{"id":2361555,"date":"2024-10-30T11:39:01","date_gmt":"2024-10-30T15:39:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/kari-lake-takes-lead-in-arizona-us-senate-race-top-pollster\/"},"modified":"2024-10-30T11:42:33","modified_gmt":"2024-10-30T15:42:33","slug":"kari-lake-takes-lead-in-arizona-us-senate-race-top-pollster","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/kari-lake-takes-lead-in-arizona-us-senate-race-top-pollster\/","title":{"rendered":"Kari Lake Takes Lead in Arizona US Senate Race: Top Pollster"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">22<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fkari-lake-takes-lead-in-arizona-us-senate-race-top-pollster%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2361555&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>In the latest polling\u200d for the\u200b Arizona \u200bU.S. Senate race, Republican candidate Kari Lake is leading Democrat Rep. \u200bRuben Gallego \u200cwith\u200c a slight margin of 45.2% to\u200d 44.5%.\u200c This \u200cinformation comes from a poll conducted by Data Orbital, which also shows Republican Donald Trump ahead of Democrat Kamala Harris in the \u200bpresidential race with 49.7% to 41.9%. The poll was conducted from October 26-28 among 550 likely \u200bvoters and has a margin of error of \u00b14.26%. <\/p>\n<p>Further\u2062 analysis from other polls, including\u2064 one by Atlas,\u2062 shows\u2064 a tight race with Gallego slightly ahead \u2063at 48.4% compared to Lake&#8217;s 47.9%. The overall Real Clear Polling average gives Gallego\u200d a 5.7% lead; however, various polls\u2064 indicate\u2062 momentum \u200cis\u2064 shifting towards Lake. \u200bNotably, a\u200b CNN \u200cpoll\u2062 found Gallego with an 8% lead, while the Republican National Committee\u2064 highlights a significant increase in Republican\u200c voter registration in Arizona, suggesting potential advantages for Lake and Trump in the upcoming election.<\/p>\n<p>the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/four-dangerous-new-democrat-bills-that-you-probably-havent-heard-of\/\" title=\"Four Dangerous New Democrat Bills That You Probably Haven\u2019t Heard Of\">political landscape<\/a> in Arizona appears to\u200d be tightening as various \u2062<a href=\"https:\/\/amzn.to\/3YuVZYV\">polls show differing leads<\/a>, and the dynamics could change as Election Day \u200dapproaches.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<p><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><\/p>\n<section> \t\t\t\t<script>console.log(\"ad slot (AC1)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC1)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC2)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC3)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC4)\")<\/script><\/p>\n<p>Republican candidate Kari Lake has taken the lead over Rep. Ruben Gallego in the U.S. Senate race in Arizona, according to the most recent polling from a prominent source.<\/p>\n<p>Data Orbital released a <a href=\"https:\/\/dataorbital.com\/2024\/10\/new-data-orbital-arizona-2024-general-election-statewide-poll\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">poll<\/a> Tuesday finding Lake with a slight 45.2 to 44.5 percent edge over her Democrat rival.<\/p>\n<p>In terms of the presidential race, Orbital also shows Republican Donald Trump over Democrat Kamala Harris 49.7 percent to 41.9 percent in the Grand Canyon State.<\/p>\n<p>The poll was conducted from Oct. 26-28 with 550 likely voters, with a margin of error of +\/- 4.26 percent.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">&#128202; ARIZONA POLL: <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Data_Orbital?\">@Data_Orbital<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&#128997; Trump: 49.7% (+7.8)<br \/> &#128998; Harris: 41.9%<br \/> &#129002; Other: 2.0%<br \/> &mdash;&mdash;<br \/> AZ Senate<br \/> &#128997; Lake: 45.2% (+0.7)<br \/> &#128998; Gallego: 44.5%<br \/> &#129002; Other: 1.6%<\/p>\n<p>#8 (2.8\/3.0) | 10\/26-28 | 550 LV | &plusmn;4.26<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/f0qlS4G1kE\">https:\/\/t.co\/f0qlS4G1kE<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/WGwtGrFNNX\">pic.twitter.com\/WGwtGrFNNX<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/IAPolls2022\/status\/1851321905493561409?\">October 29, 2024<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p> <script type=\"text\/javascript\"> \t\t\tif ( getCookie( \"ff_subbed\" ) ) { \t\t\t\tdocument.getElementById(\"stnvideo\").remove() \t\t\t} \t\t<\/script> <\/p>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>The political site Five-Thirty-Eight <a href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/pollster-ratings\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ranks Orbital<\/a> among its top 10 pollsters (No. 8 specifically) based on the firm&rsquo;s &ldquo;historical track record and methodological transparency.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>Orbital&rsquo;s findings came on the heels of an Atlas swing state <a href=\"https:\/\/cdn.atlasintel.org\/12bd169b-6db5-44be-9429-90f44ba0d845.pdf?_gl=1*ui466n*_ga*MTgxNDIzMTA3LjE3MzAyMjkxMjI.*_ga_W78QD5CNP1*MTczMDIyOTEyMi4xLjEuMTczMDIyOTkwMC4wLjAuMA\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">poll<\/a> published Tuesday also showing the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/poll-republican-glenn-youngkin-ahead-of-democrat-terry-mcauliffe-by-8-points-in-virginia-governors-race\/\" title=\"Poll: Republican Glenn Youngkin Ahead of Democrat Terry McAuliffe by 8 Points in Virginia Governor&#039;s Race\">race essentially tie<\/a>, with Gallego at 48.4 percent and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/bill-clinton-comments-kari-lakes-looks-mind-wanders-off-pro-kamala-rally\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Lake<\/a> at 47.9 percent.<\/p>\n<p>Atlas surveyed 1,458 likely voters from Oct. 25 to 29. The poll has a margin of error of +\/- 3 percent.<\/p>\n<p>Overall the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/polls\/senate\/general\/2024\/arizona\/lake-vs-gallego\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Real Clear Polling average<\/a> of polls, going back to early October gives Gallego a 5.7 percent advantage, but the Orbital and Atlas surveys, as well as one conducted by Trafalgar Group from Oct. 24 to 26, suggest the race is moving in Lake&rsquo;s direction.<\/p>\n<p>However, a CNN poll, conducted from Oct. 21 to 26, found <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/clinton-humiliates-kamala-front-crowd-nothing-can-stop\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Gallego<\/a> with an 8 percent lead.<\/p>\n<p>CNN<a href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/pollster-ratings\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> ranks<\/a> No. 14 on the Five-Thirty-Eight in terms of accuracy.<\/p>\n<p>Lake&rsquo;s apparent move up in the contest comes the same day as Fox News moved Arizona from &ldquo;toss-up&rdquo; to &ldquo;leans Republican&rdquo; in the presidential race.<\/p>\n<p>Republican National Committee political director James Blair confirmed that Trump is looking particularly good in Arizona, among the seven swing states.<\/p>\n<p>He said it is also worth noting that the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/no-more-musical-chairs-assigned-seating-becomes-the-norm-in-planes-trains-and-movie-theaters-washington-examiner\/\" title=\"No more musical chairs: Assigned seating becomes the norm in planes, trains, and movie theaters - Washington Examiner\">polling doesn&#038;rsquo<\/a>;t necessarily pick up the voter registration gains for Republicans in Arizona.<\/p>\n<p>Blair explained that Republicans had about a 130,000 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/pennsylvania-officials-investigating-thousands-fraudulent-voter-registration-applications\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">registered voter<\/a> advantage over Democrats in the state in 2020, but now it is over 280,000.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">Trump Political Director <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JamesBlairUSA?\">@JamesBlairUSA<\/a> lays out the race with a week to go:<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;We are turning out more of our low- and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/key-swing-state-moves-from-toss-up-to-lean-republican-other-states-shifting-too\/\" title=\"Key Swing State Moves from Toss-Up to Lean Republican, Other States Shifting, Too\">mid-propensity voters<\/a> than she is across the board. We have more new registered voters than she does &hellip; we&rsquo;re seeing those people activate and turn out early.&rdquo; <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/nJjsjdV2Yd\">pic.twitter.com\/nJjsjdV2Yd<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Trump War Room (@TrumpWarRoom) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TrumpWarRoom\/status\/1851254120868426015?\">October 29, 2024<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>He went on to argue that pollsters tend to set their samples using the 2020 party electorate breakdown as a guide, but since that election, Arizona and other battleground states have moved three to five percent to the right.<\/p>\n<p><em>Disclosure: Floyd Brown, founder of The Western Journal, is serving on a volunteer basis as chairman of Kari Lake&rsquo;s Senate campaign.<\/em><\/p>\n<div style=\"position: relative;\">\n<div class=\"ff-fancy-header-container\"> \t\t\t \t<\/div>\n<div class=\"entry-submit-correction inner-content\">\n<div class=\"correction-form\">\n<form style=\"display: none;\">\n<div class=\"sc-name-field\"> \t\t\t\t\t\t<label>* Name<\/label> \t\t\t\t\t\t<br \/> \t\t\t\t\t\t<input type=\"text\" name=\"name\" required> \t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n<div class=\"sc--field\"> \t\t\t\t\t\t<label>* <\/label> \t\t\t\t\t\t<br \/> \t\t\t\t\t\t<input type=\"text\" name=\"\" required> \t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n<p> \t\t\t\t\t<label>* Message<\/label> \t\t\t\t\t<br \/> \t\t\t\t\t<textarea name=\"message\" required><\/textarea> \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<div class=\"required-message\" style=\"display: none; padding-bottom: 15px;\">* All fields are required.<\/div>\n<p> \t\t\t\t\t<input type=\"submit\" value=\"Submit\" onclick=\"event.preventDefault(); firefly_sc();\"> \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<div class=\"firefly-sc-confirm\" style=\"display: none;\">Success!<\/div>\n<\/p><\/form>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p> \t\t<script> \t\t\tfunction firefly_sc() { \t\t\t\tif( typeof window.captchaPublicKey==typeof undefined ){ \t\t\t\t\tconsole.error('window.captchaPublicKey is not defined'); \t\t\t\t} \t\t\t\tgrecaptcha.execute( window.captchaPublicKey, { action: 'submit_correction' } ).then( function( token ) { \t\t\t\t\tvar opts={ \t\t\t\t\t\taction:    'firefly_sc_submit', \t\t\t\t\t\tname:      document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"name\"]' ).value, \t\t\t\t\t\t:     document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"\"]' ).value, \t\t\t\t\t\tmessage:   document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"message\"]' ).value, \t\t\t\t\t\tpost_id:   firefly_post_id, \t\t\t\t\t\tcap_token: token \t\t\t\t\t}  \t\t\t\t\tvar inputs=[ 'name', '', 'message' ];  \t\t\t\t\tfor( var i=0; i <inputs.length; i++ ) if( ! 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Ruben Gallego in Arizona&#8217;s U.S. Senate race, according to a recent Data Orbital poll. The survey shows Lake at 45.2% compared to Gallego&#8217;s 44.5%. In the presidential race, Donald Trump leads Kamala Harris 49.7% to 41.9%. The poll was conducted from October 26-28 with a margin of error of +\/- 4.26%<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2361556,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/lake-and-trump.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[39776,6571,33066,5894,15698],"class_list":["post-2361555","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-arizona-senate-race","tag-elections","tag-kari-lake","tag-politics","tag-polling"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/lake-and-trump.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2361555","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2361555"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2361555\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2361556"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2361555"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2361555"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2361555"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}