{"id":2358787,"date":"2024-10-24T07:25:01","date_gmt":"2024-10-24T11:25:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/what-if-republicans-miss-their-best-shot-to-retake-the-senate-majority-washington-examiner\/"},"modified":"2024-10-24T07:25:44","modified_gmt":"2024-10-24T11:25:44","slug":"what-if-republicans-miss-their-best-shot-to-retake-the-senate-majority-washington-examiner","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/what-if-republicans-miss-their-best-shot-to-retake-the-senate-majority-washington-examiner\/","title":{"rendered":"What if Republicans miss their best shot to retake the Senate majority &#8211; Washington Examiner"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">30<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fwhat-if-republicans-miss-their-best-shot-to-retake-the-senate-majority-washington-examiner%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2358787&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>The\u200b article discusses the precarious situation Republicans face as they approach a crucial election with the potential to\u200c retake the Senate majority. Despite having advantages in the map for competitive seats\u2014mainly controlled by Democrats\u2014there are significant concerns within the party about their ability to capitalize on this opportunity. Analysts note that while Republicans should have the\u200d edge, they have historically underperformed in elections. Currently, the GOP\u2064 only leads in Montana and is encountering tougher-than-expected challenges in traditionally Republican states\u2064 like Texas and Nebraska.<\/p>\n<p>The article emphasizes the need for Republicans to secure a more significant majority than\u200b just a one-seat gain, as having a slim margin could weaken their \u200bleadership, making it susceptible to \u200bdissent from centrist members. Key \u2062races are being highlighted, such as the Arizona contest \u2064where Republican Kari Lake is struggling against \u200bDemocrat Ruben Gallego, which some strategists view as a missed opportunity. Additionally, there are indications that Senate Democrats are outpacing\u200d their GOP \u200dcounterparts in fundraising efforts.<\/p>\n<p>However, there remains a glimmer of hope for Republicans in Nevada,\u2063 where\u2063 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/donald-trump-cant-lose-if-incredible-early-voting-trend-continues-political-expert-mark-halperin-says\/\" title=\"&#039;Donald Trump Can&#039;t Lose&#039; if Incredible Early Voting Trend Continues, Political Expert Mark Halperin Says\">early voting trends favor<\/a> their candidate. The article illustrates \u2063the internal\u200d divisions within \u200bthe party about strategy and outlook, with contrasting predictions between the National\u200c Republican Senatorial\u200d Committee and affiliated super PACs regarding their electoral prospects.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<p><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><\/p>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-button\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-icon td-icon-mobile\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-header-search-button-mob dropdown-toggle\" data-toggle=\"dropdown\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-search-icon td-icon-search\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-button\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-icon td-icon-mobile\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div class=\"tdb-drop-down-search\" aria-labelledby=\"td-header-search-button\">\n<div class=\"tdb-drop-down-search-inner\">\n<form method=\"get\" class=\"tdb-search-form\" action=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/\"><\/form>\n<div class=\"tdb-aj-search\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/#\" role=\"button\" aria-label=\"Search\" class=\"tdb-head-search-btn dropdown-toggle\" data-toggle=\"dropdown\"><i class=\"tdb-search-icon td-icon-search\"><\/i><\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<h1 class=\"tdb-title-text\">What if Republicans miss their best shot to retake Senate majority?<\/h1>\n<div><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-title-line\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div id=\"Brid_1837263\" class=\"tpd-featured-video bridtv\"><\/div>\n<p>Days away from a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/congressional\/3197617\/pennsylvania-senate-race-shifts-toss-up-mccormick-casey\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"prime opportunity\">prime opportunity<\/a> to retake the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/congressional\/3184147\/republicans-march-toward-senate-control\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"Senate majority\">Senate majority<\/a>, Republicans are staring down a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/congressional\/3191485\/democrats-dominate-gop-fundraising-q3-battleground-races\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"reality\">reality<\/a> where they could still squander their shot.<\/p>\n<div class=\"article-paywall\">\n<p>There&rsquo;s angst heading into Election Day among Republicans, who are questioning how deep their bench will be &mdash; or if they&rsquo;ll even have control.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;They should take it back. It&rsquo;d be theirs to lose,&rdquo; said GOP strategist Rick Tyler, who&rsquo;s worked for Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) and former Republican House Speaker Newt Gingrich. &ldquo;But I don&rsquo;t think it&rsquo;s in the bag for them.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>Republicans are heading into the 2024 election with an advantage of the map. Nearly all of the competitive seats are controlled by Democrats or independents who caucus with Democrats, giving the GOP the upper hand in the closing days of campaigning to flip the chamber.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;The last cycle, they were supposed to have done really well, and they didn&rsquo;t,&rdquo; Tyler said. &ldquo;They came up very short and didn&rsquo;t gain the majority.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>With a pickup in West Virginia after the retirement of Sen. Joe Manchin (I-WV), Republicans likely need to flip just one more across more than a <a href=\"https:\/\/amzn.to\/3YuVZYV\">half-dozen states held<\/a> by Democrats in Montana, Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Arizona to clench the majority.<\/p>\n<p>That&rsquo;s proving tougher than the party had hoped. Republicans are ahead in just one state, Montana, and are facing tougher-than-expected reelection fights in the GOP strongholds of Texas and Nebraska.<\/p>\n<p>Narrowly securing the majority with one seat would spell victory but with a caveat: leadership&rsquo;s eroded power at the hands of any one Republican, particularly those who are more centrist. Democrats experienced a similar fate the past four years with 50-50 and 51-49 splits. The prospect is driving the GOP&rsquo;s last-ditch efforts to score pickups in states beyond the Democrats&rsquo; most vulnerable seat, held by Sen. Jon Tester (D-MT).<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;They need a stronger cushion,&rdquo; Republication strategist John Feehery said. &ldquo;If they only have 51, I can see [Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-AK)] making things very difficult for the GOP leadership.&rdquo; <\/p>\n<p>In the Arizona race between Republican Kari Lake and Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-AZ) that &ldquo;leans Democrat,&rdquo; GOP strategist Barrett Marson sees their chances to pick up the seat as &ldquo;cooked.&rdquo; Lake <a href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/polls\/senate\/2024\/arizona\/general\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>consistently trails<\/a> Gallego to replace retiring Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (I-AZ), which some Republicans see as a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/congressional\/3182186\/maga-queen-kari-lake-bleeding-republican-support-arizona-senate\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"missed opportunity\">missed opportunity<\/a>.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY), left, talks with Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY), as they wait for the arrival of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky on Capitol Hill, Wednesday, July 10, 2024, in Washington. (AP Photo\/John McDonnell)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>&ldquo;She&rsquo;s snatching defeat from the jaws of victory,&rdquo; Marson said of Lake, who maintains she won the 2022 gubernatorial race against now-Gov. Katie Hobbs (D-AZ). &ldquo;She has grabbed onto the &lsquo;MAGA&rsquo; mantle and embraces it even tighter than a mama bear embraces her cub.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>Senate Democrats in battleground contests have run circles around GOP opponents when it comes to fundraising but are still trailing Republicans in past and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/tester-stakes-montana-senate-race-on-convincing-gop-voters-hes-different-than-biden\/\" title=\"Tester bets on differentiating himself from Biden to win Montana Senate race\">future ad reservations<\/a> in the four races rated &ldquo;toss-ups,&rdquo; which include Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, according to ad-tracking firm Ad Impact. In Arizona, Republicans are spending less than half of that of Democrats on the airwaves, another indication of where the GOP sees the race heading.<\/p>\n<p>Republicans say there are optimistic signs in the &ldquo;leans Democrat&rdquo; state of Nevada, where Republican Sam Brown is taking on Sen. Jacky Rosen (D-NV). <\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;A couple weeks ago, I would have said Rosen is in really good shape, and it would be almost impossible to beat her,&rdquo; a Nevada GOP operative said. &ldquo;Republicans have maintained a lead in early and mail-in voting. That&rsquo;s never happened before in this state.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>Republicans are facing <a href=\"https:\/\/www.politico.com\/live-updates\/2024\/10\/15\/2024-elections-live-coverage-updates-analysis\/nrsc-polling-memo-rust-belt-00183640\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"diverging internal polling\">differences in internal polling<\/a> between their Senate campaign arm, the National Republican Senatorial Committee, and the top Senate GOP super PAC tied to McConnell, the Senate Leadership Fund. Leaked memos show the NRSC predicting an optimistic <a href=\"https:\/\/www.politico.com\/f\/?id=00000192-8dc5-d086-a1fe-bfc78a440000\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"53-seat majority\">53-seat majority<\/a> compared to SLF&rsquo;s more pessimistic <a href=\"https:\/\/static.politico.com\/79\/e9\/eaf701084e77be9afaa85356e3b8\/slf-october-memo.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"50-seat prediction\">51-seat prediction<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>A senior GOP Senate aide split the difference, telling the <em>Washington Examiner<\/em> that a 52-plus-seat majority was well within reach. They predicted Montana and at least one other state between Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, and Wisconsin would go red.<\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/2024-elections\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Tyler said he&rsquo;d be &ldquo;surprised&rdquo; if Republicans emerged from November with anything greater than a one-seat margin and that the reelection fight facing his former boss, Cruz, should be under greater scrutiny. Facing Rep. Colin Allred (D-TX), Cruz&rsquo;s contest &ldquo;leans Republican&rdquo; but has featured some recent polling showing the two in a virtual dead heat.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;I don&rsquo;t feel like there&rsquo;s an overwhelming mandate to give the Republicans the Senate this cycle. But it will be close,&rdquo; Tyler said. &ldquo;They should gain it because it really is in their favor.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p> <script data-cfasync=\"false\" src=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/cdn-cgi\/scripts\/5c5dd728\/cloudflare-static\/email-decode.min.js\"><\/script><script>!function(){var g=window;g.googletag=g.googletag||{},g.googletag.cmd=g.googletag.cmd||[],g.googletag.cmd.push(function(){g.googletag.pubads().setTargeting(\"has-featured-video\",\"true\")})}();<\/script><script>var _bp=_bp||[];_bp.push({\"div\":\"Brid_1837263\",\"obj\":{\"id\":\"27789\",\"width\":\"1280\",\"height\":\"720\",\"stickyDirection\":\"below\",\"video\":\"1837263\"}});<\/script><script defer src=\"https:\/\/services.brid.tv\/player\/build\/brid.min.js\"><\/script><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>What if Republicans miss their chance to regain Senate control<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3108,"featured_media":2358788,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/gop-set-to-take-over-narrow-senate.webp","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[538],"tags":[32504,3756,35710],"class_list":["post-2358787","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-washington-examiner","tag-political-strategy","tag-republicans","tag-senate-majority"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/gop-set-to-take-over-narrow-senate.webp","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2358787","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3108"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2358787"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2358787\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2358788"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2358787"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2358787"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2358787"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}