{"id":2513757,"date":"2025-11-23T12:05:02","date_gmt":"2025-11-23T17:05:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/michigan-senate-race-could-be-gops-best-midterms-offense-play-poll\/"},"modified":"2025-11-23T12:05:54","modified_gmt":"2025-11-23T17:05:54","slug":"michigan-senate-race-could-be-gops-best-midterms-offense-play-poll","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/michigan-senate-race-could-be-gops-best-midterms-offense-play-poll\/","title":{"rendered":"Michigan Senate Race Could Be GOP&#8217;s Best Midterms Offense Play: Poll"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"float:left\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">22<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fmichigan-senate-race-could-be-gops-best-midterms-offense-play-poll%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2513757&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>A recent poll conducted on behalf of the Republican group Sentinel Action Fund shows former Republican Representative Mike Rogers holding a meaningful lead over several Democratic candidates in michigan&#8217;s open 2026 Senate race. Rogers leads in hypothetical matchups against Democratic candidates including state Sen. Mallory mcmorrow, Rep. Haley Stevens, and former public health official Abdul El-Sayed. The polling indicates that Michigan voters favor Republicans on issues such as immigration, crime, and the economy, which are seen as tactical advantages for the GOP in this battleground state. Rogers, who narrowly lost a Senate race in 2024, is expected to secure the Republican nomination easily, with strong backing from President Trump and top GOP groups. meanwhile, the Democratic primary remains competitive and somewhat divisive, perhaps weakening their general election nominee. The Sentinel Action Fund emphasizes the importance of a focused &#8220;economy-first&#8221; message supported by crime and immigration concerns for Republicans to capitalize on these advantages. Although some polls show tighter races, the new data strengthens Republican optimism about flipping the Michigan Senate seat in 2026, despite historical challenges and a midterm habitat that often disfavors the party in power.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<p><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><\/p>\n<section> \t\t\t\t<script>console.log(\"ad slot (AC1)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC1)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC2)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC3)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC4)\")<\/script><\/p>\n<p>Former Republican Rep. Mike Rogers holds a considerable lead over several Democratic candidates in Michigan&rsquo;s open 2026 Senate race, according to new polling.<\/p>\n<p>The survey, conducted on behalf of the Republican group Sentinel Action Fund and first d with the Daily Caller News Foundation, finds that voters would choose Rogers over the three Democratic primary candidates in head-to-head matchups<strong>.&nbsp;<\/strong>Michigan voters also prefer Republicans on immigration, crime, and the economy, giving the Republicans several &ldquo;tactical advantages&rdquo; in the battleground state, according to the <a href=\"https:\/\/cdn01.dailycaller.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/SAF-Michigan.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">polling memo<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>In a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/poll-kemp-perdue-locked-in-tight-georgia-gop-primary-both-tied-with-stacey-abrams\/\" title=\"Poll: Kemp, Perdue Locked in Tight Georgia ... Primary; Both Tied with Stacey Abrams\">hypothetical general election matchup<\/a> against Michigan state Sen. Mallory McMorrow, Rogers holds a 13-point advantage. The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/dem-party-in-michigan-calls-for-hanging-trump-supporters-by-the-neck-until-dead-who-are-trying-to-make-donald-trump-king\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Michigan<\/a> Republican also leads Democratic Rep. Haley Stevens and Bernie Sanders-endorsed former public health official Abdul El-Sayed by 9 points.<\/p>\n<p>Rogers, who has thus far avoided a serious primary challenger, is expected to cruise to the general election with the support of President Donald Trump, the Senate Republicans&rsquo; campaign arm, and top GOP super PACs. The Michigan Republican is running to succeed retiring Democratic Sen. Gary Peters after falling <a href=\"https:\/\/www.politico.com\/2024-election\/results\/michigan\/senate\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">short<\/a> by a razor-thin margin in a 2024 Senate bid.<\/p>\n<p>The three Democratic candidates are engaged in a messy primary fight that could damage the nominee who advances to the general election. The Democratic primary contest has no clear frontrunner, though Stevens led the field in the most recent fundraising quarter.<\/p>\n<p> <script type=\"text\/javascript\"> \t\t\tif ( getCookie( \"ff_subbed\" ) ) { \t\t\t\tdocument.getElementById(\"stnvideo\").remove() \t\t\t} else { \t\t\t\tdocument.addEventListener(\"DOMContentLoaded\", function() { \t\t\t\t\tfunction loadScript(src) { \t\t\t\t\t\tconst script=document.createElement(\"script\"); \t\t\t\t\t\tscript.src=src; \t\t\t\t\t\tscript.async=true; \t\t\t\t\t\tdocument.body.appendChild(script); \t\t\t\t\t} \t\t\t\t\tfunction findPreviousParagraph(selector, x) { \t\t\t\t\t\tconst targetElement=document.querySelector(selector); \t\t\t\t\t\tif (!targetElement) { \t\t\t\t\t\t\tconsole.warn(\"Target element not found.\"); \t\t\t\t\t\t\treturn null; \t\t\t\t\t\t}  \t\t\t\t\t\t\/\/ Get all <\/p>\n<p> elements in order as they appear in the document \t\t\t\t\t\tlet paragraphs=Array.from(document.querySelectorAll(\"p\"));  \t\t\t\t\t\t\/\/ Find the index of the last <\/p>\n<p> before the target element \t\t\t\t\t\tlet targetIndex=paragraphs.findIndex(p=> p.compareDocumentPosition(targetElement) & Node.DOCUMENT_POSITION_PRECEDING);  \t\t\t\t\t\tif (targetIndex===-1 || targetIndex <x) { \t\t\t\t\t\t\tconsole.warn(\"Not enough paragraphs before the target element.\"); \t\t\t\t\t\t\treturn null; \t\t\t\t\t\t}  \t\t\t\t\t\treturn paragraphs[targetIndex - x]; \t\t\t\t\t}  \t\t\t\t\t\/\/ Set up IntersectionObserver \t\t\t\t\tfunction observeElement(element) { \t\t\t\t\t\tif (!element) return;  \t\t\t\t\t\tconst observer=new IntersectionObserver( \t\t\t\t\t\t\t(entries)=> { \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tentries.forEach(entry=> { \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tif (entry.isIntersecting) { \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tconsole.log(\"Paragraph is now visible:\", entry.target.textContent.trim()); \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tloadScript(\"https:\/\/embed.sendtonews.com\/player3\/embedcode.js?fk=s28Az7AY\"); \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tobserver.disconnect(); \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t} \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t}); \t\t\t\t\t\t\t}, \t\t\t\t\t\t\t{ threshold: 0.5 } \/\/ Adjust threshold as needed \t\t\t\t\t\t);  \t\t\t\t\t\tobserver.observe(element); \t\t\t\t\t}  \t\t\t\t\t\/\/ Find the 1st paragraph before #stnvideo and observe it \t\t\t\t\tlet paragraphToObserve=findPreviousParagraph(\"#stnvideo\", 2); \t\t\t\t\tobserveElement(paragraphToObserve); \t\t\t\t}); \t\t\t} \t\t<\/script> <\/p>\n<p>The Sentinel Action Fund, who tapped Republican polling firm Targeted Grassroots to conduct the survey, argues that the Republicans are well-positioned to flip the seat, but must have &ldquo;economy-first&rdquo; messaging with crime and immigration serving as &ldquo;supporting&rdquo; issues.<\/p>\n<p>Republicans maintain a double-digit lead over a generic Democrat candidate on crime and immigration. Michigan voters also give Republicans a 7-point edge on the economy and jobs.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;While Democrats navigate their radical primary, Republicans should stay focused on cost-of-living, border security, and crime &mdash; exactly where voters already trust the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/rnc-files-bombshell-swing-state-lawsuit-says-half-counties-registered-voters-adults\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">GOP<\/a>,&rdquo; the polling memo said.<\/p>\n<p>Public polling of the critical Senate race has had varied results.<\/p>\n<p>A Rosetta Stone poll conducted from Oct. 23 to Oct. 25 found Rogers leading El-Sayed by 14 points. The survey also showed the Michigan Republican with 7-point leads over McMorrow and Stevens.<\/p>\n<p>An ABC12 poll <a href=\"https:\/\/www.abc12.com\/news\/politics\/exclusive-poll-shows-tight-races-for-michigan-governor-senate-races\/article_7b0cec7f-87c6-4084-9b07-0f393f2a0816.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">released<\/a> Friday showed McMorrow and Stevens leading Rogers within the margin of error. The survey did not poll a hypothetical head-to-head matchup between Rogers and El-Sayed.<\/p>\n<p>The polling is likely to cement Republicans&rsquo; thinking that Michigan is one of the party&rsquo;s top opportunities to flip a Senate seat during the midterms. Democrats, conversely, must hold the state in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/dem-governor-dumps-nearly-1-million-battery-maker-turns-around-abandons-state-red-one\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Democratic<\/a> column to achieve the party&rsquo;s longshot bid of retaking Senate control.<\/p>\n<p>The polling memo also argues that turning out low-propensity voters who cast ballots in 2024 could prove decisive in securing a Rogers&rsquo; victory.<\/p>\n<p>The Rogers campaign is already building out a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/dnc-chair-confident-georgia-will-vote-blue-despite-new-election-rules-washington-examiner\/\" title=\"DNC chair confident Georgia will vote blue despite new election rules- Washington Examiner\">ground game operation<\/a> and released an ad Friday aimed at connecting with those voters.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;A <a href=\"https:\/\/amzn.to\/3YuVZYV\" >data-driven state wide operation doesn&#038;rsquo<\/a>;t only win one race &mdash; it strengthens the entire ballot,&rdquo; Sentinel Action Fund president Jessica Anderson said in a statement. &ldquo;This new data shows that Michigan is within reach for Republicans in 2026.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;With the right targeting, focused messaging, and a strong ground game to turn out voters across the ballot, Mike Rogers and Republicans can flip this state and build lasting conservative majorities that can carry out President Trump&rsquo;s strong agenda and deliver real results for the American people,&rdquo; Anderson added.<\/p>\n<p>Rogers could face headwinds in a midterm election year, which historically do not bode well for the party in power. A Republican has also not won a&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/michigan-gov-gretchen-whitmer-trashes-trump-hours-called-onstage-thanked\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Michigan<\/a> Senate seat in more than three decades.<\/p>\n<div class=\"disclaimer\">\n<p><em>All content created by the Daily Caller News Foundation, an independent and nonpartisan newswire service, is available without charge to any legitimate news publisher that can provide a large audience. All republished articles must include our logo, our reporter&rsquo;s byline and their DCNF affiliation. For any questions about our guidelines or partnering with us, please contact&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/mailto:licensing@dailycallernewsfoundation.org\">licensing@dailycallernewsfoundation.org<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div style=\"position: relative;\">\n<div class=\"ff-fancy-header-container\"> \t\t\t \t<\/div>\n<div class=\"entry-submit-correction inner-content\">\n<div class=\"correction-form\">\n<form style=\"display: none;\">\n<div class=\"sc-name-field\"> \t\t\t\t\t\t<label>* Name<\/label> \t\t\t\t\t\t<br \/> \t\t\t\t\t\t<input type=\"text\" name=\"name\" required> \t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n<div class=\"sc--field\"> \t\t\t\t\t\t<label>* <\/label> \t\t\t\t\t\t<br \/> \t\t\t\t\t\t<input type=\"text\" name=\"\" required> \t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n<p> \t\t\t\t\t<label>* Message<\/label> \t\t\t\t\t<br \/> \t\t\t\t\t<textarea name=\"message\" required><\/textarea> \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<div class=\"required-message\" style=\"display: none; padding-bottom: 15px;\">* All fields are required.<\/div>\n<p> \t\t\t\t\t<input type=\"submit\" value=\"Submit\" onclick=\"event.preventDefault(); firefly_sc();\"> \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<div class=\"firefly-sc-confirm\" style=\"display: none;\">Success!<\/div>\n<\/p><\/form>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p> \t\t<script> \t\t\tfunction firefly_sc() { \t\t\t\tif( typeof window.captchaPublicKey==typeof undefined ){ \t\t\t\t\tconsole.error('window.captchaPublicKey is not defined'); \t\t\t\t} \t\t\t\tgrecaptcha.execute( window.captchaPublicKey, { action: 'submit_correction' } ).then( function( token ) { \t\t\t\t\tvar opts={ \t\t\t\t\t\taction:    'firefly_sc_submit', \t\t\t\t\t\tname:      document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"name\"]' ).value, \t\t\t\t\t\t:     document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"\"]' ).value, \t\t\t\t\t\tmessage:   document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"message\"]' ).value, \t\t\t\t\t\tpost_id:   firefly_post_id, \t\t\t\t\t\tcap_token: token \t\t\t\t\t}  \t\t\t\t\tvar inputs=[ 'name', '', 'message' ];  \t\t\t\t\tfor( var i=0; i <inputs.length; i++ ) if( ! ( opts[inputs[i]]=document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"' + inputs[i] + '\"]' ).value ) ) { \t\t\t\t\t\tdocument.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction .required-message' ).style.display='block'; \t\t\t\t\t\treturn; \t\t\t\t\t}  \t\t\t\t\tdocument.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction input[type=\"submit\"]' ).style.display='none'; \t\t\t\t\tdocument.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction .firefly-sc-submitting-img' ).src=firefly_loading_gif_url; \t\t\t\t\tdocument.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction .firefly-sc-submitting-img' ).style.display='inline-block';  \t\t\t\t\tconsole.log( 'ma subbing' );  \t\t\t\t\tif( firefly_post_id ) opts['post_id']=firefly_post_id;  \t\t\t\t\t\/* Send the data using post with element id name and name2*\/ \t\t\t\t\tvar posting=jQuery.post( firefly_ajax_url, opts );  \t\t\t\t\t\/* Alerts the results *\/ \t\t\t\t\tposting.done( function( response ) { \t\t\t\t\t\tif( response.success ) { \t\t\t\t\t\t\tconsole.log( response.data ); \t\t\t\t\t\t\tdocument.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction .firefly-sc-submitting-img' ).style.display='none'; \t\t\t\t\t\t\tdocument.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction .firefly-sc-confirm' ).style.display='block';  \t\t\t\t\t\t\tdataLayer.push( { 'event': 'submit-correction' } ); \t\t\t\t\t\t} \t\t\t\t\t}); \t\t\t\t}); \t\t\t} \t\t<\/script> \t     \t\t\t\t\t\t     \t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n<p style=\"border: 1px solid #f5f5f5; padding: 16px;\">Advertise with The Western Journal and reach millions of highly engaged readers, while supporting our work. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/advertise-us\/?wj_source=article\">Advertise Today<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><script>console.log(\"ad slot (BA1)\")<\/script> \t\t<\/p>\n<div class=\"ff-fancy-header-container\"> \t\t\t \t<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Former Republican Representative Mike Rogers is significantly ahead of multiple Democratic contenders in Michigan&#8217;s open 2026 Senate race, according to recent polling. The survey, commissioned by the Republican group Sentinel Action Fund and initially shared with the Daily Caller News Foundation, indicates that voters prefer Rogers over each of the three Democratic primary candidates in direct matchups<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2513758,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Ben-Working-Feature-Image-2025-11-17T090911.852.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[33651],"tags":[43045,60276,33558],"class_list":["post-2513757","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-western-journal","tag-election-poll","tag-gop-midterms","tag-michigan-senate-race"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Ben-Working-Feature-Image-2025-11-17T090911.852.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2513757","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2513757"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2513757\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2513761,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2513757\/revisions\/2513761"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2513758"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2513757"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2513757"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2513757"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}