{"id":2360529,"date":"2024-10-28T12:43:02","date_gmt":"2024-10-28T16:43:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/paths-to-victory-for-harris-and-trump-in-2024-washington-examiner\/"},"modified":"2024-10-28T12:45:21","modified_gmt":"2024-10-28T16:45:21","slug":"paths-to-victory-for-harris-and-trump-in-2024-washington-examiner","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/paths-to-victory-for-harris-and-trump-in-2024-washington-examiner\/","title":{"rendered":"Paths to victory for Harris and Trump in 2024 &#8211; Washington Examiner"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"float:left\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">24<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fpaths-to-victory-for-harris-and-trump-in-2024-washington-examiner%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2360529&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>The\u2064 article discusses the competitive \u2062race for the \u2062presidency between former \u2064President Donald\u2064 Trump and Vice\u2062 President Kamala Harris as they approach the 2024 elections. Polls show a tight contest, with both candidates needing to focus on a selection of key battleground states\u2014Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania (the &#8220;blue wall&#8221;) and Arizona, Nevada, Georgia, North Carolina (the &#8220;Sunbelt&#8221;)\u2014to secure the necessary \u200b270 Electoral College votes.<\/p>\n<p>Trump currently has an advantage in some polls in North Carolina and Georgia but only narrowly won North Carolina in 2020. His path to victory involves\u2062 winning Pennsylvania, North\u200c Carolina, and Georgia to reach 270 \u2064electoral votes. On the other hand, Harris&#8217;s optimal route \u200dto victory includes securing Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania plus\u200c an electoral\u2062 vote from Nebraska, allowing her to also achieve the critical 270 votes despite potentially\u200d losing other states.<\/p>\n<p>The article further explores other less likely scenarios \u200dfor both candidates that \u2063might \u2062enable victory without winning key battlegrounds, listing various combinations of states they \u200dcould \u2063win. With both candidates facing tight polling in various\u2064 regions, the dynamics of the race\u2062 could shift significantly as they campaign leading up to\u2064 the election.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<p><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><\/p>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-button\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-icon td-icon-mobile\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-header-search-button-mob dropdown-toggle\" data-toggle=\"dropdown\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-search-icon td-icon-search\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-button\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-icon td-icon-mobile\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div class=\"tdb-drop-down-search\" aria-labelledby=\"td-header-search-button\">\n<div class=\"tdb-drop-down-search-inner\">\n<form method=\"get\" class=\"tdb-search-form\" action=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/\"><\/form>\n<div class=\"tdb-aj-search\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/#\" role=\"button\" aria-label=\"Search\" class=\"tdb-head-search-btn dropdown-toggle\" data-toggle=\"dropdown\"><i class=\"tdb-search-icon td-icon-search\"><\/i><\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<h1 class=\"tdb-title-text\">Paths to victory for Harris and Trump in 2024<\/h1>\n<div><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-title-line\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div id=\"Brid_1843773\" class=\"tpd-featured-video bridtv\"><\/div>\n<p>Former President <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/donald-trump\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">Donald Trump<\/a> and Vice President <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/kamala-harris\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">Kamala Harris<\/a> are locked in a <a href=\"https:\/\/amzn.to\/3YuVZYV\">coin-flip race nationally<\/a> in the polls, but their paths to the White House run through <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/presidential\/3196536\/swing-state-scorecard-harris-trump-coin-flip-contest-battlegrounds\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"different states.\">different states.<\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"article-paywall\">\n<p>A victory for either candidate will be determined by how many of the seven battleground states they can win. Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania make up the &ldquo;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/who-said-it-best-vp-contenders-audition-for-slot-by-slamming-vance-washington-examiner\/\" title=\"Who said it best: VP contenders audition for slot by slamming Vance - Washington Examiner\">blue wall&#038;rdquo<\/a>; states, while Arizona, Nevada, Georgia, and North Carolina are the Sunbelt states that will help decide the next president.<\/p>\n<p>However, Trump and Harris&rsquo;s paths to the coveted 270 Electoral College votes, the number needed to become the presumptive president, are divergent, according to simulations on the website 270toWin.<\/p>\n<p>Harris is heading into the election with likely 226 electoral votes from traditional blue states and blue-leaning swing states, as opposed to Trump&rsquo;s 219 electoral votes from traditional red states and GOP-leaning states. That leaves 93 electoral votes for the two candidates to battle over.<\/p>\n<p>Pennsylvania and its 19 Electoral College votes remain the top battleground both Trump and Harris need to win a smooth path to victory. However, they can still win the White House without it if they can make up for the loss with other battlegrounds.<\/p>\n<p>Here&rsquo;s what a win for either candidate looks like, provided they win other states that have traditionally voted Republican and Democratic.<\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/live-blog\/2024-election-campaign-live-updates-harris-trump\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">2024 ELECTIONS LIVE UPDATES: LATEST NEWS ON THE TRUMP-HARRIS PRESIDENTIAL RACE<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What Trump&rsquo;s easiest path to winning looks like <\/h2>\n<p>The former president&rsquo;s best path to the White House involves winning Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Georgia, along with one electoral vote in Maine, which would put him right at 270 electoral votes to Harris&rsquo;s 268 votes. <\/p>\n<p>Winning those three states would also mean he could lose the other four battleground states but still serve a second term as president.<\/p>\n<p>Trump won only one of those states, North Carolina, in his 2020 battle against President Joe Biden. He is currently narrowly leading Harris in the Tarheel State and the Peach State, according to several <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/elections\/president\/2024\/battleground-states\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">poll averages<\/a>. <\/p>\n<p>Maine and Nebraska are the only two states that award electoral votes based on statewide results and congressional districts. Trump is likely to win one electoral vote in Maine, while Harris is favored to win one electoral vote in Nebraska.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What Harris&rsquo;s easiest path to winning looks like <\/h2>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/carson-points-out-that-every-democratic-plan-has-backfired-in-trumps-favor-as-seen-in-the-bible-2\/\" title=\"Carson points out that every Democratic plan has backfired in Trump&#039;s favor, as seen in the Bible\">vice president&#038;rsquo<\/a>;s best path to the White House is to win all three &ldquo;blue wall&rdquo; states, which include Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, plus one electoral vote in Nebraska&rsquo;s 2nd Congressional District. This would put her at exactly 270 electoral votes and Trump at 268 electoral votes.<\/p>\n<p>If Harris pulls off that feat, she could lose every other battleground state and still win the White House. <\/p>\n<p>However, that path could prove difficult, as Trump is leading her in those three states according to <em>RealClearPoltics<\/em>&lsquo;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/elections\/president\/2024\/battleground-states\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">polling averages<\/a>. <em>FiveThirtyEight<\/em>&lsquo;s <a href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/polls\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">polling averages<\/a> show the candidates tied in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, but Harris is leading by one point in Michigan.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Other alternative routes for Trump<\/h2>\n<p>There are other, less plausible paths for Trump to reach 270 electoral votes, although they would still involve him winning Pennsylvania and Georgia. If Trump wins those two states, plus Arizona, Michigan, and Maine&rsquo;s one electoral vote, it would put him at 280 electoral votes to Harris&rsquo;s 258 votes.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/in_focus\/3203494\/counties-that-could-decide-2024-election\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\"><strong>FORGET THE SWING STATES. HERE ARE THE KEY SWING COUNTIES OF 2024<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Trump could win the &ldquo;blue wall&rdquo; states along with North Carolina and Maine&rsquo;s electoral votes, which would give him 279 electoral votes to Harris&rsquo;s 259 votes. Or he could win the &ldquo;blue wall&rdquo; states plus Georgia and Maine&rsquo;s electoral votes and win 279 electoral votes to Harris&rsquo;s 259 votes.<\/p>\n<p>However, like Harris, Trump&rsquo;s path to winning all three &ldquo;blue wall&rdquo; states could be difficult due to tight polling margins.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">How Trump could win without Pennsylvania <\/h2>\n<p>Another scenario for Trump to win without Pennsylvania involves taking Georgia, North Carolina, Michigan, Nevada, and Maine&rsquo;s one electoral vote, which would give him 272 electoral votes to Harris&rsquo;s 266 votes.<\/p>\n<p>He could also win the White House via Georgia, North Carolina, Michigan, Arizona, and Maine&rsquo;s one electoral tie.<\/p>\n<p>The aforementioned scenario would land Trump at 277 electoral votes to Harris&rsquo;s 261 votes.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Other alternative routes for Harris <\/h2>\n<p>Harris could also defeat Trump if she won Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Arizona, Nevada, and Nebraska&rsquo;s one electoral vote but lost Georgia, Michigan, and Wisconsin, which would put her at 278 electoral votes to Trump&rsquo;s 260 votes.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/presidential\/3162079\/trump-cabinet-names-rumors\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\"><strong>NAMES SWIRL FOR TRUMP SECOND CABINET AS TRANSITION TEAM MEETS WHITE HOUSE<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Another pathway includes winning the Keystone State, Wisconsin, Nevada, Arizona, and Nebraska&rsquo;s electoral votes but losing Georgia, North Carolina, and Michigan, which would give her 272 electoral votes to Trump&rsquo;s 266 votes.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">How Harris could win without Pennsylvania <\/h2>\n<p>Without winning Pennsylvania, Harris would likely need a majority of the other battleground states to reach 270 electoral votes, although this scenario is far less likely.<\/p>\n<p>If Trump wins the Keystone State and North Carolina, Harris would need to win Wisconsin, Michigan, Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, and Nebraska&rsquo;s one electoral vote to end up at 284 electoral votes to Trump&rsquo;s 254 votes. <\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Another Democratic victory involves Trump winning Arizona, Pennsylvania, and North Carolina and Harris winning Georgia, Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Nebraska&rsquo;s one electoral vote, resulting in 273 electoral votes for Harris to Trump&rsquo;s 265 votes.<\/p>\n<p>If Harris lost all three &ldquo;blue wall&rdquo; states, she could win all the Sunbelt states plus Nebraska&rsquo;s electoral vote and end up at 275 electoral votes to Trump&rsquo;s 263 electoral votes.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p> <script data-cfasync=\"false\" src=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/cdn-cgi\/scripts\/5c5dd728\/cloudflare-static\/email-decode.min.js\"><\/script><script>!function(){var g=window;g.googletag=g.googletag||{},g.googletag.cmd=g.googletag.cmd||[],g.googletag.cmd.push(function(){g.googletag.pubads().setTargeting(\"has-featured-video\",\"true\")})}();<\/script><script>var _bp=_bp||[];_bp.push({\"div\":\"Brid_1843773\",\"obj\":{\"id\":\"27789\",\"width\":\"1280\",\"height\":\"720\",\"stickyDirection\":\"below\",\"video\":\"1843773\"}});<\/script><script defer src=\"https:\/\/services.brid.tv\/player\/build\/brid.min.js\"><\/script><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Harris and Trump\u2019s 2024 victory routes differ by state<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2658,"featured_media":2360530,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Harris-and-Trump-scaled-1024x685.webp","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[32431,4021,33017,3634],"class_list":["post-2360529","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-2024-election","tag-harris","tag-political-analysis","tag-trump"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Harris-and-Trump-scaled-1024x685.webp","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2360529","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2658"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2360529"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2360529\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2360530"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2360529"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2360529"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2360529"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}