{"id":2344815,"date":"2024-09-23T12:49:59","date_gmt":"2024-09-23T16:49:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/good-news-for-trump-new-york-times-swing-state-poll-shows-major-shift\/"},"modified":"2024-09-23T12:52:25","modified_gmt":"2024-09-23T16:52:25","slug":"good-news-for-trump-new-york-times-swing-state-poll-shows-major-shift","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/good-news-for-trump-new-york-times-swing-state-poll-shows-major-shift\/","title":{"rendered":"Good News for Trump: New York Times Swing State Poll Shows Major Shift"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"&quot;\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">26<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fgood-news-for-trump-new-york-times-swing-state-poll-shows-major-shift%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2344815&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>The excerpt discusses a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/only-22-of-cable-news-is-news-study\/\" title=\"Only 22% of Cable \u2018News\u2019 is News: Study\">recent poll conducted<\/a> \u200cby\u2062 The New\u200c York Times\u2062 and Siena College,\u200d revealing \u200cthat former President Donald Trump has gained traction in swing states like Arizona, Georgia, and\u200c North Carolina following a presidential \u200ddebate with Vice President Kamala Harris. The\u2064 poll indicates a \u2064shift, with Trump moving from trailing Harris to\u2062 leading her by five points in Arizona and\u2064 two \u2064points in North Carolina, while his\u200b lead in Georgia remains steady\u200c at four\u2062 points.<\/p>\n<p>The analysis notes that past polling data from \u200d2020 should be approached with caution, pointing out inaccuracies in how establishment pollsters\u2064 had forecasted the election outcomes. It\u2064 highlights \u200bthe contrasting performances of various pollsters, \u200bshowcasing that some had Trump winning the popular vote, while others predicted a win for \u2064Harris.<\/p>\n<p>Furthermore, other state polls \u200dshow Harris leading by only narrow margins in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/indiana-health-department-nurse-claims-fourth-graders-experiment-with-anal-sex\/\" title=\"Indiana Health Department Nurse Claims Fourth Graders Experiment with Anal Sex\">traditionally blue states<\/a>, indicating a potential shift in\u200b voter sentiment. Analysts suggest that if Virginia, which Biden won handily in 2020, is now competitive, it could signify\u200b a larger trend\u2064 favoring Trump. the commentary stresses skepticism towards current polling and suggests that the dynamics of the upcoming \u200delection may favor Trump more than the polls indicate.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<p><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><\/p>\n<section> <script>console.log(\"ad slot (AC1)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC1)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC2)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC3)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (IC4)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (REP_0)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (REP_1)\")<\/script><script>console.log(\"ad slot (REP_2)\")<\/script><\/p>\n<p>Recent history suggests that when we receive state-level polling from establishment pollsters, we should take the results with a gargantuan grain of salt. And that makes these new numbers all the more encouraging.<\/p>\n<p>On Monday, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/09\/23\/us\/politics\/times-siena-polls-arizona-georgia-north-carolina.html?unlocked_article_code=1.M04.Rtbj.apAhcfUO1diy&amp;smid=url-\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">The New York Times<\/a> announced the results of a poll conducted Sept. 17-21 in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/poll-shows-trump-leading-biden-in-6-of-7-swing-states\/\" title=\"Survey Reveals Trump Ahead of Biden in 6 of 7 Key States\">anticipated swing states<\/a> of Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina.<\/p>\n<p>In short, the Times\/Siena College poll showed that former President Donald Trump has gained momentum across the Sun Belt since his Sept. 10 presidential debate against Vice President Kamala Harris and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/abcs-david-muir-appears-paying-price-extremely-biased-debate-performance\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ABC News<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>For instance, prior to the debate the same pollster had Harris leading by five points in Arizona. According to the new poll, however, Trump has now surged to a five-point lead in the Grand Canyon State.<\/p>\n<p>Likewise, a pre-debate poll gave Harris a two-point lead in North Carolina. But Trump now leads the Tar Heel State by two points.<\/p>\n<p>  <script> \t\t\t\tif( ! getCookie( 'ff_subbed' ) ) if( typeof FFADS.replace_ict !='undefined' ) if( FFADS.replace_ict ) eval( FFADS.replace_ict ); \t\t\t<\/script> <\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the former president&rsquo;s four-point lead in Georgia remains unchanged.<\/p>\n<p>This seems like a good time to remind readers of how pollsters performed in the controversial <a href=\"https:\/\/www.presidency.ucsb.edu\/statistics\/elections\/2020\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">2020 presidential election<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Establishment pollster <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/prominent-pollsters-election-model-shows-surge-trump-kamala-gets-bad-news-swing-states\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Nate Silver<\/a> of ABC&rsquo;s FiveThirtyEight compiled a chart of 2020&rsquo;s most accurate pollsters ranked by average error.<\/p>\n<p>Last week on the social media platform X, pollster Mark Rasmussen of Rasmussen Reports retweeted that chart complete with results from each pollster&rsquo;s latest national poll, where available.<\/p>\n<p>As you can see in the chart below, the latest available national poll from 2020&rsquo;s most accurate pollsters &mdash; in this case AtlasIntel, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/pollsters-who-were-dead-on-in-last-2-elections-drop-2024-update-kamala-harris-should-be-terrified\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Trafalgar Group<\/a> and Rasmussen Reports &mdash; had Trump winning the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/6-steps-the-democrats-will-take-to-fundamentally-alter-america-and-ensure-their-permanent-power\/\" title=\"6 Steps The Democrats Will Take To Fundamentally Alter America And Ensure Their Permanent Power\">national popular vote<\/a> by a margin of two-to-five points.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, 2020&rsquo;s least-accurate pollsters had Harris winning by comparable margins.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">What could possibly explain this??<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Peoples_Pundit?\">@Peoples_Pundit<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Zsegwyy1Wl\">https:\/\/t.co\/Zsegwyy1Wl<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Mark Mitchell, Rasmussen Reports (@Mark_R_Mitchell) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Mark_R_Mitchell\/status\/1836904656531845524?\">September 19, 2024<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Likewise, in 2020 those inaccurate pollsters missed by huge margins &mdash; especially in swing states. In fact, given the size of the apparent errors, one wonders if they did so on purpose.<\/p>\n<p>For instance, the final 2020 RealClearPolling average showed Trump leading now-President <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/joe-biden-hands-first-cabinet-meeting-nearly-year-jill\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Joe Biden<\/a> by only one point in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/polls\/president\/general\/2020\/ohio\/trump-vs-biden\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Ohio<\/a>. Trump won that state by 7.2 points.<\/p>\n<p>How could all pollsters combined miss the mark by that much?<\/p>\n<p>Something similar occurred in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/polls\/president\/general\/2020\/iowa\/trump-vs-biden\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Iowa<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/polls\/president\/general\/2020\/wisconsin\/trump-vs-biden\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Wisconsin<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/polls\/president\/general\/2020\/florida\/trump-vs-biden\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Florida<\/a> and even <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/polls\/president\/general\/2020\/texas\/trump-vs-biden\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Texas<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>In short, when all errors tend in one direction, as they did in 2020, the mistakes appear deliberate.<\/p>\n<p>Having seen how establishment pollsters either botched or manipulated their 2020 results, now consider current state polling outside the anticipated swing states.<\/p>\n<p>Last week, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.umw.edu\/news\/2024\/09\/20\/new-survey-from-umw-center-for-leadership-and-media-studies-takes-closer-look-at-presidential-election-in-virginia\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">University of Mary Washington<\/a> in Fredericksburg, Virginia, released a poll showing Harris with only a one-point lead in the Old Dominion. Biden won the state by 10 points in 2020.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;If <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/kamala-harris-now-struggling-state-biden-won-handily-showing-trump-may-embarrass-election-day\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Virginia<\/a> is close, this election is going to be a landslide for Trump,&rdquo; political analyst David Chapman posted on Sunday.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">If Virginia is close, this election is going to be a landslide for Trump.<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; David D. Chapman (@davidchapman141) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/davidchapman141\/status\/1837836624882794686?\">September 22, 2024<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, a Siena poll conducted after the debate showed Harris with only a 12-point lead in deep-blue <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/trump-delivers-surprise-gift-boy-brain-disorder-just-rally-supposed-stage-doesnt-matter\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">New York<\/a> state. In 2020, Biden won New York by 23 points.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">NEW YORK IS IN PLAY, new poll finds.<\/p>\n<p>2024 Election in New York<br \/> &#128998;Harris 52% (+12)<br \/> &#128997;Trump 40%<\/p>\n<p>A state Biden won by 23%, New York is becoming increasingly competitive. Harris will likely pull off the worst Democratic performance in the Empire State since 1988.<\/p>\n<p>Siena College |&hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/H19YP5zM1h\">pic.twitter.com\/H19YP5zM1h<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Election Time (@ElectionTime_) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ElectionTime_\/status\/1837881906580382033?\">September 22, 2024<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>You read that correctly. Current state polls show Harris running nine-to-eleven points behind Biden in Virginia and New York.<\/p>\n<p>Couple that with the fact that 2020&rsquo;s most accurate pollsters show <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/trump-scores-big-endorsement-shows-alarming-sign-kamala-harris-struggling-key-voter-group\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Trump<\/a> leading nationwide, and only one possible conclusion remains.<\/p>\n<p>In short, one simply cannot envision a scenario in which Trump wins the national popular vote, support for Harris drops by double digits in blue states, and yet swing states simultaneously reproduce what officials certified as razor-thin victories in places like Wisconsin and Arizona, where Biden prevailed in 2020 by approximately 20,000 and 10,000 votes, respectively.<\/p>\n<p>Likewise, in 2020 Trump prevailed in North Carolina by slightly more than one percentage point. Is it even possible that he now leads there by only two points when neighboring Virginia has shifted hard right?<\/p>\n<p>Even the Times\/Siena establishment pollsters know that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/clickbait-news-network-cnn-gushes-kamala-article-touting-trump-support-nevada\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Trump<\/a> holds a commanding lead in the Sun Belt. In fact, they have almost certainly underestimated that lead.<\/p>\n<div style=\"position: relative;\">\n<div class=\"ff-fancy-header-container\">  <\/div>\n<div class=\"entry-submit-correction inner-content\">\n<div class=\"correction-form\">\n<form style=\"display: none;\">\n<div class=\"sc-name-field\"> <label>* Name<\/label> <br \/> <input type=\"text\" name=\"name\" required> <\/div>\n<div class=\"sc--field\"> <label>* <\/label> <br \/> <input type=\"text\" name=\"\" required> <\/div>\n<p> <label>* Message<\/label> <br \/> <textarea name=\"message\" required><\/textarea>  <\/p>\n<div class=\"required-message\" style=\"display: none; padding-bottom: 15px;\">* All fields are required.<\/div>\n<p> <input type=\"submit\" value=\"Submit\" onclick=\"event.preventDefault(); firefly_sc();\">  <\/p>\n<div class=\"firefly-sc-confirm\" style=\"display: none;\">Success!<\/div>\n<\/p><\/form>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p> <script> \t\t\tfunction firefly_sc() { \t\t\t\tif( typeof window.captchaPublicKey==typeof undefined ){ \t\t\t\t\tconsole.error('window.captchaPublicKey is not defined'); \t\t\t\t} \t\t\t\tgrecaptcha.execute( window.captchaPublicKey, { action: 'submit_correction' } ).then( function( token ) { \t\t\t\t\tvar opts={ \t\t\t\t\t\taction:    'firefly_sc_submit', \t\t\t\t\t\tname:      document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"name\"]' ).value, \t\t\t\t\t\t:     document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"\"]' ).value, \t\t\t\t\t\tmessage:   document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"message\"]' ).value, \t\t\t\t\t\tpost_id:   firefly_post_id, \t\t\t\t\t\tcap_token: token \t\t\t\t\t}  \t\t\t\t\tvar inputs=[ 'name', '', 'message' ];  \t\t\t\t\tfor( var i=0; i <inputs.length; i++ ) if( ! ( opts[inputs[i]]=document.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction [name=\"' + inputs[i] + '\"]' ).value ) ) { \t\t\t\t\t\tdocument.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction .required-message' ).style.display='block'; \t\t\t\t\t\treturn; \t\t\t\t\t}  \t\t\t\t\tdocument.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction input[type=\"submit\"]' ).style.display='none'; \t\t\t\t\tdocument.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction .firefly-sc-submitting-img' ).src=firefly_loading_gif_url; \t\t\t\t\tdocument.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction .firefly-sc-submitting-img' ).style.display='inline-block';  \t\t\t\t\tconsole.log( 'ma subbing' );  \t\t\t\t\tif( firefly_post_id ) opts['post_id']=firefly_post_id;  \t\t\t\t\t\/* Send the data using post with element id name and name2*\/ \t\t\t\t\tvar posting=jQuery.post( firefly_ajax_url, opts );  \t\t\t\t\t\/* Alerts the results *\/ \t\t\t\t\tposting.done( function( response ) { \t\t\t\t\t\tif( response.success ) { \t\t\t\t\t\t\tconsole.log( response.data ); \t\t\t\t\t\t\tdocument.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction .firefly-sc-submitting-img' ).style.display='none'; \t\t\t\t\t\t\tdocument.querySelector( '.entry-submit-correction .firefly-sc-confirm' ).style.display='block';  \t\t\t\t\t\t\tdataLayer.push( { 'event': 'submit-correction' } ); \t\t\t\t\t\t} \t\t\t\t\t}); \t\t\t\t}); \t\t\t} \t\t<\/script>  <\/div>\n<p style=\"border: 1px solid #f5f5f5; padding: 16px;\">Advertise with The Western Journal and reach millions of highly engaged readers, while supporting our work. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/advertise-us\/?wj_source=article\">Advertise Today<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><script>console.log(\"ad slot (BA1)\")<\/script> <\/p>\n<div class=\"ff-fancy-header-container\">  <\/div>\n<style> \t\t\t \t\t\t.insticator-unit.type-commenting{margin: 0 10px 25px 10px}@media screen and (max-width:1060px){#div-insticator-ad-cmt-1, #div-insticator-ad-cmt-2, #div-insticator-ad-cmt-3, #div-insticator-ad-cmt-4{margin: 0 auto 25px auto !important;}}#div-insticator-ad-cmt-1, #div-insticator-ad-cmt-2, #div-insticator-ad-cmt-3, #div-insticator-ad-cmt-4{height: 280px !important; width: 336px !important} \t\t<\/style>\n<div class=\"insticator-unit type-commenting\">\n<div class=\"insticator-ads\">   <script data-cfasync=\"false\" type=\"text\/javascript\"> \t\t\t\t\tif ( ! getCookie( \"ff_subbed\" ) ) { \t\t\t\t\t\tInsticator.ad.loadAd(\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-1\"); \t\t\t\t\t\tInsticator.ad.loadAd(\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-2\"); \t\t\t\t\t} else { \t\t\t\t\t\tdocument.getElementById(\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-1\").remove() \t\t\t\t\t\tdocument.getElementById(\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-2\").remove() \t\t\t\t\t} \t\t\t\t<\/script> <\/div>\n<div class=\"insticator-ads additional\">   <script data-cfasync=\"false\" type=\"text\/javascript\"> \t\t\t\t\tif ( ! getCookie( \"ff_subbed\" ) ) { \t\t\t\t\t\tInsticator.ad.loadAd(\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-3\"); \t\t\t\t\t\tInsticator.ad.loadAd(\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-4\"); \t\t\t\t\t} else { \t\t\t\t\t\tdocument.getElementById(\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-3\").remove() \t\t\t\t\t\tdocument.getElementById(\"div-insticator-ad-cmt-4\").remove() \t\t\t\t\t} \t\t\t\t<\/script> <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/section>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Recent trends indicate that we should approach state-level polling from mainstream pollsters with significant skepticism. This context makes the latest figures even more promising. On Monday, The New York Times revealed the findings of a poll conducted from September 17-21 in key swing states like Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina. The Times\/Siena College poll indicates that former President Donald Trump has gained traction across the Sun Belt following his presidential debate on September 10 against Vice President Kamala Harris and ABC News.<\/p>\n<p>For example, before the debate, a previous poll had Harris ahead by five points in Arizona; however, the new data shows Trump now leading by five points there. Similarly, while Harris was previously two points ahead in North Carolina according to an earlier poll, Trump has now taken a two-point lead in that state as well.<\/p>\n<p>In Georgia, Trump&#8217;s four-point advantage remains steady. It&#8217;s worth recalling how polling accuracy played out during the contentious 2020 presidential election. Nate Silver of ABC&#8217;s FiveThirtyEight compiled a chart ranking 2020&#8217;s most reliable pollsters based on their average error rates. Recently on social media platform X, Mark Rasmussen of Rasmussen Reports shared this chart along with results from each top-performing national pollster when available.<\/p>\n<p>The latest national polls from some of 2020\u2019s most accurate firms\u2014AtlasIntel, Trafalgar Group, and Rasmussen Reports\u2014indicate Trump winning the popular vote by margins ranging from two to five points. In contrast, less accurate polling firms showed Harris leading by similar margins.<\/p>\n<p>This discrepancy raises questions about why such inaccuracies occurred; for instance, final averages indicated Trump only led Biden by one point in Ohio before he won it decisively by over seven points\u2014a significant miss for all involved polls.<\/p>\n<p>Similar patterns were observed in Iowa and other swing states where errors consistently favored one side over another during 2020 elections\u2014leading to suspicions about potential manipulation or bias among those conducting these polls.<\/p>\n<p>Considering current state polling outside expected battlegrounds is also revealing: last week\u2019s University of Mary Washington survey showed Harris with just a one-point edge in Virginia\u2014a state Biden won comfortably by ten points back in 2020. Political analyst David Chapman remarked that if Virginia is competitive this time around it could signal a landslide victory for Trump.<\/p>\n<p>Additionally, Siena&#8217;s post-debate survey found Harris only twelve points ahead in traditionally Democratic New York State\u2014a drop from Biden\u2019s twenty-three point win there previously\u2014which suggests increasing competitiveness for Republicans even within historically blue territories.<\/p>\n<p>Current data indicates that Harris is trailing Biden significantly (by nine to eleven points) across both Virginia and New York compared to his performance four years ago while more reliable national polls show Trump leading overall\u2014pointing towards an inevitable conclusion: it&#8217;s hard to imagine how these dynamics could coexist without resulting discrepancies manifesting again as they did during past elections where outcomes were razor-thin margins favoring Democrats despite broader shifts toward Republican support elsewhere<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2344816,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Trump-2.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[33651],"tags":[41522,33263,41521,3634],"class_list":["post-2344815","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-western-journal","tag-major-shift","tag-new-york-times","tag-swing-state-poll","tag-trump"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.westernjournal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Trump-2.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2344815","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2344815"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2344815\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2344816"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2344815"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2344815"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2344815"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}