{"id":2354104,"date":"2024-10-12T15:56:10","date_gmt":"2024-10-12T19:56:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/2024-election-betting-odds-trump-takes-largest-lead-since-july-washington-examiner\/"},"modified":"2024-10-12T15:57:39","modified_gmt":"2024-10-12T19:57:39","slug":"2024-election-betting-odds-trump-takes-largest-lead-since-july-washington-examiner","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/2024-election-betting-odds-trump-takes-largest-lead-since-july-washington-examiner\/","title":{"rendered":"2024 election betting odds: Trump takes largest lead since July &#8211; Washington Examiner"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">26<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2F2024-election-betting-odds-trump-takes-largest-lead-since-july-washington-examiner%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2354104&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>Current betting odds for the 2024 presidential election indicate that former President Donald Trump has \u200bgained the largest lead among candidates since July, with bettors giving him a 53.9% chance of winning, compared to\u2063 Vice President Kamala Harris&#8217;s\u2063 44.7%.\u200b This represents a\u2063 9.2% advantage for Trump, marking a \u200csignificant turnaround after a period of declining odds following a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/biden-blames-age-for-poor-debate-performance-not-a-young-man-washington-examiner\/\" title=\"Biden blames age for poor debate performance: \u2018Not a young man&#039; - Washington Examiner\">lackluster debate performance<\/a> in September. Trump is also leading in six of seven key battleground states\u2014most narrowly in Wisconsin by 0.3%. \u2064Should these predictions hold, he could secure 302 electoral votes, making him \u2064the first president to serve two non-consecutive terms since Grover Cleveland. Additionally, there are signs\u2062 of optimism for \u200dRepublicans regarding <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/democrats-switching-over-to-gop-in-pennsylvania-at-double-the-rate-of-republicans\/\" title=\"Pennsylvania Democrats are switching to the GOP twice as fast as Republicans\">voter registration trends<\/a> in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/trump-more-votes-than-voters-in-key-swing-states\/\" title=\"Trump: More Votes Than Voters in Key Swing States\">key swing states<\/a> like Pennsylvania, Arizona, North Carolina, and Nevada, where Democrats have been losing ground.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<p><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><\/p>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-button\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-icon td-icon-mobile\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-header-search-button-mob dropdown-toggle\" data-toggle=\"dropdown\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-search-icon td-icon-search\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-button\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-icon td-icon-mobile\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div class=\"tdb-drop-down-search\" aria-labelledby=\"td-header-search-button\">\n<div class=\"tdb-drop-down-search-inner\">\n<form method=\"get\" class=\"tdb-search-form\" action=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/\"><\/form>\n<div class=\"tdb-aj-search\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/#\" role=\"button\" aria-label=\"Search\" class=\"tdb-head-search-btn dropdown-toggle\" data-toggle=\"dropdown\"><i class=\"tdb-search-icon td-icon-search\"><\/i><\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<h1 class=\"tdb-title-text\">Trump takes largest election betting odds lead since July<\/h1>\n<div><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-title-line\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div id=\"Brid_1834067\" class=\"tpd-featured-video bridtv\"><\/div>\n<p>Current 2024 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/presidential\/3125072\/election-wagers-insight-into-results-face-regulatory-threat\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>election betting<\/a> odds give former President Donald Trump the biggest lead any candidate has held since July, just days after Trump <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/presidential\/3183476\/trump-surges-ahead-harris-election-betting-odds\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>surged<\/a> past Vice President Kamala Harris in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/bookies-desantis-now-a-far-more-likely-2024-champion-than-biden-harris\/\" title=\"Bookies: DeSantis \u2018Now A FAR MORE Likely 2024 Champion\u2019 Than Biden, Harris\">presidential election odds<\/a> for the first time in 26 days.<\/p>\n<div class=\"article-paywall\">\n<p>Trump jumped to a 9.2% advantage on Thursday, with bettors giving him a 53.9% chance to win and Harris a 44.7% chance. Harris&rsquo;s largest lead among bettors this cycle has been 8.8%, a figure Trump briefly overcame until his Sept. 10 presidential debate performance tanked his odds for nearly a month.<\/p>\n<p>On Thursday, Trump <a href=\"https:\/\/truthsocial.com\/@realDonaldTrump\/posts\/113285770878343625\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>posted<\/a> a screenshot of the Polymarket betting odds giving him an 11.5% advantage over Harris on the platform. Presidential betting odds differ from platform to platform, so while Trump led 55.5% to 44% on Polymarket this Thursday, his <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/betting-odds\/2024\/president\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>average lead<\/a> in the markets was 9.2%, according to <em>RealClearPolling<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>Not only is Trump surging in the betting markets, but he is also leading in six of the seven key battleground states, including Pennsylvania by 0.1%, North Carolina by 0.5%, Georgia by 0.5%, Michigan by 0.9%, Arizona by 1%, and Nevada by 0.2%.<\/p>\n<p>The former president is only trailing in Wisconsin by 0.3%. If the election were to fall exactly as the polls <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/polls\/president\/general\/2024\/nevada\/trump-vs-harris\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>predict<\/a>, Trump would win 302 electoral votes and become the first commander in chief since Grover Cleveland to serve two non-consecutive terms.<\/p>\n<p>Adding to the Republican optimism in at least four of those swing states is voter registration numbers as Democrats have <a href=\"https:\/\/time.com\/7071878\/harris-democrats-swing-states\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>lost<\/a> significant ground to the GOP in Pennsylvania, Arizona, North Carolina, and Nevada on the voter rolls.<\/p>\n<p>Swing state voter registration has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.usatoday.com\/story\/news\/politics\/elections\/2024\/09\/29\/voter-registrations-surge-swing-states\/75090346007\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>spiked<\/a> in 2024, with more names being added to the rolls than last presidential election&rsquo;s margin of victory in these battleground states. In many cases, Republicans are out-gaining Democrats, and this may signify greater Republican turnout than the polls suggest.<\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The largest betting odds lead of the 2024 race came on July 13, the day Trump was shot in the ear at a Butler, Pennsylvania, rally in an attempted assassination. He led President <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/joe-biden\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>Joe Biden<\/a> by 48.5% on that day after he defiantly got back up onstage with a raised fist and bloodied face, drawing the admiration of both Republicans and Democrats.<\/p>\n<p>Prior to Thursday, Trump&rsquo;s largest lead since Harris first pulled ahead was a short-lived 5.2% advantage on Sept. 9. The next day, the pair faced off in their first presidential debate, which apparently discouraged bettors from backing Trump as he wouldn&rsquo;t lead in the betting markets for 26 days after that.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p> <script data-cfasync=\"false\" src=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/cdn-cgi\/scripts\/5c5dd728\/cloudflare-static\/email-decode.min.js\"><\/script><script>!function(){var g=window;g.googletag=g.googletag||{},g.googletag.cmd=g.googletag.cmd||[],g.googletag.cmd.push(function(){g.googletag.pubads().setTargeting(\"has-featured-video\",\"true\")})}();<\/script><script>var _bp=_bp||[];_bp.push({\"div\":\"Brid_1834067\",\"obj\":{\"id\":\"27789\",\"width\":\"1280\",\"height\":\"720\",\"stickyDirection\":\"below\",\"video\":\"1834067\"}});<\/script><script defer src=\"https:\/\/services.brid.tv\/player\/build\/brid.min.js\"><\/script><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Trump gains biggest election betting odds lead since July<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2670,"featured_media":2354105,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/donald-trump-election-odds.webp","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[32431,33151,32603,42881,32076],"class_list":["post-2354104","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-2024-election","tag-betting-odds","tag-political-news","tag-trump-lead","tag-washington-examiner"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/donald-trump-election-odds.webp","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2354104","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2670"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2354104"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2354104\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2354105"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2354104"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2354104"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2354104"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}