{"id":2362381,"date":"2024-10-31T17:31:00","date_gmt":"2024-10-31T21:31:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/trump-surges-past-kamala-in-pollsters-final-results\/"},"modified":"2024-10-31T17:31:41","modified_gmt":"2024-10-31T21:31:41","slug":"trump-surges-past-kamala-in-pollsters-final-results","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/trump-surges-past-kamala-in-pollsters-final-results\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump Surges Past Kamala in Pollster\u2019s Final Results"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">16<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Ftrump-surges-past-kamala-in-pollsters-final-results%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2362381&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>A recent poll \u200bconducted \u2063by DailyMail.com and J.L. Partners indicates \u200ba shift in public support between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. Originally, Harris held a five-point lead over Trump in August, but the latest poll shows Trump now leading Harris by \u200dthree points, with Trump at 49% and Harris at 46%. This\u2063 national poll surveyed \u20641,000 likely voters and has a margin of error of \u00b13.1 percentage points.<\/p>\n<p>Analysts suggest that\u200c Trump&#8217;s campaign is \u200dgaining\u200b momentum, particularly among male voters, while\u200c enthusiasm for his\u2062 candidacy appears higher than for Harris. Gender dynamics play a crucial role, with Harris performing better among women (54% to 40%) and Trump leading among men\u200c (59% \u2064to 37%). Notably, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/gop-could-win-miami-dade-county-for-first-time-in-two-decades\/\" title=\"GOP Could Win Miami-Dade County for First Time in Two Decades\">early voting data<\/a> in states\u2063 like North Carolina and Nevada suggests that Republican turnout is exceeding expectations, which could be detrimental to Harris&#8217;s campaign.<\/p>\n<p>Polling expert John\u200c Della Volpe notes a\u200b significant demographic shift among young male voters, \u200bwith a \u200dgrowing number identifying as Republicans. Della Volpe attributes this change to Trump&#8217;s messaging,\u2063 which resonates with those who feel anxious about the future. the dynamics of the race suggest a volatile electoral landscape as the candidates gear up for the upcoming election.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<p><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><\/p>\n<section> \t\t\t\t<script>console.log(\"ad slot (AC1)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC1)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC2)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC3)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC4)\")<\/script><\/p>\n<p>A poll that in August had Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump by five percentage points has now swung to give Trump a three-point lead.<\/p>\n<p>The DailyMail.com\/J.L. Partners national poll gives Trump 49 percent support against 46 percent support for Harris, according to the U.K. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailymail.co.uk\/news\/article-14021123\/trump-lead-kamala-harris-final-poll-2024-election-day.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Daily Mail<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The poll of 1,000 likely voters, has&nbsp;a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points, meaning the race could be as close as a dead heat or a Trump blowout.<\/p>\n<p>The Mail interpreted the results to mean that Trump could become the first Republican president since former President George W. Bush was re-elected in 2004 to win the popular vote.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/arnold-schwarzenegger-breaks-silence-makes-opinion-kamala-harris-clear-election-gets-closer\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Harris<\/a> led the Mail&rsquo;s poll in September by one point. In August, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailymail.co.uk\/news\/article-13727283\/Harris-leads-Trump-five-points-latest-poll-online-betting-turns-against-former-president.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Daily Mail<\/a> reported her lead was five percentage points.<\/p>\n<p> <script type=\"text\/javascript\"> \t\t\tif ( getCookie( \"ff_subbed\" ) ) { \t\t\t\tdocument.getElementById(\"stnvideo\").remove() \t\t\t} \t\t<\/script> <\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;The movement under the surface suggests Trump is having a better closing moment in driving up enthusiasm than Harris is, and undecideds and third-party candidate supporters have also broken for Trump in the last month,&rdquo; James Johnson, co-founder of J.L. Partners said.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;He has also seen improvement among voters of every race, and leads in all age groups apart from 18&ndash;29-year-olds,&rdquo; Johnson said.<\/p>\n<p>Johnson said the gender dynamics make this <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/trump-trolls-biden-campaigns-garbage-truck-amid-garbage-controversy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">race<\/a> unusual.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;When voters go to the polls next week, they will be sharply divided on their gender, with women being more likely to vote for Harris and men more likely to vote for Trump,&rdquo; he said.<\/p>\n<p>The Mail&rsquo;s poll said Harris has a 54 percent to 40 percent lead among women; while Trump has a 59 percent to 37 percent lead among men.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;And there is more good news for Trump as his campaign works to turn out the vote. Enthusiasm for the former president is higher (74 percent say they are very enthusiastic for him) than Harris (67),&rdquo; the Mail reported.<\/p>\n<p>The tsunami of male voters backing Trump led John Della Volpe, director of polling at the Harvard Kennedy School Institute of Politics, to say Trump&rsquo;s effort to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/harvard-pollster-trumps-brilliant-campaign-strategy-could-devastate-democrats-for-years-to-come\/\" title=\"Harvard Pollster: Trump&#039;s Brilliant Campaign Strategy Could Devastate Democrats &#039;for Years to Come&#039;\">attract young men &#038;ldquo<\/a>;could peel enough away from the Democratic Party to transform the country&rsquo;s electoral math for years to come,&rdquo; according to Della Volpe&rsquo;s Op-Ed for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/10\/21\/opinion\/trump-gen-z-men-harris.html?unlocked_article_code=1.UE4.mMMt.ePkikEpPixVa&amp;smid=url-\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">The New York Times<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Della Volpe said that since 2020, &ldquo;the  of young men identifying as registered Democrats has dropped by seven percentage points, while those identifying as Republicans have increased by seven points &mdash; a net shift of 14 points in just four years.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Della Volpe said the men with whom Trump connects view the future with pessimism, and that Trump &nbsp;&ldquo;has tapped these anxieties by weaving a hypermasculine message of strength and defiance into his broader narrative that undermines confidence in democratic institutions. And it&rsquo;s working.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">&ldquo;His playbook? A master class in bro whispering,&rdquo; Della Volpe wrote, saying that Trump&rsquo;s tactics include &ldquo;championing crypto, securing the endorsement of Dave Portnoy &mdash; the unapologetically offensive founder of Barstool Sports &mdash; and giving the U.F.C. president, Dana White, who embodies the <a href=\"https:\/\/amzn.to\/3YuVZYV\">alpha-male archetype<\/a> that appeals to many young men, a prime spot at the Republican National Convention.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>On Thursday, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailymail.co.uk\/news\/article-14025779\/swing-state-early-voting-Kamala-Harris-2024-election.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Mail<\/a> offered an analysis of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/watch-trump-rally-crowd-stitches-explains-ended-wearing-hi-vis-vest-stage\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">early voting<\/a> data.<\/p>\n<p>In North Carolina, where Harris counted on black voters to put the swing state in her column, the Mail said black turnout is not keeping up with the 2020 pace, which it interpreted as a troubling sign for Harris.<\/p>\n<p>The Mail also noted that in Nevada, Republican early voting turnout is exceeding expectations, teasing the possibility that the state will break for Trump.<\/p>\n<div style=\"position: relative;\">\n<div class=\"ff-fancy-header-container\"> \t\t\t \t<\/div>\n<div class=\"entry-submit-correction inner-content\">\n<div class=\"correction-form\">\n<form style=\"display: none;\">\n<div class=\"sc-name-field\"> \t\t\t\t\t\t<label>* Name<\/label> \t\t\t\t\t\t<br \/> \t\t\t\t\t\t<input type=\"text\" name=\"name\" required> \t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n<div class=\"sc--field\"> \t\t\t\t\t\t<label>* <\/label> \t\t\t\t\t\t<br \/> \t\t\t\t\t\t<input type=\"text\" name=\"\" required> \t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n<p> \t\t\t\t\t<label>* Message<\/label> \t\t\t\t\t<br \/> \t\t\t\t\t<textarea name=\"message\" required><\/textarea> \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<div class=\"required-message\" style=\"display: none; padding-bottom: 15px;\">* All fields are required.<\/div>\n<p> \t\t\t\t\t<input type=\"submit\" value=\"Submit\" onclick=\"event.preventDefault(); firefly_sc();\"> \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<div class=\"firefly-sc-confirm\" style=\"display: none;\">Success!<\/div>\n<\/p><\/form>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p> \t\t<script> \t\t\tfunction firefly_sc() { \t\t\t\tif( typeof window.captchaPublicKey==typeof undefined ){ \t\t\t\t\tconsole.error('window.captchaPublicKey is not defined'); \t\t\t\t} \t\t\t\tgrecaptcha.execute( window.captchaPublicKey, { action: 'submit_correction' } ).then( function( token ) { \t\t\t\t\tvar opts={ \t\t\t\t\t\taction:    'firefly_sc_submit', \t\t\t\t\t\tname:      document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"name\"]' ).value, \t\t\t\t\t\t:     document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"\"]' ).value, \t\t\t\t\t\tmessage:   document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"message\"]' ).value, \t\t\t\t\t\tpost_id:   firefly_post_id, \t\t\t\t\t\tcap_token: token \t\t\t\t\t}  \t\t\t\t\tvar inputs=[ 'name', '', 'message' ];  \t\t\t\t\tfor( var i=0; i <inputs.length; i++ ) if( ! 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Partners shows a shift in support, with former President Donald Trump now leading Vice President Kamala Harris by three percentage points, having previously been behind by five points in August. The latest national poll indicates Trump has 49% support compared to Harris&#8217;s 46%, based on a survey of 1,000 likely voters with a margin of error of \u00b13.1%. This change suggests that Trump could potentially be the first Republican president since George W. Bush in 2004 to win the popular vote. In September, Harris had a slight lead over Trump.<\/p>\n<p>James Johnson from J.L. Partners noted that Trump&#8217;s campaign is generating more enthusiasm than Harris&#8217;s and that undecided voters are leaning towards Trump as well. He highlighted that while women tend to favor Harris (54% to 40%), men overwhelmingly support Trump (59% to 37%). Additionally, Trump&#8217;s supporters show higher enthusiasm levels compared to those for Harris.<\/p>\n<p>Polling expert John Della Volpe pointed out significant shifts among young male voters since 2020, indicating an increase in Republican identification and suggesting this trend could impact future elections significantly. He described Trump&#8217;s appeal as tapping into feelings of pessimism among these voters through a strong masculine narrative.<\/p>\n<p>The analysis also revealed concerning trends for Harris regarding black voter turnout in North Carolina and unexpectedly high early voting numbers for Republicans in Nevada, which may indicate potential challenges for her campaign moving forward<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2362382,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/trump-kamala.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[33651],"tags":[6571,4018,15638,3634],"class_list":["post-2362381","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-western-journal","tag-elections","tag-kamala","tag-polls","tag-trump"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/trump-kamala.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2362381","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2362381"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2362381\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2362382"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2362381"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2362381"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2362381"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}