{"id":2371594,"date":"2024-11-21T08:56:02","date_gmt":"2024-11-21T13:56:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/election-expert-allan-lichtman-leaves-platform-after-prediction-that-kamala-would-beat-trump-backfires\/"},"modified":"2024-11-21T08:57:54","modified_gmt":"2024-11-21T13:57:54","slug":"election-expert-allan-lichtman-leaves-platform-after-prediction-that-kamala-would-beat-trump-backfires","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/election-expert-allan-lichtman-leaves-platform-after-prediction-that-kamala-would-beat-trump-backfires\/","title":{"rendered":"Election Expert Allan Lichtman Leaves Platform After Prediction That Kamala Would Beat Trump Backfires"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">28<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Felection-expert-allan-lichtman-leaves-platform-after-prediction-that-kamala-would-beat-trump-backfires%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2371594&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>I&#8217;m sorry, but it looks \u200clike the text\u2062 you&#8217;re trying\u2063 to analyze is incomplete or corrupted. It seems to be an article discussing Allan Lichtman, a political forecaster, and his reaction to predictions surrounding the 2024 U.S. presidential \u2063election. \u200b <\/p>\n<p>If\u2063 you need a summary \u2062or specific information about this\u2062 text, please specify how I can assist you further! It sounds like you&#8217;re \u200dreferring to\u2062 an article \u2062discussing Allan Lichtman, who is known for his \u2062accurate predictions regarding U.S. presidential elections. If you&#8217;re looking for a summary of his forecasting\u2064 methods or his views \u200con the upcoming 2024 election, I\u200b can certainly help with that. <\/p>\n<p>Lichtman uses a series \u200dof &#8220;keys&#8221; \u200dor criteria that assess the political landscape, such as the\u2063 economy, social \u200bunrest, and\u2064 incumbent performance, to predict election outcomes.\u200c His approach is historical and systemic, aiming\u2062 to evaluate the underlying factors that \u2063<a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/meme-its-been-a-great-day-for-trump\/\" title=\"Today has been a successful day for Trump\">influence \u200bvoter behavior<\/a>\u2064 rather than relying on polling data alone.<\/p>\n<p>Please let me know\u200c what specific information you&#8217;d\u2062 like to know about Allan Lichtman or\u200c his \u2062predictions for the 2024\u200c election!  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<p><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><\/p>\n<section> \t\t\t\t<script>console.log(\"ad slot (AC1)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC1)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC2)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC3)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC4)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (REP_0)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (REP_1)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (REP_2)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (REP_3)\")<\/script><\/p>\n<p>Allan Lichtman, an election prognosticator who predicted President-elect Donald Trump would lose, rage-quit the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/the-new-acting-attorney-general-jeff-rosen-recently-wrote-an-essay-on-foreign-influence-in-us-elections-this-tells-us-a-little-about-his-knowledge-of-whats-going-on-today\/\" title=\"The New Acting Attorney General Jeff Rosen Recently Wrote an Essay on Foreign Influence in US Elections \u2013 This Tells Us A Little About His Knowledge of What\u2019s Going On Today\">social media platform<\/a> X after suffering a series of epic meltdowns over his failed forecast.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/wrong-election-expert-suffers-meltdown-called-predicting-kamala-win\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Lichtman<\/a>, a professor at American University, was nicknamed the &ldquo;Polling Nostradamus&rdquo; by the liberal media for correctly predicting the outcomes of nine of the last 10 presidential races &mdash; before 2024, that is.<\/p>\n<p>After being criticized post-Nov. 5 for refusing to admit his prediction model was unreliable, Lichtman quit X in a huff and moved to Bluesky, a left-wing version of X.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;Professor Allan Lichtman&rsquo;s X account has just been deleted,&rdquo; an X user wrote Thursday. &ldquo;He said that he is moving to &lsquo;Bluesky&rsquo; after <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/predators-paradise-facebook-faces-criticism-over-sexual-comments-on-underage-instagram-photos\/\" title=\"Predator&#039;s Paradise: Facebook Faces Criticism over Sexual Comments on Underage Instagram Photos\">facing intense criticism<\/a> over totally botching the 2024 election.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;Lichtman had a total meltdown yesterday after Cenk Uygur called him out for not admitting his model sucks.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p> <script type=\"text\/javascript\"> \t\t\tif ( getCookie( \"ff_subbed\" ) ) { \t\t\t\tdocument.getElementById(\"stnvideo\").remove() \t\t\t} \t\t<\/script> <\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">JUST IN: Professor Allan Lichtman&rsquo;s &#120143; account has just been deleted.<\/p>\n<p>He said that he is moving to &ldquo;Bluesky&rdquo; after facing intense criticism over totally botching the 2024 election.<\/p>\n<p>Lichtman had a total meltdown yesterday after Cenk Uygur called him out for not admitting his&hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/7Sm5FmPLYg\">pic.twitter.com\/7Sm5FmPLYg<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/EricLDaugh\/status\/1859351833837183390?\">November 20, 2024<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">BREAKING: Professor Allan Litchman who predicted that Kamala Harris would win the Presidency has just announced he is deactivating his X account and leaving. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/U9Kj3yCfzU\">pic.twitter.com\/U9Kj3yCfzU<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Ian Jaeger (@IanJaeger29) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/IanJaeger29\/status\/1859248814328000532?\">November 20, 2024<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>On Election Night, Lichtman &mdash; a Democrat &mdash; suffered a comical <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/nostradamus-presidential-election-predictions-ends-livestream-trump-win-shatters-record\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">emotional breakdown<\/a> on live video as he realized that Trump had won Pennsylvania.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">Egomaniac and fraud Allan Lichtman built his entire reputation\/brand on his BS formula which he insisted would determine the winner of every presidential election (except one &#128514;&#129335;&zwj;&#9794;&#65039;)&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>Last night, he was on video live as it all went up in flames&hellip;<br \/> &#128064;&#128561;&#129318;&zwj;&#9794;&#65039; <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/0Es7omAUDg\">pic.twitter.com\/0Es7omAUDg<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; John Ziegler (@Zigmanfreud) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Zigmanfreud\/status\/1854297651094724771?\">November 6, 2024<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>In the months leading up to the election, the liberal media had gleefully elevated Lichtman because he repeatedly insisted <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/texas-gifts-trump-post-election-prize-will-kick-start-monumental-deportation-effort\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Trump<\/a> would lose.<\/p>\n<p>Naturally, his forecast made the corporate media giddy because they desperately wanted Vice President Kamala Harris to win.<\/p>\n<p>Lichtman&rsquo;s childish tantrums after his <a href=\"https:\/\/amzn.to\/3YuVZYV\">prediction model failed shows<\/a> what an immature, partisan clown he is.<\/p>\n<p>As a reminder, statistician <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/establishment-polling-expert-makes-prediction-2024-election-isnt-toss\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Nate Silver<\/a>, an avowed Trump-hater, was similarly mocked after he wrongly predicted in 2016 that Hillary Clinton would trounce Trump.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">Our final forecast of the year just published! Clinton is a 71% favorite in polls-only, 72% in polls-plus. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/UxLqelkmvP\">https:\/\/t.co\/UxLqelkmvP<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/yTXPTLF5Ri\">pic.twitter.com\/yTXPTLF5Ri<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NateSilver538\/status\/796000742066753537?\">November 8, 2016<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>To his credit, Silver did not have histrionic hissy fits when he was criticized for his egregiously wrong forecast.<\/p>\n<p>That&rsquo;s the same approach Lichtman should have taken. But he didn&rsquo;t.<\/p>\n<p>As a result of Lichtman&rsquo;s outbursts, he now continues to be trolled on social media &mdash; this time for his childish antics.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-conversation=\"none\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">It&rsquo;s hilarious that all of the &ldquo;tolerant&rdquo; and &ldquo;open-minded&rdquo; Lefties fold like a cheap suit at the first hint of counter-arguments or criticism and runaway to an echo chamber where their feelz won&rsquo;t get hurt. Children.<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; LegioInvictus (@LegioInvictus24) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/LegioInvictus24\/status\/1859357755418566697?\">November 20, 2024<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-conversation=\"none\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">Awww, poor baby&rsquo;s feelings got hurt.<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; KShav (@KShav6) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/KShav6\/status\/1859366866252149120?\">November 20, 2024<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-conversation=\"none\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">Trump winning broke him.<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Savannah (@BasedSavannah) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/BasedSavannah\/status\/1859256258714386820?\">November 20, 2024<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>In a farcical irony, one X user pointed out that Lichtman is also being trolled on BlueSky.<\/p>\n<p>A screenshot shows a BlueSky user berating the Democratic pollster for his failed forecast.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;Hey, you old white man loser! You lied to us and gave us false hope,&rdquo; on BlueSky user wrote, according to the screenshot.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;You should retire in shame! Nobody cares about you!&rdquo;<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-conversation=\"none\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">Doesn&rsquo;t look like things are going that much better for him on bluecry! &#129315;&#129315;&#129315; <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/cyVEeiJMCu\">pic.twitter.com\/cyVEeiJMCu<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Tejano for Trump &#127474;&#127485;&#127482;&#127474;&#127477;&#127479; (@ArodZ81) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ArodZ81\/status\/1859403961335263448?\">November 21, 2024<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Lichtman&rsquo;s incorrect forecast spotlights once again that polls and prediction models are often unreliable.<\/p>\n<p>It&rsquo;s sometimes useful to look at forecasts, but polls and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/election-expert-identifies-brutal-problem-for-kamala-weighs-in-on-who-leads-in-trump-harris-matchup\/\" title=\"Election Expert Identifies Brutal Problem for Kamala, Weighs in on Who Leads in Trump-Harris Matchup\">predictions don&#038;rsquo<\/a>;t win elections; fair elections do.<\/p>\n<p>As long as the potential for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/battleground-state-re-count-tens-thousands-ballots-observer-spots-tabulator-issue\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">voter fraud<\/a>&nbsp;goes unchecked, any election prediction is, to quote William Shakespeare, &ldquo;a tale told by an idiot, full of sound and fury, signifying nothing.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<div style=\"position: relative;\">\n<div class=\"ff-fancy-header-container\"> \t\t\t \t<\/div>\n<div class=\"entry-submit-correction inner-content\">\n<div class=\"correction-form\">\n<form style=\"display: none;\">\n<div class=\"sc-name-field\"> \t\t\t\t\t\t<label>* Name<\/label> \t\t\t\t\t\t<br \/> \t\t\t\t\t\t<input type=\"text\" name=\"name\" required> \t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n<div class=\"sc--field\"> \t\t\t\t\t\t<label>* <\/label> \t\t\t\t\t\t<br \/> \t\t\t\t\t\t<input type=\"text\" name=\"\" required> \t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n<p> \t\t\t\t\t<label>* Message<\/label> \t\t\t\t\t<br \/> \t\t\t\t\t<textarea name=\"message\" required><\/textarea> \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<div class=\"required-message\" style=\"display: none; padding-bottom: 15px;\">* All fields are required.<\/div>\n<p> \t\t\t\t\t<input type=\"submit\" value=\"Submit\" onclick=\"event.preventDefault(); firefly_sc();\"> \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<div class=\"firefly-sc-confirm\" style=\"display: none;\">Success!<\/div>\n<\/p><\/form>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p> \t\t<script> \t\t\tfunction firefly_sc() { \t\t\t\tif( typeof window.captchaPublicKey==typeof undefined ){ \t\t\t\t\tconsole.error('window.captchaPublicKey is not defined'); \t\t\t\t} \t\t\t\tgrecaptcha.execute( window.captchaPublicKey, { action: 'submit_correction' } ).then( function( token ) { \t\t\t\t\tvar opts={ \t\t\t\t\t\taction:    'firefly_sc_submit', \t\t\t\t\t\tname:      document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"name\"]' ).value, \t\t\t\t\t\t:     document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"\"]' ).value, \t\t\t\t\t\tmessage:   document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"message\"]' ).value, \t\t\t\t\t\tpost_id:   firefly_post_id, \t\t\t\t\t\tcap_token: token \t\t\t\t\t}  \t\t\t\t\tvar inputs=[ 'name', '', 'message' ];  \t\t\t\t\tfor( var i=0; i <inputs.length; i++ ) if( ! 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A professor at American University, Lichtman earned the nickname &#8220;Polling Nostradamus&#8221; from liberal media for accurately forecasting nine of the last ten presidential elections\u2014until 2024. Following criticism for not acknowledging flaws in his prediction model after November 5, he deleted his X account and switched to Bluesky, a more left-leaning platform. An X user noted on Thursday that Lichtman had moved to Bluesky due to backlash over his failed election predictions and mentioned a meltdown he had when called out by Cenk Uygur for not admitting his model&#8217;s shortcomings.<\/p>\n<p>On Election Night, Lichtman\u2014a Democrat\u2014had a dramatic breakdown during a live broadcast upon realizing Trump had won Pennsylvania. His reputation was built on a flawed formula he claimed could predict every presidential election winner (except one). The liberal media had previously celebrated him for insisting Trump would lose, as they were eager for Vice President Kamala Harris to win.<\/p>\n<p>Lichtman&#8217;s reactions following the failure of his prediction have led to ridicule on social media. Critics pointed out how quickly some members of the &#8220;tolerant&#8221; Left retreat into echo chambers when faced with opposing views or criticism. Ironically, even after moving platforms, Lichtman continued to face trolling on Bluesky from users upset about his inaccurate forecasts.<\/p>\n<p>His incorrect predictions highlight that polls and forecasting models can often be unreliable; while they may provide insights, actual elections are determined by fair voting processes rather than predictions alone. As long as there is potential for voter fraud without oversight, any electoral forecast can be dismissed as meaningless noise<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2371595,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Allan-Lichtman.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[33667,44419,32438,3634],"class_list":["post-2371594","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-allan-lichtman","tag-election-predictions","tag-kamala-harris","tag-trump"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Allan-Lichtman.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2371594","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2371594"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2371594\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2371598,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2371594\/revisions\/2371598"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2371595"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2371594"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2371594"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2371594"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}