{"id":2366053,"date":"2024-11-08T09:47:02","date_gmt":"2024-11-08T14:47:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/2024-polling-champ-rasmussen-reports-washington-examiner\/"},"modified":"2024-11-08T09:48:46","modified_gmt":"2024-11-08T14:48:46","slug":"2024-polling-champ-rasmussen-reports-washington-examiner","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/2024-polling-champ-rasmussen-reports-washington-examiner\/","title":{"rendered":"2024 polling champ: Rasmussen Reports &#8211; Washington Examiner"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"float:left\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">16<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2F2024-polling-champ-rasmussen-reports-washington-examiner%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2366053&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>The article\u2062 discusses Mark Mitchell, the lead pollster at Rasmussen Reports, who gained prominence during the 2024 presidential election cycle. Mitchell, a self-taught pollster and\u200c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/u-s-navy-not-ready-for-war-weathering-a-crisis-of-woke-leadership-and-culture-report\/\" title=\"U.S. Navy Not Ready For War, \u2018Weathering A Crisis\u2019 Of Woke Leadership And Culture: Report\">retired naval officer<\/a>, stands \u200cout in his field for living \u2063outside Washington D.C. and openly\u2063 criticizing what\u200b he perceives as biases in other\u2062 Washington-based polls. With \u200ba \u200c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/mark-meadows-taps-former-bush-solicitor-general-to-fight-georgia-rico-case\/\" title=\"Mark Meadows enlists ex-Bush solicitor general for Georgia RICO case\">notable track record<\/a>, Rasmussen\u2062 Reports was one of only two pollsters\u2062 to accurately call \u2062the popular vote, predicting Donald\u2064 Trump would receive 49% and Kamala \u2064Harris 46%,\u200c whereas Trump eventually won\u2064 50% to\u2063 47%.<\/p>\n<p>Mitchell argues that many \u200dpolls, particularly those favoring\u2063 Harris, displayed liberal bias and called out various organizations \u2063for allegedly misleading \u2062results. He stated that some\u200d polls acted as \u201cpsychological operations\u201d for Democrats, claiming that errors in forecasts, like \u200bthe well-known Iowa survey by Ann Selzer, \u200bhad more to do with political agendas rather than\u2064 accurate polling. The\u200b piece highlights Mitchell&#8217;s\u200d unconventional approach and his critique of the polling \u200cindustry&#8217;s integrity during the election\u200b cycle.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<p><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><\/p>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-button\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-icon td-icon-mobile\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-header-search-button-mob dropdown-toggle\" data-toggle=\"dropdown\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-search-icon td-icon-search\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-button\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-icon td-icon-mobile\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div class=\"tdb-drop-down-search\" aria-labelledby=\"td-header-search-button\">\n<div class=\"tdb-drop-down-search-inner\">\n<form method=\"get\" class=\"tdb-search-form\" action=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/\"><\/form>\n<div class=\"tdb-aj-search\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/#\" role=\"button\" aria-label=\"Search\" class=\"tdb-head-search-btn dropdown-toggle\" data-toggle=\"dropdown\"><i class=\"tdb-search-icon td-icon-search\"><\/i><\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<h1 class=\"tdb-title-text\">2024 polling champ: Rasmussen Reports<\/h1>\n<div><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-title-line\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div id=\"Brid_1876437\" class=\"tpd-featured-video bridtv\"><\/div>\n<p>Mark Mitchell, the self-taught <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/polls\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"pollster\">pollster<\/a> for Rasmussen Reports, has a little but revealing secret to tell about his mysterious business.<\/p>\n<div class=\"article-paywall\">\n<p>&ldquo;It&rsquo;s not rocket science,&rdquo; said the Wharton School graduate and retired nuclear Navy officer who just completed his first presidential cycle with the best <a href=\"https:\/\/washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/2024-elections\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"Election Day\">Election Day<\/a> record in the industry.<\/p>\n<p>Mitchell is an outlier in the insular industry. He doesn&rsquo;t live in Washington. He&rsquo;s the first to criticize the Washington-based polls when he sees bias. And he&rsquo;s quick to respond to critics of his polls.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;This is my first presidential cycle. So I guess an untrained, non-statistics person can come in and school all these clowns,&rdquo; he told Secrets.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"zxx\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/CNtxskeFt1\">https:\/\/t.co\/CNtxskeFt1<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/wkvdH7CUS0\">pic.twitter.com\/wkvdH7CUS0<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Rasmussen Reports (@Rasmussen_Poll) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Rasmussen_Poll\/status\/1854397461902524515?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 7, 2024<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script data-cfasync=\"false\" src=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/cdn-cgi\/scripts\/5c5dd728\/cloudflare-static\/email-decode.min.js\"><\/script><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>    <\/p>\n<p>Only two polls called the popular vote nearly exactly: Rasmussen Reports and the <em>Wall Street Journal. <\/em>Both had the final vote as 49% for President-elect <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/donald-trump\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"Donald Trump\">Donald Trump<\/a> and 46% for Vice President <a href=\"https:\/\/washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/kamala-harris\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"Kamala Harris\">Kamala Harris<\/a>. Trump won 50%-47%.<\/p>\n<p>The difference in the two polls, Mitchell said, is that Rasmussen had Trump leading Harris for 15 straight weeks, while the <em>Wall Street Journal<\/em> polled before the conventions, after them, and right before the election. What&rsquo;s more, the <em>Wall Street Journal<\/em> showed a Harris convention bump that Mitchell said didn&rsquo;t happen.<\/p>\n<p>As for the other polls, especially those showing Harris winning, Mitchell blamed liberal bias.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;I&rsquo;ve been calling these people out this entire cycle as shilling for Democrats and being absolutely shameless liars,&rdquo; he said. Mitchell even said that some polls acted as &ldquo;psyops&rdquo; for Democrats.<\/p>\n<p>At the end of the election, the gold standard Iowa survey from pollster Ann Selzer showed Harris winning the state in what turned out to be a 16-point error. Some in the political world raised their eyebrows when it was published, but most in the media went with the wrong results to claim it showed a big anti-Trump wave coming on Election Day.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">State Forecasting Accuracy by Organization, Battleground States Only.<\/p>\n<p>Atlas Intel 100%<br \/>PollFair 86%<br \/>Rasmussen 86%<br \/>Trafalgar 71%<br \/>Insider Advantage 71%<br \/>Real Clear Politics 71%<br \/>Fabrizio 67%<br \/>Remington 67%<br \/>Emerson 57%<br \/>Wall Street Journal 50%<br \/>Beacon (Fox) 50%<br \/>Marist 50%<br \/>Morning&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; PollFair (@poll_fair) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/poll_fair\/status\/1854548395853046092?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 7, 2024<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>    <\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, as Mitchell showed Trump consistently ahead nationally, &ldquo;everybody laughed at us&rdquo; and called Rasmussen a &ldquo;right-wing&rdquo; pollster, he said.<\/p>\n<p>To keep his polls accurate, Mitchell said he was constantly tweaking his sample to make it the closest possible to the voting public. And he said that even with that effort, his poll sample tilted slightly left.<\/p>\n<p>He nailed most of the state battleground surveys. Three came in exactly as he predicted: North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and New Mexico. His only miss was in Texas.<\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/washington-secrets\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">SEE THE LATEST POLITICAL NEWS AND BUZZ FROM WASHINGTON SECRETS<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>In the end, he said his &ldquo;absolute&rdquo; polling error was 1.9 points, less than half of most others. &ldquo;You can&rsquo;t do much better than that,&rdquo; he said, adding that &ldquo;it&rsquo;s impossible to get to zero without luck.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>Mitchell said polling will always lean left as long as the &ldquo;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/culture-did-a-way-better-job-of-signaling-trumps-win-than-polls\/\" title=\"Culture Did A Way Better Job Of Signaling Trump&#039;s Win Than Polls\">legacy media&#038;rdquo<\/a>; fund them. In a YouTube video for his website, he said, &ldquo;I really don&rsquo;t think the industry is going to change until <a href=\"https:\/\/amzn.to\/3YuVZYV\">legacy corporate mainstream media dies<\/a>.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p> <script>!function(){var g=window;g.googletag=g.googletag||{},g.googletag.cmd=g.googletag.cmd||[],g.googletag.cmd.push(function(){g.googletag.pubads().setTargeting(\"has-featured-video\",\"true\")})}();<\/script><script>var _bp=_bp||[];_bp.push({\"div\":\"Brid_1876437\",\"obj\":{\"id\":\"27789\",\"width\":\"1280\",\"height\":\"720\",\"stickyDirection\":\"below\",\"video\":\"1876437\"}});<\/script><script defer src=\"https:\/\/services.brid.tv\/player\/build\/brid.min.js\"><\/script><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>2024 polling leader: Rasmussen Reports&#8217; Mark Mitchell, a self-taught pollster, reveals his secret: &#8220;It&#8217;s not rocket science.&#8221; A Wharton graduate and retired nuclear Navy officer, he achieved the industry&#8217;s top Election Day record in his first presidential cycle<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2647,"featured_media":2366054,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/AP24313031179392-scaled-1024x683.webp","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[538],"tags":[32431,33017,15698,44617,32076],"class_list":["post-2366053","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-washington-examiner","tag-2024-election","tag-political-analysis","tag-polling","tag-rasmussen-reports","tag-washington-examiner"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/AP24313031179392-scaled-1024x683.webp","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2366053","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2647"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2366053"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2366053\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2366057,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2366053\/revisions\/2366057"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2366054"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2366053"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2366053"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2366053"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}