{"id":2348090,"date":"2024-10-01T14:22:01","date_gmt":"2024-10-01T18:22:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/toss-up-house-district-in-nebraska-swings-in-democrats-favor-washington-examiner\/"},"modified":"2024-10-01T14:24:12","modified_gmt":"2024-10-01T18:24:12","slug":"toss-up-house-district-in-nebraska-swings-in-democrats-favor-washington-examiner","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/toss-up-house-district-in-nebraska-swings-in-democrats-favor-washington-examiner\/","title":{"rendered":"Toss-up House district in Nebraska swings in Democrats\u2019 favor &#8211; Washington Examiner"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"float:left\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">24<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Ftoss-up-house-district-in-nebraska-swings-in-democrats-favor-washington-examiner%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2348090&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>A key toss-up district\u200b in Nebraska, known as\u2063 the 2nd Congressional District, is \u2063shifting in favor of \u2063Democrats as they \u200ccampaign to gain control of \u200cthe House.\u200c Currently held by Republican Rep. Don Bacon, the district is now classified as &#8220;Lean\u2063 Democratic&#8221; by Sabato\u2019s Crystal Ball, following <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/the-red-wave-narrative-was-bull-legacy-journalists-attack-polls-favoring-gop-after-one-poll-shows-dems-ahead-in-swing-states\/\" title=\"\u2018The Red Wave Narrative Was Bull****\u2019: Legacy Journalists Attack Polls Favoring GOP After One Poll Shows Dems Ahead In Swing States\">nonpartisan polls<\/a> showing Bacon trailing his Democratic \u2063challenger, state Sen. Tony \u200dVargas, by 4 to 6 points. Additionally, Vice\u200b President Kamala Harris appears\u2063 to have a\u200c strong lead over former \u2062President Donald Trump in the district, which \u200cmay influence the upcoming elections.<\/p>\n<p>Despite this shift, Bacon&#8217;s \u200dpast performance in close races indicates \u200cthat \u200che\u2063 remains\u200b a\u2062 formidable candidate. \u2064He has won previous elections by narrow margins and \u200csecured reelection even amid strong Democratic trends. The upcoming race is expected to be competitive, with significant implications for the balance of power in the House.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<p><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><\/p>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-button\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-icon td-icon-mobile\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-header-search-button-mob dropdown-toggle\" data-toggle=\"dropdown\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-search-icon td-icon-search\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-button\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-icon td-icon-mobile\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div class=\"tdb-drop-down-search\" aria-labelledby=\"td-header-search-button\">\n<div class=\"tdb-drop-down-search-inner\">\n<form method=\"get\" class=\"tdb-search-form\" action=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/\"><\/form>\n<div class=\"tdb-aj-search\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/#\" role=\"button\" aria-label=\"Search\" class=\"tdb-head-search-btn dropdown-toggle\" data-toggle=\"dropdown\"><i class=\"tdb-search-icon td-icon-search\"><\/i><\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<h1 class=\"tdb-title-text\">Toss-up House district in Nebraska swings in Democrats&rsquo; favor<\/h1>\n<div><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-title-line\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div id=\"Brid_1773162\" class=\"tpd-featured-video bridtv\"><\/div>\n<p>A <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/presidential\/3166224\/key-electoral-college-vote-nebraska-swings-favor-harris\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>key toss-up district <\/a>in Nebraska is shifting in Democrats&rsquo; direction, giving the party a slight boost as it seeks to take control of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/section\/news\/house\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>House next year.<\/a>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div class=\"article-paywall\">\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/presidential\/3127457\/harris-stray-electoral-vote-battleground-nebraska-district\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>Nebraska&rsquo;s 2nd Congressional District,<\/a> held by Rep. Don Bacon (R-NE), has shifted from being a toss-up to being considered &ldquo;Lean Democratic,&rdquo; according to <em>Sabato&rsquo;s Crystal Ball. <\/em>The move comes after a pair of nonpartisan polls were released over the last week showing Bacon trailing his Democratic opponent, state Sen. Tony Vargas.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Vargas leads Bacon <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/interactive\/2024\/09\/28\/us\/elections\/times-siena-nebraska2-toplines.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>by 4 points<\/a> in a recent <em>New York Times<\/em>-Siena College poll, while another poll by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2024\/09\/27\/politics\/cnn-poll-harris-trump-north-carolina-nebraska\/index.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title>CNN and SSRS<\/a> found the Democrat leading the GOP incumbent by 6 points. Those two polls also found Vice President Kamala Harris with advantages in that district, leading former President Donald Trump by 9 points and 11 points, respectively.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>That gives Democrats an advantage in a district that could determine which party will take control of the House next year.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>However, Bacon&rsquo;s fate is not sealed. The Republican incumbent has won close races before, even when initial polling showed him behind, his campaign noted.<\/p>\n<p>He was first elected in 2016 after defeating then-Rep. Brad Ashford, a Democrat, by just 1 point, before slightly increasing that lead to defeat Democratic challenger Kara Eastman by 2 points in 2018.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>He then was reelected by 5 points in 2020, even as President Joe&nbsp;Biden won the district&rsquo;s Electoral College vote. Bacon then defeated Vargas by 3 points last year, setting the stage for a tight rematch in a district that is poised once again to award its <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/don-bacon-thinks-it-would-be-better-for-other-states-to-use-nebraska-electoral-system-washington-examiner\/\" title=\"Don Bacon thinks it \u2018would be better\u2019 for other states to use Nebraska electoral system - Washington Examiner\">lone electoral vote<\/a> to the Democratic nominee.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;Every election cycle we are shown behind in the polls and some rankings, but we always end up with the win,&rdquo; Bacon&rsquo;s campaign said in a statement. &ldquo;This cycle, we are being significantly outspent with outside democrat dollars flowing into the district because of the split electoral vote, but we will not be out-worked. We fully expect to win on Nov. 4.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>Nebraska operates under a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/why-two-states-count-their-delegates-differently-in-presidential-elections\/\" title=\"Explore the reasons why two states tally their delegates uniquely in presidential contests\">congressional district method<\/a>, meaning the state allocates two electoral votes to the candidate who wins the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/key-nebraska-senator-rejects-trump-push-for-electoral-shake-up-washington-examiner\/\" title=\"Key Nebraska senator rejects Trump push for electoral shake-up - Washington Examiner\">statewide popular vote<\/a> and then awards one electoral vote to the winner of the popular vote in each congressional district. Nebraska has three congressional districts, creating four popular vote contests in the state, often leading to a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/nebraska-republicans-push-for-big-2024-electoral-change-washington-examiner\/\" title=\"Nebraska Republicans push for big 2024 electoral change - Washington Examiner\">split electoral outcome<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title><strong><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Republicans sought to change state law by switching Nebraska to a winner-takes-all system, an effort that was shot down due to a lack of support among state legislators.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Now, the lone electoral vote could be what breaks a 269-269 tie in the Electoral College, a distinct possibility given the 2024 map, and both campaigns are pouring resources into the district to ensure a victory.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p> <script data-cfasync=\"false\" src=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/cdn-cgi\/scripts\/5c5dd728\/cloudflare-static\/email-decode.min.js\"><\/script><script>!function(){var g=window;g.googletag=g.googletag||{},g.googletag.cmd=g.googletag.cmd||[],g.googletag.cmd.push(function(){g.googletag.pubads().setTargeting(\"has-featured-video\",\"true\")})}();<\/script><script>var _bp=_bp||[];_bp.push({\"div\":\"Brid_1773162\",\"obj\":{\"id\":\"27789\",\"width\":\"1280\",\"height\":\"720\",\"stickyDirection\":\"below\",\"video\":\"1773162\"}});<\/script><script defer src=\"https:\/\/services.brid.tv\/player\/build\/brid.min.js\"><\/script><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nebraska&#8217;s 2nd Congressional District is leaning Democratic, aiding the party&#8217;s House control efforts<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2640,"featured_media":2348091,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/don-bacon-nebraska-electoral-votes.webp","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[538],"tags":[3685,6571,42091,14648,32372],"class_list":["post-2348090","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-washington-examiner","tag-democrats","tag-elections","tag-house-district","tag-nebraska","tag-political-trends"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/don-bacon-nebraska-electoral-votes.webp","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2348090","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2640"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2348090"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2348090\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2348091"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2348090"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2348090"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2348090"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}