{"id":2364342,"date":"2024-11-05T11:13:00","date_gmt":"2024-11-05T16:13:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/most-accurate-pollster-of-2020-shows-battleground-sweep-for-trump-in-final-polls\/"},"modified":"2024-11-05T11:13:56","modified_gmt":"2024-11-05T16:13:56","slug":"most-accurate-pollster-of-2020-shows-battleground-sweep-for-trump-in-final-polls","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/most-accurate-pollster-of-2020-shows-battleground-sweep-for-trump-in-final-polls\/","title":{"rendered":"Most Accurate Pollster of 2020 Shows Battleground Sweep for Trump in Final Polls"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">26<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fmost-accurate-pollster-of-2020-shows-battleground-sweep-for-trump-in-final-polls%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2364342&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>In a\u200b <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/only-22-of-cable-news-is-news-study\/\" title=\"Only 22% of Cable \u2018News\u2019 is News: Study\">recent poll conducted<\/a> by AtlasIntel, a \u2062firm noted for its\u2062 accuracy in previous electoral\u2063 predictions, former President Donald Trump is\u2063 shown to be leading Vice President\u2064 Kamala Harris \u2062by a \u200bnarrow margin of 1.1 percentage points\u201449.2% to 48.1%. The poll highlights a close race with third-party candidates \u2064accounting for 2.7% of the votes. \u200dSwing states are \u2062crucial, \u2063as the \u2062Electoral College determines the election \u2063outcome,\u200b and Trump \u200bappears to have an advantage in several key battleground states,\u200d including Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina,\u2064 where he leads by varying margins.<\/p>\n<p>Despite \u200cthese\u2064 favorable numbers for Trump in various \u200dstates, Harris is projected\u200b to have a lead\u2062 in traditionally Democratic\u2062 states like Minnesota and \u2062Virginia. Polls, however, are viewed critically by the Trump campaign, which \u200dargues that they may be used politically\u2063 to dampen voter enthusiasm for Trump\u2019s supporters. As the election approaches, these \u200dpolling \u200dresults are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/the-rise-and-fall-of-kamala-harris\/\" title=\"The Rise And Fall Of Kamala Harris\">gaining significant attention<\/a>, reflecting the competitive nature of \u200cthe race.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<p><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><\/p>\n<section> \t\t\t\t<script>console.log(\"ad slot (AC1)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC1)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC2)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC3)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC4)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (REP_0)\")<\/script><\/p>\n<p>In its final volley in the bewildering battle of the polls that has dominated the final days of the presidential campaign, the pollster dubbed the most accurate in 2020 has <a href=\"https:\/\/amzn.to\/3YuVZYV\">delivered big news<\/a> for former President Donald Trump.<\/p>\n<p>In polling done Sunday and Monday, AtlasIntel noted that the contest is very, very close.<\/p>\n<p>According to a <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/atlas_intel\/status\/1853588228982317064\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">post on X<\/a>, its final poll showed Trump at 49.2 percent support while Harris is at 48.1 percent. Third-party candidates ate up 2.7 percent of the votes.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">ATLAS POLL &ndash; U.S. ELECTIONS<\/p>\n<p>In the final Atlas poll before the election, the gap between Trump and Harris has narrowed to just 1.1 percentage point.<\/p>\n<p>&#128308; Trump: 49.2%<br \/> &#128309; Harris: 48.1%<br \/> &#9898; Others\/Undecided: 2.7% <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/YUcBRJiq0l\">pic.twitter.com\/YUcBRJiq0l<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; AtlasIntel (@atlas_intel) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/atlas_intel\/status\/1853588228982317064?\">November 5, 2024<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p> <script type=\"text\/javascript\"> \t\t\tif ( getCookie( \"ff_subbed\" ) ) { \t\t\t\tdocument.getElementById(\"stnvideo\").remove() \t\t\t} \t\t<\/script> <\/p>\n<p>Because of the Electoral College, in which the contest is won state by state, overall support is not the same as winning the election. Mammoth blue states, such as New York and California, pad the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/michael-barone-a-house-popular-vote-majority-produced-few-seats-but-is-a-good-sign-for-republicans-in-2024\/\" title=\"Michael Barone: A House Popular Vote Majority Produced Few Seats but Is a Good Sign For Republicans in 2024\">popular vote margins<\/a> of Democratic candidates. That puts significance on swing states with enough members of each party that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/trump-campaign-reminds-kamala-really-ahead-data-shows-election-crisis-getting-worse\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the race<\/a> can go either way.<\/p>\n<p>(<em>Is Trump going to win the election? <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/subscribe\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Become a Western Journal Member<\/a> to gain access to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/trump-many-paths-victory-states-watch\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">our rundown of Trump&rsquo;s paths to victory<\/a>.<\/em>)<\/p>\n<p>And on that front, AtlasIntel had very good news for Trump.<\/p>\n<p>In Arizona, Trump led Harris 51.6 percent to 46.5 percent, according to a <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/atlas_intel\/status\/1853590263618261441\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">post on X<\/a>.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">ATLAS POLLS &ndash; SWING STATES<\/p>\n<p>Among the battleground states, Trump leads in Nevada, Arizona, and North Carolina, while narrowing the 2020 margins in Virginia and Minnesota. However, Georgia and Pennsylvania, two of the most valuable states in the Electoral College, are close. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/MNZUcLXNSA\">pic.twitter.com\/MNZUcLXNSA<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; AtlasIntel (@atlas_intel) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/atlas_intel\/status\/1853590263618261441?\">November 5, 2024<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Trump also led in Georgia, 49.9 percent to 48.3 percent; Michigan, 49.8 percent to 48.3 percent; Nevada, 50.2 percent to 47.1 percent; North Carolina, 50 percent to 47.9 percent; Pennsylvania, 49.6 percent to 48.6 percent; and Wisconsin, 49.5 percent to 48.6 percent, according to AtlasIntel.<\/p>\n<p>AtlasIntel projected <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/john-fetterman-gets-embarrassed-trying-defend-dems-rogan-exactly-kamala-harris-refused-face-joe-rogan\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Harris<\/a> leading Trump in Minnesota, 49.2 percent to 47.2 percent, and Virginia, 51.3 percent to 45.9 percent.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-conversation=\"none\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">Finally, here&rsquo;s how the most prolific pollsters fared in the general election.<\/p>\n<p>The best-performing pollster was AtlasIntel!<\/p>\n<p>Second was Trafalgar!<\/p>\n<p>Yeah, they incorrectly had Trump winning a few states, but they were close on the margins, and that&rsquo;s the better metric. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/yqfbjCequB\">pic.twitter.com\/yqfbjCequB<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NateSilver538\/status\/1375095262516027392?\">March 25, 2021<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>After the 2020 election, polling guru <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/polling-guru-nate-silver-says-trump-10-point-advantage-pollsters-cheating-like-crazy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Nate Silver<\/a> tracked projections against reality and found that AtlasIntel was the best of any of the many companies that did polling that year, according to a <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/NateSilver538\/status\/1375095262516027392\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">post on X<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>With a tight race, polls have taken an outsize importance as the candidates rise and fall in popularity &mdash; as is common in all campaigns.<\/p>\n<p>A Selzer and Co. poll in Iowa and a New York Times\/ Siena College poll issued over the weekend gave a rosier view of Harris&rsquo;s chances of winning than had previous polls.<\/p>\n<p>The Trump campaign said polls have become political weapons, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsweek.com\/donald-trump-bashes-polling-numbers-2024-election-1979340\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Newsweek<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;On Saturday, top Democrats appear to have received early access to an absurd outlier poll of Iowa conducted by the Des Moines Register. Not to be outdone, the New York Times arrived right on cue with another set of polling data being used to drive a voter suppression narrative against President Trump&rsquo;s supporters,&rdquo; the Trump campaign said in a statement.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;Some in the media are choosing to amplify a mad dash to dampen and diminish voter enthusiasm. It has not worked. Our voters are like President Trump: They fight.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<div style=\"position: relative;\">\n<div class=\"ff-fancy-header-container\"> \t\t\t \t<\/div>\n<div class=\"entry-submit-correction inner-content\">\n<div class=\"correction-form\">\n<form style=\"display: none;\">\n<div class=\"sc-name-field\"> \t\t\t\t\t\t<label>* Name<\/label> \t\t\t\t\t\t<br \/> \t\t\t\t\t\t<input type=\"text\" name=\"name\" required> \t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n<div class=\"sc--field\"> \t\t\t\t\t\t<label>* <\/label> \t\t\t\t\t\t<br \/> \t\t\t\t\t\t<input type=\"text\" name=\"\" required> \t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n<p> \t\t\t\t\t<label>* Message<\/label> \t\t\t\t\t<br \/> \t\t\t\t\t<textarea name=\"message\" required><\/textarea> \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<div class=\"required-message\" style=\"display: none; padding-bottom: 15px;\">* All fields are required.<\/div>\n<p> \t\t\t\t\t<input type=\"submit\" value=\"Submit\" onclick=\"event.preventDefault(); firefly_sc();\"> \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<div class=\"firefly-sc-confirm\" style=\"display: none;\">Success!<\/div>\n<\/p><\/form>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p> \t\t<script> \t\t\tfunction firefly_sc() { \t\t\t\tif( typeof window.captchaPublicKey==typeof undefined ){ \t\t\t\t\tconsole.error('window.captchaPublicKey is not defined'); \t\t\t\t} \t\t\t\tgrecaptcha.execute( window.captchaPublicKey, { action: 'submit_correction' } ).then( function( token ) { \t\t\t\t\tvar opts={ \t\t\t\t\t\taction:    'firefly_sc_submit', \t\t\t\t\t\tname:      document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"name\"]' ).value, \t\t\t\t\t\t:     document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"\"]' ).value, \t\t\t\t\t\tmessage:   document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"message\"]' ).value, \t\t\t\t\t\tpost_id:   firefly_post_id, \t\t\t\t\t\tcap_token: token \t\t\t\t\t}  \t\t\t\t\tvar inputs=[ 'name', '', 'message' ];  \t\t\t\t\tfor( var i=0; i <inputs.length; i++ ) if( ! ( opts[inputs[i]]=document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"' + inputs[i] + '\"]' ).value ) ) { \t\t\t\t\t\tdocument.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction .required-message' ).style.display='block'; \t\t\t\t\t\treturn; \t\t\t\t\t}  \t\t\t\t\tdocument.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction input[type=\"submit\"]' ).style.display='none'; \t\t\t\t\tdocument.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction .firefly-sc-submitting-img' ).src=firefly_loading_gif_url; \t\t\t\t\tdocument.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction .firefly-sc-submitting-img' ).style.display='inline-block';  \t\t\t\t\tconsole.log( 'ma subbing' );  \t\t\t\t\tif( firefly_post_id ) opts['post_id']=firefly_post_id;  \t\t\t\t\t\/* Send the data using post with element id name and name2*\/ \t\t\t\t\tvar posting=jQuery.post( firefly_ajax_url, opts );  \t\t\t\t\t\/* Alerts the results *\/ \t\t\t\t\tposting.done( function( response ) { \t\t\t\t\t\tif( response.success ) { \t\t\t\t\t\t\tconsole.log( response.data ); \t\t\t\t\t\t\tdocument.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction .firefly-sc-submitting-img' ).style.display='none'; \t\t\t\t\t\t\tdocument.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction .firefly-sc-confirm' ).style.display='block';  \t\t\t\t\t\t\tdataLayer.push( { 'event': 'submit-correction' } ); \t\t\t\t\t\t} \t\t\t\t\t}); \t\t\t\t}); \t\t\t} \t\t<\/script> \t     \t\t\t\t\t\t     \t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n<p style=\"border: 1px solid #f5f5f5; padding: 16px;\">Advertise with The Western Journal and reach millions of highly engaged readers, while supporting our work. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/advertise-us\/?wj_source=article\">Advertise Today<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><script>console.log(\"ad slot (BA1)\")<\/script> \t\t<\/p>\n<div class=\"ff-fancy-header-container\"> \t\t\t \t<\/div>\n<style> \t\t\t \t\t\t.insticator-unit.type-commenting{margin: 0 10px 25px 10px}@media screen and (max-width:1060px){#div-insticator-ad-cmt-1, #div-insticator-ad-cmt-2, #div-insticator-ad-cmt-3, #div-insticator-ad-cmt-4{margin: 0 auto 25px auto !important;}}#div-insticator-ad-cmt-1, #div-insticator-ad-cmt-2, #div-insticator-ad-cmt-3, #div-insticator-ad-cmt-4{height: 280px !important; width: 336px !important} \t\t<\/style>\n<div class=\"insticator-unit type-commenting\">\n<div class=\"insticator-ads\"> \t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t<script data-cfasync=\"false\" type=\"text\/javascript\"> \t\t\t\t\tif ( ! getCookie( \"ff_subbed\" ) ) { \t\t\t\t\t\tInsticator.ad.loadAd(\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-1\"); \t\t\t\t\t\tInsticator.ad.loadAd(\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-2\"); \t\t\t\t\t} else { \t\t\t\t\t\tdocument.getElementById(\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-1\").remove() \t\t\t\t\t\tdocument.getElementById(\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-2\").remove() \t\t\t\t\t} \t\t\t\t<\/script> \t\t\t<\/div>\n<div class=\"insticator-ads additional\"> \t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t<script data-cfasync=\"false\" type=\"text\/javascript\"> \t\t\t\t\tif ( ! getCookie( \"ff_subbed\" ) ) { \t\t\t\t\t\tInsticator.ad.loadAd(\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-3\"); \t\t\t\t\t\tInsticator.ad.loadAd(\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-4\"); \t\t\t\t\t} else { \t\t\t\t\t\tdocument.getElementById(\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-3\").remove() \t\t\t\t\t\tdocument.getElementById(\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-4\").remove() \t\t\t\t\t} \t\t\t\t<\/script> \t\t\t<\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/section>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In its last update during the intense polling phase of the presidential campaign, AtlasIntel, recognized as the most accurate pollster in 2020, revealed significant news for former President Donald Trump. Polls conducted on Sunday and Monday indicated a very tight race, with Trump at 49.2% support and Harris at 48.1%. Third-party candidates accounted for 2.7% of the votes<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2364343,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Harris-v-Trump.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[32675,15698,3634],"class_list":["post-2364342","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-2020-election","tag-polling","tag-trump"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Harris-v-Trump.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2364342","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2364342"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2364342\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2364347,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2364342\/revisions\/2364347"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2364343"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2364342"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2364342"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2364342"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}