{"id":2384613,"date":"2024-12-30T07:26:02","date_gmt":"2024-12-30T12:26:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/deporting-illegal-alien-criminals-will-save-taxpayers-money\/"},"modified":"2024-12-30T07:29:50","modified_gmt":"2024-12-30T12:29:50","slug":"deporting-illegal-alien-criminals-will-save-taxpayers-money","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/deporting-illegal-alien-criminals-will-save-taxpayers-money\/","title":{"rendered":"Deporting Illegal Alien Criminals Will Save Taxpayers Money"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">16<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fdeporting-illegal-alien-criminals-will-save-taxpayers-money%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2384613&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>In a recent Senate Judiciary Committee\u200b hearing, Aaron\u200b Reichlin-Melnick, a Senior\u2064 Fellow at the American Immigration Council\u2062 (AIC), testified that mass deportations in the U.S.\u200d could cost at least $316 billion, based on an estimate of $88 billion annually\u200c to deport one <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/caitlyn-jenner-comes-out-in-support-of-path-to-citizenship-for-californias-illegal-aliens\/\" title=\"Caitlyn Jenner Comes Out In Support Of \u2018Path To Citizenship\u2019 For California\u2019s Illegal Aliens\">million undocumented immigrants<\/a>\u2062 each year. \u200bThe AIC&#8217;s calculations \u2064include costs for \u2062arrests, \u200bdetentions, legal processes, and\u2062 transportation, amounting to about \u2063$88,000 per deportee, which they consider \u2063a conservative estimate. They\u2062 project \u2063a total cost\u200d of around\u200d $967.9 billion over a decade.<\/p>\n<p>However, critics\u200d argue that these figures are exaggerated, with some suggesting that recent per-deportation \u200ccosts\u200b are considerably lower\u200c than the\u2064 AIC&#8217;s \u2064estimates. News media outlets extensively reported the \u200b$88 billion figure \u2064in October,but many did not cover the\u200c higher $316 billion estimate for deporting \u200d13 million people.Trump&#8217;s management suggests there is no price \u200ctoo high for deportation, though the financial implications could <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/jack-smith-files-gag-order-against-trump\/\" title=\"Jack Smith files a gag order against President Trump.\">influence public \u2062opinion<\/a> on\u2062 immigration policy.<\/p>\n<p>The AIC&#8217;s estimates\u200d depend on various assumptions, particularly regarding detention costs, and they may not account for existing\u200d facilities or the \u2064actual number of individuals\u2064 detained \u200dat any one time. Comparisons of \u2063the AIC&#8217;s figures with\u2064 U.S. \u2063Immigration and\u200c Customs Enforcement (ICE) \u200dbudgets suggest lower per-person deportation costs,\u2062 particularly when\u200d excluding pandemic-related removals. Ancient data shows a significant decline in annual deportations over the \u2064years, with the average per\u200c capita cost of deportation from 2015 to 2022 being approximately $12,124,\u200c contrasting with the much higher estimates from the AIC. this issue highlights conflicting views on the financial impact\u200d of mass deportation policies \u2064in \u2062America.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<div>\n<p>In testimony before the U.S. Senate Judiciary Committee, American Immigration Council (AIC) Senior Fellow Aaron Reichlin-Melnick remarked last week that mass deportations would cost &ldquo;at a minimum&rdquo; <a href=\"https:\/\/wgntv.com\/news\/washington-dc-bureau\/senate-judiciary-committee-holds-hearing-on-mass-deportation\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">$316 billion<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The AIC estimates that there is an annual cost of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.americanimmigrationcouncil.org\/research\/mass-deportation?_gl=1*gpim8b*_gcl_au*MTIzODIwNjQ3NS4xNzMxNDI5OTc3*_ga*NzM3MTg1NjM3LjE3MzE0Mjk5Nzg.*_ga_W0MSMD2GPV*MTczMTQyOTk3Ny4xLjAuMTczMTQyOTk3OS4wLjAuMA..\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">$88 billion<\/a> to deport one million illegal aliens each year. That breaks down to $7 billion for arrests, $66 billion for detentions, $12.6 billion to go through the legal process, and $2.1 billion to transport deportees out of the country. It works out to $88,000 per deportee, but the council claims this is a &ldquo;highly conservative estimate.&rdquo; They conclude there is &ldquo;a total cost of $967.9 billion over the course of more than a decade.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>But looking at the per deportee costs over recent years show a cost that is less than one-sixth of what the AIC estimates. Advocacy organizations such as AIC are out to create shock-value numbers.<\/p>\n<p>News media outlets covered the $88 billion estimate extensively when they were released in October, shortly before the election. The AIC figures were cited uncritically in The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/interactive\/2024\/10\/22\/us\/elections\/trump-deportation.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">New York Times<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.usatoday.com\/story\/news\/politics\/elections\/2024\/10\/22\/trump-mass-deportation-plan-cost\/75690260007\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">USA Today<\/a>, The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/politics\/policy\/trump-mass-deportation-immigrants-plan-348eaa91\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Wall Street Journal<\/a>, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsweek.com\/fox-news-host-questions-cost-practicality-trump-deportation-1983501\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Newsweek<\/a> as well as on <a href=\"https:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/Politics\/trump-mass-deportation-program-cost\/story?id=115318034\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">ABC<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbsnews.com\/news\/mass-deportations-cost-government-resources-60-minutes\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">CBS<\/a>, and CNN.<\/p>\n<p>Another estimate AIC put out, this &ldquo;one-time&rdquo; $316 billion cost of deporting 13 million, that was not reported by the media when they put out their report in October, comes to &ldquo;at a minimum&rdquo; $24,231 per deportee.<\/p>\n<p>While President Trump says that there is &ldquo;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailymail.co.uk\/news\/article-14059825\/Donald-Trump-mass-deportation-migrants-transition.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">no price tag<\/a>&rdquo; too high for deporting illegal aliens, costs are sure to factor into American public support.<\/p>\n<p>The numbers don&rsquo;t include ongoing government subsidies for food and housing, so the additional cost for housing might be less than the $66 billion AIC claims. <\/p>\n<p>The AIC&rsquo;s estimates depend on a lot of assumptions. Take their estimated costs of detention, which account for three-quarters of their total estimate. To deport one million people in a year doesn&rsquo;t mean that you have to have enough detention facilities to house one million people for an entire year. Even if you take AIC&rsquo;s claim that people will be detained for a little under two months on average, that means you would only have to house about 167,000 at any point in time. Others put the average detention time at around a month, so you only have to build facilities to house 83,000 and, according to AIC, we already have the facilities necessary to house 41,500.<\/p>\n<p>The AIC assumes each facility holds 500 beds, so 83 new facilities will have to be built. With each facility costing $35.91 million, that comes to a cost of $3 billion, a fraction of the $66 billion.<\/p>\n<p>The problem with the AIC numbers is even worse than that because they must rebuild 216 completely new facilities each and every year, but that isn&rsquo;t necessary as these facilities will last for years.<\/p>\n<p>They also assume that the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.americanimmigrationcouncil.org\/sites\/default\/files\/research\/mass_deportation_report_2024.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">daily cost of detaining an individual is $237 and a family is $482<\/a>. In the United States in 2022, the daily cost for prisoners in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bop.gov\/foia\/docs\/FY_22_Per_Capita.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">federal medium security<\/a> prisons is $122.50, and for high-security prisons is $164.87. Privately operated institutions for federal prisoners are only $<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bop.gov\/foia\/docs\/FY_22_Per_Capita.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">93.50<\/a> a day per capita.<\/p>\n<p>Other estimates may already be obsolete, such as how long illegals will be detained in custody before being deported, even if they were ever correct. The length of detention depends on the home countries taking back these illegal, but President Donald Trump is now promising that &ldquo;<a href=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/2024\/12\/12\/us-news\/donald-trump-says-he-wont-do-business-with-countries-that-refuse-to-take-back-migrants-i-want-them-out\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">we won&rsquo;t do business with those countries<\/a>&rdquo; that refuse to take back these migrants.<\/p>\n<p>Instead of guessing numbers, like how much it costs for the government to rent a plane and how many passengers will be on it or how long individuals are detained, we can try to come up with our own much simpler estimate by looking at U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement&rsquo;s (ICE) budget for Enforcement and Removal Operations. Then, we can compare it to the number of illegal aliens that ICE deported.<\/p>\n<p>ICE&rsquo;s budget doesn&rsquo;t include legal process costs, but it also overestimates the costs to the extent that it includes some enforcement costs related to customs.<\/p>\n<p>Compare the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dhs.gov\/dhs-budget\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Enforcement and Removal Operations budgets<\/a> available from 2015 to 2022 with the <a href=\"https:\/\/ohss.dhs.gov\/topics\/immigration\/immigration-enforcement\/immigration-enforcement-actions-annual-flow-report\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Immigration Enforcement Actions Annual Flow Reports<\/a>. The <a href=\"https:\/\/amzn.to\/3YuVZYV\">2023 annual enforcement actions report isn&#038;rsquo<\/a>;t yet available.<\/p>\n<p>To be conservative on these costs, we exclude expulsions due to Covid using Title 42, which averaged about 794,000 people from 2020 to 2022. While ICE spent on removing Title 42 deportees, these deportations are fairly inexpensive and will not occur in the future. Including these removals greatly reduces the per-person expulsion costs. For example, 88 percent of the deportations during the Biden administration&rsquo;s first two years occurred using Title 42.<\/p>\n<p>Deportations have clearly fallen over time. Yearly deportations during Bill Clinton averaged 1,536,363, George W. Bush&rsquo;s administration had 1,255,779. Under Obama, there were 656,112. Trump had 448,852, and Biden carried out 316,953. These figures exclude expulsions due to Covid.<\/p>\n<p>From 2015 to 2022, per capita deportation costs in 2024 dollars averaged $12,124. They range from $9,767 under Obama, $11,637 for Trump, and $15,499 for Biden. The higher numbers for Biden occurred as the budget rose, but the number of deportations excluding Title 42 fell significantly. AIC claims that the legal processing costs are $2,570. If we just assume that their estimate is correct, it raises the total per capita cost of deportation to $14,705. But even this is too high for several reasons, including the fact that 1.46 million illegals have <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/JohnRLottJr\/status\/1868034376120095128\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">already had their deportations approved by U.S. Department of Justice immigration judges<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Even if we include the entire Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) budget, which involves many other customs activities, the per-deportee costs from 2002 to 2022 average $13,706 in 2024 dollars. The year with the most deportations, 2004, saw 1.4 million deportees with a total ICE budget in 2024 dollars of $6.1 billion, or $4,354 per deportee.<\/p>\n<p>Administrations with more deportations have lower per-deportee costs due to economies of scale. If Trump really does plan on carrying out large-scale deportations, the costs for each person may be far lower than during his first administration.<\/p>\n<p>These numbers also assume that the policies of sanctuary cities and states remain unchanged. Still, after Trump&rsquo;s border czar Tom Homan threatened to put Denver Mayor Michael Johnston in jail after the mayor claimed he was willing to go to jail to protect the illegal aliens, Johnston appeared to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.msn.com\/en-in\/news\/world\/judge-dredd-is-coming-to-town-elon-musk-responds-to-tom-homan-s-deportation-dispute-with-denver-mayor\/ar-AA1uMltj\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">backtrack<\/a> on his promise. If sanctuary cities start assisting the federal government&rsquo;s deportation efforts, the costs might also come down.<\/p>\n<p>These conservative estimates are less than one-sixth to one-seventh the per deportee estimate of the AIC.<\/p>\n<p>Another estimate AIC put out is a &ldquo;one-time&rdquo; cost of $316 billion to deport 13 million, which wasn&rsquo;t reported by the media when they released their report in October. That comes to &ldquo;at a minimum&rdquo; $24,231 per deportee and shows the sensitivity of their estimates. But even that is roughly twice the estimate provided here.<\/p>\n<p>In September, the Deputy Director for ICE noted that of the 7.4 million <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nbcnews.com\/investigations\/13000-immigrants-convicted-homicide-living-freely-us-ice-data-rcna173125\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">&ldquo;non-detained&rdquo; noncitizens<\/a> with pending cases that were released into the United States, 662,566 have a criminal record. Our estimates indicate that it would cost about $8 billion to arrest and deport these criminals.<\/p>\n<p>By contrast, if these <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/arizona-moves-to-require-keeping-public-record-of-illegal-alien-crimes\/\" title=\"Arizona Moves to Require Keeping Public Record of Illegal Alien Crimes\">illegal aliens commit<\/a> a crime resembling the most serious crime that they have previously been convicted or charged with, the victimization costs amount to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearinvestigations.com\/articles\/2024\/11\/25\/illegal_migrants_less_likely_to_commit_crime_guess_again_1074276.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">at least $166.5 billion<\/a>. The National Institute of Justice estimated the costs to victims by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/two-elections-groups-fight-out-voter-intimidation-charges-in-court\/\" title=\"Two election groups battle voter intimidation charges in court.\">including medical bills<\/a>, lost wages, social\/victim services, property loss\/damage, police\/fire service costs, and pain and suffering.<\/p>\n<p>The costs of crime are roughly at least 21 times higher than deportation costs.<\/p>\n<p>When the AIC cost estimates are six to seven times larger than the per deportee costs that we have actually observed over the last decade, you would hope people would be skeptical. Unfortunately, the news media was only too willing to uncritically repeat their claims.<\/p>\n<hr>\n<p>      John R. Lott, Jr. is the president of the <a href=\"http:\/\/crimeresearch.org\/\">Crime Prevention Research Center<\/a>. He served as senior adviser for research and statistics in the Office of Justice Programs and the Office of Legal Policy at the Justice Department.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>AIC estimates mass deportations would cost at least $316 billion<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2384614,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/thefederalist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/26242322997_669c88837c_k.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[40458,6184,39655,37649,47585],"class_list":["post-2384613","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-criminaljustice","tag-deportation","tag-illegalimmigration","tag-publicpolicy","tag-taxpayersavings"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/thefederalist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/26242322997_669c88837c_k.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2384613","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2384613"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2384613\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2384617,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2384613\/revisions\/2384617"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2384614"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2384613"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2384613"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2384613"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}