{"id":2344775,"date":"2024-09-23T11:46:01","date_gmt":"2024-09-23T15:46:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/democrats-worry-as-trump-pulls-ahead-in-sun-belt-battlegrounds-washington-examiner\/"},"modified":"2024-09-23T11:47:19","modified_gmt":"2024-09-23T15:47:19","slug":"democrats-worry-as-trump-pulls-ahead-in-sun-belt-battlegrounds-washington-examiner","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/democrats-worry-as-trump-pulls-ahead-in-sun-belt-battlegrounds-washington-examiner\/","title":{"rendered":"Democrats worry as Trump pulls ahead in Sun Belt battlegrounds &#8211; Washington Examiner"},"content":{"rendered":"<aside class=\"mashsb-container mashsb-main mashsb-stretched\"><div class=\"mashsb-box\"><div class=\"mashsb-count mash-medium\" style=\"float:left\"><div class=\"counts mashsbcount\">26<\/div><span class=\"mashsb-sharetext\">SHARES<\/span><\/div><div class=\"mashsb-buttons\"><a class=\"mashicon-facebook mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.conservativenewsdaily.net%2Fbreaking-news%2Fdemocrats-worry-as-trump-pulls-ahead-in-sun-belt-battlegrounds-washington-examiner%2F\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Facebook<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-twitter mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=&amp;url=https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/?p=2344775&amp;via=ConservNewsDly\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Twitter<\/span><\/a><a class=\"mashicon-subscribe mash-medium mash-nomargin mashsb-noshadow\" href=\"#\" target=\"_top\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span class=\"icon\"><\/span><span class=\"text\">Subscribe<\/span><\/a><div class=\"onoffswitch2 mash-medium mashsb-noshadow\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                <div style=\"clear:both\"><\/div><\/aside>\n            <!-- Share buttons by mashshare.net - Version: 4.0.47--><p>Recent polling indicates that former President Donald Trump is gaining traction in key Sun Belt states, which has raised concerns among Democratic officials about the potential underestimation of his support, similar to the trends observed in the 2016 and 2020 elections. A New York Times\/Siena College poll\u2064 shows \u200cTrump leading Vice President Kamala Harris in Arizona (50%-45%), Georgia (49%-45%), and North Carolina (49%-47%). These results mark a significant shift\u2064 from <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/cnn-poll-republicans-lead-in-generic-midterm-ballot-6-point-drop-for-democrats\/\" title=\"CNN Poll: Republicans Lead in Generic Midterm Ballot, 6 Point Drop for Democrats\">previous polls conducted<\/a> in August, where Harris was ahead in both \u200dArizona \u200band North Carolina.<\/p>\n<p>Trump&#8217;s lead in these states aligns with RealClearPolitics polling \u2064averages, although\u200c he trails Harris in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/illinois-tops-list-of-states-americans-left-in-2022-report\/\" title=\"Illinois leads states Americans left in 2022: Report.\">national\u2064 average<\/a>.\u200d Historically, \u2064Trump secured \u2062wins\u200d in Arizona, Georgia, and North\u200b Carolina in 2016 but lost\u200d two of those states in his re-election attempt in 2020. Concerns persist among Democrats that \u200dpolling may \u200dagain \u2062fail to capture Trump&#8217;s support \u2062accurately, \u200bprompting fears of a repeat of past election \u2063scenarios.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"readmore\">\n    <button onclick=\"showReadMore()\" id=\"readmorebtn\">Read more&#8230;<\/button>\n<\/p>\n<hr id=\"line\">\n<span id=\"more\"><\/p>\n<p><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><?xml encoding=\"utf-8\" ?><\/p>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-button\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-icon td-icon-mobile\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-header-search-button-mob dropdown-toggle\" data-toggle=\"dropdown\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-search-icon td-icon-search\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><span class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-button\"><i class=\"tdb-mobile-menu-icon td-icon-mobile\"><\/i><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div class=\"tdb-drop-down-search\" aria-labelledby=\"td-header-search-button\">\n<div class=\"tdb-drop-down-search-inner\">\n<form method=\"get\" class=\"tdb-search-form\" action=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/\"><\/form>\n<div class=\"tdb-aj-search\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/#\" role=\"button\" aria-label=\"Search\" class=\"tdb-head-search-btn dropdown-toggle\" data-toggle=\"dropdown\"><i class=\"tdb-search-icon td-icon-search\"><\/i><\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<h1 class=\"tdb-title-text\">Trump sees poll bump in Sun Belt battlegrounds as Democrats worry he&rsquo;ll over perform again<\/h1>\n<div><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-title-line\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div id=\"Brid_1767112\" class=\"tpd-featured-video bridtv\"><\/div>\n<p>Democrats are worried the polls may be underestimating former President <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/donald-trump\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"Donald Trump\">Donald Trump<\/a>&lsquo;s support, which they did in 2016 and 2020, as he takes the lead in three of the key Sun Belt states, according to a new poll.<\/p>\n<div class=\"article-paywall\">\n<p>A <em>New York Times<\/em>\/Siena College <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/08\/17\/us\/elections\/kamala-harris-trump-az-nc-ga-nv.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"poll\">poll<\/a> released Monday shows Trump leading Vice President <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/tag\/kamala-harris\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"Kamala Harris\">Kamala Harris<\/a> in Arizona 50%-45%, Georgia 49%-45%, and North Carolina 49%-47%. <\/p>\n<p>Trump&rsquo;s leads in Arizona and North Carolina are <span style=\"box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;\">reversals from the last polls in those states from the pollster in August<\/span>, which showed Harris leading Trump by five points, 50%- 45%, in Arizona and by two points, 49%- 47%, in North Carolina. Since the last poll, Trump has maintained a 4% lead in the Peach State.<\/p>\n<p>The former president also maintains leads in the <em>RealClearPolitics<\/em> polling average for all three states, with North Carolina being his smallest lead, 47.8%-47.4%. In the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/why-the-also-rans-matter\/\" title=\"Why the also-rans matter\">national polling average<\/a>, Harris <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/polls\/president\/general\/2024\/trump-vs-harris\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"leads\">leads<\/a> Trump, 49.4%-47.2%.<\/p>\n<p>Trump won Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina, in 2016 en route to the presidency, but lost Arizona and Georgia in 2020, in a losing reelection bid. North Carolina has only voted for a Democratic presidential candidate twice since 1968 &mdash; in 1976 and 2008.<\/p>\n<p>The positive numbers for Trump also come as Democrats are reportedly worried that polling may be underestimating the former president, as was seen in 2016 and 2020. Multiple Democrats have expressed concerns that there may be another undercount of Trump&rsquo;s support in battleground states, according to a <a href=\"https:\/\/thehill.com\/homenews\/campaign\/4891637-democratic-lawmakers-worry-pollsters\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"report\">report<\/a> from the <em>Hill<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;Polling has really been seriously damaged since 2016. And that&rsquo;s one of the truths, is that Trump is going to be tough in Pennsylvania, and that&rsquo;s absolutely the truth,&rdquo; Sen.&nbsp;John Fetterman&nbsp;(D-PA) told the outlet.<\/p>\n<p>Polling throughout the 2016 election showed former Secretary of State Hilary Clinton leading, and many didn&rsquo;t take Trump&rsquo;s bid seriously. After the election, politicos and analysts admitted their failures in relying on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/trump-rips-mentally-gone-biden-over-vaccines-wont-say-yet-if-hes-running-in-2024\/\" title=\"Trump Rips \u2018Mentally Gone\u2019 Biden Over Vaccines, \u2018Won\u2019t Say Yet\u2019 If He\u2019s Running In 2024\">poll numbers<\/a> that didn&rsquo;t take into account unlikely voters, or non-college educated white men.<\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Harris&rsquo;s 2.2% lead in the <em>RealClearPolitics<\/em> national polling average over Trump is smaller than Clinton&rsquo;s 3% lead at this time in 2016 and President Joe Biden&rsquo;s 7.1% lead at this time in 2020. Trump also holds stronger leads in the <em>RealClearPolitics<\/em> polling average in Arizona, North Carolina, and Georgia, than at this time in 2020.<\/p>\n<p>With Trump&rsquo;s stronger polling this year, compared to previous elections, it appears to be his <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/news\/campaigns\/presidential\/3160734\/donald-trump-best-chance-win-popular-vote\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"best chance\">best chance<\/a> to win the popular vote, something he failed to do in his victorious 2016 campaign.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p> <script data-cfasync=\"false\" src=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/cdn-cgi\/scripts\/5c5dd728\/cloudflare-static\/email-decode.min.js\"><\/script><script>!function(){var g=window;g.googletag=g.googletag||{},g.googletag.cmd=g.googletag.cmd||[],g.googletag.cmd.push(function(){g.googletag.pubads().setTargeting(\"has-featured-video\",\"true\")})}();<\/script><script>var _bp=_bp||[];_bp.push({\"div\":\"Brid_1767112\",\"obj\":{\"id\":\"27789\",\"width\":\"1280\",\"height\":\"720\",\"stickyDirection\":\"below\",\"video\":\"1767112\"}});<\/script><script defer src=\"https:\/\/services.brid.tv\/player\/build\/brid.min.js\"><\/script><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><\/div>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Trump experiences a surge in polling within Sun Belt battlegrounds, raising concerns among Democrats about his potential to exceed expectations once more. According to a recent poll, there are fears that former President Donald Trump&#8217;s support is being underestimated, similar to the situations in 2016 and 2020. The New York Times\/Siena College poll released on Monday indicates Trump is ahead of Vice President Kamala Harris in Arizona (50%-45%), Georgia (49%-45%), and North Carolina (49%-47%). These results mark a shift from previous polls conducted by the same organization in August, which had shown Harris leading Trump by five points in Arizona and two points in North Carolina. In Georgia, Trump has maintained a consistent 4% lead since the last survey. Additionally, he holds an advantage over Harris according to the RealClearPolitics polling average for all three states, with his narrowest margin being 47.8%-47.4% in North Carolina. Nationally, however, Harris leads Trump by 49.4%-47.2%. <\/p>\n<p>Trump won Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina during his successful presidential campaign in 2016 but lost both Arizona and Georgia during his unsuccessful reelection bid in 2020; North Carolina has only supported Democratic presidential candidates twice since 1968\u2014in 1976 and again in 2008.<\/p>\n<p>The favorable polling numbers for Trump come amid Democratic concerns that current surveys may be underreporting his support as they did previously. Several Democrats have voiced worries about another potential undercount of Trump&#8217;s backing within key battleground states according to a report from The Hill. Senator John Fetterman (D-PA) remarked on the damage done to polling credibility since 2016 and acknowledged that Trump poses a significant challenge even in Pennsylvania.<\/p>\n<p>During the previous election cycles of Clinton&#8217;s candidacy against Trump showed her leading consistently; many analysts later recognized their misjudgment regarding voter demographics that were not adequately represented by traditional polls.<\/p>\n<p>Currently, Harris&#8217;s slight lead over Trump at just 2.2% is narrower than Clinton&#8217;s lead of three percent at this point back then or Biden\u2019s seven-point advantage two years later\u2014indicating stronger support for Trump now compared to prior elections as he appears better positioned for potentially winning the popular vote this time around after failing to do so despite winning electoral votes back in &#8217;16<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2638,"featured_media":2344776,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/trump-harris-sept-2024-polling-sun-belt.webp","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[37737,3685,41513,3634],"class_list":["post-2344775","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-battlegrounds","tag-democrats","tag-sun-belt","tag-trump"],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/trump-harris-sept-2024-polling-sun-belt.webp","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2344775","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2638"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2344775"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2344775\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2344776"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2344775"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2344775"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.conservativenewsdaily.net\/breaking-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2344775"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}