{"id":2581851,"date":"2026-03-19T17:06:02","date_gmt":"2026-03-19T21:06:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/crystal-ball-moves-six-gubernatorial-elections-to-favor-democrats\/"},"modified":"2026-03-19T17:07:48","modified_gmt":"2026-03-19T21:07:48","slug":"crystal-ball-moves-six-gubernatorial-elections-to-favor-democrats","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/crystal-ball-moves-six-gubernatorial-elections-to-favor-democrats\/","title":{"rendered":"Crystal Ball moves six gubernatorial elections to favor Democrats"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"float:left\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">18<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fcrystal-ball-moves-six-gubernatorial-elections-to-favor-democrats%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2581851&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>Sabato\u2019s Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia has shifted six gubernatorial ratings for the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/house-democrats-campaign-arm-adds-latino-heavy-districts-to-2026-frontline-list-washington-examiner\/\" title=\"House ...\u2019 campaign arm adds Latino...heavy districts to 2026 \u2018Frontline\u2019 list ... Washington Examiner\">2026 midterm cycle<\/a> in Democrats\u2019 favor, though Republicans are still expected to hold the majority of governorships.<\/p>\n<p>Races changed:<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; New York, Rhode Island, and Minnesota moved from likely Democratic to safe Democratic.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; Arizona moved from toss-up to lean democratic.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; Ohio moved from likely Republican to lean Republican.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; Georgia moved from lean Republican to toss-up.<\/p>\n<p>Overall tally: 26 Republican governors to 24 Democratic governors.<\/p>\n<p>Key context:<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; New York\u2019s Kathy Hochul faces no serious competition after rivals dropped out.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; Minnesota\u2019s Tim Walz opted out, reducing concerns about a fraud-related issue, wiht Amy Klobuchar\u2019s candidacy enhancing Democrats\u2019 position.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; Rhode Island\u2019s Dan McKee holds a safe position in a deep-blue state.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; Georgia\u2019s incumbent Brian Kemp is term-limited, <a href=\"https:\/\/amzn.to\/3YuVZYV\" >creating uncertainty due<\/a> to the lack of a clear Republican frontrunner.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; Republicans have suffered Hispanic gains since 2024, which doctors concerns for Arizona.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; Kevin Kiley has signaled openness to caucusing with Democrats if he becomes autonomous.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; In Ohio, polls show Democrat Amy Acton possibly leading, even though Trump carried the state in 2024; Vivek Ramaswamy remains a factor.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; Energy-cost pressures related to Iran could help Democrats by linking issues to Trump.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<p><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><\/p>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-button\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-icon td-icon-mobile\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-header-search-button-mob dropdown-toggle\" data-toggle=\"dropdown\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-search-icon td-icon-search\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-button\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-icon td-icon-mobile\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div class=\"tdb-drop-down-search\" aria-labelledby=\"td-header-search-button\">\n<div class=\"tdb-drop-down-search-inner\">\n<form method=\"get\" class=\"tdb-search-form\" action=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/\"><\/form>\n<div class=\"tdb-aj-search\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/#\" role=\"button\" aria-label=\"Search\" class=\"tdb-head-search-btn dropdown-toggle\" data-toggle=\"dropdown\"><i class=\"tdb-search-icon td-icon-search\"><\/i><\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<h1 class=\"tdb-title-text\">Sabato&rsquo;s Crystal Ball moves six <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/ill-see-you-in-court-larry-elder-slams-california-secretary-of-state-for-letter-which-claims-he-did-not-qualify-as-a-candidate\/\" title=\"\u2018I\u2019ll See You In Court\u2019: Larry Elder Slams California Secretary Of State For Letter Which Claims He \u2018Did Not Qualify As A Candidate\u2019\">gubernatorial elections<\/a> to favor Democrats<\/h1>\n<div><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-title-line\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div id=\"Brid_2536782\" class=\"tpd-featured-video bridtv\"><\/div>\n<p>Sabato&rsquo;s Crystal Ball moved six gubernatorial <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/2026-election\/\" type=\"post_tag\" id=\"11675\">midterm election<\/a> races to favor <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/democratic-party\/\" type=\"post_tag\" id=\"288\">Democrats<\/a>, though <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/republican-party\/\" type=\"post_tag\" id=\"514\">Republicans<\/a> are still slated to win the majority of them.<\/p>\n<p>The Center for Politics at the University of Virginia&rsquo;s election monitor <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/centerforpolitics.org\/crystalball\/six-gubernatorial-rating-changes-in-favor-of-democrats-but-republicans-may-still-come-out-ahead\/\" type=\"link\" id=\"https:\/\/centerforpolitics.org\/crystalball\/six-gubernatorial-rating-changes-in-favor-of-democrats-but-republicans-may-still-come-out-ahead\/\">moved<\/a> the ratings for Arizona, Georgia, Ohio, Minnesota, New York, and Rhode Island. The latter three went from &ldquo;likely Democratic&rdquo; to &ldquo;safe Democratic&rdquo;; Arizona went from &ldquo;toss-up&rdquo; to &ldquo;leans Democratic&rdquo;; Ohio went from &ldquo;likely Republican&rdquo; to &ldquo;leans Republican&rdquo;; and Georgia went from &ldquo;leans Republican&rdquo; to &ldquo;toss-up.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<div class=\"recommended-stories\">\n<h2>Recommended Stories<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/state\/4496323\/generational-battle-ugly-california-7th-district-primary-race\/\">Generational battle gets ugly in California&#8217;s 7th District primary race<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/state\/4496166\/virginia-republican-bucks-blue-wave-special-election\/\">Virginia Republican bucks blue wave in special election<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/premium\/4486830\/supreme-court-donald-trump-tariffs-michigan-2026-midterm-elections\/\">Supreme Court&rsquo;s tariffs nix scrambles Michigan campaigns<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"article-paywall\">\n<p>The current tally of governorships is 26 Republicans and 24 Democrats.<\/p>\n<p>Gov. <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/kathy-hochul\/\" type=\"post_tag\" id=\"3278\">Kathy Hochul<\/a> (D-NY) had a spate of good fortune this year, with all her major rivals bowing out of the race. She now faces no serious competition. Gov. <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/tim-walz\/\" type=\"post_tag\" id=\"11523\">Tim Walz<\/a> (D-MN) opting out of reelection clears Democrats of a damaging fraud scandal, with the seat all but secured with Sen. <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/amy-klobuchar\/\" type=\"post_tag\" id=\"683\">Amy Klobuchar&rsquo;s<\/a> (D-MN) entrance. Gov. Dan McKee (D-RI) holds a safe position in a deep-blue state.<\/p>\n<p>With incumbent Gov. <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/brian-kemp\/\" type=\"post_tag\" id=\"3312\">Brian Kemp<\/a> (R-GA) departing due to term limits, Georgia has become uncertain due to a lack of a clear Republican primary front-runner. Losses in Republican gains among Hispanics since the 2024 elections bode poorly for Republicans in Arizona.<\/p>\n<p><strong><a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/congressional\/4497722\/kevin-kiley-open-caucus-democrat-next-term\/\" type=\"post\" id=\"4497722\">KEVIN KILEY OPEN TO CAUCUSING WITH DEMOCRATS IN NEXT TERM AFTER GOING INDEPENDENT<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Ohio, despite voting for President <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/donald-trump\/\" type=\"post_tag\" id=\"4\">Donald Trump<\/a> in 2024 by double digits, appears much less enthused about former presidential candidate <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/vivek-ramaswamy\/\" type=\"post_tag\" id=\"2872\">Vivek Ramaswamy<\/a>, who has damaged his image over controversial statements made about American culture in December 2024 during a wider debate around immigration. Current polling gives a reasonable chance that Democrat Amy Acton could outmaneuver and beat the Trump ally, with several <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/trouble-in-paradise-joe-biden-kamala-harris-sour-on-each-other\/\" title=\"Trouble in Paradise: Joe Biden, Kamala Harris Sour on Each Other\">polls putting<\/a> her in the lead.<\/p>\n<p>Further complicating dynamics could be a rise in energy costs over the war with <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/iran\/\" type=\"post_tag\" id=\"100\">Iran<\/a>, which Democrats will have no problem directly connecting to Trump.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sabato: six governorships tilt to Democrats; GOP ahead<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2653,"featured_media":2581852,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/AP23243845693603.jpg?w=696","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[33651,538],"tags":[38735,3685,6571,4764,5894],"class_list":["post-2581851","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-western-journal","category-washington-examiner","tag-crystal-ball","tag-democrats","tag-elections","tag-gubernatorial","tag-politics"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/AP23243845693603.jpg?w=696","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2581851","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2653"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2581851"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2581851\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2581855,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2581851\/revisions\/2581855"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2581852"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2581851"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2581851"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2581851"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}