{"id":2426579,"date":"2025-04-23T15:02:00","date_gmt":"2025-04-23T19:02:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/top-pollster-nate-silver-calls-it-aoc-will-be-democrats-next-presidential-nominee\/"},"modified":"2025-04-23T15:03:28","modified_gmt":"2025-04-23T19:03:28","slug":"top-pollster-nate-silver-calls-it-aoc-will-be-democrats-next-presidential-nominee","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/top-pollster-nate-silver-calls-it-aoc-will-be-democrats-next-presidential-nominee\/","title":{"rendered":"Top Pollster Nate Silver Calls It: AOC Will Be Democrats&#8217; Next Presidential Nominee"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"float:left\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">26<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Ftop-pollster-nate-silver-calls-it-aoc-will-be-democrats-next-presidential-nominee%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2426579&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>Pollster Nate Silver has identified Democratic Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as a leading candidate for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, emphasizing her appeal too the party&#8217;s progressive base. During a discussion on his Substack video, Silver noted her youth, progressive ideals, and media savvy as key attributes, despite acknowledging concerns about her electability. Silver&#8217;s analysis comes in context with Ocasio-Cortez&#8217;s recent &#8220;Fighting Oligarchy&#8221; tour with Bernie Sanders, wich attracted significant attention but also backlash. both silver and his co-host, Galen Druke, ranked Ocasio-Cortez as their top choice among potential candidates, illustrating a trend of younger Democratic leaders emerging in response to challenges faced in the 2024 election. The discourse around potential GOP candidates remains uncertain,as the Republican Party lacks a clear successor to Trump,leading to speculation about a competitive primary in the lead-up to 2028.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<p><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><\/p>\n<section> \t\t\t\t<script>console.log(\"ad slot (AC1)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC1)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC2)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC3)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC4)\")<\/script><\/p>\n<p>Pollster Nate Silver has named Democratic New York Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as the early front-runner for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, a prediction that critics say highlights a leftward shift of the Democratic Party.<\/p>\n<p>Silver, perhaps best known for founding statistical analysis site FiveThirtyEight, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/aoc-2028-pollsters-give-brutal-news-democrats\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">d this bold claim<\/a> in a &ldquo;Silver Bulletin&rdquo; Substack video, joined by Galen Druke, who also picked Ocasio-Cortez as the top contender.<\/p>\n<p>Druke noted the &ldquo;fervent support&rdquo; she has among her far-left base, as noted by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thedailybeast.com\/nate-silver-makes-shocking-prediction-for-dems-2028-nominee\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">The Daily Beast<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Silver, meanwhile, highlighted Ocasio-Cortez&rsquo;s youth, progressive stance, and media savvy, qualities whose mileage may very depending on your political affiliation.<\/p>\n<p>Her recent &ldquo;Fighting Oligarchy&rdquo; tour with Bernie Sanders has <a href=\"https:\/\/amzn.to\/3YuVZYV\">seemingly drawn big crowds &#038;mdash<\/a>; and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/watch-view-co-hosts-cant-even-defend-aoc-bernie-sanders\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">big backlash<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p> <script type=\"text\/javascript\"> \t\t\tif ( getCookie( \"ff_subbed\" ) ) { \t\t\t\tdocument.getElementById(\"stnvideo\").remove() \t\t\t} else { \t\t\t\tdocument.addEventListener(\"DOMContentLoaded\", function() { \t\t\t\t\tfunction loadScript(src) { \t\t\t\t\t\tconst script=document.createElement(\"script\"); \t\t\t\t\t\tscript.src=src; \t\t\t\t\t\tscript.async=true; \t\t\t\t\t\tdocument.body.appendChild(script); \t\t\t\t\t} \t\t\t\t\tfunction findPreviousParagraph(selector, x) { \t\t\t\t\t\tconst targetElement=document.querySelector(selector); \t\t\t\t\t\tif (!targetElement) { \t\t\t\t\t\t\tconsole.warn(\"Target element not found.\"); \t\t\t\t\t\t\treturn null; \t\t\t\t\t\t}  \t\t\t\t\t\t\/\/ Get all <\/p>\n<p> elements in order as they appear in the document \t\t\t\t\t\tlet paragraphs=Array.from(document.querySelectorAll(\"p\"));  \t\t\t\t\t\t\/\/ Find the index of the last <\/p>\n<p> before the target element \t\t\t\t\t\tlet targetIndex=paragraphs.findIndex(p=> p.compareDocumentPosition(targetElement) & Node.DOCUMENT_POSITION_PRECEDING);  \t\t\t\t\t\tif (targetIndex===-1 || targetIndex <x) { \t\t\t\t\t\t\tconsole.warn(\"Not enough paragraphs before the target element.\"); \t\t\t\t\t\t\treturn null; \t\t\t\t\t\t}  \t\t\t\t\t\treturn paragraphs[targetIndex - x]; \t\t\t\t\t}  \t\t\t\t\t\/\/ Set up IntersectionObserver \t\t\t\t\tfunction observeElement(element) { \t\t\t\t\t\tif (!element) return;  \t\t\t\t\t\tconst observer=new IntersectionObserver( \t\t\t\t\t\t\t(entries)=> { \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tentries.forEach(entry=> { \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tif (entry.isIntersecting) { \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tconsole.log(\"Paragraph is now visible:\", entry.target.textContent.trim()); \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tloadScript(\"https:\/\/embed.sendtonews.com\/player3\/embedcode.js?fk=s28Az7AY\"); \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tobserver.disconnect(); \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t} \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t}); \t\t\t\t\t\t\t}, \t\t\t\t\t\t\t{ threshold: 0.5 } \/\/ Adjust threshold as needed \t\t\t\t\t\t);  \t\t\t\t\t\tobserver.observe(element); \t\t\t\t\t}  \t\t\t\t\t\/\/ Find the 1st paragraph before #stnvideo and observe it \t\t\t\t\tlet paragraphToObserve=findPreviousParagraph(\"#stnvideo\", 2); \t\t\t\t\tobserveElement(paragraphToObserve); \t\t\t\t}); \t\t\t} \t\t<\/script> <\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;The media is kind of obsessed with her,&rdquo; Druke noted, though much of that &ldquo;obsession&rdquo; seems negative.<\/p>\n<p>Silver cautioned she&rsquo;s young &mdash; she&rsquo;ll be just 39 in 2028 &mdash; and may not run, with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/dem-infighting-worsens-rising-star-takes-direct-shot-touring-aoc\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">electability concerns lingering<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Her potential 2026 run for governor or Senate could shape her path, though Silver sees her <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/democratic-leaders-hit-worst-poll-gallup-history-fanatics-like-aoc-take\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">current polling<\/a> as a strong foundation for a presidential bid.<\/p>\n<p>Both Silver and Druke eventually revealed a sports draft-like &ldquo;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/air-force-academy-forces-fan-to-hide-pro-womens-sports-shirt\/\" title=\"Air Force Academy Forces Fan To Hide Pro-Women&#039;s Sports Shirt\">big board&#038;rdquo<\/a>; of how they would rank potential 2028 president candidates from the Democratic Party.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-conversation=\"none\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">Results! I thought I was gonna surprise everyone by taking AOC first, but Galen won at rock-paper-scissors and chose her first instead!<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/DAlKWnP5rQ\">https:\/\/t.co\/DAlKWnP5rQ<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/zL80ForTaY\">pic.twitter.com\/zL80ForTaY<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NateSilver538\/status\/1912598180484771998?\">April 16, 2025<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Both Silver and Druke wanted Ocasio-Cortez as the &ldquo;first pick&rdquo; of their mock draft, but the ensuing picks also paint a fascinating picture for a Democratic Party still trying to navigate a world where Trump and the Republicans rocked them during the 2024 general election.<\/p>\n<p>The top pick after Ocasio-Cortez? Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro, who is perhaps best known recently for being a victim of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nbcnews.com\/politics\/politics-news\/josh-shapiro-trump-called-week-arson-attack-governors-residence-rcna202494\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">an arson attack<\/a> and <em>not <\/em>being Kamala Harris&rsquo; vice presidential candidate.<\/p>\n<p>(The title of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/safety-last-dem-senators-celebrate-infrastructure-bill-on-maskless-bus-ride\/\" title=\"SAFETY LAST: Dem Senators Celebrate Infrastructure Bill on Maskless Bus Ride\">failed vice presidential candidate<\/a> would eventually fall on Minnesota Gov. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/tim-walz-shows-democrats-learned-nothing-launches-disgusting-attack-old-white-guys\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Tim Walz<\/a>, who came in as Druke&rsquo;s ninth overall pick.)<\/p>\n<p>After Shapiro, you basically got a laundry list of prominent Democrats under the age of 65, including the aforementioned Harris, the &ldquo;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/cory-booker-yammers-20-hours-straight-attempt-disrupt-normal-business-us-senate\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">record-setting<\/a>&rdquo; Cory Booker, Pete Buttigieg, and California Gov. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/gavin-newsom-announces-plan-subvert-trumps-tariffs\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Gavin Newsom<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>As to whom the Republicans would nominate against the Ocasio-Cortez&rsquo;s and Gavin Newsom&rsquo;s of the world, that question is a bit murkier.<\/p>\n<p>Trump has firmly entrenched himself as the leader of the Republican Party, but there doesn&rsquo;t appear to be a firm succession plan in place &mdash; hinting at what could <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/donald-trump-jr-responds-report-considering-run-president-2028\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">be a wide open<\/a> and highly competitive GOP primary the closer the country gets to the 2028 election.<\/p>\n<p>Will the candidate that emerges from that potentially crowded field be able to hang with Ocasio-Cortez, or whomever makes it off that draft board (assuming it&rsquo;s even someone on that list)?<\/p>\n<p>It&rsquo;s a fascinating question and scenario, and one that will happen sooner than you think.<\/p>\n<div style=\"position: relative;\">\n<div class=\"ff-fancy-header-container\"> \t\t\t \t<\/div>\n<div class=\"entry-submit-correction inner-content\">\n<div class=\"correction-form\">\n<form style=\"display: none;\">\n<div class=\"sc-name-field\"> \t\t\t\t\t\t<label>* Name<\/label> \t\t\t\t\t\t<br \/> \t\t\t\t\t\t<input type=\"text\" name=\"name\" required> \t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n<div class=\"sc--field\"> \t\t\t\t\t\t<label>* <\/label> \t\t\t\t\t\t<br \/> \t\t\t\t\t\t<input type=\"text\" name=\"\" required> \t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n<p> \t\t\t\t\t<label>* Message<\/label> \t\t\t\t\t<br \/> \t\t\t\t\t<textarea name=\"message\" required><\/textarea> \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<div class=\"required-message\" style=\"display: none; padding-bottom: 15px;\">* All fields are required.<\/div>\n<p> \t\t\t\t\t<input type=\"submit\" value=\"Submit\" onclick=\"event.preventDefault(); firefly_sc();\"> \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<div class=\"firefly-sc-confirm\" style=\"display: none;\">Success!<\/div>\n<\/p><\/form>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p> \t\t<script> \t\t\tfunction firefly_sc() { \t\t\t\tif( typeof window.captchaPublicKey==typeof undefined ){ \t\t\t\t\tconsole.error('window.captchaPublicKey is not defined'); \t\t\t\t} \t\t\t\tgrecaptcha.execute( window.captchaPublicKey, { action: 'submit_correction' } ).then( function( token ) { \t\t\t\t\tvar opts={ \t\t\t\t\t\taction:    'firefly_sc_submit', \t\t\t\t\t\tname:      document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"name\"]' ).value, \t\t\t\t\t\t:     document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"\"]' ).value, \t\t\t\t\t\tmessage:   document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"message\"]' ).value, \t\t\t\t\t\tpost_id:   firefly_post_id, \t\t\t\t\t\tcap_token: token \t\t\t\t\t}  \t\t\t\t\tvar inputs=[ 'name', '', 'message' ];  \t\t\t\t\tfor( var i=0; i <inputs.length; i++ ) if( ! ( opts[inputs[i]]=document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"' + inputs[i] + '\"]' ).value ) ) { \t\t\t\t\t\tdocument.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction .required-message' ).style.display='block'; \t\t\t\t\t\treturn; \t\t\t\t\t}  \t\t\t\t\tdocument.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction input[type=\"submit\"]' ).style.display='none'; \t\t\t\t\tdocument.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction .firefly-sc-submitting-img' ).src=firefly_loading_gif_url; \t\t\t\t\tdocument.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction .firefly-sc-submitting-img' ).style.display='inline-block';  \t\t\t\t\tconsole.log( 'ma subbing' );  \t\t\t\t\tif( firefly_post_id ) opts['post_id']=firefly_post_id;  \t\t\t\t\t\/* Send the data using post with element id name and name2*\/ \t\t\t\t\tvar posting=jQuery.post( firefly_ajax_url, opts );  \t\t\t\t\t\/* Alerts the results *\/ \t\t\t\t\tposting.done( function( response ) { \t\t\t\t\t\tif( response.success ) { \t\t\t\t\t\t\tconsole.log( response.data ); \t\t\t\t\t\t\tdocument.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction .firefly-sc-submitting-img' ).style.display='none'; \t\t\t\t\t\t\tdocument.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction .firefly-sc-confirm' ).style.display='block';  \t\t\t\t\t\t\tdataLayer.push( { 'event': 'submit-correction' } ); \t\t\t\t\t\t} \t\t\t\t\t}); \t\t\t\t}); \t\t\t} \t\t<\/script> \t     \t\t\t\t\t\t     \t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n<p style=\"border: 1px solid #f5f5f5; padding: 16px;\">Advertise with The Western Journal and reach millions of highly engaged readers, while supporting our work. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/advertise-us\/?wj_source=article\">Advertise Today<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><script>console.log(\"ad slot (BA1)\")<\/script> \t\t<\/p>\n<div class=\"ff-fancy-header-container\"> \t\t\t \t<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pollster Nate Silver has identified Democratic New York Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as the leading candidate for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, a forecast that some critics argue underscores a shift to the left within the Democratic Party. Silver, who is well-known for establishing the statistical analysis platform FiveThirtyEight, made this assertion in a &#8220;Silver Bulletin&#8221; video on Substack, alongside Galen Druke, who also considers Ocasio-Cortez a top contender. Druke pointed out her strong support from her far-left base, as reported by The Daily Beast. Silver emphasized Ocasio-Cortez&#8217;s youthfulness, progressive views, and media savvy\u2014traits that may resonate differently depending on one&#8217;s political stance. Her recent &#8220;Fighting Oligarchy&#8221; tour with Bernie Sanders has attracted large crowds but also significant criticism<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2426580,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/AOC-4.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[8334,32904,53949],"class_list":["post-2426579","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-aoc","tag-nate-silver","tag-presidential-nominee"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/AOC-4.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2426579","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2426579"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2426579\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2426583,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2426579\/revisions\/2426583"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2426580"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2426579"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2426579"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2426579"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}