{"id":2456800,"date":"2025-07-08T10:30:02","date_gmt":"2025-07-08T14:30:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/top-2024-pollsters-start-group-to-challenge-bias-in-media-surveys\/"},"modified":"2025-07-08T10:31:23","modified_gmt":"2025-07-08T14:31:23","slug":"top-2024-pollsters-start-group-to-challenge-bias-in-media-surveys","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/top-2024-pollsters-start-group-to-challenge-bias-in-media-surveys\/","title":{"rendered":"Top 2024 pollsters start group to challenge bias in media surveys"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">22<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Ftop-2024-pollsters-start-group-to-challenge-bias-in-media-surveys%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2456800&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>The article discusses the formation of the National Association of Independent Pollsters by four of the most accurate polling organizations for the 2024 election: Big Data Poll, InsiderAdvantage, Trafalgar Group, and Rasmussen Reports. This group aims to produce reliable polling data and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/unfit-to-serve-obesity-epidemic-creating-recruitment-woes-national-security-risk-bidens-dei-policies-dont-help\/\" title=\"Obesity Epidemic Hinders Recruitment, Poses National Security Risk - Biden&#039;s DEI Policies Ineffective\">address perceived biases<\/a> in surveys conducted by the media and academic institutions. Membership will be exclusive, based on a proven track record of accurate polling.<\/p>\n<p>Richard Baris, chairman of the group, and spokesperson Robert Cahaly emphasize a commitment to transparency and accuracy, critiquing the methodologies of mainstream polls, which they feel are often driven by bias against certain political figures, particularly Donald Trump. Cahaly asserts that thier primary goal is to accurately reflect public opinion rather than influence it.<\/p>\n<p>The organization is positioned as a counter to the American Association for Public Opinion Research, focusing strictly on delivering accurate results. They highlight discrepancies between independent and media polls, pointing out instances where independent surveys better predicted election outcomes. The article reflects on the challenges and controversies within the polling industry as the 2024 election approaches.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<p><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><\/p>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-button\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-icon td-icon-mobile\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-header-search-button-mob dropdown-toggle\" data-toggle=\"dropdown\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-search-icon td-icon-search\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-button\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-icon td-icon-mobile\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div class=\"tdb-drop-down-search\" aria-labelledby=\"td-header-search-button\">\n<div class=\"tdb-drop-down-search-inner\">\n<form method=\"get\" class=\"tdb-search-form\" action=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/\"><\/form>\n<div class=\"tdb-aj-search\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/#\" role=\"button\" aria-label=\"Search\" class=\"tdb-head-search-btn dropdown-toggle\" data-toggle=\"dropdown\"><i class=\"tdb-search-icon td-icon-search\"><\/i><\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<h1 class=\"tdb-title-text\">Top 2024 pollsters start group to challenge bias in media surveys<\/h1>\n<div><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-title-line\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div id=\"Brid_1839679\" class=\"tpd-featured-video bridtv\"><\/div>\n<p>Four of the nation&rsquo;s most accurate 2024 election pollsters have formed an independent group to produce &ldquo;the very best&rdquo; data and challenge the bias in competing surveys, many run by the media and colleges.<\/p>\n<p>The National Association of Independent Pollsters will start with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bigdatapoll.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">Big Data Poll<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/insideradvantage.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">InsiderAdvantage<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thetrafalgargroup.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">Trafalgar Group<\/a>, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rasmussenreports.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">Rasmussen Reports<\/a>, all of which were top 10 polls in 2024.<\/p>\n<div class=\"recommended-stories\">\n<h2>Recommended Stories<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/washington-secrets\/3464540\/fec-republican-trey-trainor-to-stay-block-democrats-weaponization\/\">Lone FEC Republican to stay and block weaponization by Democrats<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/washington-secrets\/3464020\/stephanopoulos-blames-downpour-deaths-trump-liberal-media-scream\/\">Stephanopoulos blames downpour deaths on Trump: Liberal Media Scream<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/washington-secrets\/3463193\/trump-on-a-roll-back-to-back-victory-weeks-white-house-report-card\/\">Trump on a roll, back-to-back victory weeks: White House Report Card<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"article-paywall\">\n<p>Membership will be by invitation only and based on &ldquo;a cumulative record of published public polling with a high degree of <a href=\"https:\/\/amzn.to\/3YuVZYV\" >accuracy\/low error rate<\/a>,&rdquo; the group said.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;We don&rsquo;t need to set any standards given that anyone who is a member or future member of this organization has already established that they are among the most accurate pollsters in America,&rdquo; said Richard Baris of Big Data Poll and the chairman of the group.<\/p>\n<p>Its spokesman, Trafalgar pollster <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thetrafalgargroup.org\/robert-cahaly\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">Robert Cahaly<\/a>, told Secrets that the four polling organizations have been frustrated by inaccuracy in the industry and surveys that often hide how they are conducted.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;Ours is an alliance for accuracy,&rdquo; he said, adding, &ldquo;This group is going to have all kinds of different things it may do, but it mainly is designed to celebrate groups that are accurate and put out information that is more accurate than others do.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">BREAKING: Four of the nation&rsquo;s most accurate <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/iranian-dissidents-slam-nominee-for-top-defense-post\/\" title=\"Iranian Dissidents Slam Nominee for Top Defense Post\">public opinion research<\/a> firms <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/BIGDATAPOLL?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@BIGDATAPOLL<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/InsiderPolling?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@InsiderPolling<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Rasmussen_Poll?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@Rasmussen_Poll<\/a>, &amp; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/trafalgar_group?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@trafalgar_group<\/a> have announced the formation of The National Association of Independent Pollsters. <\/p>\n<p>Members will be chosen based solely on consistent&hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/XoyszoKb3w\">pic.twitter.com\/XoyszoKb3w<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Robert C. Cahaly (@RobertCahaly) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/RobertCahaly\/status\/1942533544984641606?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 8, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script data-cfasync=\"false\" src=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/cdn-cgi\/scripts\/5c5dd728\/cloudflare-static\/email-decode.min.js\"><\/script><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>    <\/p>\n<p>He expects the organization, formed July 4th to share information, to quickly expand. He said two other independent pollsters just today asked to become members.<\/p>\n<p>In the lead up to the 2024 election and since, polls have been divided over President Donald Trump and the GOP control of Washington. Several independent polls, including the four in the new association, have found that Trump is more popular than he was during his first term and that Americans largely like what he is doing.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Imagine if these pollsters had actually asked this question, you know, hear me out, BEFORE the election? <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/RjHiXeIaew\">https:\/\/t.co\/RjHiXeIaew<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Mark Mitchell, Rasmussen Reports (@honestpollster) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/honestpollster\/status\/1941165655883165946?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 4, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>    <\/p>\n<p>Many media polls, however, have said the opposite and the press play up those polls over the independents.<\/p>\n<p>Cahaly said it is unrealistic to think that media and college polls are unbiased since the sponsors are biased, and most are anti-Trump. &ldquo;We all know media organizations and universities have bias, but somehow never suggest their polling does? No,&rdquo; he said.<\/p>\n<p>The new group is something of a counter to the industry&rsquo;s <a href=\"https:\/\/aapor.org\/standards-and-ethics\/#aapor-code-of-professional-ethics-and-practices\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">American Association for Public Opinion Research<\/a>, which sets standards and ethics.<\/p>\n<p>For the new group, there is only one standard: getting the results right. &ldquo;A poll has one of two purposes. It is to reflect the electorate or to affect the electorate. Too many polls out there today seem like they are trying to affect the electorate. And our goal is to reflect it as closely and as perfectly as we can. We&rsquo;re just four groups that are absolutely obsessed with getting this stuff right. And if that means that we say Trump&rsquo;s going to win, that&rsquo;s fine,&rdquo; Cahaly said.<\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/washington-secrets\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">SEE THE LATEST POLITICAL NEWS AND BUZZ FROM WASHINGTON SECRETS<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>In the 2024 election, for example, many media polls showed former Vice President Kamala Harris leading Trump, which even her internal polling never showed. Independent polls, however, showed Trump poised to win, especially in battleground states.<\/p>\n<p>The most egregious example of a biased media poll was the Selzer &amp; Company survey sponsored by the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.desmoinesregister.com\/story\/news\/politics\/iowa-poll\/2024\/11\/02\/iowa-poll-kamala-harris-leads-donald-trump-2024-presidential-race\/75354033007\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\"><em>Des Moines Register<\/em><\/a>  showing Harris &ldquo;leapfrogging&rdquo; over Trump in the state, 47%-44%. Trump won Iowa four days later, 56%-42%.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p> <script>!function(){var g=window;g.googletag=g.googletag||{},g.googletag.cmd=g.googletag.cmd||[],g.googletag.cmd.push(function(){g.googletag.pubads().setTargeting(\"has-featured-video\",\"true\")})}();<\/script><script>var _bp=_bp||[];_bp.push({\"div\":\"Brid_1839679\",\"obj\":{\"id\":\"27789\",\"width\":\"1280\",\"height\":\"720\",\"stickyDirection\":\"below\",\"video\":\"1839679\"}});<\/script><script defer src=\"https:\/\/services.brid.tv\/player\/build\/brid.min.js\"><\/script><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Top 2024 pollsters form group to address media survey bias<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2647,"featured_media":2456801,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Trump-Win-Polls-1024x683.webp","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[33399,32644,32490,27147,18821],"class_list":["post-2456800","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-2024-elections","tag-election-integrity","tag-media-bias","tag-pollsters","tag-surveys"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Trump-Win-Polls-1024x683.webp","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2456800","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2647"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2456800"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2456800\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2456804,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2456800\/revisions\/2456804"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2456801"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2456800"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2456800"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2456800"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}