{"id":2360356,"date":"2024-10-28T06:19:02","date_gmt":"2024-10-28T10:19:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/confidence-man-the-risks-of-trump-projecting-a-big-win-washington-examiner\/"},"modified":"2024-10-28T06:20:11","modified_gmt":"2024-10-28T10:20:11","slug":"confidence-man-the-risks-of-trump-projecting-a-big-win-washington-examiner","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/confidence-man-the-risks-of-trump-projecting-a-big-win-washington-examiner\/","title":{"rendered":"Confidence man: The risks of Trump projecting a big win &#8211; Washington Examiner"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">26<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fconfidence-man-the-risks-of-trump-projecting-a-big-win-washington-examiner%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2360356&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>Former President Donald Trump\u200b is vigorously campaigning\u200c ahead of the upcoming election, portraying a strong sense of confidence in his potential victory. During his \u200ccampaign stops, Trump has <a href=\"https:\/\/amzn.to\/3YuVZYV\">made\u2062 bold claims<\/a> \u2063about leading in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/huge-sidney-powell-witness-whom-ny-times-described-as-always-the-smartest-person-in-the-room-concludes-hundreds-of-thousands-of-votes-transferred-from-trump-to-biden-in-all-battleground-states\/\" title=\"HUGE! Sidney Powell Witness Whom NY Times Described as &quot;Always the Smartest Person in the Room&quot; Concludes Hundreds of Thousands of Votes Transferred from Trump to Biden IN ALL BATTLEGROUND STATES\">key battleground states<\/a>\u200d despite most \u2064polls \u2064indicating a much tighter race.\u2064 His assertiveness has \u200bcultivated a sense \u2063of\u2063 overconfidence\u2064 within the Republican ranks, with some aides suggesting a potential &#8220;unifying\u200b landslide&#8221; \u2062victory.<\/p>\n<p>However, the reality painted by polling \u200ddata suggests that the race is competitive, with many states showing candidates within the margin of error. Trump&#8217;s team appears to be strategically focused, avoiding complacency by \u2063campaigning strongly to mobilize voters. Notably, Trump\u200b has taken some risks by campaigning in traditionally Democrat-leaning states like New York and California, \u200dwhich\u2064 analysts view as attempts to bolster downballot races.<\/p>\n<p>Conversely, Vice President Kamala Harris&#8217;s campaign, fueled by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/under-ethics-scrutiny-liberal-dark-money-behemoth-arabella-advisors-discloses-1-3-billion-fundraising-haul\/\" title=\"Liberal dark money giant Arabella Advisors reveals .3B fundraising amid ethics scrutiny.\">significant fundraising efforts<\/a> and high-profile endorsements, is working to counter Trump&#8217;s narratives, but some \u200dstrategists fear\u2062 that \u200cher recent tactics may inadvertently energize Trump&#8217;s base. As \u2064the\u2062 election approaches,\u200c both candidates navigate\u2063 a landscape \u200bfilled with uncertainties, with Trump leveraging his historical polling outperformances \u2063from\u2063 previous elections\u2063 against \u200da backdrop of widespread voter dissatisfaction with\u2063 the \u200ccurrent state of the country.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<p><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><\/p>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-button\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-icon td-icon-mobile\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-header-search-button-mob dropdown-toggle\" data-toggle=\"dropdown\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-search-icon td-icon-search\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-button\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-icon td-icon-mobile\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div class=\"tdb-drop-down-search\" aria-labelledby=\"td-header-search-button\">\n<div class=\"tdb-drop-down-search-inner\">\n<form method=\"get\" class=\"tdb-search-form\" action=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/\"><\/form>\n<div class=\"tdb-aj-search\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/#\" role=\"button\" aria-label=\"Search\" class=\"tdb-head-search-btn dropdown-toggle\" data-toggle=\"dropdown\"><i class=\"tdb-search-icon td-icon-search\"><\/i><\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<h1 class=\"tdb-title-text\">Confidence man: The risks of Trump projecting a big win<\/h1>\n<div><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-title-line\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div id=\"Brid_1843775\" class=\"tpd-featured-video bridtv\"><\/div>\n<p>Former President <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/donald-trump\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"Donald Trump\">Donald Trump<\/a> is campaigning as if he&rsquo;s got the race <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/3202923\/trump-boasts-about-his-poll-numbers-im-leading-by-a-lot\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"wrapped up\">wrapped up<\/a>, projecting the confidence of an ultimate salesman. However, he could risk complacency among would-be voters if they believe the election is all but over.<\/p>\n<div class=\"article-paywall\">\n<p>Trump is vigorously campaigning across the country in the final days before Election Day, a sign that he&rsquo;s working hard for a chance to return to the White House. His closing message, however, has included claims that Vice President Kamala Harris is inept and losing badly.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;We&rsquo;re leading by a lot in Nevada. We&rsquo;re leading by a lot in Arizona, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, even states that are typically never in play,&rdquo;&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/3202923\/trump-boasts-about-his-poll-numbers-im-leading-by-a-lot\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Trump boasted<\/a>&nbsp;during a campaign stop in Las Vegas. &ldquo;Big states are all in play.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>However, the actual poll numbers are much closer.<\/p>\n<p>Trump has undoubtedly gained strength, but national polls <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/presidential\/3203147\/trump-erases-harris-national-polling-lead-race-tied\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"show the race tied\">show the race tied<\/a>, and very few <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/trump-targets-foxs-laura-ingraham-over-hit-piece-on-his-poll-numbers\/\" title=\"Trump attacks Laura Ingraham for negative coverage of his poll numbers on Fox.\">swing state polls<\/a> have shown either candidate with a lead outside the margin of error. He has even talked about winning Colorado, a state where Harris enjoys an 11-point polling <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/polls\/president\/general\/2024\/colorado\/trump-vs-harris\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"advantage\">advantage<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>While Trump is known for his showman personality and will always project strength, there are some indications that a sense of confidence has leaked into the Republican atmosphere. <em>Axios <\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.axios.com\/2024\/10\/25\/election-democrats-trump-harris-lose\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"reported\">reported<\/a> that Republicans are &ldquo;shockingly confident&rdquo; about the outcome, already talking privately about policy playbooks and new jobs in January.<\/p>\n<p>Trump&rsquo;s confidence has spread to his top surrogates, with Vivek Ramaswamy suggesting Republicans could pull off a &ldquo;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/presidential\/3199947\/ramaswamy-trump-landslide-biden-lock-him-up\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"unifying landslide\">unifying landslide<\/a>.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>GOP members who spoke to the <em>Washington Examiner <\/em>insisted that Trump&rsquo;s team is fully committed behind the scenes and taking nothing for granted.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;I&rsquo;m less focused on what President Trump says about where he can win, and more focused on what his campaign does so he can win,&rdquo; said Ari Fleischer, a former White House press secretary. &ldquo;The 2024 campaign is run by sophisticated professionals, all of whom know not to be overconfident. They will sprint through the finish line.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>Similarly, Scott Jennings, a CNN commentator and longtime adviser to Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-KY), said he&rsquo;s prepared for either outcome but not doubting the Trump team&rsquo;s instincts.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;I don&rsquo;t think the Trump <em>campaign<\/em> is underestimating Harris at all,&rdquo; he said. &ldquo;Based on my observations and conversations, they are all in on finishing this thing at full throttle.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>That message is emanating from the campaign itself, if not necessarily from its principal. Donald Trump Jr. told the <em>Washington Examiner&rsquo;s <\/em>Paul Bedard the Trump team &ldquo;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/washington-secrets\/3201561\/don-trump-jr-campaign-running-like-two-points-behind\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"always run like we&rsquo;re two points behind\">always runs like we&rsquo;re two points behind<\/a>.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>There&rsquo;s no doubt Trump is in his best position ever heading into an election.<\/p>\n<p>At this stage in 2016, he trailed Hillary Clinton by 5 points nationally in a race he would go on to win. In 2020, Trump trailed President Joe Biden by 8 points. He outperformed his polling both times, so if that pattern holds, Trump is almost certain to win this time around.<\/p>\n<p>However, pollsters are aware that they missed it and have tried to adjust their models accordingly.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;If anything, the pollsters may be oversampling Republicans to make up for the past mistakes,&rdquo; said Sandy Maisel, a former Democratic operative and professor emeritus at Colby College. &ldquo;They are really doing it different now.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>That doesn&rsquo;t mean Maisel is bullish on Harris. He said he wants her to win but admits he thinks Trump has the upper hand right now.<\/p>\n<p>Trump has been taking a few risks in the final stretch. He has campaigned in New York and California, for example, two states where he is almost certain to lose. Some see that as a play for downballot races in the House, but it is a risk either way.<\/p>\n<p>Former President George W. Bush&rsquo;s adviser Karl Rove said during a Zoom event Thursday that if he were advising the Trump campaign, he&rsquo;d tell them to spend every moment in the battleground states.<\/p>\n<p>Rove, for what it&rsquo;s worth, isn&rsquo;t impressed with Harris&rsquo;s strategy either. He says her closing argument of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/white-house\/3199943\/when-comparing-trump-hitler-falls-deaf-ears\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"comparing Trump to Adolf Hitler\">comparing Trump to Adolf Hitler<\/a> won&rsquo;t win her any new votes and could backfire by energizing Trump&rsquo;s base. <\/p>\n<p>He predicted there would still be at least one more surprise before Election Day on Nov. 5. Rove also felt that the outside dynamics of the election, such as two-thirds of voters saying the country is on the wrong track, suggested that Trump should win.<\/p>\n<p>Trump has been unafraid to hurl insults at Harris, calling her lazy and saying she has a low IQ.<strong> <\/strong>He has called her a s*** vice president, suggested <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/presidential\/3199644\/trump-harris-campaigns-battle-mental-physical-fitness\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"she's on drugs,\">she&rsquo;s on drugs,<\/a> and said she&rsquo;s worse than Biden, who the Democratic Party yanked from the ticket in July.<\/p>\n<p>Harris, however, has raised more than a billion dollars to support her election bid and has two former presidents and A-list celebrities lining up to campaign with her.<\/p>\n<p>Harris hasn&rsquo;t lost a nonpresidential election since her first race more than 20 years ago, moving from local to state to national politics in a string of victories. The level of donations suggests buy-in from deep-pocketed backers who still believe in her candidacy.<\/p>\n<p>She has been rumored to be seeking the presidency as an ultimate goal since at least <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sfweekly.com\/music\/kamala-harris-benefit-announced\/article_0c42d9f8-c7b2-5b5f-94d7-2b4a2650d7b7.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"2009\">2009<\/a>, when she still held a local office in San Francisco. Former President Barack Obama has been a fan of Harris since at least <a href=\"https:\/\/nymag.com\/intelligencer\/2013\/04\/obama-in-need-of-gender-sensitivity-training.html?mid=twitter_dailyintel\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"2013\">2013<\/a> and is now storming the country on her behalf as she seeks the White House.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>However, Republicans are saying Trump and his backers know exactly what they&rsquo;re up against and see Harris as a formidable and worthy opponent who will not go down lightly.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;Trump deserves a huge amount of credit for picking the right team, sticking with them, and letting them execute a plan that has them at the threshold of winning,&rdquo; Jennings said. &ldquo;They gotta walk through the door in a few days, but there&rsquo;s no doubt that they are in a position to do it.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p> <script data-cfasync=\"false\" src=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/cdn-cgi\/scripts\/5c5dd728\/cloudflare-static\/email-decode.min.js\"><\/script><script>!function(){var g=window;g.googletag=g.googletag||{},g.googletag.cmd=g.googletag.cmd||[],g.googletag.cmd.push(function(){g.googletag.pubads().setTargeting(\"has-featured-video\",\"true\")})}();<\/script><script>var _bp=_bp||[];_bp.push({\"div\":\"Brid_1843775\",\"obj\":{\"id\":\"27789\",\"width\":\"1280\",\"height\":\"720\",\"stickyDirection\":\"below\",\"video\":\"1843775\"}});<\/script><script defer src=\"https:\/\/services.brid.tv\/player\/build\/brid.min.js\"><\/script><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Trump&#8217;s confidence may lead to voter complacency<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2635,"featured_media":2360357,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Donald-Trump-confidence.webp","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[538],"tags":[6711,5894,7993,3634,32076],"class_list":["post-2360356","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-washington-examiner","tag-confidence","tag-politics","tag-risks","tag-trump","tag-washington-examiner"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Donald-Trump-confidence.webp","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2360356","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2635"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2360356"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2360356\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2360357"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2360356"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2360356"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2360356"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}