{"id":2358782,"date":"2024-10-24T07:10:02","date_gmt":"2024-10-24T11:10:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/democrats-increasingly-optimistic-about-a-house-takeover-washington-examiner\/"},"modified":"2024-10-24T07:12:14","modified_gmt":"2024-10-24T11:12:14","slug":"democrats-increasingly-optimistic-about-a-house-takeover-washington-examiner","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/democrats-increasingly-optimistic-about-a-house-takeover-washington-examiner\/","title":{"rendered":"Democrats \u2018increasingly optimistic\u2019 about a House takeover &#8211; Washington Examiner"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"float:left\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">20<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fdemocrats-increasingly-optimistic-about-a-house-takeover-washington-examiner%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2358782&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>Democrats are expressing increased optimism about\u200d their chances of regaining control of the House of Representatives ahead of \u200bthe \u2062upcoming elections.\u2062 With only four seats separating them from a majority, Democratic strategists are \u2063focusing on competitive races in New York and\u2064 California, where they hope \u2062to \u200dflip Republican-held seats. Key districts of interest \u200binclude New York\u2019s 4th, 17th, and 19th Congressional Districts, where Democrats believe \u200dthey have strong \u200bcandidates.<\/p>\n<p>In preparation for the elections, Democrats have opened multiple campaign offices,\u200b <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/fact-check-were-over-17000-duplicate-votes-found-in-the-maricopa-county-audit\/\" title=\"FACT CHECK: Were Over 17,000 Duplicate Votes Found In The Maricopa County Audit?\">hired additional staff<\/a>, and <a href=\"https:\/\/amzn.to\/3YuVZYV\">launched substantial voter engagement initiatives<\/a>. The Democratic National Committee has also made\u2062 significant financial investments \u2062to support candidates in key districts. Meanwhile, Republicans \u200care becoming increasingly concerned about the viability of some of their incumbent positions as polls\u200d indicate vulnerabilities in several districts, particularly in California and New York.<\/p>\n<p>Despite \u2062ongoing struggles in\u2063 the presidential \u200drace, Democrats believe their path to winning back the House is more \u200dfavorable, as control is seen to run primarily through solidly blue\u2063 states rather than swing\u200d or red states. Republican strategists, on the other hand, are also actively reallocating resources \u200bto defend at-risk seats, indicating a competitive\u2064 landscape \u200cleading into Election Day.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<p><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><\/p>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-button\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-icon td-icon-mobile\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-header-search-button-mob dropdown-toggle\" data-toggle=\"dropdown\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-search-icon td-icon-search\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-button\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-icon td-icon-mobile\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div class=\"tdb-drop-down-search\" aria-labelledby=\"td-header-search-button\">\n<div class=\"tdb-drop-down-search-inner\">\n<form method=\"get\" class=\"tdb-search-form\" action=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/\"><\/form>\n<div class=\"tdb-aj-search\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/#\" role=\"button\" aria-label=\"Search\" class=\"tdb-head-search-btn dropdown-toggle\" data-toggle=\"dropdown\"><i class=\"tdb-search-icon td-icon-search\"><\/i><\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<h1 class=\"tdb-title-text\">Democrats &lsquo;increasingly optimistic&rsquo; about a House takeover<\/h1>\n<div><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-title-line\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div id=\"Brid_1843689\" class=\"tpd-featured-video bridtv\"><\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/democrats\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"Democrats\">Democrats<\/a> are feeling a renewed sense of &ldquo;calm&rdquo; and &ldquo;optimism&rdquo; about their prospects of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/speaker\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"taking back \">taking back <\/a>the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/section\/news\/house\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"Democrats\">House<\/a> majority with only a matter of days until <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/election-day\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"voters\">voters<\/a> make their voices heard.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div class=\"article-paywall\">\n<p>Only four seats are standing between Democrats and the speaker&rsquo;s gavel and the race for the House majority hinges on specific areas in states outside of the presidential battleground map, specifically in New York and California.&nbsp; <\/p>\n<p>In the nation&rsquo;s two largest blue states there are eight highly competitive House races where Democrats could flip a Republican seat, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cookpolitical.com\/ratings\/house-race-ratings\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>according<\/a> to the <em>Cook Political Report. <\/em>Every toss-up race is currently held by a Republican.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;Without getting cocky but with some swagger &mdash; I have three words: Speaker Hakeem Jeffries,&rdquo; said Jon Reinish, a Democratic political strategist based in New York. &ldquo;The House was lost in 2022 in New York and I think two years later, it has a strong chance of being won. There&rsquo;s a lot of optimism.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>Back in 2022, Republicans <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/619844\/republicans-control-the-house-now-what-can-they-do\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"took control \">took control <\/a>of the House of Representatives due to a red wave of victory in the blue state of New York. Democrats ultimately lost five seats in suburban districts, mostly around New York City.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">UNITED STATES &ndash; OCTOBER 17: Laura Gillen, Democratic candidate for New York&rsquo;s 4th Congressional District, prepares for an interview after a roundtable discussion on reproductive rights, in Freeport, New York, on Thursday, Oct. 17, 2024. Tom Williams\/CQ Roll Call via AP Images)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Insiders are looking at New York&rsquo;s 17th Congressional District, where Rep. Mike Lawler (R-NY) is trying to fend off Democratic opponent, former Rep. Mondaire Jones; the 4th District, where Rep. Anthony D&rsquo;Esposito (R-NY) is running against Democrat Laura Gillen; and the 19th District, where Rep. Marcus Molinaro (R-NY) is facing Democrat Josh Riley.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>While Democrats acknowledge the race for the presidency is a &ldquo;coin flip&rdquo; and the math is looking even more challenging for them to hold on to the Senate majority, they say the conditions that could lead to victory in the House are a different beast.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;House control does not run through red or purple states, it runs through blue states,&rdquo; Reinish said. &ldquo;If the race for the House goes through California and New York, that&rsquo;s a very different conversation than the race for the Senate going through Ohio and Montana, two very red states.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/3189720\/election-2024-mail-in-voting-ballot-tracking\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">ELECTION 2024: WHAT TO KNOW ABOUT MAIL-IN VOTING<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>New York Democrats opened 40 offices in seven House districts and hired 100 full-time staffers, according to sources familiar.&nbsp;In California, Democrats are looking at five opportunities to flip Republican-held districts blue in districts 13, 22 and 27 in the northern and middle portion of the state to 41 and 45 in Riverside, Orange, and Los Angeles counties.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The Democratic National Committee invested $200,000 at the beginning of this month, directing the state party to hire additional staff to help get out the vote in competitive California districts, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ocregister.com\/2024\/09\/27\/democratic-party-invests-in-these-southern-california-house-races-ahead-of-election\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>reported<\/a> by the <em>Orange County Register. <\/em>They also <a href=\"https:\/\/democrats.org\/news\/dnc-announces-six-figure-voter-turnout-campaign-targeting-diverse-constituencies-across-california\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>launched <\/a>a six-figure &lsquo;I Will Vote&rsquo; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/jane-fonda-launches-climate-pac-we-have-8-years-before-the-point-of-no-return\/\" title=\"Jane Fonda Launches Climate PAC: &#039;We Have 8 Years Before the Point of No Return&#039;\">paid media campaign<\/a> to engage voters across California.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">FILE &ndash; Rep. Mike Garcia (R-CA) departs as Republicans meet to decide who to nominate to be the new House speaker, on Capitol Hill in Washington, late Tuesday, Oct. 24, 2023. (AP Photo\/Alex Brandon, File)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>This summer at the Democratic National Convention, Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-NY) foreshadowed Democrat&rsquo;s strategy to win back the House, speaking at a California state delegation breakfast on Aug. 22.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;The road to the majority, in many ways rests in our two states &mdash; in New York and in California,&rdquo; Jeffries said to the largest group of delegates in the country. &ldquo;We are only four seats short. We are inside the red zone, inside the 20-yard line, we&rsquo;re inside the five-yard line. We can see the end zone, and California and New York can get us over the finish line.&rdquo;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The Democrats&rsquo; House Majority PAC has canceled planned buys in Nevada, Ohio, New Hampshire, Michigan, Kansas, New Jersey, and Pennsylvania, pointing to new confidence that their once-vulnerable candidates are appearing to be stronger in the final days of the election, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.politico.com\/live-updates\/2024\/10\/22\/2024-elections-live-coverage-updates-analysis\/house-dems-confidence-ad-buys-00184895\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>reporting<\/a> from <em>Politico.&nbsp;<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;Two weeks out from an election, you&rsquo;re pulling ad buys in these states. You&rsquo;re doing it because you feel comfortable with your margins,&rdquo; said Matthew McDermott, a Democratic strategist.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>McDermott described the mood inside Democratic circles as &ldquo;a sense of calm,&rdquo; regarding the outlook of the battle for control of the House. He&rsquo;s pointing to the New York district races, specifically looking at a recent<em> <a href=\"https:\/\/scri.siena.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/NY04Oct24-Crosstabs.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>Newsday<\/a><\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/scri.siena.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/NY04Oct24-Crosstabs.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>-Siena College survey<\/a> released on Tuesday showing what he called &ldquo;troubling numbers&rdquo; for Republicans on Long Island. He&rsquo;s also highlighting<a href=\"https:\/\/wnyt.com\/top-stories\/riley-molinaro-ny-19-newschannel-13-surveyusa-poll\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title> another<\/a> from NewsChannel 13 that shows Riley, the Democrat, up by 4 points against Molinaro, the incumbent, in the 19th District.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;I&rsquo;m increasingly optimistic. Democrats are fairly well positioned to flip probably a minimum of three seats in New York right now,&rdquo; McDermott said.<\/p>\n<p>McDermott said this period is when swing district polling in the House showed major red flags back in 2016 when House Republicans kept control of the House. Now, he&rsquo;s looking at polling that looks stronger for House Democrats than the national toplines.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;If you were to look at the presidential topline numbers in those districts &mdash; if you were to map that nationally, you&rsquo;re looking at a [Vice President Kamala] Harris lead of 3.5 points. Whereas in 2016, around this time, you started to see [Secretary of State Hillary] Clinton&rsquo;s collapsing in a lot of these swing districts,&rdquo; McDermott explained.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, Republicans have begun to sound internal alarm bells that some GOP-held seats could be in peril, according to a memo sent to party donors last week that was obtained by the <em>Washington Examiner. <\/em>The memo, sent by the GOP-aligned Congressional Leadership Fund, warned donors that incumbents in states such as California, New York, Nebraska, and Arizona remain at risk less than two weeks ahead of election day.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The memo specifically listed the seats held by Reps. Mike Garcia (R-CA), Michelle Steel (R-CA), and Ken Calvert (R-CA), as the most <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/hannity-asks-trump-if-hes-considering-a-run-for-president-in-2024\/\" title=\"Hannity Asks Trump If He\u2019s Considering A Run For President In 2024\">recent polls show<\/a> all three incumbents trailing or tied with their Democratic challengers.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>However, the memo noted that if Republicans minimize their losses to between four and seven seats, there are still enough &ldquo;winnable seats on offense&rdquo; that would allow them to hold on to the majority. It cited a number of Democratic-held seats where Republicans could make gains, especially with former President Donald Trump on the ticket.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>But Republicans have become concerned with a handful of other races, including the seat held by Rep. Scott Perry (R-PA) that was shifted into toss-up territory just last week.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>In response, Republicans in safer districts have begun pouring money into their colleagues&rsquo; races &mdash; even those who have typically shied away from doing so in previous cycles.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Several members of the House Freedom Caucus have transferred more than $1 million to the National Republican Congressional Committee in October, marking an unusual alliance between the two groups that have butted heads in the past. At least $500,000 of that came from Rep. Jim Jordan (R-OH), two sources familiar with the spending told the <em>Washington Examiner.&nbsp;<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Those transfers come after the NRCC trailed behind its Democratic counterpart in recent fundraising, raising $18 million in September compared to the $30 million raised by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in the same month.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Democratic candidates challenging vulnerable Republicans have also experienced a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/congressional\/3191485\/democrats-dominate-gop-fundraising-q3-battleground-races\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"fundraising surge\">fundraising surge<\/a>, with nearly every challenger outraising their GOP opponents during the third quarter. On the other hand, no Republican challenger facing a Democratic incumbent in the toss-up category managed to outraise their opponents.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Of the 14 GOP incumbents representing toss-up districts, all but one was outraised by their Democratic opponent in the third quarter, according to Federal Election Commission filings. However, all 14 of the Democratic challengers saw a massive surge in fundraising over the last three months.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Trump is set to hold an upcoming rally at Madison Square Garden on Sunday, his second New York rally in two months. While New York isn&rsquo;t a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/sen-casey-launches-reelection-bid-for-fourth-term-in-pennsylvania\/\" title=\"Sen. Casey announces his fourth-term election play in Pennsylvania.\">presidential swing state<\/a>, insiders said part of Trump&rsquo;s calculation is to help out in the battle for the House majority by boosting Republicans in suburban New York.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p> <script data-cfasync=\"false\" src=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/cdn-cgi\/scripts\/5c5dd728\/cloudflare-static\/email-decode.min.js\"><\/script><script>!function(){var g=window;g.googletag=g.googletag||{},g.googletag.cmd=g.googletag.cmd||[],g.googletag.cmd.push(function(){g.googletag.pubads().setTargeting(\"has-featured-video\",\"true\")})}();<\/script><script>var _bp=_bp||[];_bp.push({\"div\":\"Brid_1843689\",\"obj\":{\"id\":\"27789\",\"width\":\"1280\",\"height\":\"720\",\"stickyDirection\":\"below\",\"video\":\"1843689\"}});<\/script><script defer src=\"https:\/\/services.brid.tv\/player\/build\/brid.min.js\"><\/script><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Democrats are feeling optimistic about regaining House control<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3026,"featured_media":2358783,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Hakeem-Jeffries-NY-scaled-1024x683.webp","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[3685,43607,32076],"class_list":["post-2358782","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-democrats","tag-house-takeover","tag-washington-examiner"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Hakeem-Jeffries-NY-scaled-1024x683.webp","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2358782","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3026"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2358782"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2358782\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2358783"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2358782"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2358782"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2358782"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}