{"id":2351796,"date":"2024-10-07T17:25:01","date_gmt":"2024-10-07T21:25:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/trumps-election-odds-surge-suddenly-hit-highest-level-in-months\/"},"modified":"2024-10-07T17:26:54","modified_gmt":"2024-10-07T21:26:54","slug":"trumps-election-odds-surge-suddenly-hit-highest-level-in-months","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/trumps-election-odds-surge-suddenly-hit-highest-level-in-months\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump&#8217;s Election Odds Surge Suddenly, Hit Highest Level in Months"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">20<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Ftrumps-election-odds-surge-suddenly-hit-highest-level-in-months%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2351796&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>A <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/stephen-moore-america-needs-political-prediction-markets\/\" title=\"Stephen Moore: America Needs Political Prediction Markets\">prediction market<\/a> platform, Polymarket, has released forecasts indicating that former President Donald Trump leads Vice President Kamala Harris in\u200c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/democrats-want-their-private-security-looking-over-gop-poll-watchers-shoulders\/\" title=\"Democrats seek to monitor GOP poll watchers with private security.\">key battleground\u200b states<\/a> for\u200b the upcoming elections. In\u200c Pennsylvania, \u2063Trump&#8217;s support is reportedly at 56%, compared to Harris&#8217;s 44%, which represents his largest lead ever in that state. Polymarket\u2019s data \u2063shows Trump leading Harris by \u200d12% in terms of winning odds. The platform also reports that Trump has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/gov-desantis-holds-massive-11-point-lead-vs-challenger-charlie-crist\/\" title=\"Gov. DeSantis Holds Massive 11-Point Lead Vs. Challenger Charlie Crist\">substantial leads<\/a> in other <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/update-corrupted-software-that-stole-6000-votes-from-trump-in-michigan-county-shut-down-for-two-hours-in-red-counties-in-georgia-on-election-day\/\" title=\"Update: Corrupted Software that Stole 6,000 Votes From Trump in Michigan County -- Shut Down for TWO HOURS in Red Counties in Georgia on Election Day\">swing states<\/a>, including Arizona and Georgia.<\/p>\n<p>The report notes a fluctuation in predictions over the months, with both candidates trading places in support levels before Trump gained a decisive edge. Trump&#8217;s rally attendance and viewer engagement reportedly dwarfed that of Harris\u2019s events, leading to speculation about declining support\u200b for Harris, particularly following a difficult interview that was criticized in the media.<\/p>\n<p>Lastly, \u2064the article suggests that the current political climate positions Trump \u2062favorably going into the election, with statements about the accuracy of prediction markets \u2062over traditional polling due to financial \u2062stakes involved.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<p><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><\/p>\n<section> <script>console.log(\"ad slot (AC1)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC1)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC2)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC3)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC4)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (REP_0)\")<\/script><\/p>\n<p>A major player in the prediction market has come out with a major forecast that former President Donald Trump is now leading Vice President Kamala Harris.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;Trump&rsquo;s lead over Kamala Harris just hit an all-time high in Pennsylvania. Odds he wins are ahead by 12%,&rdquo; <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Polymarket\/status\/1843343379415056569\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Polymarket posted on X<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The post showed a graphic indicating <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/trump-pulls-graph-saved-life-makes-crowd-erupt-witty-one-liner-return-shooting-site\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Trump<\/a> has 56 percent support in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/trump-more-votes-than-voters-in-key-swing-states\/\" title=\"Trump: More Votes Than Voters in Key Swing States\">key swing state<\/a> of Pennsylvania against 44 percent for Harris.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">&#128680; BREAKING: Trump&rsquo;s lead over Kamala Harris just hit an all-time high in Pennsylvania.<\/p>\n<p>Odds he wins are ahead by 12%. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Nn3G5dmTng\">pic.twitter.com\/Nn3G5dmTng<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Polymarket (@Polymarket) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Polymarket\/status\/1843343379415056569?\">October 7, 2024<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p> <script type=\"text\/javascript\"> \t\t\tif ( getCookie( \"ff_subbed\" ) ) { \t\t\t\tdocument.getElementById(\"stnvideo\").remove() \t\t\t} \t\t<\/script> <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/polymarket.com\/elections\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Polymarket<\/a> put Trump&rsquo;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/60k-looks-like-aerial-video-shows-stunning-shot-crowd-butler-trump-rally\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">odds<\/a> at 53.6 percent against 45.8 percent for Harris. Rounding that to 54 percent, it was the first time since August 5 that Trump has hit that mark.<\/p>\n<p>The chart of predictions showed that on July 16, three days after the first assassination attempt against him, Trump was at 72 percent odds of winning.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">Kamala&rsquo;s 60 Minutes DISASTER!!<\/p>\n<p>A preview of Vice-President Kamala Harris&rsquo; 60 minutes interview has leaked &ndash; and it&rsquo;s not&hellip; it&rsquo;s NOT good.<\/p>\n<p>Witness her comments on the Israel-Gaza war and Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu:<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;The work that we have done has resulted in a number of&hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/9BdKBpnvAG\">pic.twitter.com\/9BdKBpnvAG<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Conservative Brief (@ConservBrief) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ConservBrief\/status\/1842946142826279074?\">October 6, 2024<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Then President Joe Biden dropped out, to be replaced by Harris, and the daily predictions showed a rise in the odds for Harris as Trump&rsquo;s dipped. From early August until early October, Trump and Harris flip-flopped in Polymarket&rsquo;s predictions often within a point or two of each other,<\/p>\n<p>In its newest numbers, Polymarket shows Trump ahead in Arizona, 67 percent to 33 percent for Harris, and Georgia, with 64 percent for Trump and 36 percent for Harris.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">212,000+ was at the Trump rally yesterday in Butler, PA. The 2 overflow crowds had over 110,000.<\/p>\n<p>24 million were WATCHING LIVE on Trumps X live feed simultaneously.<\/p>\n<p>That&rsquo;s not even counting the other platforms who streamed it.<\/p>\n<p>Kamala could never. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/KamalaHarris?\">@KamalaHarris<\/a> go fuck&hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/D4j63VBxeZ\">pic.twitter.com\/D4j63VBxeZ<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; CHASE (@CHASESTACKSX) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CHASESTACKSX\/status\/1842900309506478162?\">October 6, 2024<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Three <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/democrats-limiting-trumps-secret-service-45-claims-interfering-campaign-security\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">swing states<\/a> remain in Harris&rsquo;s hands, the latest numbers showed.<\/p>\n<p>Harris leads Trump in Wisconsin, 52 percent to 48 percent, in Nevada, 53 percent to 47 percent, and Michigan, 53 percent to 47 percent, Polymarket said.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">On the left we have an arial view of Trump&rsquo;s Butler rally today where Elon and JD Vance will be guest speaking.<\/p>\n<p>This is absolutely insane.<\/p>\n<p>Now on the right, we have Kamala&rsquo;s rally in Michigan yesterday.<\/p>\n<p>Notice the difference? <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/qPaX714jbo\">pic.twitter.com\/qPaX714jbo<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Jack (@jackunheard) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/jackunheard\/status\/1842653121471787509?\">October 5, 2024<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Elon Musk recently <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/elonmusk\/status\/1843132050242777187?s=46&amp;t=yoL7WJcO9vZ3TjSE2j6FRQ\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">noted on X<\/a> that prediction markets are &ldquo;[m]<span class=\"css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3\">ore accurate than polls, as actual money is on the line.&rdquo;<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Writer Rex Umberleigh <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/RexUmberleigh\/status\/1843311306767790377\">posted on X<\/a> that support for Harris is fading because she is her own worst enemy.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-conversation=\"none\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">the honeymoon is over.<\/p>\n<p>As she hits various outlets and interviews, it will only get worse.<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Rex Umberleigh (@RexUmberleigh) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/RexUmberleigh\/status\/1843311306767790377?\">October 7, 2024<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;[T]he honeymoon is over. As she hits various outlets and interviews, it will only get worse,&rdquo; he wrote.<\/p>\n<div style=\"position: relative;\">\n<div class=\"ff-fancy-header-container\">  <\/div>\n<div class=\"entry-submit-correction inner-content\">\n<div class=\"correction-form\">\n<form style=\"display: none;\">\n<div class=\"sc-name-field\"> <label>* Name<\/label> <br \/> <input type=\"text\" name=\"name\" required> <\/div>\n<div class=\"sc--field\"> <label>* <\/label> <br \/> <input type=\"text\" name=\"\" required> <\/div>\n<p> <label>* Message<\/label> <br \/> <textarea name=\"message\" required><\/textarea>  <\/p>\n<div class=\"required-message\" style=\"display: none; padding-bottom: 15px;\">* All fields are required.<\/div>\n<p> <input type=\"submit\" value=\"Submit\" onclick=\"event.preventDefault(); firefly_sc();\">  <\/p>\n<div class=\"firefly-sc-confirm\" style=\"display: none;\">Success!<\/div>\n<\/p><\/form>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p> <script> \t\t\tfunction firefly_sc() { \t\t\t\tif( typeof window.captchaPublicKey==typeof undefined ){ \t\t\t\t\tconsole.error('window.captchaPublicKey is not defined'); \t\t\t\t} \t\t\t\tgrecaptcha.execute( window.captchaPublicKey, { action: 'submit_correction' } ).then( function( token ) { \t\t\t\t\tvar opts={ \t\t\t\t\t\taction:    'firefly_sc_submit', \t\t\t\t\t\tname:      document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"name\"]' ).value, \t\t\t\t\t\t:     document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"\"]' ).value, \t\t\t\t\t\tmessage:   document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"message\"]' ).value, \t\t\t\t\t\tpost_id:   firefly_post_id, \t\t\t\t\t\tcap_token: token \t\t\t\t\t}  \t\t\t\t\tvar inputs=[ 'name', '', 'message' ];  \t\t\t\t\tfor( var i=0; i <inputs.length; i++ ) if( ! 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According to Polymarket&#8217;s post on X, &#8220;Trump\u2019s lead over Kamala Harris just reached a record high in Pennsylvania, with his winning odds leading by 12%.&#8221; The accompanying graphic revealed that Trump has 56% support in this crucial swing state compared to Harris&#8217;s 44%<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2351797,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/trump-17.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[3728,10904,5894,4395,3634],"class_list":["post-2351796","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-election","tag-odds","tag-politics","tag-surge","tag-trump"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/trump-17.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2351796","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2351796"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2351796\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2351797"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2351796"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2351796"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2351796"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}