{"id":2363415,"date":"2024-11-03T10:14:01","date_gmt":"2024-11-03T15:14:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/final-new-york-times-siena-college-poll-shows-no-clear-front-runner-two-days-out-washington-examiner\/"},"modified":"2024-11-03T10:14:55","modified_gmt":"2024-11-03T15:14:55","slug":"final-new-york-times-siena-college-poll-shows-no-clear-front-runner-two-days-out-washington-examiner","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/final-new-york-times-siena-college-poll-shows-no-clear-front-runner-two-days-out-washington-examiner\/","title":{"rendered":"Final New York Times\/Siena College poll shows no clear front-runner two days out &#8211; Washington Examiner"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">32<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Ffinal-new-york-times-siena-college-poll-shows-no-clear-front-runner-two-days-out-washington-examiner%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2363415&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>The final\u2062 New\u2063 York Times\/Siena College poll conducted just two days before the 2024 presidential election reveals no <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/washington-post-top-10-for-24-dem-candidates-includes-aoc-warren-somebody-named-roy-asberry-cooper-iii\/\" title=\"Washington Post Top 10 For \u201924 Dem Candidates Includes AOC, Warren, Somebody Named Roy Asberry Cooper III\">clear front-runner<\/a> in a \u2063tight race characterized by uncertainty. Among six out of seven \u2062battleground \u200bstates, results indicate toss-ups, highlighting the competitive nature of \u200bthe \u2063contest. Former President Donald Trump holds a \u200cfour-point lead \u2063in Arizona and a one-point\u2062 lead in Michigan, \u2064while Vice \u2063President Kamala Harris leads\u2064 by\u2063 one point in Georgia\u200c and \u200dthree points in Nevada, North Carolina, and Wisconsin; \u200dboth candidates are tied in \u2064Pennsylvania.<\/p>\n<p>Harris has\u200b made gains among \u200bher key demographics, increasing her\u2063 support among\u2062 Black voters from 80%\u200c to 84% and among \u2062Hispanic \u2063voters from 55% to\u2063 56%.\u200d Meanwhile, Trump\u200d has \u200bstrengthened his\u2063 support among non<a href=\"https:\/\/amzn.to\/3YuVZYV\">-college-educated white voters<\/a>. The poll\u2064 notably shows \u200bHarris with a significant lead \u2064in \u200cNevada, a state\u2064 where Democrats typically struggle.<\/p>\n<p>Despite these insights, pollster Nate Cohn warns\u200d that the polling \u200dmethodology may be underestimating Trump\u2019s support, as there\u200b is\u2062 a noticeable disparity in \u2062the response rates \u2064between white Democrats\u2064 and Republicans, echoing \u2063issues \u200bseen in previous election cycles.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<p><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><\/p>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-button\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-icon td-icon-mobile\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-header-search-button-mob dropdown-toggle\" data-toggle=\"dropdown\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-search-icon td-icon-search\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-button\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-icon td-icon-mobile\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div class=\"tdb-drop-down-search\" aria-labelledby=\"td-header-search-button\">\n<div class=\"tdb-drop-down-search-inner\">\n<form method=\"get\" class=\"tdb-search-form\" action=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/\"><\/form>\n<div class=\"tdb-aj-search\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/#\" role=\"button\" aria-label=\"Search\" class=\"tdb-head-search-btn dropdown-toggle\" data-toggle=\"dropdown\"><i class=\"tdb-search-icon td-icon-search\"><\/i><\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<h1 class=\"tdb-title-text\">Final New York Times\/Siena College poll shows no clear front-runner two days out<\/h1>\n<div><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-title-line\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div id=\"Brid_1870052\" class=\"tpd-featured-video bridtv\"><\/div>\n<p>The final <em>New York Times<\/em>\/Siena College before the election offered no clear front-runner in the 2024 presidential contest; the poll had six out of seven <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/swing-states\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">battleground states<\/a> as toss-ups.<\/p>\n<div class=\"article-paywall\">\n<p>Polls at this point in the election usually show favorability to one candidate or another, but this year is different. The recent results are similar to the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/presidential\/3201598\/trump-leads-harris-key-sun-belt-states\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">many<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/restoring-america\/courage-strength-optimism\/3213024\/is-presidential-race-actually-as-close-current-polls-suggest\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">others<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/washington-secrets\/3204611\/third-poll-shows-trump-harris-tied\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">previously<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/washington-secrets\/3204103\/shocker-virginia-competitive-harris-49-percent-trump-48\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">reported<\/a> on this election cycle, which have shown tight battlegrounds since Vice President <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/kamala-harris\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"Kamala Harris\">Kamala Harris<\/a> entered the race, with most results within the margin of error. <\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/live-blog\/2024-election-campaign-live-updates-harris-trump\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">2024 ELECTIONS LIVE UPDATES: LATEST NEWS ON THE TRUMP-HARRIS PRESIDENTIAL RACE<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>In the poll, released two days out from Election Day, Former President <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/donald-trump\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"Donald Trump\">Donald Trump<\/a> obtained a sizable four-point lead in Arizona and a one-point lead in Michigan. Harris had leads of one point in Georgia and three points in Nevada, North Carolina, and Wisconsin. They were tied in Pennsylvania.<\/p>\n<p>Harris saw gains among two of her core constituencies, black and Hispanic voters. Among black voters, she saw a total share of 84%-11%, from 80%-14% last round. Among Hispanic voters, she led 56%-35%, compared to 55%-41% from the last round.<\/p>\n<p>Trump saw gains among <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/college\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">non-college-educated<\/a> white voters.<\/p>\n<p>One result from the poll showed a disconnect from others this season &mdash; the state that consistently has given the worst results for Democrats, Nevada, showed Harris with one of her biggest leads yet in this recent poll.<\/p>\n<p>However, pollster Nate Cohn cautioned that this poll could be repeating history by underestimating Trump.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;Across these final polls, white Democrats were 16 percent likelier to respond than white Republicans. That&rsquo;s a larger disparity than our earlier polls this year, and it&rsquo;s not much better than our final polls in 2020 &mdash;&nbsp;even with the pandemic over,&rdquo; he <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/11\/03\/upshot\/polls-harris-trump-battlegrounds.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"wrote\">wrote<\/a>. &ldquo;It raises the possibility that the polls could underestimate Mr. Trump yet again.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\"><strong><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The poll spoke with 7,879 likely voters across the battleground states, including 1,025 in Arizona, 1,004 in Georgia, 998 in Michigan, 1,010 in Nevada, 1,010 in North Carolina, 1,527 in Pennsylvania, and 1,305 in Wisconsin from Oct. 24 to Nov. 2. The margin of error was 3.5% in each state poll.<\/p>\n<p>With all the uncertainty from polls, voters are looking elsewhere for signs of who is likely to pull ahead. Some have turned their attention to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/presidential\/3212594\/republicans-outperform-polls-presidential-elections\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">betting odds<\/a>, while others are reading into the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/presidential\/3211103\/poll-accuracy-uncertain-voters-look-stock-market\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/top-dem-adviser-says-trump-trade-war-worse-than-harris-price-gouging-ban-washington-examiner\/\" title=\"Top Dem adviser says Trump trade war worse than Harris price gouging ban - Washington Examiner\">stock market&#038;rsquo<\/a>;s <\/a>performance. <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p> <script data-cfasync=\"false\" src=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/cdn-cgi\/scripts\/5c5dd728\/cloudflare-static\/email-decode.min.js\"><\/script><script>!function(){var g=window;g.googletag=g.googletag||{},g.googletag.cmd=g.googletag.cmd||[],g.googletag.cmd.push(function(){g.googletag.pubads().setTargeting(\"has-featured-video\",\"true\")})}();<\/script><script>var _bp=_bp||[];_bp.push({\"div\":\"Brid_1870052\",\"obj\":{\"id\":\"27789\",\"width\":\"1280\",\"height\":\"720\",\"stickyDirection\":\"below\",\"video\":\"1870052\"}});<\/script><script defer src=\"https:\/\/services.brid.tv\/player\/build\/brid.min.js\"><\/script><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Final NYT\/Siena poll shows no clear leader two days before election<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2653,"featured_media":2363417,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Trump-Harris-election_2024-vvb14.webp","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[33263,5894,15698,44263],"class_list":["post-2363415","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-new-york-times","tag-politics","tag-polling","tag-siena-college"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Trump-Harris-election_2024-vvb14.webp","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2363415","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2653"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2363415"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2363415\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2363417"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2363415"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2363415"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2363415"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}