{"id":2351288,"date":"2024-10-06T10:45:01","date_gmt":"2024-10-06T14:45:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/cnn-analyst-deeper-look-at-polls-shows-kamala-harris-win-would-be-historically-unprecedented\/"},"modified":"2024-10-06T10:46:24","modified_gmt":"2024-10-06T14:46:24","slug":"cnn-analyst-deeper-look-at-polls-shows-kamala-harris-win-would-be-historically-unprecedented","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/cnn-analyst-deeper-look-at-polls-shows-kamala-harris-win-would-be-historically-unprecedented\/","title":{"rendered":"CNN Analyst: Deeper Look at Polls Shows Kamala Harris Win Would Be &#8216;Historically Unprecedented&#8217;"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"float:left\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">28<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fcnn-analyst-deeper-look-at-polls-shows-kamala-harris-win-would-be-historically-unprecedented%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2351288&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>A CNN data analyst, Harry Enten, has indicated that Vice President Kamala Harris faces \u2064significant\u200d hurdles in her\u200c presidential campaign\u2064 due to public sentiment regarding the current administration. He emphasized that only 28% of Americans \u2062believe \u2063the\u2064 country is \u200con the right track, which mirrors typical approval ratings associated with losing incumbents. Historically, no party\u2063 has retained the presidency \u2064when this figure is so\u200c low, reinforcing the challenges Harris might encounter.<\/p>\n<p>Enten clarified that for\u200d a reelection win, an administration typically needs a higher percentage of public approval, around 42%. Current\u200b statistics show President Biden\u2019s disapproval rating significantly \u200bexceeds his approval, further complicating Harris&#8217;s campaign outlook. The analysis suggests that without a distinct platform differentiating her from Biden, Harris could \u200bstruggle as the election approaches. This combination of low public\u200c approval and discontent with the administration \u2062could prove detrimental to her electoral prospects.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<p><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><\/p>\n<section> <script>console.log(\"ad slot (AC1)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC1)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC2)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC3)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC4)\")<\/script><\/p>\n<p>One critical number could mean that Vice President Kamala Harris has little hope of winning the presidential election, according to a CNN data analyst.<\/p>\n<p>Harry Enten said the biggest problem <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/hurricane-helene-ruins-lives-kamala-harris-interview-sex-talk-podcast-speak-abortion-rights\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Harris<\/a> faces is being part of an administration that most Americans think is not helping the country.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;If we look at whether voters believe we&rsquo;re on the right track or the wrong track, I think that this sort of gets at a problem for Kamala Harris&rsquo;s campaign. Just 28% of Americans think the U.S is on the right track,&rdquo; he said, according to a video posted on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolitics.com\/video\/2024\/10\/04\/cnns_enten_historically_unprecedented_for_incumbent_party_to_win_when_only_28_think_country_is_on_right_track.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">RealClearPolitics.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>According to Enten&rsquo;s data, the average approval rating for incumbents who lose an election sits at around 25 percent which &ldquo;looks a heck of a lot like&rdquo; Harris&rsquo; 28 percent.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">The president&rsquo;s party has never (at least back to 1980) won another term in the White House with so few Americans saying the U.S. is on the right track (28%, today).<\/p>\n<p>The average when the prez party loses (25%) is far closer to today&rsquo;s number, though there is a bit of a twist. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/hZtWRMW9mn\">pic.twitter.com\/hZtWRMW9mn<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ForecasterEnten\/status\/1842216747866202376?\">October 4, 2024<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p> <script type=\"text\/javascript\"> \t\t\tif ( getCookie( \"ff_subbed\" ) ) { \t\t\t\tdocument.getElementById(\"stnvideo\").remove() \t\t\t} \t\t<\/script> <\/p>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Enten said that the picture is different for a popular administration.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;When the White House party wins &mdash; Kamala Harris&rsquo;s party, the Democrats &ndash; 42 percent on average think that the country is on the right track,&rdquo; he said.<\/p>\n<p>Enten noted that the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/poll-bidens-approval-rating-sinks-by-double-digits\/\" title=\"Poll: Biden&#039;s Approval Rating Sinks by Double Digits\">current approval rating<\/a> is hovering near the average of losing administrations.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;This to me is a bad sign for Kamala Harris&rsquo;s campaign. The bottom line is, it looks a lot more like a loser than it does like a winner,&rdquo; he said.<\/p>\n<p>Enten noted that the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/border-patrol-chief-resists-biden-i-cannot-comply-with-demand-to-use-non-legal-immigration-terms\/\" title=\"Border Patrol Chief Resists Biden: \u2018I Cannot\u2019 Comply With Demand To Use Non-Legal Immigration Terms\">lowest approval rating<\/a> a winning president received was 39 percent in 1996, which was the year former President <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/dem-friendly-fire-jon-stewart-suggests-bill-clinton-sexual-predator-calls-dnc-hypocrisy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Bill Clinton<\/a> was re-elected.<\/p>\n<p>Enten delivered his bottom line: &ldquo;There is no historical precedent for the White House party winning another term when just 28% of the country thinks that we&rsquo;re on the right track. Simply put, it would be historically unprecedented.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">On the eve of his return to Butler:<br \/> Donald Trump takes his biggest lead yet in Daily Mail election model as he gains ground over Kamala Harris in Pennsylvania <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/xoqffY3mR8\">https:\/\/t.co\/xoqffY3mR8<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Kellyanne Conway (@KellyannePolls) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/KellyannePolls\/status\/1842238581114536350?\">October 4, 2024<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;You&lsquo;re very much in the danger zone when we&lsquo;re looking at that right track, wrong direction number, that&rsquo;s where Democrats are right now,&rdquo; he said, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/media\/harris-campaign-danger-zone-americans-worry-countrys-direction\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Fox News<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>In a separate analysis on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2024\/10\/05\/politics\/kamala-harris-trump-election-fundamentals\/index.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">CNN<\/a>, Enten said disapproval of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/biden-want-harris-lose-cnn-contributor-drops-big-take-joe-keeps-kamala-within-reach\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">President Joe Biden<\/a> will carry over to Harris.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">Amid various crises, it&rsquo;s quite striking that Kamala Harris *still* hasn&rsquo;t offered anything of substance on the question of how she differs from Joe Biden, her unpopular co-incumbent. What does she think Biden has gotten wrong? What would she have done differently? Crickets: <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/81z6YhEEKm\">pic.twitter.com\/81z6YhEEKm<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Guy Benson (@guypbenson) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/guypbenson\/status\/1841867845539385439?\">October 3, 2024<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;The incumbent&rsquo;s party has never won when the president had <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/sen-manchins-approval-is-down-double-digits-in-west-virginia-since-backing-bidens-climate-and-tax-bill\/\" title=\"Sen. Manchin&#039;s Approval Is Down Double Digits in West Virginia Since Backing Biden&#039;s Climate and Tax Bill\">higher disapproval ratings<\/a> than approval ratings,&rdquo; he wrote.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;Biden&rsquo;s disapproval rating right now is about 10 points above his approval rating,&rdquo; he wrote, adding that that statistic and the  of Americans who think the nation is on the right track &ldquo;are just two indicators of public opinion that are bad for Harris&rsquo; chances in November.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<div style=\"position: relative;\">\n<div class=\"ff-fancy-header-container\">  <\/div>\n<div class=\"entry-submit-correction inner-content\">\n<div class=\"correction-form\">\n<form style=\"display: none;\">\n<div class=\"sc-name-field\"> <label>* Name<\/label> <br \/> <input type=\"text\" name=\"name\" required> <\/div>\n<div class=\"sc--field\"> <label>* <\/label> <br \/> <input type=\"text\" name=\"\" required> <\/div>\n<p> <label>* Message<\/label> <br \/> <textarea name=\"message\" required><\/textarea>  <\/p>\n<div class=\"required-message\" style=\"display: none; padding-bottom: 15px;\">* All fields are required.<\/div>\n<p> <input type=\"submit\" value=\"Submit\" onclick=\"event.preventDefault(); firefly_sc();\">  <\/p>\n<div class=\"firefly-sc-confirm\" style=\"display: none;\">Success!<\/div>\n<\/p><\/form>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p> <script> \t\t\tfunction firefly_sc() { \t\t\t\tif( typeof window.captchaPublicKey==typeof undefined ){ \t\t\t\t\tconsole.error('window.captchaPublicKey is not defined'); \t\t\t\t} \t\t\t\tgrecaptcha.execute( window.captchaPublicKey, { action: 'submit_correction' } ).then( function( token ) { \t\t\t\t\tvar opts={ \t\t\t\t\t\taction:    'firefly_sc_submit', \t\t\t\t\t\tname:      document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"name\"]' ).value, \t\t\t\t\t\t:     document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"\"]' ).value, \t\t\t\t\t\tmessage:   document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"message\"]' ).value, \t\t\t\t\t\tpost_id:   firefly_post_id, \t\t\t\t\t\tcap_token: token \t\t\t\t\t}  \t\t\t\t\tvar inputs=[ 'name', '', 'message' ];  \t\t\t\t\tfor( var i=0; i <inputs.length; i++ ) if( ! ( opts[inputs[i]]=document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"' + inputs[i] + '\"]' ).value ) ) { \t\t\t\t\t\tdocument.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction .required-message' ).style.display='block'; \t\t\t\t\t\treturn; \t\t\t\t\t}  \t\t\t\t\tdocument.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction input[type=\"submit\"]' ).style.display='none'; \t\t\t\t\tdocument.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction .firefly-sc-submitting-img' ).src=firefly_loading_gif_url; \t\t\t\t\tdocument.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction .firefly-sc-submitting-img' ).style.display='inline-block';  \t\t\t\t\tconsole.log( 'ma subbing' );  \t\t\t\t\tif( firefly_post_id ) opts['post_id']=firefly_post_id;  \t\t\t\t\t\/* Send the data using post with element id name and name2*\/ \t\t\t\t\tvar posting=jQuery.post( firefly_ajax_url, opts );  \t\t\t\t\t\/* Alerts the results *\/ \t\t\t\t\tposting.done( function( response ) { \t\t\t\t\t\tif( response.success ) { \t\t\t\t\t\t\tconsole.log( response.data ); \t\t\t\t\t\t\tdocument.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction .firefly-sc-submitting-img' ).style.display='none'; \t\t\t\t\t\t\tdocument.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction .firefly-sc-confirm' ).style.display='block';  \t\t\t\t\t\t\tdataLayer.push( { 'event': 'submit-correction' } ); \t\t\t\t\t\t} \t\t\t\t\t}); \t\t\t\t}); \t\t\t} \t\t<\/script>  <\/div>\n<p style=\"border: 1px solid #f5f5f5; padding: 16px;\">Advertise with The Western Journal and reach millions of highly engaged readers, while supporting our work. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/advertise-us\/?wj_source=article\">Advertise Today<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><script>console.log(\"ad slot (BA1)\")<\/script> <\/p>\n<div class=\"ff-fancy-header-container\">  <\/div>\n<style> \t\t\t \t\t\t.insticator-unit.type-commenting{margin: 0 10px 25px 10px}@media screen and (max-width:1060px){#div-insticator-ad-cmt-1, #div-insticator-ad-cmt-2, #div-insticator-ad-cmt-3, #div-insticator-ad-cmt-4{margin: 0 auto 25px auto !important;}}#div-insticator-ad-cmt-1, #div-insticator-ad-cmt-2, #div-insticator-ad-cmt-3, #div-insticator-ad-cmt-4{height: 280px !important; width: 336px !important} \t\t<\/style>\n<div class=\"insticator-unit type-commenting\">\n<div class=\"insticator-ads\">   <script data-cfasync=\"false\" type=\"text\/javascript\"> \t\t\t\t\tif ( ! getCookie( \"ff_subbed\" ) ) { \t\t\t\t\t\tInsticator.ad.loadAd(\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-1\"); \t\t\t\t\t\tInsticator.ad.loadAd(\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-2\"); \t\t\t\t\t} else { \t\t\t\t\t\tdocument.getElementById(\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-1\").remove() \t\t\t\t\t\tdocument.getElementById(\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-2\").remove() \t\t\t\t\t} \t\t\t\t<\/script> <\/div>\n<div class=\"insticator-ads additional\">   <script data-cfasync=\"false\" type=\"text\/javascript\"> \t\t\t\t\tif ( ! getCookie( \"ff_subbed\" ) ) { \t\t\t\t\t\tInsticator.ad.loadAd(\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-3\"); \t\t\t\t\t\tInsticator.ad.loadAd(\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-4\"); \t\t\t\t\t} else { \t\t\t\t\t\tdocument.getElementById(\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-3\").remove() \t\t\t\t\t\tdocument.getElementById(\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-4\").remove() \t\t\t\t\t} \t\t\t\t<\/script> <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/section>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A key statistic suggests that Vice President Kamala Harris may struggle to win the presidential election, as noted by CNN analyst Harry Enten. He pointed out that her main challenge stems from being associated with an administration perceived by many Americans as ineffective. &#8220;Only 28% of Americans believe the country is on the right track,&#8221; he stated in a video shared on RealClearPolitics. Enten&#8217;s analysis indicates that incumbents who lose elections typically have an average approval rating around 25%, which closely resembles Harris&#8217;s current 28%. Historically, no president&#8217;s party has secured another term when only 28% of citizens feel the nation is headed in the right direction; this figure aligns more with losing administrations&#8217; averages. He emphasized that for a successful campaign, a popular administration would need at least 42% of voters believing in progress. Currently, Harris\u2019s approval ratings are similar to those of losing candidates, signaling potential difficulties ahead for her campaign<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2351289,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Unhappy-Harris.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[9373,4919,32438,5894,15638],"class_list":["post-2351288","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-cnn","tag-history","tag-kamala-harris","tag-politics","tag-polls"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Unhappy-Harris.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2351288","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2351288"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2351288\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2351289"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2351288"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2351288"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2351288"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}