{"id":2573136,"date":"2026-02-24T18:03:01","date_gmt":"2026-02-24T23:03:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/the-top-betting-props-for-trumps-state-of-the-union-speech\/"},"modified":"2026-02-24T18:04:39","modified_gmt":"2026-02-24T23:04:39","slug":"the-top-betting-props-for-trumps-state-of-the-union-speech","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/the-top-betting-props-for-trumps-state-of-the-union-speech\/","title":{"rendered":"The top betting props for Trump&#8217;s State of the Union speech"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">22<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fthe-top-betting-props-for-trumps-state-of-the-union-speech%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2573136&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>Markets are speculating about various aspects of Donald Trump\u2019s State of the Union address,with betting platforms Kalshi,Polymarket,and PredictIt tracking a range of predictions on duration,attendees,and possible topics.<\/p>\n<p>Key takeaways:<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; Duration: Kalshi shows a 77% chance the speech lasts at least 100 minutes; polymarket and PredictIt have similar forecasts (roughly 73% and related predictions).<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; Attendance and dissent: Kalshi traders give about a 51% chance rep. Al Green attends; a number of democrats are expected to boycott,while House speaker Hakeem Jeffries urges respectful dissent.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; Possible references and guests: Kalshi notes a 52% chance Trump will mention Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem; a 10% likelihood of using the word \u201cdiscombobulator.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; Topics and names likely mentioned: High odds of mentioning Nicol\u00e1s Maduro (around 86%), Brett Kavanaugh (47%), Barack Obama (40%), Elon Musk (22%), and Zohran Mamdani (14%). Bets on mentioning cryptocurrency or Bitcoin are around 29%.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; other bets: PredictIt forecasts a 25% chance of mentioning Jeffrey Epstein,and about 73% expect mention of Greenland.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; Overall: Markets reflect expectations of a long, content-rich speech with a mix of policy references and potential pop-culture or high-profile mentions.<\/p>\n<p>Source: Washington Examiner coverage of betting markets around Trump\u2019s State of the Union address.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<p><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><\/p>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-button\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-icon td-icon-mobile\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-header-search-button-mob dropdown-toggle\" data-toggle=\"dropdown\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-search-icon td-icon-search\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-button\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-icon td-icon-mobile\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div class=\"tdb-drop-down-search\" aria-labelledby=\"td-header-search-button\">\n<div class=\"tdb-drop-down-search-inner\">\n<form method=\"get\" class=\"tdb-search-form\" action=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/\"><\/form>\n<div class=\"tdb-aj-search\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/#\" role=\"button\" aria-label=\"Search\" class=\"tdb-head-search-btn dropdown-toggle\" data-toggle=\"dropdown\"><i class=\"tdb-search-icon td-icon-search\"><\/i><\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<h1 class=\"tdb-title-text\">Here are the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/trump-hosts-us-olympic-hockey-team-ahead-of-state-of-the-union\/\" title=\"Trump hosts US Olympic hockey team ahead of State of the Union\">top betting props<\/a> for Trump&rsquo;s State of the Union speech<\/h1>\n<div><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-title-line\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div id=\"Brid_2513814\" class=\"tpd-featured-video bridtv\"><\/div>\n<p>Kalshi, Polymarket, and other <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/gambling\/\">betting<\/a> markets are amassing predictions about President <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/donald-trump\/\">Donald Trump&rsquo;s <\/a>address to Congress as the country awaits his high-profile speech on Tuesday evening.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>At 9 p.m. EST, Trump is set to deliver the first <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/state-of-the-union\/\" type=\"post_tag\" id=\"658\">State of the Union address<\/a> of his second term in office. There is a 77% forecast that Trump&rsquo;s speech will last at least 100 minutes, <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/kalshi.com\/markets\/kxtrumpmentionduration\/how-long-will-trump-speak\/kxtrumpmentionduration-mar0126\">according to <\/a>Kalshi traders, similar to his last such speech to Congress. The majority of traders <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/polymarket.com\/event\/how-long-will-the-state-of-the-union-address-be\">on Polymarket<\/a><span style=\"box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;\">&nbsp;(7<\/span>3%) are betting that the 2026 speech will last over 100 minutes, echoing&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.predictit.org\/markets\/detail\/8583\/How-long-will-the-State-of-the-Union-be\">PredictIt&rsquo;s forecasts<\/a>.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div class=\"recommended-stories\">\n<h2>Recommended Stories<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/white-house\/4469367\/trump-state-of-the-union-guests\/\">Here are Trump&rsquo;s State of the Union guests<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/white-house\/4469279\/trump-erika-kirk-state-of-the-union-guest\/\">Trump to bring Erika Kirk as his State of the Union guest<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/white-house\/4469223\/biden-autopen-commutation-florida-arrest\/\">Florida arrests felon released through Biden autopen commutation<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"article-paywall\">\n<p>Kalshi gave Rep. Al Green (D-TX), who attracted scrutiny for heckling Trump&rsquo;s speech to Congress last year, a 51% chance of attending Tuesday&rsquo;s address. A slew of Democrats are <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/white-house\/4469101\/trump-state-of-the-union-democrats-not-going\/\" type=\"post\" id=\"4469101\">boycotting the speech<\/a>, and House Minority Leader <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/hakeem-jeffries\/\" type=\"post_tag\" id=\"790\">Hakeem Jeffries<\/a> (D-NY) has warned lawmakers to express dissent this time in respectful silence.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>There is a 52% chance Trump will reference Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem during his speech, <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/kalshi.com\/markets\/kxtrumpmention\/what-will-trump-say\/kxtrumpmention-26mar02\">according to <\/a>Kalshi. Noem has faced calls to resign and bipartisan scrutiny for her handling of two lethal ICE-related shootings in Minnesota. Exactly <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/kalshi.com\/markets\/kxtrumpmention\/what-will-trump-say\/kxtrumpmention-26feb28\">10% of Kalshi traders<\/a> are betting Trump will use the word &ldquo;discombobulator,&rdquo; which he has suggested was a secret new weapon essential to carrying out the operation that toppled former Venezuelan dictator Nicolas Maduro in January.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Polymarket traders are <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/polymarket.com\/event\/what-will-trump-say-during-the-state-of-the-union-address\">betting the most<\/a> on what Trump will say during the speech, including on whether Trump will mention former President Joe Biden over 10 times, with 53% betting in the affirmative. <\/p>\n<p>There is an <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/polymarket.com\/event\/who-will-trump-name-during-the-state-of-the-union-address\">86% chance <\/a>Trump will mention Maduro; 47% chance of mentioning Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh, who backed the president&rsquo;s &ldquo;Liberation Day&rdquo; tariffs in a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/karine-jean-pierre-says-scotus-unconstitutionally-overturned-roe\/\" title=\"Karine Jean...Pierre Says SCOTUS Unconstitutionally Overturned Roe\">recent landmark ruling<\/a>; a 40% chance of mentioning former President Barack Obama; a 22% chance for X owner Elon Musk; and a 14% chance for New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani. Bets on whether Trump will reference crypto or bitcoin during his speech are also coming in strong, with 29% betting &lsquo;yes.&rsquo;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/white-house\/4461026\/trump-2-record-sparse-black-voter-policy-wins-anti-dei\/\"><strong>TRUMP&rsquo;S SECOND TERM RECORD SHOWS SPARSE BLACK VOTER POLICY WINS IN ANTI-DEI AGE<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Predictit traders <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.predictit.org\/markets\/3\/President?filterIds=&amp;sort=newest&amp;sortParameter=\">are forecasting<\/a> only a 25% chance that Trump will reference Jeffrey Epstein, the deceased financier whose <a href=\"https:\/\/amzn.to\/3YuVZYV\" >life provoked sweeping controversy<\/a>, leading the Department of Justice to release hundreds of millions of documents related to the subject in recent months. There is a 73% chance that Trump will mention Greenland, the Danish territory in the Arctic waters that the president has floated seizing for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/in-bills-to-bar-communist-china-from-buying-us-land-we-need-big-strides-not-baby-steps\/\" title=\"In Bills To Bar Communist China From Buying US Land, We Need Big Strides Not Baby Steps\">national security purposes<\/a>.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Other sites are predicting the<a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/polymarket.com\/event\/donald-trump-tie-color-at-the-state-of-the-union\"> color of the tie<\/a> Trump will wear, with 63% of Polymarket traders saying it will be red.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Top bets on Trump&#8217;s State of the Union address<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3142,"featured_media":2573137,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/AP26054558328074.jpg?w=696","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[33651,538],"tags":[11751,10904,25019,17782,3634],"class_list":["post-2573136","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-western-journal","category-washington-examiner","tag-betting","tag-odds","tag-props","tag-sotu","tag-trump"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/AP26054558328074.jpg?w=696","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2573136","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3142"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2573136"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2573136\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2573140,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2573136\/revisions\/2573140"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2573137"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2573136"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2573136"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2573136"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}