{"id":2364445,"date":"2024-11-05T14:53:02","date_gmt":"2024-11-05T19:53:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/gamblers-giving-trump-22-point-advantage-over-harris-just-hours-before-polls-close\/"},"modified":"2024-11-05T14:54:24","modified_gmt":"2024-11-05T19:54:24","slug":"gamblers-giving-trump-22-point-advantage-over-harris-just-hours-before-polls-close","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/gamblers-giving-trump-22-point-advantage-over-harris-just-hours-before-polls-close\/","title":{"rendered":"Gamblers Giving Trump 22 Point Advantage Over Harris Just Hours Before Polls Close"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">26<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fgamblers-giving-trump-22-point-advantage-over-harris-just-hours-before-polls-close%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2364445&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>The\u2063 summary discusses the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/2024-election-betting-odds-trump-takes-largest-lead-since-july-washington-examiner\/\" title=\"2024 election betting odds: Trump takes largest lead since July - Washington Examiner\">current betting odds<\/a> for the\u200c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/republicans-press-doj-about-impartiality-after-biden-staffer-met-with-jack-smiths-team-before-trump-indictment\/\" title=\"Republicans question DOJ&#039;s impartiality after Biden staffer meets with Jack Smith&#039;s team prior to Trump indictment.\">upcoming presidential\u2063 election<\/a>\u2064 between former President Donald Trump \u2064and Vice President Kamala Harris. \u200cAs of Tuesday at 2:00\u2062 p.m. Eastern Time, several prediction markets \u200cshow Trump leading with a 61% chance of winning according\u2063 to\u200d Polymarket, 58% on\u200d Kalshi, and \u2063a narrower 52% on PredictIt. The fluctuations in odds \u2064over time highlight the volatility of \u2063the race, with Trump gaining traction throughout October, hitting a peak\u2062 of 64.2%\u200c on October\u2064 28. However, Harris briefly surged before the odds shifted \u200cback in Trump&#8217;s favor. The article also mentions\u200b the chances of both\u200c parties gaining control of Congress, with GOP odds at 82% for the Senate and Democrats at\u200c 53% for the\u2062 House. The \u2063prediction markets \u200dhave\u200d been noted to be\u200b inaccurate in the\u2063 past, indicating that these figures\u200b should \u2064be viewed\u200b with caution.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<p><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><\/p>\n<section> \t\t\t\t<script>console.log(\"ad slot (AC1)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC1)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC2)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC3)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC4)\")<\/script><\/p>\n<p>Odds are on former President Donald Trump to be elected president, according to three top sites that allow betting on the election.<\/p>\n<p>The prediction odds are what are used by folks who put up money on the contest and are odds as determined by the sites, not <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/psaki-doesnt-deny-bidens-approval-has-declined-sharply-blames-part-of-the-american-public\/\" title=\"Psaki Doesn\u2019t Deny Biden\u2019s Approval Has \u2018Declined Sharply,\u2019 Blames Part Of The American Public\">public opinion polls<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>After a roller coaster of oddsmaking, as of 2:00 p.m. Eastern Time on Tuesday, <a href=\"https:\/\/polymarket.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Polymarket<\/a> put the odds of a Trump victory at 61 percent, while the odds of Vice President <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/trump-campaign-reminds-kamala-really-ahead-data-shows-election-crisis-getting-worse\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Kamala Harris<\/a> winning were at 39 percent.<\/p>\n<p>The prediction site <a href=\"https:\/\/kalshi.com\/elections\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Kalshi<\/a> said the odds of a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/trump-support-seen-field-suites-monday-night-football\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Trump<\/a> win are 58 percent, while the chances of a Harris win are at 42 percent.<\/p>\n<p>Over at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.predictit.org\/markets\/3\/Presidency\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">PredictIt<\/a>, the oddsmakers were more cautious, with Trump given a 52 percent chance of winning against a 48 percent chance for Harris.<\/p>\n<p> <script type=\"text\/javascript\"> \t\t\tif ( getCookie( \"ff_subbed\" ) ) { \t\t\t\tdocument.getElementById(\"stnvideo\").remove() \t\t\t} \t\t<\/script> <\/p>\n<p>(<em>Don&rsquo;t know what to look out for on Election Day? Become a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/subscribe\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Western Journal Member<\/a> for access to our exclusive <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/western-journals-guide-2024-election-everything-need-know\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Election Guide<\/a>.<\/em>)<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">Latest Swing State Odds<\/p>\n<p>&#128997; Arizona &bull; Trump 78% &ndash; Harris 22%<br \/> &#128997; Georgia &bull; Trump 70% &ndash; Harris 30%<br \/> &#128997; Pennsylvania &bull; Trump 59% &ndash; Harris 41%<br \/> &#10068;Nevada &bull; Harris 50% &ndash; Trump 50%<br \/> &#128998; Wisconsin &bull; Harris 54% &ndash; Trump 46%<br \/> &#128998; Michigan &bull; Harris 61% &ndash; Trump 39%<\/p>\n<p>Polls begin to close&hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/cTg4OG1N3l\">pic.twitter.com\/cTg4OG1N3l<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Polymarket (@Polymarket) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Polymarket\/status\/1853861065056006535?\">November 5, 2024<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>The odds of who will win the race between Harris and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/accurate-pollster-2020-shows-battleground-sweep-trump-final-polls\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Trump<\/a> have fluctuated throughout the campaign and have continued to fluctuate throughout Tuesday.<\/p>\n<p>For example, at <a href=\"https:\/\/kalshi.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Kalshi<\/a>, up until about Oct. 10, Harris and Trump were about even, with the odds of one winning going up a point or so here, down a point or so there.<\/p>\n<p>Trump gained steadily throughout most of October, hitting a high-water mark in the odds market on Oct. 28, when the odds of him winning hit 64.2 percent while Harris bottomed out at 35.8 percent.<\/p>\n<p>Then came a Harris surge that peaked Friday, with the odds of Trump winning going down to 53 percent while Harris was at 47 percent.<\/p>\n<p>On Saturday, however, Trump increased his odds of winning, hitting 56 percent while Harris was at 44 percent, with the odds fluctuating hour by hour as new polls and new sound bites emerged.<\/p>\n<p>Tuesday&rsquo;s showing by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/lifelong-liberal-hollywood-star-flips-daddy-trump-shreds-deep-state-neocons-corporate-swamp\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Trump<\/a> on Polymarket is up from Saturday, when it said there was a 59.4 percent chance of Trump winning the election against a 40.7 chance of Harris winning.<\/p>\n<p>As for control of Congress, Polymarket gave the GOP an 82 percent chance of taking control of the Senate and Democrats a 53 percent chance of taking over the House.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">Latest Balance of Power Odds<\/p>\n<p>&#128997; Presidency: 59% Republican<br \/> &#128997; Senate: 82% Republican<br \/> &#128998; House: 53% Democrat <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/FsRZmBHsQB\">pic.twitter.com\/FsRZmBHsQB<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Polymarket (@Polymarket) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Polymarket\/status\/1853869633440231671?\">November 5, 2024<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.axios.com\/2024\/11\/05\/prediction-markets-2024-presidential-election-trump-harris\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Axios<\/a> noted that Trump&rsquo;s dip in the <a href=\"https:\/\/amzn.to\/3YuVZYV\">prediction markets late<\/a> last week could have nothing to do with the outcome of the election.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;It&rsquo;s possible that Trump&rsquo;s odds fell over the weekend because more investors were cashing out their bets,&rdquo; the site wrote.<\/p>\n<p>Axios also noted that prediction markets have been wrong before where <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/joe-rogan-finally-makes-endorsement-elon-musk-lays-compelling-case-trump-hear\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Trump<\/a> was involved, noting that PredictIt gave Hillary Clinton an 82 percent chance of winning the day before the 2016 election.<\/p>\n<div style=\"position: relative;\">\n<div class=\"ff-fancy-header-container\"> \t\t\t \t<\/div>\n<div class=\"entry-submit-correction inner-content\">\n<div class=\"correction-form\">\n<form style=\"display: none;\">\n<div class=\"sc-name-field\"> \t\t\t\t\t\t<label>* Name<\/label> \t\t\t\t\t\t<br \/> \t\t\t\t\t\t<input type=\"text\" name=\"name\" required> \t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n<div class=\"sc--field\"> \t\t\t\t\t\t<label>* <\/label> \t\t\t\t\t\t<br \/> \t\t\t\t\t\t<input type=\"text\" name=\"\" required> \t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n<p> \t\t\t\t\t<label>* Message<\/label> \t\t\t\t\t<br \/> \t\t\t\t\t<textarea name=\"message\" required><\/textarea> \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<div class=\"required-message\" style=\"display: none; padding-bottom: 15px;\">* All fields are required.<\/div>\n<p> \t\t\t\t\t<input type=\"submit\" value=\"Submit\" onclick=\"event.preventDefault(); firefly_sc();\"> \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<div class=\"firefly-sc-confirm\" style=\"display: none;\">Success!<\/div>\n<\/p><\/form>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p> \t\t<script> \t\t\tfunction firefly_sc() { \t\t\t\tif( typeof window.captchaPublicKey==typeof undefined ){ \t\t\t\t\tconsole.error('window.captchaPublicKey is not defined'); \t\t\t\t} \t\t\t\tgrecaptcha.execute( window.captchaPublicKey, { action: 'submit_correction' } ).then( function( token ) { \t\t\t\t\tvar opts={ \t\t\t\t\t\taction:    'firefly_sc_submit', \t\t\t\t\t\tname:      document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"name\"]' ).value, \t\t\t\t\t\t:     document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"\"]' ).value, \t\t\t\t\t\tmessage:   document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"message\"]' ).value, \t\t\t\t\t\tpost_id:   firefly_post_id, \t\t\t\t\t\tcap_token: token \t\t\t\t\t}  \t\t\t\t\tvar inputs=[ 'name', '', 'message' ];  \t\t\t\t\tfor( var i=0; i <inputs.length; i++ ) if( ! ( opts[inputs[i]]=document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"' + inputs[i] + '\"]' ).value ) ) { \t\t\t\t\t\tdocument.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction .required-message' ).style.display='block'; \t\t\t\t\t\treturn; \t\t\t\t\t}  \t\t\t\t\tdocument.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction input[type=\"submit\"]' ).style.display='none'; \t\t\t\t\tdocument.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction .firefly-sc-submitting-img' ).src=firefly_loading_gif_url; \t\t\t\t\tdocument.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction .firefly-sc-submitting-img' ).style.display='inline-block';  \t\t\t\t\tconsole.log( 'ma subbing' );  \t\t\t\t\tif( firefly_post_id ) opts['post_id']=firefly_post_id;  \t\t\t\t\t\/* Send the data using post with element id name and name2*\/ \t\t\t\t\tvar posting=jQuery.post( firefly_ajax_url, opts );  \t\t\t\t\t\/* Alerts the results *\/ \t\t\t\t\tposting.done( function( response ) { \t\t\t\t\t\tif( response.success ) { \t\t\t\t\t\t\tconsole.log( response.data ); \t\t\t\t\t\t\tdocument.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction .firefly-sc-submitting-img' ).style.display='none'; \t\t\t\t\t\t\tdocument.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction .firefly-sc-confirm' ).style.display='block';  \t\t\t\t\t\t\tdataLayer.push( { 'event': 'submit-correction' } ); \t\t\t\t\t\t} \t\t\t\t\t}); \t\t\t\t}); \t\t\t} \t\t<\/script> \t     \t\t\t\t\t\t     \t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n<p style=\"border: 1px solid #f5f5f5; padding: 16px;\">Advertise with The Western Journal and reach millions of highly engaged readers, while supporting our work. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/advertise-us\/?wj_source=article\">Advertise Today<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><script>console.log(\"ad slot (BA1)\")<\/script> \t\t<\/p>\n<div class=\"ff-fancy-header-container\"> \t\t\t \t<\/div>\n<style> \t\t\t \t\t\t.insticator-unit.type-commenting{margin: 0 10px 25px 10px}@media screen and (max-width:1060px){#div-insticator-ad-cmt-1, #div-insticator-ad-cmt-2, #div-insticator-ad-cmt-3, #div-insticator-ad-cmt-4{margin: 0 auto 25px auto !important;}}#div-insticator-ad-cmt-1, #div-insticator-ad-cmt-2, #div-insticator-ad-cmt-3, #div-insticator-ad-cmt-4{height: 280px !important; width: 336px !important} \t\t<\/style>\n<div class=\"insticator-unit type-commenting\">\n<div class=\"insticator-ads\"> \t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t<script data-cfasync=\"false\" type=\"text\/javascript\"> \t\t\t\t\tif ( ! getCookie( \"ff_subbed\" ) ) { \t\t\t\t\t\tInsticator.ad.loadAd(\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-1\"); \t\t\t\t\t\tInsticator.ad.loadAd(\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-2\"); \t\t\t\t\t} else { \t\t\t\t\t\tdocument.getElementById(\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-1\").remove() \t\t\t\t\t\tdocument.getElementById(\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-2\").remove() \t\t\t\t\t} \t\t\t\t<\/script> \t\t\t<\/div>\n<div class=\"insticator-ads additional\"> \t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t<script data-cfasync=\"false\" type=\"text\/javascript\"> \t\t\t\t\tif ( ! getCookie( \"ff_subbed\" ) ) { \t\t\t\t\t\tInsticator.ad.loadAd(\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-3\"); \t\t\t\t\t\tInsticator.ad.loadAd(\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-4\"); \t\t\t\t\t} else { \t\t\t\t\t\tdocument.getElementById(\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-3\").remove() \t\t\t\t\t\tdocument.getElementById(\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-4\").remove() \t\t\t\t\t} \t\t\t\t<\/script> \t\t\t<\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/section>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Betting odds from three major election prediction sites indicate that former President Donald Trump is favored to win the presidency. These odds reflect the views of bettors rather than public opinion polls. As of 2:00 p.m. Eastern Time on Tuesday, Polymarket estimated Trump&#8217;s chances of victory at 61%, while Vice President Kamala Harris was at 39%. Kalshi reported Trump\u2019s odds at 58% and Harris&#8217;s at 42%. PredictIt showed a more conservative estimate with Trump at 52% and Harris at 48%. The fluctuating odds have been influenced by various factors throughout the campaign, including recent polling data<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2364446,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Harris-v-Trump-3.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[33651],"tags":[3728,23297,4021,15638,3634],"class_list":["post-2364445","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-western-journal","tag-election","tag-gambling","tag-harris","tag-polls","tag-trump"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Harris-v-Trump-3.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2364445","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2364445"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2364445\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2364449,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2364445\/revisions\/2364449"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2364446"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2364445"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2364445"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2364445"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}