;s immigration policy stance.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; Reps. Nellie Pou (D-NJ) and Emilia Sykes (D-OH) moved from Lean D to likely D; pou won by 5% in 2024, with Harris carrying the district by 12%, and Sykes won by 2%.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; The sole Republican seat spared in this shift was Rep.Jeff Hurd (R-CO), whose district moved from Likely R to Solid R, despite earlier tensions when Trump briefly withdrew and then re-endorsed him over tariff votes.<\/p>\n<p>Additional context from Cook\u2019s analysis notes that Republicans hold a large number of toss-up seats, with about 14 GOP toss-ups compared to roughly 3 for Democrats, underscoring the competitive and fluid nature of the current House landscape. The report also references broader political dynamics, including discussions among Democrats about President Trump\u2019s leadership in relation to Iran policy.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<p><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><\/p>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-button\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-icon td-icon-mobile\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-header-search-button-mob dropdown-toggle\" data-toggle=\"dropdown\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-search-icon td-icon-search\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-button\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-icon td-icon-mobile\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div class=\"tdb-drop-down-search\" aria-labelledby=\"td-header-search-button\">\n<div class=\"tdb-drop-down-search-inner\">\n<form method=\"get\" class=\"tdb-search-form\" action=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/\"><\/form>\n<div class=\"tdb-aj-search\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/#\" role=\"button\" aria-label=\"Search\" class=\"tdb-head-search-btn dropdown-toggle\" data-toggle=\"dropdown\"><i class=\"tdb-search-icon td-icon-search\"><\/i><\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<h1 class=\"tdb-title-text\">Five GOP House seats shift toward Democrats: Cook Political Report<\/h1>\n<div><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-title-line\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/democrats\/\">Democrats&rsquo; <\/a>chances of recapturing the&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/house-of-representatives\/\">House<\/a> in the&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/2026-elections\/\">2026 elections<\/a>&nbsp;have been steadily increasing, amid President&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/donald-trump\/\">Donald Trump&rsquo;s<\/a> low approval rating, historical trends, and the cost of living.<\/p>\n<p>An analysis from the nonpartisan&nbsp;<em>Cook Political Report&nbsp;<\/em>reported that<a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/userimg-assets.customeriomail.com\/images\/client-env-141072\/1768488360986_J2YFq-the-cook-political-report-house-rating-changes-rgb_01KF11XQ4TV6NA8RP6AMPG1YVW.pdf?utm_medium=email_action&amp;utm_source=customer.io\"> 5 competitive seats shifted<\/a>&nbsp;toward Democrats and one toward Republicans, as Democrats eye recapturing the House for the last two years of Trump&rsquo;s second term.<\/p>\n<p>Most notably, Rep. <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/author\/rob-bresnahan\/\" type=\"mediapress_author\" id=\"12851\">Rob Bresnahan&rsquo;s<\/a> (R-PA) seat moved from &ldquo;Lean R&rdquo; to a &ldquo;toss-up,&rdquo; after he won by just 2% in 2024. Bresnahan is a freshman congressman who has struck a bipartisan tone by siding with Democrats on issues such as extending the Affordable Care Act subsidies and enhanced tax credits. His district spans much of Northeastern Pennsylvania, which Trump won by about 8% in 2024.<\/p>\n<div class=\"tpd-featured-video featured-post-video in-content bridtv\">\n<div id=\"Brid_2554241\" class=\"brid\" style=\"width:1280;height:720;\"> <\/div>\n<div class=\"tpd-featured-video-placeholder\" style=\"position:relative;overflow:hidden;width:100%;padding-top:56.25%;background-color:#000;\">\n<div style=\"position:absolute;top:0;left:0;bottom:0;right:0;width:100%;height:100%\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"article-paywall\">\n<p>Bresnahan marks 14 toss-up seats for Republicans, compared to just three for Democrats, according to Cook&rsquo;s analysis.<\/p>\n<p>Rep. Greg Landsman (D-OH), who represents much of <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/cincinnati\/\" type=\"post_tag\" id=\"2917\">Cincinnati<\/a>, has moved out of &ldquo;toss-up&rdquo; territory, and his competitive Cincinnati-based seat is rated &ldquo;Lean D.&rdquo; Landsman won by 9% in 2024. Former Vice President Kamala Harris carried the seat by 6% despite losing to Trump nationally.<\/p>\n<p>Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar&rsquo;s (R-FL) race was moved from &ldquo;Solid R&rdquo; to &ldquo;Likely R.&rdquo; The Florida congresswoman represents the South Miami area and has rebuked Trump&rsquo;s use of Immigration and Customs Enforcement following the killings in Minneapolis earlier this year. In 2024, Salazar won reelection by 60.4%, while Trump defeated Harris by 57%-to-42%.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, both Reps. Nellie Pou (D-NJ) and Emilia Sykes (D-OH) saw their <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/nolte-three-senate-seats-moved-from-lean-democrat-to-toss-up\/\" title=\"Nolte: Three Senate Seats ... from &#039;Lean Democrat&#039; to &#039;...Up&#039;\">seats move<\/a> from &ldquo;Lean D&rdquo; to &ldquo;Likely D.&rdquo; Pou won in 2024 by 5%, while Harris carried the seat by 12%. Sykes&rsquo;s won by 2%, matching the margin that Harris won the seat by against Trump.<\/p>\n<p>The sole Republican who was spared in this shift was Rep. <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/author\/jeff-hurd\/\" type=\"mediapress_author\" id=\"20905\">Jeff Hurd<\/a> (R-CO), whose seat that sits in Western part of <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/colorado\/\" type=\"post_tag\" id=\"767\">Colorado<\/a>, moved from &ldquo;Likely R&rdquo; to &ldquo;Solid R.&rdquo; This comes after President Donald Trump withdrew his support of Hurd for his vote to repeal the administration&rsquo;s&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/tariffs\/\">tariffs<\/a>&nbsp;on Canada, but just weeks later in a rare change in tune, <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/congressional\/4498690\/trump-endorses-jeff-hurd-again-colorado\/\" type=\"post\" id=\"4498690\">Trump re-endorsed the Colorado congressman<\/a>. Hurd won his 2024 race by 5%, as Trump carried the district by nearly 10%.<\/p>\n<p><strong><a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/house\/4519196\/dems-want-trump-removed-over-iran\/\">OVER 30 DEMOCRATS WANT TRUMP REMOVE USING 25TH AMENDMENT OVER IRAN WAR <\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;Together with them, we decided that Congressman Jeff Hurd, of&nbsp;Colorado&rsquo;s&nbsp;3rd Congressional District, should in no way, shape, or form, be impeded from winning the District in that the Democrat alternative is a DISASTER for our Country,&rdquo; the president wrote. &ldquo;Therefore, I will be fully supporting Jeff&rsquo;s Re-Election to the House of Representatives, giving him my Complete and Total&nbsp;Endorsement!&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>Hurd later thanked the president for his &ldquo;efforts to unify Republicans in Colorado&rsquo;s Third District.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Cook says 5 GOP House seats tilt to Democrats<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3691,"featured_media":2588265,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/image-collage-59wt1dzym-1775595857187.jpg?1775581589&amp;w=696","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[33651],"tags":[3685,74550,6203,65409,77360],"class_list":["post-2588264","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-western-journal","tag-democrats","tag-elections-2026-2","tag-gop","tag-house-of-representatives-2","tag-swing-districts-2"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/image-collage-59wt1dzym-1775595857187.jpg?1775581589&amp;w=696","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2588264","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3691"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2588264"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2588264\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2588268,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2588264\/revisions\/2588268"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2588265"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2588264"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2588264"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2588264"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}